Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2017 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 11/11/17

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 10-0 52.7% 1 3 2 20.6 2 0.243 6
Ohio State Big Ten 8-2 52.3% 2 4 2 21.7 1 0.228 8
Auburn SEC 8-2 52.0% 3 11 8 16.2 6 0.276 3
Georgia SEC 9-1 51.6% 4 1 -3 16.2 7 0.259 5
Miami-FL ACC 9-0 51.3% 5 13 8 15.2 9 0.266 4
Wisconsin Big Ten 10-0 51.0% 6 12 6 18.0 3 0.216 11
Oklahoma Big 12 9-1 50.7% 7 10 3 14.1 10 0.276 2
Penn State Big Ten 8-2 50.3% 8 9 1 15.6 8 0.226 9
Clemson ACC 9-1 50.3% 9 8 -1 13.5 11 0.280 1
Central Florida American 9-0 49.8% 10 5 -5 17.2 5 0.195 13
Washington Pac-12 8-2 49.7% 11 6 -5 17.5 4 0.192 14
Notre Dame Ind 8-2 48.0% 12 2 -10 12.3 14 0.235 7
Oklahoma State Big 12 8-2 47.9% 13 14 1 13.0 12 0.214 12
TCU Big 12 8-2 47.6% 14 7 -7 12.5 13 0.220 10
USC Pac-12 9-2 40.4% 15 16 1 9.9 17 0.153 17
Mississippi State SEC 7-3 39.7% 16 15 -1 9.7 18 0.148 18
Michigan Big Ten 8-2 38.5% 17 21 4 10.6 16 0.123 22
Washington State Pac-12 9-2 36.1% 18 22 4 8.9 21 0.125 21
Stanford Pac-12 7-3 35.6% 19 25 6 7.6 26 0.144 19
South Florida American 8-1 34.6% 20 23 3 11.5 15 0.082 34
Virginia Tech ACC 7-3 34.4% 21 18 -3 7.8 24 0.126 20
Iowa State Big 12 6-4 33.9% 22 20 -2 5.2 41 0.188 15
Florida Atlantic Conf USA 7-3 33.5% 23 29 6 9.4 19 0.095 29
Boise State MWC 8-2 31.7% 24 26 2 7.5 27 0.108 24
LSU SEC 7-3 30.8% 25 33 8 8.5 22 0.086 33
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Wake Forest ACC 6-4 29.1% 26 35 9 7.0 29 0.094 30
NC State ACC 7-3 28.8% 27 27 0 5.3 38 0.122 23
West Virginia Big 12 7-3 28.7% 28 28 0 6.6 33 0.098 26
Arizona Pac-12 7-3 28.5% 29 34 5 6.8 31 0.093 31
Iowa Big Ten 6-4 27.7% 30 19 -11 2.8 55 0.179 16
Houston American 6-3 27.6% 31 30 -1 6.2 35 0.095 28
Ohio MAC 8-2 26.8% 32 44 12 9.1 20 0.051 44
Georgia Tech ACC 5-4 26.0% 33 38 5 4.9 45 0.106 25
Toledo MAC 8-2 25.8% 34 24 -10 7.3 28 0.066 40
Memphis American 8-1 25.6% 35 31 -4 7.0 30 0.069 39
Purdue Big Ten 4-6 23.7% 36 32 -4 5.0 43 0.087 32
Michigan State Big Ten 7-3 22.3% 37 17 -20 5.3 39 0.071 38
Northern Illinois MAC 7-3 21.1% 38 37 -1 5.7 37 0.057 41
Louisville ACC 6-4 20.7% 39 42 3 6.0 36 0.050 45
Troy Sun Belt 8-2 18.3% 40 45 5 5.2 40 0.046 47
San Diego State MWC 8-2 17.0% 41 41 0 4.3 49 0.052 43
Arkansas State Sun Belt 5-3 16.5% 42 36 -6 7.7 25 0.003 63
Utah Pac-12 5-5 15.5% 43 43 0 4.9 44 0.033 54
Texas Big 12 5-5 14.7% 44 39 -5 1.9 61 0.077 36
SMU American 6-4 14.7% 45 40 -5 4.5 48 0.034 53
Navy Ind 6-3 14.3% 46 48 2 1.5 63 0.080 35
Texas Tech Big 12 5-5 14.1% 47 46 -1 3.6 52 0.044 48
Boston College ACC 5-5 9.6% 48 51 3 -1.2 77 0.096 27
Army Ind 8-2 9.5% 49 50 1 2.1 59 0.039 50
Northwestern Big Ten 7-3 8.5% 50 56 6 1.7 62 0.039 51
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Eastern Michigan MAC 3-7 7.1% 51 47 -4 1.4 64 0.035 52
Texas A&M SEC 6-4 6.7% 52 69 17 2.5 57 0.015 58
Missouri SEC 5-5 6.5% 53 67 14 6.5 34 -0.042 77
Southern Miss Conf USA 6-4 6.1% 54 55 1 6.6 32 -0.047 78
UTSA Conf USA 5-4 5.9% 55 52 -3 5.2 42 -0.028 74
Syracuse ACC 4-6 5.6% 56 49 -7 -0.4 71 0.054 42
South Carolina SEC 7-3 5.4% 57 58 1 0.5 69 0.039 49
Marshall Conf USA 7-3 5.4% 58 57 -1 2.3 58 0.010 62
Kansas State Big 12 5-5 4.5% 59 54 -5 0.5 68 0.033 55
Western Michigan MAC 6-4 4.4% 60 53 -7 1.3 66 0.020 56
Appalachian State Sun Belt 6-4 4.3% 61 66 5 4.7 47 -0.032 75
Wyoming MWC 7-3 3.6% 62 65 3 3.5 53 -0.018 71
Fresno State MWC 7-3 3.0% 63 63 0 8.1 23 -0.088 94
Arizona State Pac-12 5-5 2.7% 64 59 -5 -3.0 91 0.077 37
Oregon Pac-12 5-5 2.2% 65 62 -3 2.1 60 -0.005 65
Minnesota Big Ten 5-5 1.7% 66 70 4 0.3 70 0.019 57
Florida State ACC 3-6 1.2% 67 64 -3 -1.7 79 0.046 46
Indiana Big Ten 4-6 0.1% 68 60 -8 1.3 65 -0.006 66
Miami-OH MAC 4-6 -1.6% 69 74 5 3.0 54 -0.042 76
Kentucky SEC 7-3 -2.6% 70 78 8 -1.1 76 0.015 59
Colorado State MWC 6-5 -2.7% 71 68 -3 4.0 50 -0.067 84
UCLA Pac-12 5-5 -2.8% 72 72 0 -0.4 72 0.002 64
Ole Miss SEC 5-5 -3.3% 73 82 9 3.8 51 -0.067 83
North Texas Conf USA 7-3 -3.6% 74 76 2 4.8 46 -0.085 92
Virginia ACC 6-4 -4.0% 75 61 -14 1.0 67 -0.027 72
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
UAB Conf USA 7-3 -4.1% 76 75 -1 2.5 56 -0.051 79
Buffalo MAC 4-6 -5.6% 77 73 -4 -2.1 84 0.011 60
Temple American 5-5 -6.2% 78 77 -1 -2.3 85 0.010 61
Colorado Pac-12 5-6 -8.2% 79 71 -8 -1.7 80 -0.010 68
Central Michigan MAC 6-4 -8.7% 80 84 4 -1.7 78 -0.014 69
Tulane American 4-6 -11.7% 81 80 -1 -3.4 93 -0.007 67
Duke ACC 4-6 -11.7% 82 81 -1 -2.8 88 -0.016 70
California Pac-12 5-5 -13.7% 83 83 0 -2.9 89 -0.027 73
Utah State MWC 5-5 -18.0% 84 88 4 -0.9 75 -0.086 93
Massachusetts Ind 3-7 -18.0% 85 92 7 -2.5 87 -0.060 81
New Mexico State Sun Belt 4-5 -18.6% 86 89 3 -0.6 73 -0.097 100
Middle Tennessee Conf USA 5-5 -19.6% 87 97 10 -0.6 74 -0.105 104
Nebraska Big Ten 4-6 -20.7% 88 79 -9 -2.9 90 -0.071 89
Pittsburgh ACC 4-6 -20.7% 89 96 7 -3.2 92 -0.067 85
Western Kentucky Conf USA 5-5 -21.3% 90 101 11 -2.1 83 -0.090 97
Florida International Conf USA 6-3 -21.8% 91 87 -4 -2.3 86 -0.089 96
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 4-5 -22.0% 92 94 2 -3.6 94 -0.069 88
Louisiana Tech Conf USA 4-6 -22.6% 93 85 -8 -4.0 95 -0.068 86
South Alabama Sun Belt 4-6 -23.6% 94 103 9 -1.9 82 -0.111 107
Florida SEC 3-6 -23.8% 95 100 5 -5.0 100 -0.062 82
Vanderbilt SEC 4-6 -24.5% 96 93 -3 -1.8 81 -0.122 110
Air Force MWC 4-6 -24.5% 97 95 -2 -4.3 97 -0.077 91
Tennessee SEC 4-6 -25.0% 98 86 -12 -5.8 105 -0.060 80
Rutgers Big Ten 4-6 -25.7% 99 91 -8 -4.1 96 -0.088 95
Maryland Big Ten 4-6 -26.4% 100 90 -10 -5.9 106 -0.068 87
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Arkansas SEC 4-6 -28.1% 101 98 -3 -4.7 99 -0.096 99
Baylor Big 12 1-9 -28.2% 102 102 0 -6.4 109 -0.074 90
UNLV MWC 4-6 -29.4% 103 99 -4 -4.6 98 -0.109 106
North Carolina ACC 2-8 -30.3% 104 106 2 -5.6 103 -0.100 101
Cincinnati American 3-7 -30.5% 105 104 -1 -6.0 107 -0.096 98
Idaho Sun Belt 3-6 -32.3% 106 107 1 -5.4 102 -0.120 109
Georgia State Sun Belt 6-3 -33.2% 107 110 3 -5.3 101 -0.131 113
Akron MAC 5-5 -34.9% 108 108 0 -8.2 110 -0.103 103
BYU Ind 3-8 -35.7% 109 114 5 -6.3 108 -0.138 114
Tulsa American 2-8 -37.0% 110 111 1 -10.0 118 -0.101 102
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 1-9 -37.0% 111 112 1 -9.6 117 -0.105 105
Bowling Green MAC 2-8 -37.4% 112 113 1 -8.2 111 -0.124 111
Old Dominion Conf USA 4-6 -37.9% 113 117 4 -9.2 116 -0.117 108
New Mexico MWC 3-7 -38.6% 114 105 -9 -5.7 104 -0.190 120
Nevada MWC 2-8 -38.6% 115 119 4 -8.6 114 -0.131 112
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 4-5 -40.4% 116 109 -7 -9.0 115 -0.144 115
Illinois Big Ten 2-8 -40.6% 117 118 1 -8.3 112 -0.157 117
Texas State Sun Belt 2-8 -41.2% 118 116 -2 -8.4 113 -0.163 118
Oregon State Pac-12 1-9 -44.1% 119 115 -4 -12.2 121 -0.149 116
Hawaii MWC 3-7 -46.2% 120 120 0 -10.1 119 -0.212 124
Connecticut American 3-7 -46.2% 121 121 0 -10.8 120 -0.198 123
Kansas Big 12 1-9 -47.7% 122 125 3 -12.8 122 -0.195 122
Charlotte Conf USA 1-9 -48.2% 123 123 0 -13.6 124 -0.193 121
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 0-9 -48.7% 124 122 -2 -18.6 129 -0.173 119
Ball State MAC 2-8 -48.9% 125 124 -1 -13.2 123 -0.213 125
East Carolina American 2-8 -49.6% 126 126 0 -14.0 125 -0.220 126
Kent State MAC 2-8 -50.9% 127 127 0 -16.7 127 -0.225 127
Rice Conf USA 1-9 -51.9% 128 129 1 -15.8 126 -0.269 129
UTEP Conf USA 0-10 -52.1% 129 128 -1 -18.6 130 -0.248 128
San Jose State MWC 1-10 -52.9% 130 130 0 -17.3 128 -0.307 130