Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2016 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 12/3/16

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 13-0 75.9% 1 1 0 31.5 1 0.338 1
Ohio State Big Ten 11-1 66.3% 2 3 1 27.6 3 0.295 2
Michigan Big Ten 10-2 63.8% 3 2 -1 31.3 2 0.257 3
Clemson ACC 12-1 55.5% 4 4 0 22.7 4 0.253 5
Washington Pac-12 12-1 54.2% 5 5 0 21.8 6 0.253 4
LSU SEC 7-4 44.2% 6 6 0 22.0 5 0.172 13
USC Pac-12 9-3 43.4% 7 8 1 20.5 8 0.175 12
Auburn SEC 8-4 42.7% 8 9 1 19.0 11 0.181 8
Penn State Big Ten 11-2 42.1% 9 10 1 17.0 12 0.197 6
Oklahoma Big 12 10-2 41.6% 10 14 4 19.2 10 0.171 14
Louisville ACC 9-3 40.9% 11 11 0 21.7 7 0.151 17
Wisconsin Big Ten 10-3 39.9% 12 7 -5 15.8 16 0.192 7
Florida State ACC 9-3 39.7% 13 13 0 19.5 9 0.154 16
Boise State MWC 10-2 38.8% 14 15 1 16.0 15 0.180 10
Miami-FL ACC 8-4 37.7% 15 16 1 16.1 13 0.168 15
Colorado Pac-12 10-3 34.9% 16 12 -4 13.4 17 0.177 11
Western Kentucky Conf USA 10-3 32.6% 17 17 0 16.0 14 0.127 21
Temple American 10-3 28.0% 18 28 10 12.9 18 0.117 25
Iowa Big Ten 8-4 27.5% 19 21 2 11.9 20 0.124 23
Houston American 9-3 27.3% 20 19 -1 10.1 27 0.144 18
Virginia Tech ACC 9-4 26.9% 21 20 -1 10.8 24 0.131 20
Western Michigan MAC 13-0 26.8% 22 18 -4 7.9 36 0.181 9
Texas A&M SEC 8-4 26.2% 23 25 2 12.3 19 0.108 33
Pittsburgh ACC 8-4 25.9% 24 23 -1 10.5 26 0.125 22
North Carolina ACC 8-4 25.6% 25 26 1 11.1 22 0.115 27
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Stanford Pac-12 9-3 24.3% 26 33 7 11.3 21 0.101 35
Washington State Pac-12 8-4 23.9% 27 36 9 8.3 33 0.136 19
Oklahoma State Big 12 9-3 22.7% 28 22 -6 9.4 29 0.109 31
Colorado State MWC 7-5 22.1% 29 29 0 10.9 23 0.086 38
BYU Ind 8-4 21.7% 30 32 2 8.4 31 0.112 29
Notre Dame Ind 4-8 21.1% 31 34 3 10.5 25 0.082 41
Toledo MAC 9-3 21.0% 32 35 3 8.1 35 0.109 32
South Florida American 10-2 20.8% 33 31 -2 7.5 39 0.114 28
Tennessee SEC 8-4 20.6% 34 30 -4 7.1 43 0.118 24
Memphis American 8-4 20.0% 35 39 4 7.3 41 0.110 30
Utah Pac-12 8-4 18.6% 36 37 1 7.3 40 0.095 36
NC State ACC 6-6 18.4% 37 42 5 9.7 28 0.067 48
Florida SEC 8-4 18.4% 38 24 -14 7.2 42 0.094 37
Ole Miss SEC 5-7 18.1% 39 41 2 8.8 30 0.075 45
West Virginia Big 12 10-2 17.5% 40 27 -13 5.1 52 0.115 26
Kansas State Big 12 8-4 17.2% 41 53 12 7.7 38 0.078 43
Appalachian State Sun Belt 9-3 17.0% 42 40 -2 8.4 32 0.069 46
Minnesota Big Ten 8-4 15.6% 43 48 5 7.8 37 0.063 49
Tulsa American 9-3 15.4% 44 46 2 5.8 47 0.084 40
Northwestern Big Ten 6-6 14.3% 45 45 0 5.4 49 0.079 42
Georgia Tech ACC 8-4 13.1% 46 47 1 5.3 50 0.068 47
Nebraska Big Ten 9-3 12.2% 47 49 2 8.2 34 0.030 56
TCU Big 12 6-6 11.7% 48 38 -10 7.1 44 0.037 54
Air Force MWC 9-3 11.5% 49 50 1 1.6 58 0.102 34
San Diego State MWC 10-3 11.0% 50 52 2 6.5 46 0.036 55
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Louisiana Tech Conf USA 8-5 10.5% 51 51 0 5.3 51 0.045 52
Texas Big 12 5-7 9.1% 52 54 2 6.6 45 0.019 59
Navy American 9-3 7.9% 53 44 -9 0.0 60 0.085 39
Troy Sun Belt 9-3 6.2% 54 43 -11 -0.5 65 0.075 44
Arkansas SEC 7-5 6.0% 55 55 0 3.6 53 0.023 57
UCLA Pac-12 4-8 3.9% 56 57 1 2.2 57 0.020 58
Wyoming MWC 8-5 3.8% 57 56 -1 -0.8 68 0.053 51
Indiana Big Ten 6-6 3.7% 58 61 3 5.4 48 -0.017 64
Georgia SEC 7-5 2.5% 59 59 0 -0.6 66 0.039 53
Vanderbilt SEC 6-6 2.4% 60 58 -2 -1.9 75 0.054 50
Michigan State Big Ten 3-9 1.1% 61 65 4 3.1 54 -0.014 63
Mississippi State SEC 5-7 0.6% 62 64 2 3.0 55 -0.018 65
Central Florida American 6-6 -0.3% 63 60 -3 -0.8 70 0.017 60
California Pac-12 5-7 -2.0% 64 63 -1 2.3 56 -0.034 73
Texas Tech Big 12 5-7 -3.2% 65 68 3 0.0 61 -0.019 66
Baylor Big 12 6-6 -3.9% 66 62 -4 -1.4 73 -0.009 62
Oregon State Pac-12 4-8 -4.5% 67 73 6 -0.1 62 -0.029 69
Kentucky SEC 7-5 -4.8% 68 67 -1 0.2 59 -0.036 74
Old Dominion Conf USA 9-3 -4.9% 69 66 -3 -0.3 63 -0.030 70
Ohio MAC 8-5 -6.1% 70 79 9 -4.5 83 0.004 61
Duke ACC 4-8 -7.3% 71 70 -1 -3.2 79 -0.020 67
Wake Forest ACC 6-6 -7.4% 72 75 3 -1.2 72 -0.043 78
Iowa State Big 12 3-9 -7.4% 73 74 1 -0.7 67 -0.049 79
Northern Illinois MAC 5-7 -7.7% 74 69 -5 -2.3 76 -0.033 72
Missouri SEC 4-8 -7.9% 75 71 -4 -0.5 64 -0.056 82
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Oregon Pac-12 4-8 -8.3% 76 77 1 -0.8 69 -0.056 81
Miami-OH MAC 6-6 -9.0% 77 82 5 -2.8 78 -0.039 76
Utah State MWC 3-9 -9.5% 78 78 0 -0.9 71 -0.066 84
Southern Miss Conf USA 6-6 -9.7% 79 76 -3 -3.3 80 -0.041 77
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 5-7 -11.6% 80 96 16 -5.1 86 -0.037 75
New Mexico MWC 8-4 -11.7% 81 84 3 -1.9 74 -0.074 90
Arkansas State Sun Belt 7-5 -11.8% 82 72 -10 -5.9 92 -0.032 71
Middle Tennessee Conf USA 8-4 -12.2% 83 80 -3 -2.5 77 -0.072 89
Eastern Michigan MAC 7-5 -13.8% 84 81 -3 -4.9 84 -0.059 83
Army Ind 6-5 -13.8% 85 90 5 -4.2 82 -0.067 86
UTSA Conf USA 6-6 -14.3% 86 85 -1 -9.2 104 -0.023 68
South Alabama Sun Belt 6-6 -15.7% 87 83 -4 -7.1 95 -0.053 80
Arizona State Pac-12 5-7 -16.0% 88 88 0 -5.5 89 -0.071 88
Central Michigan MAC 6-6 -16.1% 89 92 3 -3.9 81 -0.092 95
Ball State MAC 4-8 -16.4% 90 86 -4 -5.1 85 -0.080 91
SMU American 5-7 -17.8% 91 87 -4 -7.4 97 -0.068 87
Syracuse ACC 4-8 -18.2% 92 89 -3 -5.7 90 -0.090 94
Boston College ACC 6-6 -18.4% 93 93 0 -5.3 88 -0.095 96
South Carolina SEC 6-6 -18.9% 94 91 -3 -6.9 93 -0.083 92
Tulane American 4-8 -19.3% 95 94 -1 -8.8 102 -0.066 85
Virginia ACC 2-10 -19.3% 96 95 -1 -7.0 94 -0.084 93
Maryland Big Ten 6-6 -19.6% 97 99 2 -5.3 87 -0.109 100
Cincinnati American 4-8 -21.4% 98 97 -1 -5.8 91 -0.119 101
Akron MAC 5-7 -22.9% 99 102 3 -8.9 103 -0.096 97
Idaho Sun Belt 8-4 -24.8% 100 100 0 -7.2 96 -0.135 104
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 6-6 -25.7% 101 98 -3 -10.9 107 -0.100 99
East Carolina American 3-9 -25.8% 102 101 -1 -8.8 101 -0.124 103
Illinois Big Ten 3-9 -26.0% 103 106 3 -7.6 98 -0.142 108
Arizona Pac-12 3-9 -26.5% 104 104 0 -8.4 100 -0.136 105
Kent State MAC 3-9 -26.8% 105 103 -2 -12.2 113 -0.098 98
Georgia State Sun Belt 3-9 -28.1% 106 105 -1 -10.6 106 -0.123 102
Hawaii MWC 6-7 -29.4% 107 107 0 -7.9 99 -0.177 116
Massachusetts MAC 2-10 -31.1% 108 111 3 -11.4 110 -0.141 107
Purdue Big Ten 3-9 -32.2% 109 112 3 -11.1 108 -0.156 109
Bowling Green MAC 4-8 -32.4% 110 109 -1 -12.9 116 -0.136 106
North Texas Conf USA 5-7 -33.5% 111 108 -3 -11.7 111 -0.160 111
UNLV MWC 4-8 -33.9% 112 110 -2 -11.2 109 -0.170 113
Fresno State MWC 1-11 -34.1% 113 115 2 -12.0 112 -0.162 112
Kansas Big 12 2-10 -34.6% 114 113 -1 -12.8 115 -0.157 110
San Jose State MWC 4-8 -35.2% 115 116 1 -10.3 105 -0.204 123
Florida Atlantic Conf USA 3-9 -37.5% 116 114 -2 -13.5 118 -0.175 114
Connecticut American 3-9 -38.3% 117 122 5 -13.1 117 -0.189 118
Florida International Conf USA 4-8 -40.2% 118 121 3 -12.5 114 -0.224 125
Marshall Conf USA 3-9 -41.1% 119 118 -1 -14.6 119 -0.196 121
Charlotte Conf USA 4-8 -43.0% 120 119 -1 -18.2 124 -0.175 115
Nevada MWC 5-7 -43.0% 121 120 -1 -16.6 121 -0.190 119
Rice Conf USA 3-9 -43.3% 122 117 -5 -17.5 123 -0.184 117
Rutgers Big Ten 2-10 -43.8% 123 124 1 -16.5 120 -0.199 122
New Mexico State Sun Belt 3-9 -47.1% 124 123 -1 -19.8 125 -0.194 120
UTEP Conf USA 4-8 -47.5% 125 125 0 -17.2 122 -0.225 126
Buffalo MAC 2-10 -53.2% 126 127 1 -23.0 127 -0.218 124
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 4-8 -53.8% 127 126 -1 -20.0 126 -0.249 127
Texas State Sun Belt 2-10 -67.6% 128 128 0 -34.1 128 -0.270 128