Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2016 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 9/17/16

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 3-0 62.8% 1 1 0 23.6 2 0.329 1
Clemson ACC 3-0 54.8% 2 2 0 21.7 6 0.259 3
Ohio State Big Ten 3-0 52.9% 3 8 5 22.2 5 0.233 5
LSU SEC 2-1 52.7% 4 3 -1 22.7 3 0.226 6
Stanford Pac-12 2-0 47.1% 5 6 1 16.7 12 0.275 2
Louisville ACC 3-0 46.5% 6 13 7 20.7 8 0.195 9
Michigan Big Ten 3-0 44.6% 7 10 3 24.6 1 0.161 15
Ole Miss SEC 1-2 43.1% 8 7 -1 18.9 11 0.184 10
Florida State ACC 2-1 42.4% 9 5 -4 20.2 10 0.168 13
Oklahoma Big 12 1-2 41.5% 10 4 -6 21.3 7 0.155 19
Oregon Pac-12 2-1 39.8% 11 9 -2 15.2 17 0.201 8
Tennessee SEC 3-0 37.3% 12 11 -1 16.6 13 0.159 16
Michigan State Big Ten 2-0 36.7% 13 21 8 11.9 30 0.243 4
Washington Pac-12 3-0 36.4% 14 12 -2 22.2 4 0.119 25
Texas A&M SEC 3-0 34.6% 15 20 5 14.7 19 0.156 17
UCLA Pac-12 2-1 34.1% 16 19 3 15.1 18 0.147 20
Nebraska Big Ten 3-0 32.6% 17 22 5 12.2 29 0.173 11
Georgia SEC 3-0 32.3% 18 14 -4 12.2 27 0.167 14
Notre Dame Ind 1-2 31.9% 19 15 -4 13.8 21 0.141 21
Houston American 3-0 31.4% 20 27 7 9.5 37 0.222 7
Arkansas SEC 3-0 31.2% 21 16 -5 11.3 31 0.170 12
Baylor Big 12 3-0 30.9% 22 18 -4 16.1 14 0.113 27
Wisconsin Big Ten 3-0 29.1% 23 26 3 14.0 20 0.116 26
BYU Ind 1-2 27.3% 24 23 -1 9.7 36 0.156 18
USC Pac-12 1-2 25.9% 25 17 -8 15.2 16 0.082 34
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Iowa Big Ten 2-1 25.2% 26 29 3 10.5 33 0.121 24
Miami-FL ACC 3-0 23.8% 27 44 17 15.3 15 0.066 45
Boise State MWC 2-0 23.7% 28 32 4 10.3 34 0.110 29
Mississippi State SEC 1-2 23.2% 29 24 -5 11.3 32 0.094 31
West Virginia Big 12 2-0 23.1% 30 41 11 8.9 40 0.122 23
TCU Big 12 2-1 23.0% 31 28 -3 13.0 23 0.077 36
Auburn SEC 1-2 22.8% 32 25 -7 13.2 22 0.073 38
Utah Pac-12 3-0 22.1% 33 30 -3 7.3 43 0.136 22
Virginia Tech ACC 2-1 22.0% 34 39 5 12.9 24 0.070 41
Penn State Big Ten 2-1 21.6% 35 37 2 12.2 28 0.072 39
Florida SEC 3-0 20.7% 36 34 -2 20.3 9 0.022 60
Oklahoma State Big 12 2-1 20.6% 37 31 -6 12.8 25 0.060 46
Pittsburgh ACC 2-1 20.5% 38 33 -5 8.9 41 0.098 30
South Florida American 3-0 20.3% 39 40 1 9.3 38 0.091 33
North Carolina ACC 2-1 20.0% 40 36 -4 12.7 26 0.056 49
Minnesota Big Ten 2-0 16.7% 41 42 1 10.2 35 0.051 52
Texas Big 12 2-1 15.5% 42 35 -7 9.3 39 0.050 53
Georgia Tech ACC 3-0 15.1% 43 43 0 4.1 52 0.110 28
Western Kentucky Conf USA 2-1 14.3% 44 38 -6 7.7 42 0.055 50
San Diego State MWC 3-0 13.4% 45 47 2 5.5 47 0.072 40
Toledo MAC 3-0 12.3% 46 45 -1 5.8 46 0.060 47
Western Michigan MAC 3-0 11.4% 47 48 1 2.5 60 0.093 32
Maryland Big Ten 3-0 11.0% 48 54 6 4.1 51 0.068 42
Arizona State Pac-12 3-0 10.1% 49 49 0 4.5 49 0.054 51
Texas Tech Big 12 2-1 10.1% 50 46 -4 3.5 54 0.067 44
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Kansas State Big 12 1-1 9.1% 51 64 13 2.7 58 0.068 43
Cincinnati American 2-1 7.4% 52 55 3 0.3 72 0.081 35
Missouri SEC 1-2 7.3% 53 58 5 4.2 50 0.034 55
Navy American 3-0 6.4% 54 52 -2 0.1 74 0.074 37
Indiana Big Ten 2-0 4.9% 55 65 10 6.8 44 -0.016 69
California Pac-12 2-1 4.1% 56 68 12 4.0 53 0.008 63
Washington State Pac-12 1-2 3.8% 57 56 -1 1.9 62 0.029 56
Memphis American 2-0 3.8% 58 63 5 2.6 59 0.019 61
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 3-0 3.8% 59 50 -9 3.2 55 0.013 62
NC State ACC 2-1 3.5% 60 60 0 6.6 45 -0.026 72
Northwestern Big Ten 1-2 3.2% 61 62 1 1.6 65 0.027 58
Temple American 1-2 2.3% 62 59 -3 3.0 56 0.003 65
Air Force MWC 2-0 1.5% 63 74 11 0.5 71 0.023 59
Central Michigan MAC 3-0 0.3% 64 70 6 -1.6 78 0.036 54
Syracuse ACC 1-2 -0.3% 65 61 -4 4.8 48 -0.041 78
Appalachian State Sun Belt 1-2 -0.5% 66 53 -13 0.3 73 0.007 64
Arizona Pac-12 2-1 -0.6% 67 67 0 2.7 57 -0.019 71
Duke ACC 1-2 -0.8% 68 66 -2 1.7 63 -0.011 68
Virginia ACC 0-3 -2.3% 69 69 0 -0.5 75 0.002 66
Marshall Conf USA 1-1 -2.8% 70 51 -19 1.6 64 -0.027 73
East Carolina American 2-1 -4.8% 71 71 0 -5.1 87 0.027 57
Wake Forest ACC 3-0 -4.8% 72 76 4 0.8 68 -0.036 77
Louisiana Tech Conf USA 1-2 -5.2% 73 72 -1 -2.8 80 0.001 67
South Carolina SEC 2-1 -6.0% 74 78 4 0.7 69 -0.045 79
Southern Miss Conf USA 2-1 -6.0% 75 73 -2 1.5 66 -0.055 82
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Colorado Pac-12 2-1 -6.6% 76 81 5 1.0 67 -0.055 83
Boston College ACC 1-2 -6.8% 77 57 -20 0.6 70 -0.051 80
Connecticut American 2-1 -6.9% 78 77 -1 -2.4 79 -0.018 70
Oregon State Pac-12 1-1 -9.2% 79 85 6 -2.9 82 -0.032 75
Army Ind 3-0 -10.5% 80 87 7 -17.2 122 0.057 48
Illinois Big Ten 1-2 -11.1% 81 80 -1 2.1 61 -0.117 99
Middle Tennessee Conf USA 2-1 -12.6% 82 84 2 -2.9 81 -0.063 84
Northern Illinois MAC 0-3 -12.6% 83 75 -8 -5.7 90 -0.033 76
Vanderbilt SEC 1-2 -12.9% 84 79 -5 -0.7 76 -0.094 95
Troy Sun Belt 2-1 -13.0% 85 95 10 -6.6 94 -0.028 74
Utah State MWC 2-1 -14.2% 86 82 -4 -0.8 77 -0.107 97
Tulsa American 2-1 -15.8% 87 86 -1 -3.5 83 -0.086 92
Ball State MAC 2-1 -17.4% 88 92 4 -6.1 93 -0.069 85
Ohio MAC 1-2 -17.7% 89 96 7 -5.1 88 -0.083 90
Central Florida American 1-2 -17.8% 90 88 -2 -8.1 98 -0.053 81
Purdue Big Ten 1-1 -18.4% 91 90 -1 -5.9 91 -0.080 89
Nevada MWC 2-1 -20.0% 92 91 -1 -7.9 96 -0.073 86
Bowling Green MAC 1-2 -21.4% 93 83 -10 -4.6 85 -0.126 103
Akron MAC 2-1 -22.1% 94 97 3 -8.4 99 -0.085 91
New Mexico MWC 1-2 -23.1% 95 94 -1 -10.3 101 -0.077 87
San Jose State MWC 1-2 -24.7% 96 99 3 -4.1 84 -0.179 117
Rutgers Big Ten 2-1 -25.7% 97 93 -4 -5.9 92 -0.153 105
Iowa State Big 12 0-3 -26.1% 98 89 -9 -4.7 86 -0.185 119
Colorado State MWC 2-1 -26.3% 99 102 3 -5.4 89 -0.170 110
SMU American 2-1 -26.7% 100 104 4 -8.7 100 -0.122 101
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
South Alabama Sun Belt 1-2 -26.7% 101 105 4 -14.1 112 -0.077 88
Wyoming MWC 2-1 -27.6% 102 108 6 -10.9 103 -0.107 98
UTSA Conf USA 1-2 -28.2% 103 107 4 -12.6 109 -0.098 96
Fresno State MWC 1-2 -28.4% 104 100 -4 -10.4 102 -0.118 100
Kentucky SEC 1-2 -29.0% 105 98 -7 -6.8 95 -0.176 116
Miami-OH MAC 0-3 -29.2% 106 106 0 -15.3 115 -0.089 93
Arkansas State Sun Belt 0-3 -30.0% 107 101 -6 -8.0 97 -0.165 109
Tulane American 1-2 -30.5% 108 110 2 -16.4 121 -0.092 94
Kent State MAC 1-2 -31.7% 109 113 4 -12.8 110 -0.123 102
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 2-1 -34.6% 110 114 4 -12.3 107 -0.151 104
Florida Atlantic Conf USA 1-2 -35.3% 111 103 -8 -11.1 104 -0.173 112
UNLV MWC 1-2 -36.1% 112 115 3 -12.5 108 -0.162 107
Georgia State Sun Belt 0-3 -36.6% 113 117 4 -13.6 111 -0.155 106
Old Dominion Conf USA 1-2 -37.5% 114 112 -2 -11.5 105 -0.190 122
Texas State Sun Belt 1-1 -37.5% 115 120 5 -11.6 106 -0.189 121
Eastern Michigan MAC 2-1 -39.6% 116 123 7 -14.4 114 -0.171 111
New Mexico State Sun Belt 1-2 -40.4% 117 111 -6 -16.1 120 -0.163 108
Florida International Conf USA 0-3 -41.2% 118 116 -2 -15.5 117 -0.173 113
Idaho Sun Belt 1-2 -42.8% 119 118 -1 -15.4 116 -0.188 120
Massachusetts MAC 1-2 -44.1% 120 125 5 -17.5 125 -0.179 118
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 1-2 -44.1% 121 126 5 -18.0 126 -0.176 115
Rice Conf USA 0-3 -44.1% 122 122 0 -18.3 127 -0.174 114
Kansas Big 12 1-2 -44.1% 123 121 -2 -14.2 113 -0.219 126
North Texas Conf USA 1-2 -45.5% 124 127 3 -17.5 124 -0.190 123
UTEP Conf USA 1-2 -45.5% 125 119 -6 -15.5 118 -0.212 125
Buffalo MAC 0-2 -46.6% 126 109 -17 -17.4 123 -0.199 124
Hawaii MWC 1-3 -48.2% 127 124 -3 -15.8 119 -0.237 127
Charlotte Conf USA 1-2 -53.9% 128 128 0 -19.4 128 -0.242 128