Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2016 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/9/17

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 14-1 81.0% 1 34.0 1 0.350 1
Clemson ACC 14-1 68.9% 2 26.9 2 0.320 2
Ohio State Big Ten 11-2 61.3% 3 24.6 5 0.277 3
Michigan Big Ten 10-3 58.9% 4 26.8 3 0.242 4
Washington Pac-12 12-2 50.8% 5 20.6 7 0.229 5
LSU SEC 8-4 50.4% 6 24.6 4 0.198 8
Florida State ACC 10-3 47.0% 7 21.7 6 0.190 9
Oklahoma Big 12 11-2 46.4% 8 19.1 10 0.206 7
Wisconsin Big Ten 11-3 45.5% 9 18.2 11 0.210 6
Penn State Big Ten 11-3 43.5% 10 19.4 8 0.180 11
USC Pac-12 10-3 43.1% 11 19.3 9 0.178 12
Miami-FL ACC 9-4 40.6% 12 16.3 14 0.188 10
Auburn SEC 8-5 37.9% 13 17.6 13 0.152 14
Louisville ACC 9-4 36.7% 14 18.1 12 0.140 17
Western Kentucky Conf USA 11-3 31.1% 15 12.8 16 0.143 16
Florida SEC 9-4 30.8% 16 14.1 15 0.126 21
Oklahoma State Big 12 10-3 29.2% 17 11.1 22 0.147 15
Virginia Tech ACC 10-4 29.2% 18 12.0 17 0.135 18
Boise State MWC 10-3 28.3% 19 11.6 19 0.132 19
Colorado Pac-12 10-4 26.9% 20 11.7 18 0.118 25
Pittsburgh ACC 8-5 26.4% 21 11.2 20 0.120 23
North Carolina ACC 8-5 26.3% 22 11.1 21 0.119 24
Tennessee SEC 9-4 25.4% 23 9.6 28 0.130 20
Western Michigan MAC 13-1 24.7% 24 7.3 35 0.162 13
Stanford Pac-12 10-3 24.3% 25 11.1 23 0.102 30
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Texas A&M SEC 8-5 23.7% 26 10.8 24 0.100 31
West Virginia Big 12 10-3 22.6% 27 9.1 29 0.109 27
NC State ACC 7-6 21.7% 28 10.6 25 0.085 43
Notre Dame Ind 4-8 21.6% 29 10.5 26 0.085 42
Houston American 9-4 20.4% 30 7.0 39 0.118 26
BYU Ind 9-4 19.8% 31 7.2 37 0.109 28
Washington State Pac-12 8-5 19.8% 32 6.2 41 0.123 22
Toledo MAC 9-4 19.7% 33 7.3 34 0.105 29
Kansas State Big 12 9-4 19.4% 34 7.7 31 0.098 33
Ole Miss SEC 5-7 18.8% 35 9.7 27 0.069 47
Temple American 10-4 18.7% 36 7.5 32 0.095 35
Iowa Big Ten 8-5 18.5% 37 8.0 30 0.086 38
Appalachian State Sun Belt 10-3 17.7% 38 6.8 40 0.094 36
Utah Pac-12 9-4 15.8% 39 6.0 43 0.085 41
Memphis American 8-5 15.7% 40 5.9 44 0.085 39
San Diego State MWC 11-3 15.3% 41 7.5 33 0.063 49
Minnesota Big Ten 9-4 15.1% 42 6.2 42 0.076 45
Georgia Tech ACC 9-4 14.3% 43 5.8 45 0.074 46
Tulsa American 10-3 14.2% 44 4.3 54 0.093 37
Northwestern Big Ten 7-6 13.8% 45 4.6 49 0.085 40
Colorado State MWC 7-6 13.8% 46 7.1 38 0.054 51
South Florida American 11-2 13.6% 47 3.6 55 0.096 34
Navy American 9-5 11.5% 48 4.4 52 0.066 48
Texas Big 12 5-7 10.7% 49 7.3 36 0.025 57
Air Force MWC 10-3 10.5% 50 1.2 62 0.100 32
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
TCU Big 12 6-7 9.8% 51 5.2 47 0.040 56
Baylor Big 12 7-6 9.7% 52 4.6 50 0.046 53
Troy Sun Belt 10-3 8.6% 53 0.9 63 0.083 44
Louisiana Tech Conf USA 9-5 8.3% 54 2.8 59 0.055 50
Nebraska Big Ten 9-4 8.1% 55 5.5 46 0.021 59
Arkansas SEC 7-6 7.9% 56 5.2 48 0.023 58
Wyoming MWC 8-6 5.9% 57 1.4 61 0.050 52
UCLA Pac-12 4-8 3.6% 58 2.8 58 0.012 60
Georgia SEC 8-5 3.4% 59 -0.2 68 0.046 54
Indiana Big Ten 6-7 3.1% 60 4.3 53 -0.010 64
Vanderbilt SEC 6-7 2.3% 61 -0.5 71 0.040 55
Michigan State Big Ten 3-9 1.0% 62 3.4 57 -0.018 67
Mississippi State SEC 6-7 0.9% 63 3.5 56 -0.019 69
California Pac-12 5-7 0.4% 64 4.4 51 -0.035 72
Wake Forest ACC 7-6 -0.1% 65 1.7 60 -0.008 63
Texas Tech Big 12 5-7 -2.5% 66 0.3 66 -0.013 65
Central Florida American 6-7 -3.6% 67 -1.7 75 0.000 62
Duke ACC 4-8 -4.7% 68 -1.1 72 -0.017 66
Oregon State Pac-12 4-8 -5.2% 69 0.4 65 -0.039 74
Iowa State Big 12 3-9 -5.6% 70 0.8 64 -0.048 80
Old Dominion Conf USA 10-3 -5.7% 71 -1.2 73 -0.025 70
Kentucky SEC 7-6 -6.3% 72 0.1 67 -0.045 78
Missouri SEC 4-8 -8.0% 73 -0.2 69 -0.058 81
Ohio MAC 8-6 -8.1% 74 -5.9 92 0.005 61
Arkansas State Sun Belt 8-5 -8.2% 75 -3.7 80 -0.019 68
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Northern Illinois MAC 5-7 -8.8% 76 -2.3 77 -0.039 75
Utah State MWC 3-9 -9.3% 77 -0.4 70 -0.068 86
Oregon Pac-12 4-8 -10.0% 78 -1.2 74 -0.064 83
Southern Miss Conf USA 7-6 -10.2% 79 -3.5 78 -0.038 73
Syracuse ACC 4-8 -13.1% 80 -1.8 76 -0.087 92
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 5-7 -13.1% 81 -5.7 91 -0.040 76
Eastern Michigan MAC 7-6 -13.6% 82 -4.3 82 -0.059 82
New Mexico MWC 9-4 -13.9% 83 -4.1 81 -0.065 85
South Carolina SEC 6-7 -14.0% 84 -3.6 79 -0.071 88
UTSA Conf USA 6-7 -14.9% 85 -8.5 103 -0.029 71
Miami-OH MAC 6-7 -15.1% 86 -7.1 98 -0.043 77
Arizona State Pac-12 5-7 -15.9% 87 -4.5 83 -0.078 90
Army Ind 8-5 -16.4% 88 -8.0 101 -0.046 79
South Alabama Sun Belt 6-7 -16.4% 89 -6.0 93 -0.065 84
SMU American 5-7 -16.9% 90 -5.7 90 -0.072 89
Ball State MAC 4-8 -17.7% 91 -5.2 84 -0.086 91
Boston College ACC 7-6 -18.0% 92 -5.3 86 -0.087 93
Virginia ACC 2-10 -18.3% 93 -5.5 88 -0.089 94
Idaho Sun Belt 9-4 -19.3% 94 -5.5 89 -0.098 97
Middle Tennessee Conf USA 8-5 -19.7% 95 -6.2 94 -0.093 95
Maryland Big Ten 6-7 -20.6% 96 -5.4 87 -0.111 100
Tulane American 4-8 -21.0% 97 -9.4 106 -0.070 87
Cincinnati American 4-8 -21.9% 98 -5.2 85 -0.127 103
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 6-7 -22.9% 99 -8.4 102 -0.095 96
Central Michigan MAC 6-7 -24.9% 100 -7.3 99 -0.128 104
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Arizona Pac-12 3-9 -25.0% 101 -6.6 96 -0.140 106
East Carolina American 3-9 -25.3% 102 -7.6 100 -0.127 102
Illinois Big Ten 3-9 -25.3% 103 -6.3 95 -0.147 108
Akron MAC 5-7 -26.7% 104 -11.3 109 -0.099 98
Hawaii MWC 7-7 -26.8% 105 -6.6 97 -0.160 111
Georgia State Sun Belt 3-9 -27.9% 106 -9.9 108 -0.123 101
Kent State MAC 3-9 -28.5% 107 -12.1 113 -0.107 99
Kansas Big 12 2-10 -30.3% 108 -9.3 104 -0.153 110
North Texas Conf USA 5-8 -30.4% 109 -9.6 107 -0.149 109
Purdue Big Ten 3-9 -31.1% 110 -9.4 105 -0.161 112
Bowling Green MAC 4-8 -32.3% 111 -11.5 111 -0.143 107
Massachusetts Ind 2-10 -34.1% 112 -13.4 117 -0.139 105
UNLV MWC 4-8 -35.3% 113 -11.5 110 -0.172 114
Fresno State MWC 1-11 -36.7% 114 -13.2 116 -0.164 113
Florida Atlantic Conf USA 3-9 -38.0% 115 -13.0 115 -0.178 115
San Jose State MWC 4-8 -38.1% 116 -11.6 112 -0.202 122
Rutgers Big Ten 2-10 -40.2% 117 -12.8 114 -0.203 123
New Mexico State Sun Belt 3-9 -40.9% 118 -14.0 119 -0.193 119
Rice Conf USA 3-9 -41.0% 119 -15.1 121 -0.180 116
Marshall Conf USA 3-9 -41.1% 120 -13.6 118 -0.201 121
Charlotte Conf USA 4-8 -43.5% 121 -17.3 125 -0.180 117
Nevada MWC 5-7 -44.3% 122 -17.2 124 -0.187 118
Florida International Conf USA 4-8 -44.6% 123 -14.3 120 -0.228 126
Connecticut American 3-9 -44.7% 124 -16.8 123 -0.194 120
UTEP Conf USA 4-8 -47.8% 125 -16.6 122 -0.224 125
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 4-8 -52.0% 126 -17.9 126 -0.249 127
Buffalo MAC 2-10 -52.9% 127 -21.5 127 -0.219 124
Texas State Sun Belt 2-10 -65.5% 128 -27.8 128 -0.270 128