Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2005 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/4/06

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 Texas 13-0 73.5% 29.3 2 0.332 1
2 USC 12-1 71.2% 29.7 1 0.313 2
3 Ohio State 10-2 63.2% 25.4 3 0.284 3
4 Penn State 11-1 54.7% 20.1 4 0.270 4
5 Virginia Tech 11-2 50.8% 19.8 5 0.236 5
6 Michigan 7-5 46.7% 17.8 6 0.223 6
7 Georgia 10-3 45.3% 17.4 7 0.215 8
8 Notre Dame 9-3 43.8% 16.6 8 0.211 9
9 LSU 11-2 41.7% 14.8 9 0.218 7
10 Auburn 9-3 39.6% 14.6 10 0.198 10
11 West Virginia 11-1 38.1% 14.2 12 0.189 11
12 Alabama 10-2 37.2% 14.0 15 0.184 12
13 Miami 9-3 35.2% 14.2 13 0.161 16
14 Boston College 9-3 33.2% 14.3 11 0.142 19
15 Florida 9-3 31.4% 11.4 18 0.163 15
16 Oregon 10-2 31.1% 11.0 19 0.166 14
17 Minnesota 7-5 29.4% 13.7 16 0.117 24
18 Oklahoma 8-4 28.6% 14.1 14 0.107 27
19 Iowa 7-5 27.9% 8.9 23 0.168 13
20 Louisville 9-3 27.1% 12.7 17 0.108 26
21 TCU 11-1 26.9% 8.8 24 0.159 17
22 Fresno State 8-5 26.3% 10.3 20 0.127 20
23 Texas Tech 9-3 22.9% 8.0 29 0.126 21
24 Wisconsin 10-3 22.9% 6.5 37 0.155 18
25 Florida State 8-5 22.4% 8.2 28 0.118 23
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 Clemson 8-4 22.3% 7.8 30 0.123 22
27 Tennessee 5-6 20.4% 9.9 22 0.079 32
28 Tulsa 9-4 19.8% 7.3 34 0.106 28
29 N.C. State 7-5 19.8% 8.6 25 0.088 30
30 Iowa State 7-5 18.3% 5.5 42 0.117 25
31 Nebraska 8-4 17.9% 6.3 39 0.100 29
32 Georgia Tech 7-5 17.3% 8.5 26 0.067 36
33 Northwestern 7-5 17.0% 7.7 31 0.073 34
34 Arizona State 7-5 16.5% 6.8 35 0.081 31
35 South Florida 6-6 16.5% 8.5 27 0.060 38
36 Southern Miss 7-5 14.5% 5.9 40 0.073 33
37 Colorado 7-6 12.2% 10.0 21 0.008 56
38 Maryland 5-6 12.0% 6.7 36 0.040 43
39 Purdue 5-6 11.4% 7.6 32 0.025 47
40 UCLA 10-2 9.7% 4.9 44 0.040 42
41 Northern Illinois 7-5 9.6% 2.5 50 0.071 35
42 Michigan State 5-6 9.6% 5.8 41 0.029 45
43 South Carolina 7-5 8.6% 6.4 38 0.013 54
44 Arkansas 4-7 8.5% 7.5 33 0.000 61
45 BYU 6-6 8.2% 5.2 43 0.023 48
46 California 8-4 8.2% 1.9 55 0.065 37
47 Washington State 4-7 7.7% 4.3 46 0.029 46
48 Kansas 7-5 7.2% 4.9 45 0.018 51
49 Utah 7-5 6.9% 2.4 51 0.046 40
50 Boise State 9-4 6.8% 2.1 54 0.049 39
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 Toledo 9-3 5.3% 1.4 60 0.045 41
52 Missouri 7-5 4.1% 3.6 48 0.005 57
53 Memphis 7-5 4.1% 2.2 53 0.021 50
54 Central Michigan 6-5 3.3% 1.6 59 0.022 49
55 Arizona 3-8 2.9% 2.4 52 0.009 55
56 UAB 5-6 2.1% -0.6 68 0.039 44
57 Pittsburgh 5-6 1.2% 2.8 49 -0.013 64
58 Virginia 7-5 1.0% 0.6 63 0.013 53
59 Texas A&M 5-6 0.9% 4.1 47 -0.032 74
60 Stanford 5-6 0.4% 1.8 57 -0.007 62
61 New Mexico 6-5 -1.7% -1.5 72 0.014 52
62 Wake Forest 4-7 -2.2% 0.0 65 -0.008 63
63 North Carolina 5-6 -2.4% 1.7 58 -0.032 75
64 Baylor 5-6 -2.5% 0.9 61 -0.023 70
65 Rutgers 7-5 -2.7% 0.5 64 -0.020 68
66 Colorado State 6-6 -5.3% 0.8 62 -0.049 81
67 UTEP 8-4 -5.4% -3.2 78 0.000 60
68 Oregon State 5-6 -5.5% -0.2 66 -0.037 78
69 San Diego State 5-7 -5.6% -0.5 67 -0.034 77
70 Houston 6-6 -5.8% -2.3 74 -0.014 65
71 Akron 7-6 -6.2% -2.3 76 -0.017 66
72 Kansas State 5-6 -6.3% -2.3 75 -0.018 67
73 Vanderbilt 5-6 -6.6% -4.4 83 0.004 58
74 Wyoming 4-7 -6.8% -0.9 69 -0.040 80
75 Air Force 4-7 -7.3% -2.0 73 -0.030 73
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 Washington 2-9 -7.3% 1.8 56 -0.084 88
77 Navy 8-4 -8.4% -5.8 90 0.002 59
78 Louisiana Tech 7-4 -8.7% -3.8 82 -0.022 69
79 Central Florida 8-5 -8.8% -2.9 77 -0.033 76
80 Miami (Ohio) 7-4 -9.2% -3.5 80 -0.030 72
81 Connecticut 5-6 -10.3% -4.6 86 -0.027 71
82 Army 4-7 -11.1% -1.0 70 -0.082 87
83 SMU 5-6 -11.9% -4.9 87 -0.038 79
84 Bowling Green 6-5 -13.5% -4.6 84 -0.056 82
85 East Carolina 5-6 -13.7% -3.5 79 -0.072 86
86 Oklahoma State 4-7 -13.9% -3.7 81 -0.071 85
87 Nevada 9-3 -17.3% -4.6 85 -0.092 90
88 Middle Tennessee 4-7 -17.6% -7.2 93 -0.063 83
89 Hawaii 5-7 -19.2% -1.3 71 -0.182 107
90 Marshall 4-7 -20.2% -6.0 92 -0.101 92
91 Indiana 4-7 -20.3% -5.3 89 -0.113 94
92 Syracuse 1-10 -22.7% -8.0 96 -0.099 91
93 Ball State 4-7 -23.2% -5.0 88 -0.150 99
94 Ole Miss 3-8 -23.2% -7.4 94 -0.112 93
95 Eastern Michigan 4-7 -23.8% -10.0 101 -0.088 89
96 Western Michigan 7-4 -24.4% -13.0 105 -0.070 84
97 Cincinnati 4-7 -26.2% -5.8 91 -0.173 104
98 Mississippi State 3-8 -27.8% -8.1 97 -0.148 98
99 UL-Lafayette 6-5 -29.7% -9.9 100 -0.141 96
100 Rice 1-10 -30.6% -9.0 98 -0.163 101
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 Ohio 4-7 -30.8% -10.3 102 -0.146 97
102 Illinois 2-9 -31.6% -7.5 95 -0.213 115
103 Kentucky 3-8 -31.7% -9.4 99 -0.168 103
104 Arkansas State 6-6 -37.2% -12.4 104 -0.180 106
105 Tulane 2-9 -37.2% -14.9 108 -0.153 100
106 UL-Monroe 5-6 -37.6% -11.2 103 -0.204 114
107 Kent State 1-10 -38.6% -19.4 117 -0.138 95
108 UNLV 2-9 -39.3% -13.3 106 -0.186 110
109 Florida International 5-6 -41.0% -15.8 110 -0.175 105
110 North Texas 2-9 -41.4% -17.3 115 -0.167 102
111 San Jose State 3-8 -42.2% -15.8 111 -0.184 108
112 Duke 1-10 -42.9% -16.4 113 -0.185 109
113 Troy 4-7 -43.2% -16.4 112 -0.187 111
114 Utah State 3-8 -43.6% -15.4 109 -0.200 112
115 Idaho 2-9 -47.0% -18.1 116 -0.203 113
116 Florida Atlantic 2-9 -50.0% -16.6 114 -0.247 118
117 Temple 0-11 -50.2% -14.7 107 -0.313 119
118 Buffalo 1-10 -52.3% -21.7 119 -0.218 116
119 New Mexico State 0-12 -53.3% -20.0 118 -0.236 117