Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2006 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/8/07

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 Florida 13-1 61.9% 22.1 1 0.295 1
2 USC 11-2 60.2% 21.6 3 0.286 2
3 Ohio State 12-1 56.0% 21.3 4 0.251 3
4 LSU 11-2 54.0% 20.3 5 0.244 4
5 Michigan 11-2 52.7% 21.6 2 0.223 8
6 Louisville 12-1 51.6% 19.4 6 0.234 5
7 BYU 11-2 46.2% 16.3 9 0.226 6
8 West Virginia 11-2 46.0% 16.9 8 0.214 9
9 Oklahoma 11-3 44.0% 18.2 7 0.185 12
10 Boise State 13-0 43.9% 15.0 13 0.225 7
11 Tennessee 9-4 41.5% 16.1 10 0.184 13
12 Rutgers 11-2 39.0% 14.5 14 0.183 14
13 Arkansas 10-4 38.8% 15.2 12 0.171 16
14 Texas 10-3 36.1% 12.8 16 0.179 15
15 California 10-3 35.6% 12.0 18 0.187 11
16 South Carolina 7-5 35.0% 15.9 11 0.135 23
17 Virginia Tech 10-3 34.5% 13.7 15 0.151 21
18 Boston College 10-3 33.6% 10.1 24 0.203 10
19 Notre Dame 10-3 32.3% 11.6 20 0.159 19
20 Auburn 11-2 30.9% 10.5 22 0.162 18
21 Nebraska 9-5 29.0% 11.8 19 0.125 25
22 Georgia Tech 9-5 27.3% 11.3 21 0.117 28
23 Clemson 8-5 26.5% 9.3 28 0.136 22
24 TCU 11-2 26.2% 10.0 25 0.122 26
25 Hawaii 11-3 26.1% 9.5 27 0.128 24
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 Georgia 9-4 25.6% 7.7 34 0.154 20
27 Oklahoma State 7-6 24.7% 10.5 23 0.103 31
28 Wisconsin 12-1 23.7% 6.0 42 0.168 17
29 Cincinnati 8-5 21.4% 12.1 17 0.061 39
30 Texas A&M 9-4 21.4% 7.5 35 0.112 29
31 Texas Tech 8-5 19.3% 9.8 26 0.064 37
32 Missouri 8-5 19.0% 6.4 40 0.105 30
33 Florida State 7-6 18.7% 7.9 33 0.082 33
34 Wake Forest 11-3 18.1% 5.0 46 0.119 27
35 Oregon State 10-4 18.0% 7.3 36 0.082 32
36 Pittsburgh 6-6 17.1% 9.3 29 0.052 43
37 Alabama 6-7 17.0% 8.2 31 0.063 38
38 Penn State 9-4 17.0% 8.4 30 0.060 40
39 South Florida 9-4 17.0% 7.3 37 0.073 35
40 UCLA 7-6 15.4% 6.7 39 0.066 36
41 Miami 7-6 13.4% 5.8 43 0.060 41
42 Houston 10-4 13.2% 4.1 49 0.081 34
43 Oregon 7-6 12.3% 7.9 32 0.025 51
44 Arizona State 7-6 11.9% 5.7 44 0.048 46
45 Utah 8-5 10.7% 4.4 47 0.053 42
46 Minnesota 6-7 10.2% 7.2 38 0.015 54
47 Iowa 6-7 9.5% 6.2 41 0.020 52
48 Tulsa 8-5 9.2% 3.5 52 0.051 44
49 Maryland 9-4 9.1% 4.1 48 0.042 47
50 Southern Miss 9-5 7.5% 2.5 57 0.049 45
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 Kentucky 8-5 7.3% 5.1 45 0.014 55
52 Arizona 6-6 6.5% 2.9 54 0.035 49
53 Nevada 8-5 5.5% 3.8 51 0.013 56
54 Kansas State 7-6 4.1% 4.1 50 -0.003 62
55 Kansas 6-6 3.9% 2.1 59 0.020 53
56 Washington 5-7 3.8% 3.0 53 0.008 60
57 Washington State 6-6 3.3% 2.5 56 0.010 58
58 Central Michigan 10-4 0.0% -2.2 69 0.040 48
59 N.C. State 3-9 -0.8% 1.0 60 -0.008 63
60 Virginia 5-7 -1.7% 2.2 58 -0.033 69
61 East Carolina 7-6 -2.4% -0.8 65 0.001 61
62 Syracuse 4-8 -4.5% 2.8 55 -0.070 80
63 Purdue 8-6 -5.3% -0.8 64 -0.026 67
64 New Mexico 6-7 -5.9% -1.6 67 -0.021 65
65 Navy 9-4 -5.9% -5.7 85 0.027 50
66 Western Michigan 8-5 -6.3% -4.5 79 0.011 57
67 Wyoming 6-6 -6.4% 0.5 62 -0.055 74
68 Vanderbilt 4-8 -7.7% -2.6 71 -0.025 66
69 Colorado 2-10 -8.0% -3.5 73 -0.017 64
70 Northern Illinois 7-6 -9.0% -6.6 89 0.009 59
71 Northwestern 4-8 -10.0% -1.1 66 -0.066 78
72 Ohio 9-5 -10.2% -4.1 75 -0.030 68
73 Connecticut 4-8 -10.4% 0.8 61 -0.100 90
74 Air Force 4-8 -10.8% -1.7 68 -0.067 79
75 Michigan State 4-8 -11.1% -2.9 72 -0.052 72
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 Fresno State 4-8 -12.3% -2.2 70 -0.073 82
77 Baylor 4-8 -13.5% 0.0 63 -0.123 96
78 Mississippi State 3-9 -14.2% -4.8 81 -0.056 75
79 Illinois 2-10 -14.8% -4.5 78 -0.065 77
80 San Jose State 9-4 -15.4% -6.6 88 -0.047 71
81 Ole Miss 4-8 -15.4% -4.4 77 -0.072 81
82 Ball State 5-7 -15.9% -6.2 86 -0.054 73
83 UAB 3-9 -16.9% -5.4 83 -0.074 83
84 UL-Monroe 4-8 -17.6% -8.8 95 -0.043 70
85 Middle Tennessee 7-6 -18.2% -4.8 80 -0.093 89
86 Rice 7-6 -18.8% -5.6 84 -0.088 86
87 North Carolina 3-9 -19.4% -3.6 74 -0.126 97
88 Indiana 5-7 -19.7% -5.1 82 -0.103 92
89 SMU 6-6 -20.1% -8.8 97 -0.063 76
90 Iowa State 4-8 -21.1% -4.4 76 -0.130 98
91 Akron 5-7 -21.6% -7.6 92 -0.088 87
92 UTEP 5-7 -21.7% -7.4 91 -0.091 88
93 Colorado State 4-8 -24.8% -7.9 93 -0.113 93
94 Miami (Ohio) 2-10 -25.9% -11.8 103 -0.084 84
95 Marshall 5-7 -26.0% -9.8 101 -0.102 91
96 Troy 8-5 -26.3% -8.8 96 -0.116 94
97 Central Florida 4-8 -26.7% -6.5 87 -0.154 103
98 New Mexico State 4-8 -27.8% -13.8 109 -0.084 85
99 Stanford 1-11 -29.8% -8.4 94 -0.155 104
100 Toledo 5-7 -30.4% -8.9 98 -0.153 102
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 Tulane 4-8 -31.3% -7.4 90 -0.196 109
102 Memphis 2-10 -32.1% -13.1 107 -0.120 95
103 Duke 0-12 -34.3% -12.2 104 -0.146 100
104 UNLV 2-10 -34.4% -9.0 99 -0.199 111
105 UL-Lafayette 6-6 -34.8% -13.4 108 -0.139 99
106 Kent State 6-6 -35.0% -12.6 106 -0.148 101
107 San Diego State 3-9 -35.8% -9.4 100 -0.207 113
108 Bowling Green 4-8 -38.9% -14.4 112 -0.162 105
109 Eastern Michigan 1-11 -39.7% -14.0 110 -0.172 107
110 Florida Atlantic 5-7 -39.7% -12.5 105 -0.192 108
111 Utah State 1-11 -42.7% -11.2 102 -0.263 117
112 Florida International 0-12 -42.8% -17.6 116 -0.167 106
113 Arkansas State 6-6 -43.2% -14.4 111 -0.199 110
114 Army 3-9 -48.3% -15.7 114 -0.229 115
115 Idaho 4-8 -48.4% -16.2 115 -0.222 114
116 North Texas 3-9 -48.5% -18.8 118 -0.200 112
117 Louisiana Tech 3-10 -51.1% -15.3 113 -0.269 118
118 Buffalo 2-10 -53.3% -18.5 117 -0.238 116
119 Temple 1-11 -64.9% -20.6 119 -0.326 119