Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2007 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/7/08

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 West Virginia 11-2 64.9% 24.1 1 0.254 2
2 LSU 12-2 63.2% 22.6 2 0.256 1
3 Florida 9-4 55.2% 21.8 3 0.206 7
4 Ohio State 11-2 55.1% 21.3 4 0.209 6
5 Oregon 9-4 54.1% 19.3 5 0.222 4
6 Oklahoma 11-3 52.9% 18.5 6 0.223 3
7 USC 11-2 47.7% 16.8 8 0.201 8
8 South Florida 8-4 46.7% 17.9 7 0.179 10
9 Missouri 12-2 45.9% 15.8 10 0.198 9
10 Georgia 11-2 44.4% 14.4 13 0.210 5
11 Virginia Tech 11-3 39.5% 14.3 14 0.162 13
12 Tennessee 10-4 37.6% 16.6 9 0.128 21
13 Texas 10-3 37.5% 15.1 11 0.139 19
14 Michigan 9-4 36.0% 13.1 15 0.148 16
15 Kansas 12-1 34.5% 11.1 17 0.165 12
16 BYU 11-2 34.0% 11.0 18 0.161 15
17 Cincinnati 10-3 32.8% 10.1 24 0.165 11
18 Illinois 9-4 30.6% 10.9 19 0.130 20
19 Auburn 9-4 30.6% 9.8 25 0.147 17
20 Boston College 11-3 29.7% 9.8 28 0.139 18
21 Clemson 9-4 29.6% 8.5 37 0.162 14
22 Penn State 9-4 29.5% 14.8 12 0.087 30
23 Texas Tech 9-4 27.1% 10.5 22 0.107 23
24 Kentucky 8-5 26.0% 10.6 21 0.097 25
25 Oklahoma State 7-6 25.1% 12.6 16 0.074 36
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 Michigan State 7-6 24.7% 9.4 32 0.100 24
27 California 7-6 24.3% 10.2 23 0.089 28
28 Oregon State 9-4 23.9% 9.5 31 0.093 26
29 Arizona State 10-3 22.6% 8.7 34 0.092 27
30 UCLA 6-7 22.1% 9.5 30 0.079 33
31 Rutgers 8-5 21.8% 10.8 20 0.065 39
32 South Carolina 6-6 21.0% 9.6 29 0.069 38
33 Boise State 10-3 21.0% 8.7 35 0.079 34
34 Utah 9-4 20.8% 8.6 36 0.079 35
35 Arkansas 8-5 19.9% 5.0 45 0.120 22
36 Wisconsin 9-4 19.7% 7.5 39 0.082 31
37 Washington 4-9 18.2% 9.8 26 0.047 47
38 Central Florida 10-4 16.5% 5.4 43 0.082 32
39 TCU 8-5 16.2% 7.5 40 0.054 43
40 Virginia 9-4 15.5% 5.7 42 0.070 37
41 Alabama 7-6 13.6% 3.1 57 0.088 29
42 Arizona 5-7 13.5% 4.8 46 0.063 40
43 Florida State 7-6 12.5% 5.7 41 0.045 49
44 Louisville 6-6 11.4% 4.8 47 0.047 48
45 Maryland 6-7 11.1% 5.1 44 0.041 52
46 Wake Forest 9-4 10.5% 3.1 56 0.060 41
47 Tulsa 10-4 10.1% 3.6 52 0.051 44
48 Pittsburgh 5-7 9.3% 3.7 49 0.042 50
49 Texas A&M 7-6 9.2% 8.7 33 -0.009 60
50 Mississippi State 7-5 9.2% 3.2 55 0.049 46
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 Colorado 6-7 8.2% 3.6 51 0.035 56
52 Connecticut 9-4 8.2% 1.8 59 0.057 42
53 Fresno State 9-4 8.1% 3.3 54 0.038 55
54 Air Force 9-4 7.8% 2.8 58 0.042 51
55 East Carolina 8-5 7.7% 8.2 38 -0.016 63
56 Hawaii 12-1 5.8% 0.7 65 0.050 45
57 Georgia Tech 7-6 5.3% 1.3 61 0.039 53
58 Purdue 8-5 5.3% 3.7 50 0.011 57
59 Troy 8-4 4.5% 0.8 64 0.039 54
60 Nebraska 5-7 2.3% 9.8 27 -0.077 82
61 Kansas State 5-7 -0.3% 3.9 48 -0.037 68
62 Vanderbilt 5-7 -1.9% 3.5 53 -0.045 70
63 New Mexico 9-4 -1.9% 0.8 63 -0.013 61
64 Indiana 7-6 -2.2% 0.2 66 -0.009 59
65 Southern Miss 7-6 -2.4% -0.5 68 -0.003 58
66 Iowa 6-6 -4.8% -0.9 69 -0.018 65
67 N.C. State 4-7 -6.3% 1.5 60 -0.059 75
68 Stanford 4-8 -7.6% -2.7 71 -0.019 66
69 Ball State 7-6 -8.0% -3.5 75 -0.014 62
70 Miami 5-7 -8.4% -1.5 70 -0.039 69
71 North Carolina 4-8 -9.0% -2.9 72 -0.028 67
72 Washington State 5-7 -9.8% -0.4 67 -0.065 77
73 Wyoming 5-7 -9.9% 1.0 62 -0.085 84
74 Florida Atlantic 8-5 -13.1% -3.9 76 -0.049 72
75 Central Michigan 8-6 -13.1% -4.0 77 -0.048 71
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 Ole Miss 3-9 -14.4% -3.3 74 -0.067 78
77 Houston 8-5 -14.5% -4.9 81 -0.049 73
78 Navy 8-5 -15.4% -9.2 94 -0.018 64
79 Minnesota 1-11 -16.2% -4.2 78 -0.071 81
80 Marshall 3-9 -16.5% -5.4 84 -0.059 74
81 UTEP 4-8 -16.7% -4.7 80 -0.069 80
82 Colorado State 3-9 -17.6% -4.5 79 -0.078 83
83 Western Michigan 5-7 -18.5% -6.3 86 -0.065 76
84 Notre Dame 3-9 -19.3% -5.0 83 -0.087 85
85 Iowa State 3-9 -19.6% -3.2 73 -0.115 94
86 Northwestern 6-6 -22.2% -8.8 93 -0.069 79
87 UNLV 2-10 -22.6% -5.0 82 -0.116 95
88 Middle Tennessee 5-7 -23.7% -7.4 91 -0.093 86
89 Nevada 6-7 -24.0% -6.7 88 -0.105 90
90 SMU 1-11 -24.7% -5.5 85 -0.129 98
91 Arkansas State 5-7 -27.6% -9.9 96 -0.097 89
92 Louisiana Tech 4-7 -28.5% -6.5 87 -0.151 105
93 Bowling Green 8-5 -28.7% -9.5 95 -0.110 91
94 Ohio 5-6 -28.9% -11.1 100 -0.096 87
95 Duke 1-11 -29.6% -11.8 105 -0.096 88
96 San Diego State 4-8 -30.5% -8.2 92 -0.143 101
97 UL-Monroe 6-6 -30.9% -10.8 98 -0.113 93
98 Baylor 3-9 -31.0% -7.4 89 -0.162 109
99 Syracuse 2-10 -32.6% -7.4 90 -0.180 113
100 Miami (Ohio) 6-7 -33.9% -13.7 110 -0.110 92
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 Akron 4-8 -35.3% -10.6 97 -0.150 104
102 Kent State 3-9 -35.3% -11.1 101 -0.144 102
103 Tulane 4-8 -35.6% -14.2 112 -0.118 96
104 Toledo 5-7 -37.5% -11.2 102 -0.162 108
105 Eastern Michigan 4-8 -37.9% -15.2 115 -0.127 97
106 UL-Lafayette 3-9 -38.4% -13.2 109 -0.145 103
107 Rice 3-9 -38.6% -12.5 106 -0.154 106
108 Army 3-9 -38.6% -15.0 114 -0.132 99
109 Buffalo 5-7 -39.3% -13.0 108 -0.154 107
110 Memphis 7-6 -39.6% -15.5 116 -0.136 100
111 Utah State 2-10 -40.9% -11.4 103 -0.192 118
112 New Mexico State 3-9 -41.8% -12.7 107 -0.178 112
113 San Jose State 5-7 -42.3% -11.7 104 -0.202 119
114 Temple 4-8 -42.7% -13.9 111 -0.171 111
115 Idaho 1-11 -45.9% -14.8 113 -0.187 115
116 Northern Illinois 2-10 -47.0% -16.1 117 -0.181 114
117 Florida International 1-11 -48.5% -16.1 118 -0.192 117
118 North Texas 2-10 -48.6% -19.2 120 -0.170 110
119 UAB 2-10 -49.9% -17.4 119 -0.190 116