Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2011 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/9/12

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 LSU 13-1 68.3% 28.7 1 0.316 1
2 Alabama 12-1 64.9% 27.5 2 0.299 3
3 Oklahoma State 12-1 62.7% 25.4 3 0.300 2
4 Boise State 12-1 51.7% 23.0 4 0.230 6
5 Oregon 12-2 50.5% 21.2 6 0.236 4
6 Oklahoma 10-3 48.7% 21.5 5 0.218 7
7 Michigan 11-2 43.7% 19.0 7 0.199 9
8 Wisconsin 11-3 43.5% 16.5 10 0.231 5
9 Stanford 11-2 41.4% 16.6 9 0.205 8
10 Notre Dame 8-5 36.6% 16.4 11 0.162 14
11 Texas A&M 7-6 35.8% 16.7 8 0.154 17
12 USC 10-2 35.6% 13.9 15 0.184 10
13 Georgia 10-4 33.9% 15.2 14 0.152 18
14 Michigan State 11-3 33.7% 12.8 16 0.181 11
15 TCU 11-2 31.8% 11.6 20 0.180 12
16 Arkansas 11-2 30.5% 12.3 18 0.154 16
17 Toledo 9-4 30.3% 16.1 12 0.115 24
18 South Carolina 11-2 28.3% 9.8 26 0.170 13
19 Florida State 9-4 28.3% 10.9 23 0.150 19
20 Houston 13-1 27.4% 9.6 27 0.162 15
21 Missouri 8-5 25.2% 10.8 24 0.121 23
22 Nebraska 9-4 24.5% 11.7 19 0.104 25
23 Penn State 9-4 24.3% 15.4 13 0.074 36
24 Texas 8-5 23.2% 11.2 22 0.098 26
25 West Virginia 10-3 21.9% 7.4 29 0.135 21
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 Southern Miss 12-2 21.8% 6.7 32 0.147 20
27 Baylor 10-3 21.2% 10.0 25 0.092 29
28 Virginia Tech 11-3 20.7% 9.2 28 0.097 27
29 Tulsa 8-5 19.6% 12.6 17 0.055 41
30 Kansas State 10-3 19.4% 6.0 37 0.130 22
31 Miami 6-6 16.9% 7.0 31 0.089 32
32 Ohio State 6-7 15.9% 6.2 35 0.089 31
33 Vanderbilt 5-7 15.5% 11.3 21 0.032 48
34 Louisiana Tech 8-5 14.8% 5.5 40 0.087 33
35 Temple 9-4 12.8% 4.2 45 0.086 34
36 Florida 7-6 12.5% 6.4 33 0.054 43
37 Cincinnati 10-3 12.5% 3.6 46 0.090 30
38 South Florida 5-7 11.8% 5.0 42 0.063 39
39 Arizona State 6-7 11.5% 6.1 36 0.047 45
40 Clemson 10-4 11.4% 5.5 41 0.054 42
41 Rutgers 9-4 10.9% 2.2 53 0.094 28
42 Northern Illinois 11-3 10.2% 4.4 44 0.056 40
43 California 6-6 9.9% 6.4 34 0.030 49
44 Tennessee 5-7 8.9% 7.2 30 0.012 55
45 North Carolina 7-6 8.9% 5.9 38 0.026 51
46 BYU 10-3 8.7% 2.1 54 0.071 37
47 Iowa 7-6 8.6% 1.8 55 0.074 35
48 Pittsburgh 6-7 5.8% 1.6 56 0.049 44
49 Mississippi State 7-6 5.7% 2.4 51 0.038 46
50 Louisville 7-6 5.6% -0.1 65 0.070 38
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 SMU 8-5 5.1% 5.6 39 -0.006 63
52 Illinois 7-6 3.0% 2.5 48 0.011 57
53 Central Florida 5-7 2.8% 2.2 52 0.012 54
54 Auburn 8-5 2.5% 4.6 43 -0.019 68
55 Georgia Tech 8-5 1.7% 0.0 62 0.029 50
56 Western Michigan 7-6 1.7% 1.4 57 0.011 56
57 Nevada 7-6 0.3% 2.4 50 -0.014 65
58 Utah 8-5 -0.2% 0.6 60 0.003 61
59 Washington 7-6 -1.1% 2.4 49 -0.027 73
60 Utah State 7-6 -1.1% -1.5 75 0.019 52
61 Ohio 10-4 -1.9% -3.4 82 0.033 47
62 Arkansas State 9-3 -1.9% -1.4 73 0.010 58
63 Iowa State 6-7 -2.5% 0.9 58 -0.023 70
64 Wake Forest 5-7 -3.1% 0.0 63 -0.018 67
65 Navy 5-7 -4.0% -2.8 79 0.007 59
66 Northwestern 6-7 -4.1% -3.5 84 0.014 53
67 Connecticut 5-7 -4.3% -3.0 80 0.007 60
68 Arizona 4-8 -4.3% 0.8 59 -0.039 76
69 San Diego State 8-5 -4.4% -0.5 66 -0.024 72
70 Virginia 8-5 -5.0% -1.2 72 -0.021 69
71 Boston College 4-8 -6.2% -1.1 71 -0.033 74
72 Miami (Ohio) 4-8 -6.2% 0.2 61 -0.050 77
73 Syracuse 5-7 -6.5% -2.2 77 -0.024 71
74 N.C. State 8-5 -7.3% -4.1 87 -0.009 64
75 UCLA 6-8 -8.1% 3.0 47 -0.113 93
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 Florida International 8-5 -8.5% -5.9 89 -0.002 62
77 Marshall 7-6 -8.6% -0.5 67 -0.065 82
78 Bowling Green 5-7 -8.6% -0.1 64 -0.072 87
79 Duke 3-9 -8.7% -1.5 74 -0.054 79
80 Purdue 7-6 -10.9% -2.2 78 -0.066 83
81 Oregon State 3-9 -12.2% -1.1 70 -0.096 91
82 East Carolina 5-7 -12.3% -1.0 69 -0.097 92
83 UL-Lafayette 9-4 -12.8% -8.3 101 -0.017 66
84 Texas Tech 5-7 -13.1% -3.7 86 -0.068 85
85 Ball State 6-6 -13.7% -0.9 68 -0.117 95
86 Air Force 7-6 -14.7% -6.3 92 -0.052 78
87 Maryland 2-10 -14.8% -3.2 81 -0.093 90
88 UL-Monroe 4-8 -16.0% -7.0 96 -0.057 80
89 San Jose State 5-7 -16.4% -7.2 98 -0.059 81
90 Fresno State 4-9 -16.9% -6.9 94 -0.067 84
91 Western Kentucky 7-5 -17.0% -10.7 104 -0.034 75
92 Ole Miss 2-10 -17.1% -2.0 76 -0.139 100
93 UTEP 5-7 -17.8% -3.5 83 -0.120 97
94 Kentucky 5-7 -18.2% -6.4 93 -0.084 88
95 Kent State 5-7 -20.5% -4.3 88 -0.139 101
96 Minnesota 3-9 -21.0% -3.5 85 -0.162 104
97 Hawaii 6-7 -21.1% -10.3 103 -0.070 86
98 Washington State 4-8 -21.9% -9.0 102 -0.089 89
99 Rice 4-8 -22.9% -7.0 95 -0.122 98
100 Wyoming 8-5 -23.0% -7.5 99 -0.117 94
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 Army 3-9 -25.6% -6.3 91 -0.166 107
102 North Texas 5-7 -25.9% -6.3 90 -0.171 109
103 Colorado 3-10 -27.9% -7.1 97 -0.180 110
104 Central Michigan 3-9 -28.3% -11.5 105 -0.120 96
105 Eastern Michigan 6-6 -30.9% -12.8 107 -0.131 99
106 Kansas 2-10 -31.0% -7.7 100 -0.215 114
107 Buffalo 3-9 -33.1% -13.4 109 -0.143 102
108 Colorado State 3-9 -35.5% -15.7 113 -0.144 103
109 New Mexico State 4-9 -35.6% -12.2 106 -0.181 111
110 Troy 3-9 -36.5% -13.9 110 -0.167 108
111 Indiana 1-11 -36.9% -14.5 111 -0.165 106
112 Idaho 2-10 -37.8% -15.4 112 -0.164 105
113 UAB 3-9 -43.6% -18.3 114 -0.188 112
114 UNLV 2-10 -44.3% -13.3 108 -0.284 119
115 Tulane 2-11 -49.4% -22.4 117 -0.207 113
116 Middle Tennessee 2-10 -49.5% -19.8 115 -0.222 116
117 Florida Atlantic 1-11 -51.0% -22.5 118 -0.217 115
118 Memphis 2-10 -56.8% -27.3 120 -0.237 117
119 Akron 1-11 -57.5% -22.1 116 -0.268 118
120 New Mexico 1-11 -66.2% -22.8 119 -0.369 120