Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2012 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/7/13

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency), explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
1 Alabama 13-1 72.0% 28.5 1 0.315 1
2 Texas A&M 11-2 62.7% 23.0 2 0.297 3
3 Oregon 12-1 61.8% 22.1 4 0.304 2
4 Florida 11-2 58.2% 22.4 3 0.262 4
5 Kansas State 11-2 49.9% 18.9 6 0.230 5
6 Notre Dame 12-1 48.6% 21.7 5 0.195 11
7 Georgia 12-2 47.9% 18.5 7 0.217 6
8 Stanford 12-2 45.6% 17.0 9 0.215 7
9 Oklahoma 10-3 44.4% 17.5 8 0.198 10
10 South Carolina 10-2 43.7% 15.8 10 0.214 8
11 LSU 10-3 40.7% 15.4 11 0.190 13
12 Florida State 12-2 38.6% 13.8 16 0.194 12
13 Utah State 11-2 38.2% 14.9 12 0.174 14
14 Ohio State 12-0 37.1% 12.7 22 0.198 9
15 Wisconsin 8-6 36.8% 14.1 14 0.171 15
16 Oklahoma State 8-5 35.6% 14.4 13 0.156 17
17 Oregon State 9-4 34.4% 13.2 18 0.160 16
18 BYU 8-5 32.1% 12.8 20 0.145 19
19 Texas 9-4 32.0% 13.3 17 0.138 21
20 Michigan State 7-6 31.5% 13.9 15 0.127 25
21 Baylor 8-5 30.5% 11.5 24 0.146 18
22 Nebraska 10-4 29.7% 12.0 23 0.132 23
23 Boise State 11-2 29.6% 11.3 27 0.140 20
24 San Jose State 11-2 29.3% 11.3 26 0.137 22
25 Michigan 8-5 26.7% 11.4 25 0.113 28
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
26 USC 7-6 26.5% 12.8 21 0.097 34
27 Clemson 11-2 26.2% 9.6 30 0.132 24
28 Penn State 8-4 23.6% 9.8 29 0.104 30
29 Ole Miss 6-6 22.3% 13.1 19 0.063 44
30 Central Florida 10-4 21.9% 8.0 35 0.113 29
31 UCLA 9-5 21.3% 8.9 32 0.095 37
32 Northwestern 10-3 19.6% 6.3 44 0.115 27
33 Fresno State 9-4 19.2% 9.0 31 0.076 41
34 TCU 7-6 19.0% 6.9 41 0.100 32
35 Syracuse 8-5 18.7% 7.0 40 0.096 35
36 Cincinnati 9-3 17.9% 4.8 49 0.122 26
37 Georgia Tech 6-7 17.7% 11.0 28 0.043 52
38 Arizona 8-5 16.0% 8.4 33 0.054 46
39 Arkansas State 10-3 14.9% 4.6 50 0.092 38
40 Northern Illinois 12-2 14.6% 4.1 53 0.098 33
41 Virginia Tech 7-6 14.1% 7.7 36 0.046 50
42 Arizona State 8-5 13.5% 5.0 47 0.073 43
43 Tulsa 11-3 13.5% 3.1 58 0.101 31
44 San Diego State 9-4 13.3% 4.0 54 0.086 39
45 Louisville 11-2 13.2% 3.3 57 0.095 36
46 Louisiana Tech 9-3 12.8% 4.2 52 0.078 40
47 Texas Tech 8-5 12.0% 8.1 34 0.023 54
48 Pittsburgh 5-7 11.1% 5.4 46 0.046 49
49 Iowa State 6-7 10.4% 5.0 48 0.044 51
50 Missouri 5-7 10.1% 7.5 37 0.013 55
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
51 Vanderbilt 8-4 8.5% 3.3 55 0.049 47
52 Tennessee 5-7 8.4% 7.4 38 0.000 58
53 West Virginia 7-6 8.2% 6.6 42 0.007 56
54 Washington 7-6 7.3% 5.9 45 0.006 57
55 Kent State 11-3 7.1% 1.4 62 0.061 45
56 Mississippi State 8-5 7.0% 6.4 43 -0.003 59
57 North Carolina 7-4 6.3% 1.9 60 0.046 48
58 Rutgers 9-4 6.2% -0.1 64 0.074 42
59 Arkansas 4-8 5.2% 7.4 39 -0.028 71
60 Miami 7-5 3.8% 4.5 51 -0.008 62
61 Toledo 9-4 1.6% -0.9 67 0.039 53
62 Ball State 9-4 1.5% 3.3 56 -0.015 66
63 SMU 7-6 -2.7% 1.6 61 -0.033 72
64 Utah 5-7 -3.4% -0.9 66 -0.007 61
65 Iowa 4-8 -3.6% 0.6 63 -0.028 70
66 UL-Lafayette 9-4 -5.4% -1.4 69 -0.020 68
67 California 3-9 -5.9% 2.9 59 -0.082 81
68 N.C. State 7-6 -6.3% -3.4 76 -0.003 60
69 Western Kentucky 7-6 -6.4% -2.8 74 -0.012 64
70 Nevada 7-6 -7.7% -3.8 78 -0.011 63
71 South Florida 3-9 -8.1% -0.7 65 -0.053 76
72 Troy 5-7 -9.0% -2.1 72 -0.042 74
73 Bowling Green 8-5 -9.5% -4.0 80 -0.024 69
74 UL-Monroe 8-5 -9.7% -5.2 83 -0.013 65
75 Connecticut 5-7 -11.0% -3.7 77 -0.041 73
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
76 Minnesota 6-7 -11.7% -2.0 71 -0.070 78
77 Ohio 9-4 -12.9% -7.8 93 -0.015 67
78 Indiana 4-8 -12.9% -4.8 82 -0.045 75
79 Duke 6-7 -13.7% -1.7 70 -0.093 86
80 Purdue 6-7 -15.0% -1.3 68 -0.115 95
81 Houston 5-7 -15.7% -4.6 81 -0.073 80
82 Virginia 4-8 -17.8% -6.3 88 -0.071 79
83 Florida International 3-9 -18.0% -5.2 84 -0.086 82
84 Rice 7-6 -20.1% -9.9 103 -0.055 77
85 Kansas 1-11 -20.6% -4.0 79 -0.131 100
86 Memphis 4-8 -20.7% -5.6 85 -0.105 92
87 Middle Tennessee 9-3 -21.0% -7.1 91 -0.089 85
88 Kentucky 2-10 -21.5% -3.3 75 -0.157 112
89 Boston College 2-10 -22.1% -6.7 90 -0.104 91
90 Auburn 3-9 -22.1% -2.6 73 -0.184 117
91 Marshall 5-7 -22.2% -8.1 94 -0.089 84
92 Navy 8-5 -23.0% -6.0 87 -0.123 97
93 East Carolina 8-5 -23.3% -5.9 86 -0.128 98
94 North Texas 4-8 -24.5% -7.4 92 -0.118 96
95 Texas State 4-8 -25.1% -6.4 89 -0.139 102
96 Wyoming 4-8 -25.4% -9.6 100 -0.101 90
97 Western Michigan 4-8 -25.5% -11.2 109 -0.086 83
98 Buffalo 4-8 -26.0% -9.4 97 -0.107 93
99 UTEP 3-9 -26.0% -10.4 105 -0.097 88
100 Maryland 4-8 -26.2% -10.9 108 -0.094 87
F/+ Rk Team Rec F/+ S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
101 Temple 4-7 -26.5% -9.5 99 -0.110 94
102 Air Force 6-7 -29.1% -13.0 112 -0.099 89
103 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -29.8% -9.4 98 -0.142 103
104 Wake Forest 5-7 -30.2% -8.5 95 -0.159 113
105 Washington State 3-9 -31.0% -9.7 101 -0.149 106
106 Florida Atlantic 3-9 -31.5% -9.8 102 -0.151 108
107 Illinois 2-10 -32.0% -9.3 96 -0.164 114
108 Miami (Ohio) 4-8 -32.6% -10.5 106 -0.153 110
109 UNLV 2-11 -33.6% -12.0 110 -0.143 104
110 Central Michigan 7-6 -34.4% -13.3 113 -0.138 101
111 Akron 1-11 -34.6% -14.3 115 -0.131 99
112 Southern Miss 0-12 -34.6% -10.7 107 -0.170 115
113 UAB 3-9 -35.1% -12.6 111 -0.150 107
114 New Mexico 4-9 -36.8% -13.6 114 -0.153 111
115 Army 2-10 -37.7% -14.5 116 -0.152 109
116 Colorado State 4-8 -38.5% -10.1 104 -0.233 121
117 South Alabama 2-11 -41.5% -21.4 124 -0.144 105
118 Tulane 2-10 -41.8% -14.9 118 -0.181 116
119 Idaho 1-11 -45.1% -14.8 117 -0.213 119
120 UTSA 6-4 -45.5% -17.3 121 -0.189 118
121 Hawaii 3-9 -46.6% -15.0 119 -0.225 120
122 Colorado 1-11 -52.1% -16.4 120 -0.263 122
123 New Mexico State 1-11 -56.9% -18.8 122 -0.273 123
124 Massachusetts 1-11 -60.1% -20.8 123 -0.273 124