Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2015 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/11/16

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

NOTE: Because special teams ratings are integrated into Offensive and Defensive S&P+, and because Special Teams has its own ratings within FEI, creating Offensive, Defensive, and Special Teams F/+ ratings has become difficult since the most recent S&P+ redesign. For now, there will therefore be no unit ratings presented -- only overall F/+ ratings.

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 14-1 71.3% 1 30.0 1 0.333 1
Clemson ACC 14-1 61.2% 2 27.4 2 0.270 2
Ohio State Big Ten 12-1 54.7% 3 24.0 3 0.248 4
Oklahoma Big 12 11-2 49.9% 4 22.6 4 0.220 6
Ole Miss SEC 10-3 48.4% 5 21.2 5 0.221 5
Stanford Pac-12 12-2 48.1% 6 18.4 10 0.265 3
Notre Dame Ind 10-3 43.3% 7 18.8 8 0.202 7
Michigan Big Ten 10-3 41.6% 8 21.1 6 0.167 14
Michigan State Big Ten 12-2 39.1% 9 15.9 13 0.198 8
LSU SEC 9-3 39.1% 10 18.6 9 0.167 15
Arkansas SEC 8-5 36.7% 11 15.3 15 0.181 9
Florida State ACC 10-3 36.4% 12 20.0 7 0.137 25
Washington Pac-12 7-6 36.0% 13 17.1 12 0.154 19
Baylor Big 12 10-3 36.0% 14 15.6 14 0.171 13
Western Kentucky Conf USA 12-2 35.8% 15 17.5 11 0.149 22
Mississippi State SEC 9-4 33.9% 16 15.0 16 0.157 16
USC Pac-12 8-6 33.6% 17 14.9 17 0.156 17
Tennessee SEC 9-4 32.3% 18 12.5 22 0.175 11
TCU Big 12 11-2 30.5% 19 11.4 26 0.173 12
Toledo MAC 10-2 30.5% 20 12.9 21 0.151 20
Navy American 11-2 29.8% 21 13.0 20 0.143 24
Utah Pac-12 10-3 29.0% 22 11.4 27 0.155 18
Oregon Pac-12 9-4 28.1% 23 11.6 25 0.144 23
North Carolina ACC 11-3 27.2% 24 10.6 29 0.149 21
Bowling Green MAC 10-4 26.2% 25 14.2 19 0.099 30
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Houston American 13-1 24.9% 26 7.6 44 0.175 10
Florida SEC 10-4 24.0% 27 14.3 18 0.081 38
UCLA Pac-12 8-5 23.8% 28 12.4 23 0.095 32
California Pac-12 8-5 21.5% 29 9.9 34 0.101 28
Georgia SEC 10-3 21.4% 30 10.0 32 0.099 31
West Virginia Big 12 8-5 21.4% 31 12.0 24 0.079 41
Wisconsin Big Ten 10-3 20.9% 32 10.3 31 0.091 35
Auburn SEC 7-6 20.6% 33 9.7 35 0.095 33
Texas A&M SEC 8-5 19.7% 34 7.7 42 0.110 26
BYU Ind 9-4 19.2% 35 8.9 38 0.091 36
Nebraska Big Ten 6-7 17.8% 36 7.1 48 0.100 29
Boise State MWC 9-4 17.7% 37 7.8 41 0.090 37
Iowa Big Ten 12-2 17.5% 38 7.3 47 0.094 34
Louisville ACC 8-5 17.2% 39 10.9 28 0.054 51
Oklahoma State Big 12 10-3 16.9% 40 9.9 33 0.060 47
Memphis American 9-4 16.7% 41 5.8 55 0.105 27
Appalachian State Sun Belt 11-2 15.9% 42 7.7 43 0.074 44
San Diego State MWC 11-3 15.6% 43 7.3 45 0.076 42
South Florida American 8-5 15.1% 44 6.5 50 0.080 39
Temple American 10-4 14.5% 45 6.9 49 0.071 45
Pittsburgh ACC 8-5 14.5% 46 8.2 40 0.056 48
Penn State Big Ten 7-6 13.6% 47 10.4 30 0.028 57
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 9-4 12.8% 48 8.4 39 0.039 52
NC State ACC 7-6 12.7% 49 9.7 36 0.026 59
Arizona State Pac-12 6-7 12.7% 50 5.1 57 0.075 43
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Western Michigan MAC 8-5 12.4% 51 5.9 53 0.062 46
Northwestern Big Ten 10-3 11.0% 52 5.5 56 0.054 49
Utah State MWC 6-7 10.8% 53 7.3 46 0.033 55
Washington State Pac-12 9-4 10.4% 54 2.9 63 0.080 40
Minnesota Big Ten 6-7 8.9% 55 9.1 37 -0.001 67
Southern Miss Conf USA 9-5 8.4% 56 5.0 58 0.036 54
Louisiana Tech Conf USA 9-4 8.4% 57 5.8 54 0.027 58
Marshall Conf USA 10-3 7.1% 58 2.4 64 0.054 50
Virginia Tech ACC 7-6 7.0% 59 4.2 59 0.032 56
Texas Tech Big 12 7-6 6.7% 60 3.5 62 0.037 53
Indiana Big Ten 6-7 5.7% 61 3.9 60 0.023 60
Miami-FL ACC 8-5 5.6% 62 6.0 51 0.001 65
Air Force MWC 8-6 5.3% 63 5.9 52 -0.002 68
Georgia Tech ACC 3-9 0.5% 64 1.0 68 0.008 61
Illinois Big Ten 5-7 0.2% 65 3.7 61 -0.025 75
Northern Illinois MAC 8-6 -0.1% 66 0.8 69 0.005 63
Central Michigan MAC 7-6 -2.1% 67 -0.9 78 0.005 62
Texas Big 12 5-7 -2.2% 68 -0.3 72 -0.002 69
Ohio MAC 8-5 -2.3% 69 1.6 66 -0.024 74
Boston College ACC 3-9 -2.8% 70 1.4 67 -0.026 76
Arkansas State Sun Belt 9-4 -2.8% 71 -1.0 79 0.000 66
Cincinnati American 7-6 -2.9% 72 -0.5 74 -0.006 71
East Carolina American 5-7 -3.3% 73 -0.7 76 -0.008 72
Duke ACC 8-5 -4.3% 74 -0.6 75 -0.018 73
Missouri SEC 5-7 -4.8% 75 -2.9 85 0.002 64
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Maryland Big Ten 3-9 -5.3% 76 1.8 65 -0.055 87
Arizona Pac-12 7-6 -6.4% 77 -0.8 77 -0.035 79
Virginia ACC 4-8 -6.5% 78 -0.3 73 -0.041 81
Iowa State Big 12 3-9 -6.5% 79 0.5 70 -0.051 86
Connecticut American 6-7 -6.9% 80 -3.9 87 -0.005 70
Kansas State Big 12 6-7 -7.7% 81 -2.4 84 -0.029 77
Middle Tennessee Conf USA 7-6 -7.7% 82 -2.2 82 -0.031 78
Vanderbilt SEC 4-8 -8.4% 83 -2.3 83 -0.037 80
Akron MAC 8-5 -8.7% 84 -1.7 80 -0.046 83
Syracuse ACC 4-8 -9.1% 85 0.2 71 -0.073 90
Colorado State MWC 7-6 -10.4% 86 -2.1 81 -0.057 88
Georgia State Sun Belt 6-7 -11.8% 87 -4.7 91 -0.041 82
South Carolina SEC 3-9 -12.0% 88 -4.1 88 -0.050 84
San Jose State MWC 6-7 -15.1% 89 -4.4 89 -0.074 92
Troy Sun Belt 4-8 -15.2% 90 -4.5 90 -0.074 91
Kentucky SEC 5-7 -15.3% 91 -6.9 95 -0.050 85
Wake Forest ACC 3-9 -15.7% 92 -4.9 92 -0.075 93
Purdue Big Ten 2-10 -15.7% 93 -3.9 86 -0.087 97
Colorado Pac-12 4-9 -18.5% 94 -8.5 98 -0.062 89
Tulsa American 6-7 -18.9% 95 -6.8 94 -0.082 96
Florida Atlantic Conf USA 3-9 -19.9% 96 -6.1 93 -0.099 99
Nevada MWC 7-6 -20.6% 97 -8.8 99 -0.077 95
Buffalo MAC 5-7 -20.6% 98 -7.2 96 -0.094 98
New Mexico MWC 7-6 -22.3% 99 -10.6 101 -0.076 94
Massachusetts MAC 3-9 -26.2% 100 -8.1 97 -0.136 103
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Rutgers Big Ten 4-8 -29.7% 101 -12.4 105 -0.120 100
South Alabama Sun Belt 5-7 -30.1% 102 -11.4 103 -0.133 102
Fresno State MWC 3-9 -32.4% 103 -9.8 100 -0.179 111
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 4-8 -32.6% 104 -13.0 107 -0.140 104
UNLV MWC 3-9 -33.0% 105 -12.6 106 -0.146 105
SMU American 2-10 -34.0% 106 -12.0 104 -0.163 107
Oregon State Pac-12 2-10 -35.6% 107 -11.4 102 -0.188 112
Army Ind 2-10 -37.0% 108 -20.9 123 -0.125 101
Kent State MAC 3-9 -37.0% 109 -15.2 115 -0.156 106
Ball State MAC 3-9 -37.3% 110 -14.2 111 -0.167 109
UTSA Conf USA 3-9 -37.3% 111 -14.4 113 -0.166 108
Florida International Conf USA 5-7 -39.2% 112 -13.3 108 -0.199 114
Miami-OH MAC 3-9 -39.4% 113 -15.9 117 -0.170 110
Idaho Sun Belt 4-8 -39.9% 114 -13.5 109 -0.203 116
Wyoming MWC 2-10 -41.8% 115 -14.6 114 -0.207 118
Texas State Sun Belt 3-9 -42.3% 116 -14.3 112 -0.218 120
Old Dominion Conf USA 5-7 -42.4% 117 -13.8 110 -0.228 123
New Mexico State Sun Belt 3-9 -43.1% 118 -15.7 116 -0.204 117
Tulane American 3-9 -45.5% 119 -18.2 120 -0.199 115
Hawaii MWC 3-10 -45.7% 120 -16.1 118 -0.226 122
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 2-11 -46.5% 121 -20.0 122 -0.193 113
Eastern Michigan MAC 1-11 -47.9% 122 -18.3 121 -0.219 121
Rice Conf USA 5-7 -49.1% 123 -17.9 119 -0.236 124
Charlotte Conf USA 2-10 -51.1% 124 -21.7 124 -0.216 119
UTEP Conf USA 5-7 -56.5% 125 -22.4 126 -0.252 125
North Texas Conf USA 1-11 -57.2% 126 -23.0 128 -0.253 126
Kansas Big 12 0-12 -57.6% 127 -22.5 127 -0.262 127
Central Florida American 0-12 -57.9% 128 -22.3 125 -0.266 128