Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2014 NCAA FOOTBALL S&P+ RATINGS

through games of 9/13/14

NOTE: For the first seven weeks of the season, opponent-adjusted data is limited until preseason projections are filtered out of the equations.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play and drive data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). There are three key components to the S&P+:

  • Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
  • EqPts Per Play (PPP): An explosiveness measure derived from determining the point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game.
  • Drive Efficiency: As of February 2013, S&P+ also includes a drive-based aspect based on the field position a team creates and its average success at scoring or preventing the points expected based on that field position.
  • Opponent adjustments: Success Rate and PPP combine to form S&P, an OPS-like measure for football. Then each team's S&P output for a given category (Rushing/Passing on either Standard Downs or Passing Downs) is compared to the expected output based upon their opponents and their opponents' opponents. For the drive efficiency portion, the same approach is taken based on net points and starting field position. This is a schedule-based adjustment designed to reward tougher schedules and punish weaker ones.

The S&P+ figures used in the tables below only look at the plays that took place while a game was deemed competitive. Garbage-time plays and possessions have been filtered out of the calculations. The criteria for "garbage time" are as follows: a game is not within 28 points in the first quarter, 24 points in the second quarter, 21 points in the third quarter, or 16 points in the fourth quarter.

Also included below: a team's percentage of total points scored and its Adjusted Record. Based on single-game S&P+ performances, this is the record a team would have had playing a perfectly average team, with a perfectly average number of breaks, in each week of the season. Adj. Record gives you a different way to visualize the impact of both team consistency and schedule strength.

Use the menu above for pages that give more details on offensive and defensive S&P+, or our other college football ratings, the drive-based FEI.

Rk Team Record S&P+ Last Wk Change Off. S&P+ Rk Def. S&P+ Rk
1 Florida State 2-0 270.4 1 0 138.1 2 132.4 1
2 Alabama 3-0 263.4 2 0 134.7 4 128.7 4
3 Oregon 3-0 254.4 4 1 153.1 1 101.3 65
4 Oklahoma 3-0 244.9 3 -1 130.3 8 114.6 25
5 Auburn 2-0 244.2 5 0 130.5 7 113.7 29
6 Baylor 3-0 243.8 7 1 137.7 3 106.1 48
7 Michigan State 1-1 243.1 11 4 127.5 9 115.6 23
8 Stanford 2-1 242.3 10 2 110.7 33 131.5 3
9 Ole Miss 3-0 242.1 22 13 114.4 24 127.7 6
10 Texas A&M 3-0 240.7 6 -4 134.5 5 106.3 46
11 Mississippi State 3-0 239.9 20 9 120.8 14 119.1 13
12 Oklahoma State 2-1 239.7 23 11 117.9 18 121.8 8
13 Louisville 2-1 236.4 8 -5 111.8 29 124.6 7
14 LSU 3-0 235.1 12 -2 103.3 56 131.8 2
15 TCU 2-0 233.8 30 15 116.1 21 117.7 17
16 Georgia 1-1 232.4 9 -7 121.5 13 110.9 34
17 Ohio State 2-1 230.5 13 -4 122.3 12 108.2 43
18 Missouri 3-0 230.0 21 3 114.3 25 115.7 22
19 Notre Dame 3-0 229.4 15 -4 109.0 38 120.4 10
20 South Carolina 2-1 226.9 17 -3 117.8 19 109.1 38
21 Arizona State 3-0 224.6 19 -2 126.9 10 97.7 83
22 Miami 2-1 224.6 29 7 116.2 20 108.4 41
23 Clemson 1-1 224.1 16 -7 106.6 45 117.5 18
24 Michigan 2-1 222.6 24 0 115.7 22 106.9 45
25 Nebraska 3-0 221.5 46 21 104.5 54 117.0 20
Rk Team Record S&P+ Last Wk Change Off. S&P+ Rk Def. S&P+ Rk
26 Boise State 2-1 221.1 35 9 104.6 52 116.5 21
27 Penn State 3-0 220.8 32 5 93.0 81 127.8 5
28 Florida 2-0 220.2 33 5 111.2 32 109.0 39
29 Wisconsin 1-1 220.1 18 -11 111.3 31 108.8 40
30 Arkansas 2-1 219.9 36 6 132.0 6 87.9 103
31 Arizona 3-0 219.4 31 0 119.3 16 100.1 68
32 USC 2-1 219.1 14 -18 105.1 50 114.1 27
33 Oregon State 2-0 218.9 45 12 108.6 39 110.3 36
34 Kansas State 2-0 218.7 39 5 120.5 15 98.2 82
35 BYU 3-0 218.3 28 -7 106.1 47 112.3 31
36 Pittsburgh 3-0 217.6 27 -9 114.3 26 103.4 57
37 UCLA 3-0 216.5 26 -11 101.3 61 115.2 24
38 Indiana 1-1 216.5 48 10 106.6 44 109.9 37
39 Georgia Tech 3-0 215.1 49 10 126.9 11 88.3 101
40 Virginia Tech 2-1 213.8 25 -15 95.4 73 118.5 16
41 Iowa 2-1 213.6 37 -4 95.0 75 118.6 15
42 Washington 3-0 213.5 42 0 111.8 30 101.7 63
43 Marshall 3-0 213.1 44 1 110.3 36 102.8 59
44 Duke 3-0 212.9 57 13 110.7 34 102.2 62
45 Utah 2-0 212.4 41 -4 107.3 41 105.1 52
46 North Carolina 2-0 210.3 38 -8 105.3 49 105.1 53
47 Central Florida 0-2 209.8 34 -13 107.1 42 102.7 60
48 Texas 1-2 209.8 40 -8 91.1 85 118.7 14
49 Texas Tech 2-1 209.6 50 1 113.4 27 96.2 87
50 N.C. State 3-0 205.9 55 5 118.0 17 87.8 104
Rk Team Record S&P+ Last Wk Change Off. S&P+ Rk Def. S&P+ Rk
51 Maryland 2-1 204.8 56 5 90.6 88 114.2 26
52 California 2-0 204.5 76 24 93.6 80 111.0 33
53 Tennessee 2-1 204.5 47 -6 85.1 104 119.4 12
54 East Carolina 2-1 204.4 65 11 104.5 53 99.8 71
55 West Virginia 2-1 204.1 59 4 103.5 55 100.6 67
56 UTSA 1-2 203.8 51 -5 82.1 109 121.7 9
57 Minnesota 2-1 203.8 62 5 86.8 98 117.0 19
58 Bowling Green 2-1 202.4 61 3 115.6 23 86.9 107
59 Cincinnati 1-0 202.3 43 -16 100.9 62 101.3 64
60 Boston College 2-1 202.3 60 0 102.7 59 99.6 73
61 Northwestern 0-2 201.9 64 3 91.1 86 110.8 35
62 Navy 2-1 200.6 69 7 98.3 65 102.2 61
63 Virginia 2-1 200.4 68 5 80.7 112 119.8 11
64 Syracuse 2-0 200.4 82 18 96.3 70 104.1 54
65 Toledo 1-2 199.0 52 -13 110.7 35 88.4 100
66 Northern Illinois 2-0 198.6 66 0 95.5 72 103.1 58
67 Rutgers 2-1 198.2 70 3 106.8 43 91.4 96
68 Washington State 1-2 197.4 67 -1 100.0 64 97.4 86
69 Illinois 2-1 197.1 54 -15 97.8 67 99.3 75
70 Kentucky 2-1 197.1 53 -17 98.1 66 99.0 77
71 Western Kentucky 1-2 196.2 78 7 102.7 58 93.5 93
72 Colorado State 2-1 194.9 89 17 107.4 40 87.5 105
73 Nevada 2-1 194.0 74 1 95.0 74 98.9 78
74 Vanderbilt 1-2 193.4 83 9 89.4 90 104.0 55
75 San Jose State 1-1 193.3 75 0 112.5 28 80.8 122
Rk Team Record S&P+ Last Wk Change Off. S&P+ Rk Def. S&P+ Rk
76 Florida Atlantic 1-2 193.0 113 37 109.9 37 83.2 117
77 Utah State 2-1 192.7 63 -14 78.8 115 113.9 28
78 Houston 1-2 192.7 58 -20 84.4 105 108.3 42
79 South Alabama 1-1 190.7 84 5 90.9 87 99.8 70
80 Iowa State 1-2 190.5 106 26 97.0 68 93.5 92
81 Rice 0-2 190.1 91 10 96.4 69 93.7 90
82 San Diego State 1-1 188.7 77 -5 101.9 60 86.8 108
83 Fresno State 0-3 188.0 73 -10 88.1 92 99.8 69
84 Memphis 1-1 187.0 85 1 105.4 48 81.6 119
85 Middle Tennessee 2-1 187.0 93 8 102.8 57 84.2 115
86 Western Michigan 1-1 186.5 114 28 100.3 63 86.2 110
87 UL-Lafayette 1-2 186.3 79 -8 104.8 51 81.4 120
88 Ball State 1-2 186.1 81 -7 87.8 94 98.3 81
89 Louisiana Tech 2-1 186.1 86 -3 86.9 97 99.2 76
90 Arkansas State 1-2 185.4 72 -18 91.8 84 93.6 91
91 Tulane 1-2 184.6 92 1 85.3 103 99.3 74
92 Purdue 1-2 184.5 117 25 91.8 83 92.6 95
93 Hawaii 1-2 184.1 101 8 72.6 121 111.5 32
94 Colorado 1-2 183.6 111 17 87.5 95 96.1 88
95 Temple 1-1 183.4 110 15 86.0 101 97.4 84
96 Connecticut 1-2 183.1 99 3 76.8 118 106.3 47
97 Akron 1-1 182.8 107 10 81.8 110 100.9 66
98 Tulsa 1-2 182.7 71 -27 94.7 77 88.0 102
99 Wyoming 2-1 181.2 88 -11 75.4 120 105.8 50
100 Central Michigan 2-1 180.8 103 3 82.2 108 98.7 79
Rk Team Record S&P+ Last Wk Change Off. S&P+ Rk Def. S&P+ Rk
101 Georgia Southern 1-2 180.7 115 14 95.8 71 84.9 113
102 UAB 2-1 180.4 104 2 94.2 78 86.1 111
103 Kansas 1-1 180.2 95 -8 76.5 119 103.7 56
104 Ohio 1-2 179.1 90 -14 85.7 102 93.4 94
105 Air Force 2-1 178.7 102 -3 92.7 82 86.0 112
106 Texas State 1-1 178.4 80 -26 106.5 46 72.0 128
107 South Florida 1-2 177.6 97 -10 79.1 113 98.4 80
108 Troy 0-3 177.4 109 1 88.3 91 89.1 99
109 UL-Monroe 2-1 177.1 100 -9 77.5 117 99.6 72
110 New Mexico 0-2 177.0 112 2 94.7 76 82.3 118
111 UTEP 2-1 175.1 119 8 93.8 79 81.4 121
112 North Texas 1-2 173.9 94 -18 68.0 124 106.0 49
113 SMU 0-2 173.9 96 -17 68.3 123 105.6 51
114 Kent State 0-3 173.8 108 -6 66.6 125 107.2 44
115 Army 1-1 173.7 98 -17 89.8 89 83.9 116
116 UNLV 1-2 173.5 116 0 87.0 96 86.5 109
117 Buffalo 1-2 173.3 105 -12 86.1 100 87.2 106
118 Wake Forest 0-2 172.8 87 -31 59.6 128 113.2 30
119 Southern Miss 1-2 169.3 121 2 78.6 116 90.7 97
120 Idaho 0-2 167.0 118 -2 88.0 93 79.0 124
121 Massachusetts 0-3 163.5 128 7 79.0 114 84.5 114
122 Florida International 1-2 162.9 122 0 65.5 126 97.4 85
123 Georgia State 1-2 162.3 126 3 86.8 99 75.5 127
124 Old Dominion 2-1 161.4 120 -4 84.3 106 77.1 125
125 New Mexico State 2-1 160.8 124 -1 81.2 111 79.7 123
126 Appalachian State 1-1 159.0 125 -1 82.5 107 76.5 126
127 Eastern Michigan 1-2 158.4 127 0 69.0 122 89.4 98
128 Miami (Ohio) 0-3 156.8 123 -5 63.0 127 93.8 89