Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2016 NCAA S&P+ RATINGS, DEFENSE

through games of 1/2/17

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). S&P+ ratings are based around the core concepts of the Five Factors: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers.

While turnovers do not play a significant role in offensive and defensive ratings, here are the factors that do:

  • Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
  • IsoPPP: An explosiveness measure derived from determining the equivalent point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game. IsoPPP looks at only the per-play value of a team's successful plays (as defined by the Success Rate definition above); its goal is to separate the explosiveness component from the efficiency component altogether. For more information about IsoPPP, click here.
  • Redzone S&P+: This measures drive-finishing ability by looking at the success rate and IsoPPP measures for only plays that come after a first down inside the opponent's 40-yard line. Coaches start adjusting their play-calling for a shrinking field closer to the 40 than the 20, and there is more separation between good and bad offenses if you look at plays in this range instead of plays inside the 20-yard line (as the redzone is commonly defined).
  • FP+: This is an opponent-adjusted measure of your ability to create field position advantages. This is based on drive data instead of per-play data. For an offense, it looks at field position you create for your defense (with help from special teams, which is not yet stripped out of these numbers); for a defense, it looks at the opposite.
  • Opponent adjustments: Each team's output for a given category (Success Rate, IsoPPP, and split stats like rushing, passing, redzone, standard downs, passing downs, etc.) is compared to the expected output based upon their opponents. This is a schedule-based adjustment designed to reward tougher schedules and punish weaker ones. In the tables below, the "+" designation is for measures that are adjusted for opponent.
  • Garbage time adjustments: The S&P+ figures used in the tables below only look at the plays that took place while a game was deemed competitive. Garbage-time plays and possessions have been filtered out of the calculations. The criteria for "garbage time" are as follows: a game is not within 28 points in the first quarter, 24 points in the second quarter, 21 points in the third quarter, or 16 points in the fourth quarter.

Passing Downs are defined as:

  • second down with 8 or more yards to go
  • third or fourth down with 5 or more yards to go

All other downs are Standard Downs.

Overall offensive and defensive S&P+ ratings are communicated as adjusted scoring averages (points per game). Situational 'plus' ratings -- Rushing S&P+, Success Rate+, FP+, etc. -- are still delivered on a scale in which 100.0 is the national average, above 100 is good (offense or defense) and below 100 is bad.

Please note that in the split of rushing and passing S&P+, sacks are counted as passes, as in NFL data, and not runs as in official NCAA totals.

The first table below offers situational stats -- rushing, passing, standard downs (SD), and passing downs (PD) -- and a team's opponent-adjusted Success Rate and IsoPPP measures. The second table offers more Five Factors stats (FP+, Redzone S&P+), unadjusted Success Rate and IsoPPP measures, and three Havoc stats. Havoc Rate is a team's total tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles divided by total plays. (Learn more here.) Each's team's Havoc Rate and numbers specific to the front seven and secondary are shared below.

Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+
Rk Passing
S&P+
Rk SD
S&P+
Rk PD
S&P+
Rk Success
Rt+
Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
Alabama 5.9 1 190.4 1 163.8 2 164.0 1 184.7 1 168.8 1 177.6 1
Michigan 7.7 2 133.3 4 165.9 1 141.7 2 150.3 5 146.9 2 149.0 2
LSU 12.6 3 134.6 3 151.3 3 134.7 3 162.4 2 141.6 3 145.1 3
Florida 13.3 4 122.9 12 131.0 6 132.6 4 112.5 30 124.5 6 128.7 5
Ohio State 13.6 5 120.4 15 125.4 8 128.0 5 114.3 27 126.1 5 123.6 7
Clemson 13.8 6 113.6 26 133.5 4 111.0 27 153.5 3 124.2 7 121.6 12
Wisconsin 14.6 7 119.1 18 120.1 12 117.9 12 121.0 18 115.3 16 123.3 8
Washington 17.9 8 124.2 10 131.5 5 126.5 6 134.9 8 122.1 9 134.8 4
Auburn 18.3 9 120.8 14 110.3 31 120.5 9 103.2 59 114.1 21 117.2 17
Florida State 19.3 10 112.3 30 118.8 14 116.8 14 111.1 32 119.9 12 114.2 22
NC State 19.4 11 123.0 11 118.2 15 123.0 7 114.7 25 120.1 10 122.7 10
Colorado 19.6 12 111.9 32 124.4 9 115.3 17 129.9 10 119.1 13 120.0 13
Miami-FL 19.6 13 114.2 24 129.2 7 118.2 11 121.5 16 115.3 17 124.9 6
Penn State 19.8 14 113.6 25 103.8 48 108.9 35 105.5 52 110.0 33 107.2 41
Iowa 19.8 15 101.4 59 117.3 16 106.1 42 120.2 19 105.8 44 112.4 27
Temple 20.2 16 109.8 33 117.1 17 114.2 18 110.9 33 110.5 30 113.9 23
Virginia Tech 20.2 17 108.0 36 123.2 10 106.5 40 143.9 6 115.4 15 118.3 14
Stanford 20.8 18 116.6 20 113.0 26 120.1 10 109.4 37 118.9 14 116.9 18
Louisville 20.9 19 119.8 16 99.2 65 109.1 33 109.5 36 114.9 19 106.2 46
USC 20.9 20 119.8 17 119.8 13 116.5 15 125.9 14 122.5 8 118.1 15
Boston College 21.7 21 125.9 8 112.0 27 103.6 48 151.9 4 128.5 4 110.0 31
Wake Forest 22.0 22 100.2 63 107.3 41 98.1 72 116.1 21 105.2 46 103.0 57
Minnesota 22.3 23 117.3 19 113.7 25 122.6 8 100.3 69 112.6 25 116.8 19
San Diego State 22.8 24 131.2 6 105.1 44 111.8 23 123.7 15 112.7 24 118.0 16
Houston 22.8 25 132.1 5 108.5 34 110.6 30 129.4 11 119.9 11 114.5 21
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+
Rk Passing
S&P+
Rk SD
S&P+
Rk PD
S&P+
Rk Success
Rt+
Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
UCLA 23.2 26 116.2 21 114.4 23 110.9 28 135.3 7 110.1 32 123.0 9
Appalachian State 23.4 27 105.7 42 121.8 11 107.9 37 127.8 12 113.8 22 113.8 24
Notre Dame 23.4 28 114.5 23 94.1 86 107.8 38 105.3 53 106.7 41 109.0 36
BYU 23.6 29 126.4 7 96.8 77 117.3 13 94.0 90 103.2 52 112.5 26
Central Florida 23.7 30 96.8 79 116.6 19 103.2 49 113.6 28 106.2 42 106.2 47
Indiana 23.9 31 115.8 22 101.8 57 110.9 29 104.4 56 112.1 26 107.3 39
Northwestern 24.0 32 107.7 38 103.6 49 98.5 70 121.4 17 105.9 43 103.9 54
Nebraska 24.1 33 102.9 53 103.4 53 98.5 71 113.4 29 103.4 51 102.8 59
Georgia 24.4 34 113.3 28 111.6 29 114.1 19 105.8 51 105.2 47 116.7 20
Arkansas State 24.5 35 108.4 35 115.6 21 112.7 22 108.5 40 109.7 34 112.6 25
Texas A&M 25.6 36 104.3 47 100.2 60 99.7 63 110.9 34 101.9 57 103.4 55
West Virginia 25.9 37 112.0 31 108.4 36 111.2 26 109.9 35 114.7 20 109.0 35
Utah 25.9 38 104.9 46 111.9 28 109.0 34 106.2 49 107.8 38 109.3 33
Boise State 26.0 39 121.7 13 110.5 30 109.8 31 131.8 9 109.6 35 121.8 11
Vanderbilt 26.2 40 102.4 54 107.3 40 103.8 47 106.8 47 101.9 58 105.8 49
Michigan State 26.3 41 103.8 49 84.4 120 96.9 76 87.6 109 95.0 85 94.2 90
Western Kentucky 26.4 42 138.9 2 95.3 81 115.5 16 96.4 84 111.5 28 109.1 34
Kansas State 26.4 43 112.8 29 99.7 62 102.2 51 108.5 41 100.4 63 106.3 45
North Carolina 26.6 44 98.5 72 98.7 68 100.2 58 103.7 58 94.6 89 105.0 53
Troy 26.9 45 107.8 37 113.9 24 113.0 20 104.6 55 109.3 36 111.1 30
Utah State 27.0 46 103.6 51 115.7 20 105.3 44 114.7 26 103.2 53 112.3 28
Tulane 27.1 47 106.0 40 104.0 47 111.3 24 92.5 93 101.5 59 106.9 42
Duke 27.2 48 103.3 52 91.9 97 99.9 61 90.8 96 103.5 50 93.0 98
Oregon State 27.3 49 86.5 115 110.1 32 95.7 82 106.9 45 96.8 73 99.8 63
South Carolina 27.4 50 99.1 67 104.1 46 105.3 43 96.0 86 95.6 78 107.4 38
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+
Rk Passing
S&P+
Rk SD
S&P+
Rk PD
S&P+
Rk Success
Rt+
Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
TCU 27.5 51 100.0 64 115.1 22 111.3 25 104.0 57 112.0 27 107.2 40
Tennessee 27.8 52 95.4 85 106.1 43 93.2 99 120.2 20 98.4 67 101.1 61
Georgia State 27.8 53 91.7 97 116.9 18 100.3 57 107.5 44 97.6 71 105.9 48
Cincinnati 27.8 54 100.7 61 93.1 90 99.8 62 97.4 81 92.3 97 105.0 51
Oklahoma 27.9 55 103.7 50 107.6 39 108.4 36 102.3 61 114.9 18 102.9 58
Rutgers 28.1 56 92.4 95 92.4 94 93.9 94 85.6 113 95.2 83 88.8 107
Georgia Tech 28.3 57 91.1 100 97.4 75 93.4 98 98.0 78 89.1 112 98.7 67
Baylor 28.3 58 101.4 58 103.6 50 107.7 39 97.6 80 103.9 49 105.7 50
Illinois 28.4 59 82.9 124 94.0 87 93.4 97 77.6 125 91.6 101 87.1 113
Texas 28.4 60 105.7 41 107.8 38 109.7 32 106.8 46 107.5 39 111.4 29
Ohio 28.8 61 113.6 27 98.7 69 104.2 46 102.1 63 99.7 64 107.8 37
Pittsburgh 28.8 62 105.0 45 103.5 52 106.1 41 93.3 92 105.8 45 99.6 64
Arkansas 29.0 63 87.8 112 96.7 78 95.2 85 88.1 107 100.5 62 89.2 106
Washington State 29.1 64 105.4 44 90.2 104 97.4 74 96.6 83 96.6 74 97.3 75
Kent State 29.1 65 94.4 89 108.2 37 99.2 64 109.3 38 95.9 77 106.4 43
Oklahoma State 29.4 66 97.8 77 99.0 67 95.1 86 114.9 23 101.3 61 98.2 72
Army 29.4 67 103.8 48 94.6 84 92.5 103 108.4 43 98.2 68 95.9 83
UL-Lafayette 29.7 68 108.6 34 90.1 105 98.9 65 88.6 103 94.2 90 96.5 80
Western Michigan 29.7 69 93.4 91 97.6 74 96.8 77 92.4 94 95.5 80 95.3 86
South Alabama 30.0 70 84.8 118 90.5 101 88.3 115 84.4 116 87.0 119 87.0 114
Toledo 30.0 71 98.3 74 104.8 45 101.6 53 100.5 67 109.0 37 96.7 79
Ole Miss 30.0 72 99.6 66 98.4 71 98.6 69 100.0 71 103.1 54 96.0 82
Mississippi State 30.0 73 102.2 56 90.3 103 98.8 66 89.4 100 99.2 66 92.8 99
Memphis 30.0 74 90.1 104 101.7 58 97.3 75 90.7 98 93.5 93 96.9 78
Miami-OH 30.1 75 98.8 71 103.5 51 100.2 59 106.7 48 96.6 75 106.4 44
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+
Rk Passing
S&P+
Rk SD
S&P+
Rk PD
S&P+
Rk Success
Rt+
Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
Georgia Southern 30.5 76 95.3 86 91.7 98 93.5 96 94.0 91 93.5 94 93.2 97
Virginia 30.5 77 102.2 55 93.2 88 101.6 54 88.3 105 96.6 76 97.8 74
Tulsa 30.5 78 99.1 68 109.0 33 102.5 50 108.5 39 113.0 23 98.5 69
Maryland 30.7 79 76.2 127 95.5 80 84.8 123 88.4 104 80.3 127 87.8 111
Old Dominion 31.3 80 98.9 69 106.8 42 100.5 56 114.8 24 95.4 81 109.7 32
Colorado State 31.4 81 91.0 101 99.1 66 94.3 89 94.6 88 94.9 86 94.3 89
Kansas 31.5 82 90.2 103 108.4 35 100.7 55 98.4 72 101.9 56 98.7 68
Kentucky 31.6 83 93.0 93 99.3 64 98.7 67 88.3 106 89.6 111 99.3 65
Fresno State 31.6 84 95.6 84 102.5 56 98.7 68 97.7 79 92.2 98 103.3 56
Southern Miss 31.6 85 95.8 83 102.7 55 89.6 109 126.1 13 111.3 29 91.8 100
Air Force 31.6 86 124.3 9 91.7 99 112.9 21 86.3 110 110.3 31 98.3 71
Connecticut 32.3 87 98.3 73 82.3 122 86.3 122 94.3 89 84.5 121 90.4 103
Missouri 32.5 88 89.6 109 98.1 72 95.6 83 88.9 101 93.3 95 93.3 95
Central Michigan 32.5 89 96.8 80 98.5 70 95.0 87 100.5 66 99.4 65 96.3 81
Syracuse 32.6 90 87.8 113 87.2 114 91.0 106 79.7 121 95.5 79 82.6 125
UTSA 32.6 91 107.6 39 96.6 79 104.5 45 98.4 73 97.9 69 105.0 52
SMU 32.7 92 100.6 62 103.2 54 96.1 78 115.6 22 102.8 55 100.4 62
Iowa State 33.1 93 90.1 105 99.8 61 94.3 90 105.1 54 93.8 91 97.9 73
Northern Illinois 33.1 94 100.7 60 96.8 76 100.2 60 97.0 82 101.4 60 99.0 66
North Texas 33.1 95 89.4 110 101.1 59 93.8 95 98.3 74 97.7 70 93.6 93
Wyoming 33.4 96 96.6 81 97.6 73 92.4 104 100.6 65 105.0 48 88.5 109
Marshall 33.9 97 98.1 75 92.6 92 94.0 93 101.2 64 91.8 100 96.9 77
Idaho 34.0 98 99.6 65 90.0 106 89.6 110 106.1 50 94.8 88 93.5 94
Purdue 34.0 99 83.0 123 88.8 109 87.0 121 86.0 111 90.1 110 83.6 122
Navy 34.4 100 102.1 57 83.1 121 95.3 84 83.9 118 93.7 92 90.9 102
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+
Rk Passing
S&P+
Rk SD
S&P+
Rk PD
S&P+
Rk Success
Rt+
Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
Ball State 34.6 101 97.5 78 99.4 63 101.9 52 84.0 117 97.2 72 95.6 85
Eastern Michigan 34.9 102 93.0 92 91.5 100 90.8 107 102.4 60 87.2 117 97.0 76
Massachusetts 35.2 103 92.5 94 86.7 116 87.8 117 100.2 70 90.6 106 88.5 108
East Carolina 35.3 104 85.0 117 88.4 111 84.5 124 100.4 68 90.1 109 84.4 121
Arizona 35.4 105 95.1 88 87.8 113 95.8 81 86.0 112 91.3 103 93.7 92
California 36.0 106 86.4 116 94.4 85 95.9 80 79.5 122 91.0 104 90.3 104
Akron 36.0 107 89.7 107 90.3 102 94.3 91 83.5 119 91.0 105 90.1 105
Charlotte 36.1 108 105.7 43 89.2 108 97.8 73 88.9 102 93.0 96 95.8 84
Hawaii 36.2 109 94.2 90 93.0 91 91.5 105 102.2 62 92.0 99 95.1 87
South Florida 36.4 110 90.0 106 92.6 93 87.1 120 111.8 31 87.4 116 94.9 88
Buffalo 36.4 111 83.4 122 93.2 89 81.1 126 108.5 42 88.7 114 84.7 120
San Jose State 36.5 112 91.6 99 94.6 83 93.1 101 96.3 85 95.2 84 91.3 101
Louisiana Tech 36.6 113 98.9 70 92.3 95 95.9 79 98.1 76 90.5 107 101.3 60
Arizona State 36.9 114 92.1 96 91.9 96 88.3 114 98.0 77 106.9 40 83.3 124
Bowling Green 37.1 115 96.4 82 85.4 119 93.0 102 91.1 95 90.3 108 93.3 96
UNLV 37.2 116 84.5 121 89.7 107 87.5 118 89.7 99 87.2 118 88.0 110
Florida International 37.7 117 88.3 111 88.0 112 89.5 111 95.6 87 83.5 124 93.9 91
Middle Tennessee 38.6 118 89.7 108 94.6 82 93.2 100 98.3 75 87.5 115 98.4 70
Oregon 38.7 119 79.4 126 88.4 110 88.0 116 79.3 123 85.4 120 85.5 116
New Mexico State 38.9 120 95.1 87 79.3 126 88.7 113 85.2 114 88.9 113 85.1 119
New Mexico 39.0 121 97.8 76 86.6 117 94.6 88 79.2 124 94.8 87 85.7 115
Rice 39.1 122 91.7 98 79.6 125 94.2 92 69.0 128 95.3 82 79.4 127
UTEP 39.6 123 87.1 114 82.0 123 84.1 125 87.9 108 84.0 122 85.2 118
Nevada 39.7 124 84.8 119 79.9 124 87.4 119 73.0 127 76.9 128 87.1 112
Texas Tech 40.0 125 84.6 120 86.6 118 89.2 112 81.3 120 91.4 102 83.4 123
UL-Monroe 40.3 126 73.0 128 87.1 115 77.3 128 90.8 97 80.4 126 79.7 126
Texas State 41.2 127 82.2 125 74.6 128 77.8 127 84.9 115 81.6 125 77.5 128
Florida Atlantic 41.5 128 90.3 102 78.1 127 90.2 108 74.8 126 83.9 123 85.4 117
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate
Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc
Rk DB
Havoc
Rk
Alabama 5.9 1 27.9% 1 1.22 41 0.467 1 22.4% 3 14.0% 4 8.3% 13
Michigan 7.7 2 29.5% 2 1.18 23 0.471 2 23.9% 1 15.9% 2 7.9% 19
LSU 12.6 3 32.3% 4 1.22 45 0.502 3 18.9% 15 10.0% 44 8.8% 7
Florida 13.3 4 35.2% 9 1.22 42 0.526 6 18.1% 27 10.3% 37 7.7% 24
Ohio State 13.6 5 36.0% 14 1.24 53 0.535 11 18.6% 18 11.4% 23 7.2% 35
Clemson 13.8 6 35.2% 8 1.24 58 0.531 9 22.1% 4 13.9% 5 8.1% 15
Wisconsin 14.6 7 37.5% 27 1.15 11 0.530 7 19.3% 13 11.2% 25 7.9% 20
Washington 17.9 8 35.7% 13 1.12 4 0.510 4 17.9% 32 9.1% 60 8.6% 9
Auburn 18.3 9 39.0% 33 1.21 37 0.555 30 18.4% 21 9.9% 46 8.4% 10
Florida State 19.3 10 36.7% 21 1.34 103 0.561 34 18.4% 22 12.2% 15 6.0% 71
NC State 19.4 11 36.7% 20 1.24 57 0.542 16 18.5% 20 11.5% 22 6.8% 42
Colorado 19.6 12 36.9% 24 1.27 71 0.549 23 17.9% 31 8.0% 85 9.7% 1
Miami-FL 19.6 13 38.4% 30 1.16 17 0.540 15 18.5% 19 12.7% 9 5.7% 89
Penn State 19.8 14 39.1% 36 1.23 51 0.560 33 17.9% 30 11.9% 18 5.9% 78
Iowa 19.8 15 38.0% 28 1.16 15 0.535 11 15.2% 72 9.9% 49 5.2% 105
Temple 20.2 16 35.3% 10 1.24 56 0.531 10 19.5% 12 13.5% 7 5.0% 111
Virginia Tech 20.2 17 37.2% 25 1.25 63 0.549 22 20.6% 8 12.5% 12 7.9% 21
Stanford 20.8 18 39.0% 32 1.24 52 0.559 32 16.1% 53 9.2% 56 6.7% 44
Louisville 20.9 19 36.2% 15 1.30 94 0.550 24 18.3% 23 11.7% 19 6.6% 52
USC 20.9 20 36.4% 17 1.35 107 0.561 34 17.2% 35 8.5% 73 8.4% 12
Boston College 21.7 21 32.1% 3 1.48 125 0.554 29 22.8% 2 16.1% 1 6.6% 54
Wake Forest 22.0 22 40.4% 44 1.22 39 0.566 39 18.1% 28 12.6% 10 5.5% 94
Minnesota 22.3 23 36.2% 15 1.20 32 0.530 8 18.3% 24 11.7% 21 6.6% 53
San Diego State 22.8 24 36.5% 18 1.22 46 0.536 13 18.3% 25 8.4% 76 9.0% 5
Houston 22.8 25 35.5% 11 1.31 98 0.546 20 19.8% 10 12.0% 17 7.7% 26
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate
Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc
Rk DB
Havoc
Rk
UCLA 23.2 26 39.8% 41 1.12 5 0.543 18 15.9% 58 8.6% 71 7.1% 36
Appalachian State 23.4 27 36.5% 19 1.30 95 0.553 26 15.7% 62 10.0% 45 5.7% 86
Notre Dame 23.4 28 43.0% 71 1.15 10 0.574 49 13.4% 102 8.9% 64 4.5% 121
BYU 23.6 29 40.2% 43 1.25 59 0.571 45 17.6% 33 12.4% 14 5.2% 108
Central Florida 23.7 30 36.9% 23 1.29 90 0.553 27 20.1% 9 13.4% 8 6.6% 47
Indiana 23.9 31 36.8% 22 1.26 67 0.547 21 19.2% 14 11.4% 24 7.8% 23
Northwestern 24.0 32 41.4% 52 1.20 30 0.570 43 16.1% 51 9.3% 53 6.7% 45
Nebraska 24.1 33 40.8% 48 1.23 50 0.573 47 15.5% 65 6.4% 122 9.1% 4
Georgia 24.4 34 39.0% 34 1.15 12 0.542 17 15.9% 59 8.4% 78 7.4% 30
Arkansas State 24.5 35 34.2% 5 1.23 49 0.520 5 21.1% 6 12.5% 13 8.3% 14
Texas A&M 25.6 36 41.8% 58 1.24 54 0.582 55 18.9% 16 11.7% 20 7.2% 34
West Virginia 25.9 37 40.4% 46 1.28 77 0.579 51 13.9% 97 5.2% 128 8.6% 8
Utah 25.9 38 39.3% 38 1.26 69 0.567 42 21.2% 5 12.5% 11 8.4% 11
Boise State 26.0 39 40.1% 42 1.12 6 0.545 19 14.7% 86 6.8% 113 5.7% 85
Vanderbilt 26.2 40 42.8% 68 1.27 76 0.597 71 16.0% 55 8.4% 77 7.5% 28
Michigan State 26.3 41 42.9% 69 1.22 40 0.587 59 12.8% 110 7.4% 105 4.8% 115
Western Kentucky 26.4 42 39.2% 37 1.28 80 0.570 43 18.2% 26 11.0% 27 6.6% 51
Kansas State 26.4 43 44.2% 85 1.21 36 0.596 70 16.2% 50 10.3% 38 5.9% 76
North Carolina 26.6 44 44.9% 97 1.17 19 0.593 64 12.6% 112 7.9% 91 4.6% 119
Troy 26.9 45 35.7% 12 1.26 66 0.538 14 18.9% 17 10.9% 31 7.9% 18
Utah State 27.0 46 42.6% 64 1.15 13 0.571 46 12.7% 111 6.8% 112 5.9% 77
Tulane 27.1 47 39.0% 35 1.19 27 0.551 25 17.0% 36 11.0% 29 5.9% 75
Duke 27.2 48 41.5% 54 1.41 120 0.614 95 16.3% 47 7.0% 108 9.2% 2
Oregon State 27.3 49 44.4% 89 1.22 43 0.599 73 13.0% 107 6.7% 115 6.3% 61
South Carolina 27.4 50 44.7% 95 1.16 16 0.590 62 14.3% 93 8.3% 81 6.1% 70
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate
Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc
Rk DB
Havoc
Rk
TCU 27.5 51 39.8% 39 1.33 102 0.583 57 15.3% 70 8.5% 74 6.6% 50
Tennessee 27.8 52 42.2% 60 1.23 48 0.583 56 16.6% 43 10.2% 42 6.2% 63
Georgia State 27.8 53 43.0% 71 1.07 1 0.559 31 11.0% 127 6.8% 114 4.2% 125
Cincinnati 27.8 54 43.8% 83 1.11 2 0.573 48 14.6% 88 8.0% 86 6.6% 49
Oklahoma 27.9 55 40.6% 47 1.27 75 0.579 52 14.5% 91 8.9% 65 5.6% 92
Rutgers 28.1 56 43.6% 80 1.38 115 0.624 109 14.3% 92 7.8% 94 6.4% 56
Georgia Tech 28.3 57 46.1% 109 1.13 8 0.595 69 11.9% 123 6.5% 120 5.3% 101
Baylor 28.3 58 42.7% 66 1.21 35 0.584 58 16.7% 42 7.5% 104 9.2% 3
Illinois 28.4 59 45.3% 105 1.22 44 0.607 84 16.1% 52 11.2% 26 4.9% 113
Texas 28.4 60 43.3% 77 1.21 33 0.588 60 17.0% 37 10.3% 39 6.7% 46
Ohio 28.8 61 39.8% 40 1.17 22 0.553 27 19.7% 11 13.6% 6 5.8% 81
Pittsburgh 28.8 62 41.7% 56 1.35 108 0.603 81 15.4% 67 9.1% 59 6.1% 67
Arkansas 29.0 63 44.3% 87 1.37 113 0.629 111 15.9% 60 9.0% 61 6.6% 48
Washington State 29.1 64 44.4% 91 1.29 81 0.612 92 14.5% 90 7.8% 95 6.8% 43
Kent State 29.1 65 40.8% 49 1.20 28 0.566 39 15.0% 79 7.8% 96 7.2% 33
Oklahoma State 29.4 66 43.7% 82 1.28 78 0.605 82 16.3% 46 10.9% 30 5.4% 98
Army 29.4 67 38.6% 31 1.26 68 0.562 36 16.9% 39 9.9% 48 6.8% 40
UL-Lafayette 29.7 68 41.5% 53 1.24 55 0.580 53 15.2% 73 9.7% 51 5.3% 104
Western Michigan 29.7 69 40.4% 45 1.27 73 0.578 50 16.9% 38 10.8% 32 5.9% 79
South Alabama 30.0 70 43.1% 73 1.25 62 0.595 68 16.8% 40 8.9% 63 7.6% 27
Toledo 30.0 71 38.1% 29 1.38 116 0.581 54 14.8% 84 8.6% 69 6.1% 68
Ole Miss 30.0 72 42.5% 62 1.35 109 0.610 88 13.6% 99 7.5% 102 6.2% 66
Mississippi State 30.0 73 42.4% 61 1.39 117 0.617 99 14.8% 82 10.3% 36 4.5% 122
Memphis 30.0 74 46.6% 114 1.25 60 0.622 106 15.2% 74 6.1% 125 8.9% 6
Miami-OH 30.1 75 41.7% 57 1.17 18 0.566 41 16.5% 44 8.7% 68 7.9% 22
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate
Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc
Rk DB
Havoc
Rk
Georgia Southern 30.5 76 43.1% 76 1.29 88 0.603 80 15.0% 80 10.6% 33 4.4% 123
Virginia 30.5 77 44.4% 92 1.32 101 0.620 102 15.9% 57 10.5% 34 5.4% 95
Tulsa 30.5 78 35.1% 7 1.41 121 0.563 37 15.5% 64 9.9% 47 5.3% 100
Maryland 30.7 79 46.3% 112 1.16 14 0.601 77 14.6% 87 9.3% 55 5.0% 110
Old Dominion 31.3 80 41.3% 50 1.17 20 0.563 38 16.2% 49 10.2% 40 6.0% 72
Colorado State 31.4 81 44.1% 84 1.28 79 0.609 86 14.8% 81 9.8% 50 4.9% 112
Kansas 31.5 82 44.5% 93 1.29 92 0.615 96 18.1% 28 11.0% 28 6.8% 39
Kentucky 31.6 83 47.4% 117 1.17 21 0.613 93 13.3% 104 8.0% 87 5.3% 102
Fresno State 31.6 84 45.9% 108 1.12 3 0.591 63 11.7% 126 6.4% 121 5.2% 106
Southern Miss 31.6 85 35.0% 6 1.57 127 0.593 66 20.9% 7 14.5% 3 6.4% 57
Air Force 31.6 86 37.3% 26 1.47 124 0.593 66 17.3% 34 10.2% 41 6.8% 41
Connecticut 32.3 87 45.3% 104 1.20 29 0.602 79 12.1% 119 6.7% 117 5.3% 103
Missouri 32.5 88 44.4% 89 1.29 92 0.613 94 15.5% 66 9.3% 54 6.2% 64
Central Michigan 32.5 89 43.1% 73 1.29 82 0.602 78 15.4% 68 9.5% 52 5.8% 84
Syracuse 32.6 90 45.2% 102 1.47 123 0.655 126 12.0% 120 7.9% 90 4.1% 126
UTSA 32.6 91 41.5% 55 1.29 84 0.590 61 16.0% 56 8.6% 70 7.4% 31
SMU 32.7 92 41.9% 59 1.29 88 0.593 65 15.0% 77 8.6% 72 6.5% 55
Iowa State 33.1 93 48.5% 120 1.18 24 0.624 108 16.0% 54 8.0% 89 8.1% 17
Northern Illinois 33.1 94 43.4% 79 1.29 85 0.605 83 14.6% 89 8.3% 82 6.3% 59
North Texas 33.1 95 43.3% 78 1.31 99 0.609 87 14.3% 94 6.8% 111 7.5% 29
Wyoming 33.4 96 41.4% 51 1.45 122 0.621 104 15.0% 76 9.1% 58 5.8% 82
Marshall 33.9 97 45.3% 105 1.34 104 0.630 113 15.6% 63 8.3% 79 7.3% 32
Idaho 34.0 98 43.6% 81 1.26 65 0.600 76 14.7% 85 7.8% 93 6.2% 65
Purdue 34.0 99 45.5% 107 1.34 105 0.632 116 12.0% 121 8.1% 83 3.7% 128
Navy 34.4 100 46.8% 115 1.27 74 0.629 112 13.1% 106 7.7% 97 5.4% 99
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate
Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc
Rk DB
Havoc
Rk
Ball State 34.6 101 42.5% 63 1.36 110 0.612 91 16.7% 41 10.5% 35 6.3% 60
Eastern Michigan 34.9 102 48.2% 119 1.13 7 0.611 90 14.2% 96 8.0% 88 6.0% 73
Massachusetts 35.2 103 44.3% 86 1.31 96 0.616 98 15.0% 78 8.8% 66 5.9% 80
East Carolina 35.3 104 45.3% 103 1.37 114 0.637 117 12.2% 118 7.1% 107 4.9% 114
Arizona 35.4 105 46.5% 113 1.23 47 0.617 100 12.9% 109 6.3% 123 6.3% 62
California 36.0 106 49.0% 123 1.29 87 0.650 121 12.0% 122 5.8% 127 6.1% 69
Akron 36.0 107 45.1% 99 1.25 61 0.611 89 13.2% 105 7.5% 101 5.7% 88
Charlotte 36.1 108 42.7% 65 1.29 86 0.599 75 13.6% 100 7.7% 98 5.8% 83
Hawaii 36.2 109 45.1% 100 1.27 72 0.615 97 13.5% 101 8.0% 84 5.4% 97
South Florida 36.4 110 44.9% 98 1.20 30 0.599 74 13.3% 103 7.5% 103 5.6% 90
Buffalo 36.4 111 44.3% 88 1.27 70 0.608 85 12.9% 108 8.3% 80 4.5% 120
San Jose State 36.5 112 44.6% 94 1.35 106 0.626 110 15.3% 69 8.5% 75 6.9% 38
Louisiana Tech 36.6 113 48.1% 118 1.18 25 0.620 103 15.3% 71 7.4% 106 7.7% 25
Arizona State 36.9 114 42.8% 67 1.59 128 0.661 127 16.3% 45 12.1% 16 4.0% 127
Bowling Green 37.1 115 45.1% 101 1.29 91 0.619 101 12.6% 113 6.9% 109 5.6% 91
UNLV 37.2 116 44.8% 96 1.32 100 0.622 105 16.3% 48 7.8% 92 8.1% 16
Florida International 37.7 117 49.1% 124 1.25 64 0.644 119 12.5% 114 7.6% 100 4.8% 116
Middle Tennessee 38.6 118 46.2% 111 1.14 9 0.598 72 14.8% 83 9.0% 62 5.4% 96
Oregon 38.7 119 50.6% 128 1.18 26 0.641 118 12.3% 115 7.6% 99 4.6% 118
New Mexico State 38.9 120 46.1% 110 1.39 117 0.647 120 13.7% 98 8.8% 67 4.8% 117
New Mexico 39.0 121 43.0% 70 1.40 119 0.623 107 15.7% 61 9.2% 57 6.4% 58
Rice 39.1 122 43.1% 75 1.55 126 0.655 124 15.2% 75 10.1% 43 5.1% 109
UTEP 39.6 123 48.5% 121 1.21 38 0.631 114 12.2% 117 6.5% 119 5.5% 93
Nevada 39.7 124 48.7% 122 1.21 34 0.632 115 12.2% 116 6.1% 126 6.0% 74
Texas Tech 40.0 125 49.4% 126 1.36 111 0.668 128 11.9% 125 6.2% 124 5.7% 87
UL-Monroe 40.3 126 49.5% 127 1.29 83 0.653 123 14.2% 95 6.9% 110 6.9% 37
Texas State 41.2 127 47.2% 116 1.37 112 0.651 122 11.0% 128 6.7% 116 4.3% 124
Florida Atlantic 41.5 128 49.2% 125 1.31 97 0.655 125 11.9% 124 6.7% 118 5.2% 107