Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

printable version

Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

2015 NCAA S&P+ RATINGS, DEFENSE

through games of 1/2/16

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). S&P+ ratings are based around the core concepts of the Five Factors: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers.

While turnovers do not play a significant role in offensive and defensive ratings, here are the factors that do:

  • Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
  • IsoPPP: An explosiveness measure derived from determining the equivalent point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game. IsoPPP looks at only the per-play value of a team's successful plays (as defined by the Success Rate definition above); its goal is to separate the explosiveness component from the efficiency component altogether. For more information about IsoPPP, click here.
  • Redzone S&P+: This measures drive-finishing ability by looking at the success rate and IsoPPP measures for only plays that come after a first down inside the opponent's 40-yard line. Coaches start adjusting their play-calling for a shrinking field closer to the 40 than the 20, and there is more separation between good and bad offenses if you look at plays in this range instead of plays inside the 20-yard line (as the redzone is commonly defined).
  • FP+: This is an opponent-adjusted measure of your ability to create field position advantages. This is based on drive data instead of per-play data. For an offense, it looks at field position you create for your defense (with help from special teams, which is not yet stripped out of these numbers); for a defense, it looks at the opposite.
  • Opponent adjustments: Each team's output for a given category (Success Rate, IsoPPP, and split stats like rushing, passing, redzone, standard downs, passing downs, etc.) is compared to the expected output based upon their opponents. This is a schedule-based adjustment designed to reward tougher schedules and punish weaker ones. In the tables below, the "+" designation is for measures that are adjusted for opponent.
  • Garbage time adjustments: The S&P+ figures used in the tables below only look at the plays that took place while a game was deemed competitive. Garbage-time plays and possessions have been filtered out of the calculations. The criteria for "garbage time" are as follows: a game is not within 28 points in the first quarter, 24 points in the second quarter, 21 points in the third quarter, or 16 points in the fourth quarter.

Passing Downs are defined as:

  • second down with 8 or more yards to go
  • third or fourth down with 5 or more yards to go

All other downs are Standard Downs.

Overall offensive and defensive S&P+ ratings are communicated as adjusted scoring averages (points per game). Situational 'plus' ratings -- Rushing S&P+, Success Rate+, FP+, etc. -- are still delivered on a scale in which 100.0 is the national average, above 100 is good (offense or defense) and below 100 is bad.

Please note that in the split of rushing and passing S&P+, sacks are counted as passes, as in NFL data, and not runs as in official NCAA totals.

The first table below offers situational stats -- rushing, passing, standard downs (SD), and passing downs (PD) -- and a team's opponent-adjusted Success Rate and IsoPPP measures. The second table offers more Five Factors stats (FP+, Redzone S&P+), unadjusted Success Rate and IsoPPP measures, and three Havoc stats. Havoc Rate is a team's total tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles divided by total plays. (Learn more here.) Each's team's Havoc Rate and numbers specific to the front seven and secondary are shared below.

Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk SD
S&P+		 Rk PD
S&P+		 Rk Success
Rt+		 Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
Alabama 9.0 1 152.9 1 148.1 1 145.5 1 148.3 3 156.6 1 143.9 1
Boston College 12.4 2 151.8 2 119.9 14 119.0 10 159.2 1 133.0 2 134.4 2
Michigan 13.6 3 110.4 34 121.9 13 114.1 20 120.7 19 117.6 14 115.3 23
Northwestern 14.6 4 116.3 22 124.7 9 113.9 21 130.7 10 118.0 11 122.3 12
Wisconsin 15.4 5 120.6 13 125.6 8 119.7 8 132.8 7 116.3 16 127.9 6
Clemson 16.0 6 121.5 9 128.5 6 138.8 2 100.8 68 128.5 3 122.9 11
Florida 16.5 7 121.8 6 123.8 11 110.9 28 149.2 2 120.0 8 125.7 9
Washington 16.6 8 121.2 10 113.7 27 118.2 12 122.4 17 114.9 20 123.9 10
Ohio State 16.7 9 118.8 16 138.2 3 122.1 6 140.5 4 123.3 5 133.0 3
Missouri 17.6 10 120.0 14 117.3 15 116.2 14 122.7 15 111.3 30 127.0 8
Georgia 18.7 11 116.9 19 113.1 28 115.2 17 112.6 28 114.6 23 113.8 29
Vanderbilt 18.8 12 106.8 43 116.6 19 113.3 22 110.3 35 109.6 36 115.1 26
Michigan State 19.3 13 119.2 15 123.5 12 124.6 4 109.0 41 116.1 17 122.0 13
Florida State 19.4 14 116.0 24 130.8 5 125.8 3 115.5 24 113.9 24 131.0 4
Illinois 19.4 15 102.2 58 117.0 16 113.1 23 100.5 69 106.3 46 111.4 35
Penn State 19.7 16 109.8 37 124.5 10 105.3 45 135.2 6 109.9 34 118.6 15
Minnesota 20.1 17 96.2 81 116.9 17 105.3 46 110.0 36 100.3 66 112.8 32
Utah 20.2 18 127.7 4 113.8 25 122.6 5 114.4 25 111.7 29 127.0 7
Kent State 21.0 19 100.4 64 111.5 32 107.1 40 108.8 43 106.8 42 108.5 40
Tennessee 21.1 20 112.0 32 108.3 41 104.9 48 123.9 14 111.3 31 109.5 39
Louisville 21.2 21 120.7 12 104.4 51 112.7 24 106.4 50 109.8 35 114.0 27
Oklahoma 21.3 22 116.1 23 131.4 4 122.0 7 126.7 12 118.9 9 128.0 5
Ole Miss 21.4 23 117.7 17 114.6 23 111.9 25 117.8 20 112.0 28 116.8 20
Temple 21.7 24 113.3 28 113.1 29 108.7 32 121.4 18 116.9 15 110.2 36
Toledo 21.8 25 121.6 8 112.0 30 118.0 13 110.0 37 112.6 27 117.6 19
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk SD
S&P+		 Rk PD
S&P+		 Rk Success
Rt+		 Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
San Diego State 21.9 26 122.9 5 109.3 38 107.6 37 137.2 5 115.1 19 115.4 22
Texas A&M 22.4 27 95.8 82 138.7 2 107.4 39 126.2 13 113.6 26 113.1 31
LSU 22.5 28 108.6 40 128.0 7 114.6 19 132.7 8 121.8 6 120.1 14
Auburn 22.7 29 104.8 49 113.8 26 109.1 30 112.5 29 106.6 44 115.1 25
West Virginia 22.9 30 130.1 3 114.7 22 119.5 9 122.7 16 126.8 4 118.0 16
BYU 23.1 31 98.5 72 104.9 49 99.5 65 110.7 33 102.6 54 104.4 48
Connecticut 23.2 32 104.1 52 104.2 54 105.2 47 99.8 71 101.2 63 106.1 44
Iowa 23.3 33 115.1 25 106.6 44 110.3 29 110.0 38 106.3 45 113.6 30
Notre Dame 23.3 34 102.9 56 108.7 39 103.0 53 110.5 34 110.0 33 102.7 57
Utah State 23.4 35 121.2 11 110.1 36 115.9 15 107.8 46 114.7 22 113.8 28
Boise State 23.7 36 121.7 7 104.5 50 115.0 18 97.8 77 120.9 7 100.9 64
Akron 24.2 37 116.5 21 108.6 40 111.2 27 111.3 30 101.8 59 117.9 17
Mississippi State 24.2 38 104.8 50 107.0 43 102.4 55 116.0 23 101.8 58 110.2 37
Virginia Tech 24.4 39 108.6 41 105.0 48 108.4 35 104.5 56 118.4 10 101.0 63
Appalachian State 24.7 40 107.5 42 104.3 52 108.8 31 105.5 53 101.5 61 112.6 33
USC 25.0 41 112.5 30 105.3 47 108.7 33 109.1 40 114.8 21 106.8 42
Marshall 25.1 42 93.3 87 110.0 37 104.4 51 101.4 66 96.2 77 108.1 41
Stanford 25.2 43 102.3 57 103.8 57 102.4 54 109.5 39 106.6 43 103.1 55
NC State 25.3 44 106.0 44 92.6 90 96.8 80 107.1 48 105.6 48 96.4 79
Maryland 25.3 45 111.0 33 97.1 75 99.6 64 111.3 31 108.1 39 100.5 65
Wake Forest 25.7 46 114.8 26 93.4 85 101.6 56 106.8 49 103.2 52 104.0 51
Georgia Southern 25.7 47 116.5 20 104.1 56 104.9 49 131.4 9 106.2 47 112.2 34
UCLA 25.7 48 100.7 62 116.7 18 104.7 50 129.3 11 105.1 49 116.2 21
South Florida 25.9 49 103.7 54 103.0 59 99.7 63 113.3 27 104.8 50 103.2 54
Pittsburgh 26.0 50 103.8 53 115.3 21 115.9 16 95.6 82 116.0 18 103.7 53
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk SD
S&P+		 Rk PD
S&P+		 Rk Success
Rt+		 Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
Navy 26.3 51 112.4 31 102.0 60 107.5 38 92.7 91 97.7 71 106.5 43
Miami-FL 26.5 52 86.0 115 110.6 33 94.0 89 116.7 21 98.4 69 101.3 60
Northern Illinois 26.6 53 100.6 63 98.6 66 97.7 75 106.2 52 95.3 84 104.3 49
Nebraska 26.6 54 110.4 35 95.0 81 97.4 77 103.0 61 107.8 41 94.4 89
Georgia Tech 26.7 55 95.4 83 99.2 63 98.2 69 98.2 76 96.2 78 99.9 66
Duke 26.9 56 105.7 45 89.7 99 97.9 72 95.1 86 93.6 91 99.1 71
Ohio 27.0 57 99.9 66 110.4 34 106.0 43 103.6 59 109.4 37 101.9 59
Central Michigan 27.3 58 94.2 85 98.3 70 93.6 91 107.6 47 94.2 89 99.4 70
TCU 27.9 59 109.3 39 112.0 31 111.8 26 108.6 44 113.9 25 109.6 38
Western Kentucky 28.0 60 103.1 55 97.6 73 103.6 52 94.7 88 101.0 64 99.8 67
Bowling Green 28.1 61 99.9 67 99.7 62 108.3 36 84.2 111 95.2 86 102.7 56
Texas 28.2 62 97.3 78 116.3 20 106.0 42 113.6 26 101.8 57 115.2 24
Houston 28.2 63 112.8 29 95.7 80 99.1 67 104.8 54 100.0 67 102.2 58
Iowa State 28.3 64 101.5 60 98.4 69 99.9 62 99.4 73 95.3 85 104.3 50
Arkansas 28.3 65 102.0 59 84.6 115 90.2 106 95.3 85 91.1 99 92.3 93
Syracuse 29.0 66 92.6 90 86.6 111 89.1 109 90.9 95 85.8 118 92.7 92
Air Force 29.0 67 105.5 47 95.8 79 97.4 78 101.8 65 117.9 12 88.0 105
Kentucky 29.2 68 89.7 99 86.8 109 87.7 115 90.1 98 86.8 113 89.2 101
East Carolina 29.2 69 97.2 79 97.7 71 97.6 76 99.5 72 96.4 76 99.8 68
Oklahoma State 29.4 70 104.7 51 107.7 42 106.6 41 108.2 45 109.4 38 105.3 46
Southern Miss 29.4 71 98.0 76 96.0 77 100.0 61 93.4 90 103.7 51 93.8 91
North Carolina 29.5 72 85.6 116 104.1 55 94.4 87 98.5 75 87.9 109 99.7 69
Purdue 29.5 73 86.6 113 91.0 95 86.6 118 96.8 80 95.1 87 86.6 107
Washington State 29.7 74 92.3 92 113.9 24 105.8 44 97.6 78 103.0 53 103.9 52
Baylor 29.8 75 116.9 18 110.4 35 118.7 11 103.4 60 110.5 32 117.6 18
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk SD
S&P+		 Rk PD
S&P+		 Rk Success
Rt+		 Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
Florida Atlantic 29.8 76 86.6 112 106.1 46 98.2 70 104.8 55 96.0 81 101.2 62
Virginia 29.9 77 99.1 70 93.3 87 98.5 68 92.5 92 99.9 68 94.2 90
Troy 29.9 78 98.2 75 94.4 82 96.4 82 111.2 32 89.6 102 104.8 47
Memphis 30.0 79 105.0 48 92.5 92 96.0 83 104.3 57 101.9 56 96.8 76
Louisiana Tech 30.2 80 109.9 36 93.3 86 100.0 59 104.2 58 101.8 60 101.3 61
Arizona State 30.8 81 114.7 27 98.9 65 108.6 34 94.5 89 117.9 13 95.7 82
Middle Tennessee 30.9 82 89.6 100 83.1 118 87.1 116 88.6 104 87.9 108 85.6 116
Kansas State 30.9 83 91.2 95 98.5 68 92.8 93 102.7 62 96.1 80 94.5 87
California 31.0 84 98.3 74 94.2 84 95.4 84 102.3 63 96.5 74 96.4 78
Miami-OH 31.2 85 97.6 77 97.6 72 100.3 58 97.1 79 102.0 55 96.5 77
Fresno State 31.4 86 89.1 104 91.5 94 94.5 86 80.0 119 91.3 98 90.3 99
San Jose State 31.5 87 88.1 106 106.3 45 91.7 96 101.0 67 93.2 93 94.4 88
Buffalo 31.6 88 87.1 110 86.4 112 88.7 110 85.6 108 83.5 124 88.8 102
Colorado 31.8 89 91.1 96 99.1 64 93.7 90 99.1 74 95.9 82 95.4 83
Colorado State 31.9 90 89.3 102 92.5 91 94.4 88 77.3 124 91.0 100 86.2 110
Arkansas State 31.9 91 99.8 68 103.6 58 97.8 74 108.9 42 107.9 40 97.6 74
Charlotte 32.1 92 89.6 101 98.5 67 91.4 97 106.3 51 96.1 79 94.5 86
Western Michigan 32.2 93 89.2 103 96.4 76 92.1 94 95.4 84 101.4 62 88.3 104
Oregon 32.3 94 87.4 108 104.3 53 99.1 66 95.6 83 100.8 65 97.0 75
South Carolina 32.4 95 87.9 107 87.4 105 90.4 104 82.7 116 84.1 122 89.2 100
Georgia State 32.5 96 109.7 38 94.3 83 97.8 73 116.6 22 95.4 83 105.9 45
Cincinnati 32.6 97 84.5 119 97.3 74 88.3 112 102.0 64 91.8 96 91.0 97
Massachusetts 33.0 98 101.5 61 85.1 113 95.0 85 91.5 93 87.5 111 98.4 73
Nevada 33.6 99 92.1 93 89.5 101 92.9 92 85.8 107 88.2 106 91.6 96
Hawaii 33.8 100 97.0 80 87.0 107 90.9 101 100.3 70 86.2 117 95.8 81
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk SD
S&P+		 Rk PD
S&P+		 Rk Success
Rt+		 Rk IsoPPP+ Rk
Tulane 33.9 101 98.4 73 88.0 104 91.7 95 91.0 94 91.6 97 90.8 98
Florida International 34.0 102 81.3 122 89.2 102 85.6 120 94.8 87 79.3 126 94.6 85
Oregon State 34.4 103 90.2 97 86.8 110 91.1 99 87.1 105 93.5 92 88.5 103
UTSA 34.5 104 99.7 69 87.3 106 97.1 79 86.5 106 91.8 95 94.9 84
UL-Monroe 34.6 105 105.6 46 89.6 100 101.5 57 90.6 96 97.5 73 98.4 72
South Alabama 34.7 106 91.3 94 101.5 61 100.0 60 90.2 97 97.7 72 96.3 80
New Mexico 35.0 107 95.2 84 84.1 116 90.8 102 83.6 114 92.7 94 85.1 117
Indiana 35.5 108 87.4 109 92.9 89 91.3 98 89.0 101 97.7 70 86.1 112
Old Dominion 35.6 109 87.0 111 90.8 97 88.5 111 96.7 81 84.8 121 92.3 94
Central Florida 35.8 110 88.3 105 87.0 108 89.5 108 84.1 112 90.8 101 86.2 111
UL-Lafayette 36.5 111 92.3 91 92.0 93 98.2 71 83.6 113 93.7 90 92.1 95
Arizona 36.7 112 100.3 65 80.9 121 96.7 81 78.8 123 94.3 88 87.4 106
Wyoming 37.1 113 93.0 89 80.5 122 91.0 100 77.3 125 86.7 115 85.9 114
UNLV 37.3 114 78.8 127 85.1 114 80.3 127 89.2 100 85.3 119 80.3 125
Rutgers 37.3 115 89.8 98 75.0 128 80.7 126 80.3 118 87.9 110 75.3 128
Ball State 37.4 116 93.9 86 75.2 127 87.8 114 76.9 126 81.5 125 85.9 115
Army 38.0 117 93.3 88 80.5 123 85.8 119 85.2 109 88.5 105 82.3 120
UTEP 38.9 118 98.7 71 82.1 119 89.5 107 89.0 102 96.4 75 83.9 118
SMU 39.2 119 79.6 125 82.0 120 79.7 128 88.8 103 86.7 116 76.9 126
North Texas 39.3 120 81.6 121 90.3 98 88.2 113 84.8 110 88.7 104 86.4 108
Kansas 39.9 121 81.0 123 90.8 96 90.5 103 79.3 120 88.1 107 86.3 109
Tulsa 40.1 122 81.7 120 84.0 117 84.0 122 82.7 115 86.8 114 81.4 122
Rice 40.9 123 86.1 114 76.4 125 83.6 123 75.9 128 85.1 120 76.8 127
Texas Tech 41.2 124 80.3 124 93.0 88 90.2 105 79.2 121 87.3 112 86.0 113
Idaho 42.2 125 78.9 126 88.6 103 81.6 125 89.3 99 83.6 123 81.8 121
New Mexico State 42.6 126 85.3 117 80.3 124 87.0 117 79.1 122 88.9 103 80.9 124
Texas State 42.8 127 85.2 118 76.0 126 84.6 121 76.7 127 78.9 128 83.4 119
Eastern Michigan 42.9 128 72.3 128 96.0 78 81.6 124 82.3 117 79.1 127 81.0 123
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate		 Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc		 Rk DB
Havoc		 Rk
Alabama 9.0 1 29.7% 2 1.27 75 0.493 2 22.9% 1 14.4% 3 8.6% 10
Boston College 12.4 2 29.1% 1 1.26 67 0.484 1 22.5% 2 17.1% 1 5.4% 93
Michigan 13.6 3 34.9% 12 1.26 68 0.531 13 19.3% 15 10.5% 40 8.8% 9
Northwestern 14.6 4 35.7% 18 1.14 15 0.515 7 18.8% 21 11.6% 23 6.9% 39
Wisconsin 15.4 5 33.4% 6 1.17 23 0.502 3 18.8% 20 12.1% 15 6.8% 48
Clemson 16.0 6 32.9% 4 1.40 111 0.542 25 20.7% 5 14.1% 5 6.4% 63
Florida 16.5 7 34.3% 10 1.23 55 0.521 10 19.7% 12 11.7% 21 8.1% 16
Washington 16.6 8 39.4% 50 1.16 19 0.546 28 17.8% 35 11.0% 29 6.8% 45
Ohio State 16.7 9 34.0% 7 1.19 33 0.510 5 16.6% 49 12.0% 16 4.6% 116
Missouri 17.6 10 37.9% 29 1.06 1 0.515 8 20.0% 10 14.2% 4 5.9% 79
Georgia 18.7 11 32.3% 3 1.28 77 0.514 6 15.6% 72 8.8% 85 6.6% 51
Vanderbilt 18.8 12 37.1% 22 1.25 62 0.546 27 18.9% 19 10.4% 42 8.5% 11
Michigan State 19.3 13 39.4% 51 1.22 44 0.558 34 18.8% 22 12.1% 14 6.4% 59
Florida State 19.4 14 35.4% 14 1.12 10 0.508 4 15.1% 80 8.7% 87 6.3% 65
Illinois 19.4 15 38.8% 41 1.20 35 0.550 29 17.7% 36 12.6% 9 5.1% 101
Penn State 19.7 16 38.1% 33 1.17 21 0.538 20 20.1% 9 14.5% 2 5.6% 84
Minnesota 20.1 17 42.0% 69 1.08 3 0.553 32 15.9% 62 9.6% 64 6.3% 66
Utah 20.2 18 39.0% 45 1.13 12 0.539 21 20.6% 6 13.9% 7 6.4% 62
Kent State 21.0 19 35.7% 17 1.25 64 0.535 15 15.8% 65 10.2% 46 5.5% 87
Tennessee 21.1 20 36.2% 19 1.26 70 0.541 24 16.8% 47 9.3% 70 7.3% 31
Louisville 21.2 21 37.6% 26 1.19 28 0.538 18 19.7% 13 12.1% 13 7.2% 32
Oklahoma 21.3 22 37.5% 24 1.19 31 0.538 19 16.1% 56 10.6% 37 5.5% 88
Ole Miss 21.4 23 38.2% 34 1.18 26 0.541 23 20.0% 11 10.1% 49 10.0% 1
Temple 21.7 24 34.3% 9 1.35 106 0.545 26 19.1% 16 14.0% 6 4.8% 109
Toledo 21.8 25 37.8% 28 1.19 30 0.540 22 20.6% 7 10.8% 33 9.6% 2
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate		 Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc		 Rk DB
Havoc		 Rk
San Diego State 21.9 26 34.6% 11 1.26 69 0.528 11 21.9% 3 12.4% 11 9.5% 3
Texas A&M 22.4 27 38.7% 40 1.25 66 0.560 38 20.4% 8 12.9% 8 7.5% 25
LSU 22.5 28 40.2% 57 1.22 46 0.565 42 18.0% 31 10.9% 30 6.9% 38
Auburn 22.7 29 44.6% 97 1.11 7 0.580 57 13.4% 110 6.1% 121 7.3% 29
West Virginia 22.9 30 34.1% 8 1.43 118 0.559 35 19.1% 17 9.6% 63 9.4% 5
BYU 23.1 31 39.2% 47 1.19 34 0.552 31 17.2% 42 10.7% 34 6.2% 69
Connecticut 23.2 32 39.6% 53 1.17 24 0.551 30 14.2% 95 7.9% 97 6.1% 74
Iowa 23.3 33 38.3% 36 1.12 8 0.530 12 15.6% 70 9.3% 67 6.0% 78
Notre Dame 23.3 34 40.0% 56 1.27 76 0.575 52 16.0% 57 10.6% 38 5.4% 91
Utah State 23.4 35 36.4% 20 1.22 51 0.536 16 16.3% 52 9.3% 68 6.9% 42
Boise State 23.7 36 33.0% 5 1.51 126 0.566 43 21.5% 4 8.9% 83 9.5% 4
Akron 24.2 37 36.6% 21 1.13 11 0.519 9 18.7% 23 11.7% 20 7.0% 34
Mississippi State 24.2 38 42.6% 77 1.19 29 0.579 54 17.9% 33 11.3% 26 6.5% 57
Virginia Tech 24.4 39 35.5% 16 1.42 114 0.568 47 19.4% 14 11.5% 25 7.7% 19
Appalachian State 24.7 40 37.9% 29 1.16 20 0.536 17 17.7% 39 11.7% 22 6.0% 77
USC 25.0 41 42.6% 77 1.27 73 0.594 83 15.2% 76 10.3% 45 4.7% 113
Marshall 25.1 42 37.7% 27 1.15 17 0.532 14 19.1% 18 11.5% 24 7.5% 22
Stanford 25.2 43 41.5% 66 1.27 73 0.585 66 16.0% 60 10.7% 36 5.3% 99
NC State 25.3 44 39.0% 46 1.39 110 0.591 75 18.0% 32 11.1% 28 6.6% 55
Maryland 25.3 45 42.7% 79 1.29 84 0.600 89 16.8% 45 10.0% 52 6.6% 53
Wake Forest 25.7 46 39.9% 55 1.31 88 0.580 60 15.2% 79 8.5% 89 6.6% 54
Georgia Southern 25.7 47 38.6% 37 1.27 72 0.562 40 15.4% 74 7.5% 105 7.8% 17
UCLA 25.7 48 42.6% 76 1.09 4 0.559 35 15.0% 81 10.0% 53 4.8% 110
South Florida 25.9 49 39.0% 44 1.29 79 0.569 48 17.7% 38 9.9% 55 7.7% 20
Pittsburgh 26.0 50 37.6% 25 1.40 112 0.580 59 18.1% 29 11.8% 18 6.3% 68
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate		 Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc		 Rk DB
Havoc		 Rk
Navy 26.3 51 42.1% 71 1.19 32 0.575 51 14.9% 83 9.2% 73 5.6% 83
Miami-FL 26.5 52 45.5% 102 1.15 16 0.594 81 14.9% 82 8.3% 92 6.6% 52
Northern Illinois 26.6 53 41.5% 65 1.17 22 0.566 45 14.6% 89 7.0% 111 7.3% 30
Nebraska 26.6 54 38.0% 32 1.43 117 0.590 71 15.7% 66 8.1% 93 7.5% 23
Georgia Tech 26.7 55 44.8% 99 1.24 57 0.606 95 12.0% 123 6.8% 114 4.9% 105
Duke 26.9 56 39.6% 52 1.22 48 0.560 38 15.2% 77 6.9% 113 8.1% 15
Ohio 27.0 57 37.1% 23 1.31 91 0.559 37 16.2% 54 10.3% 44 5.8% 80
Central Michigan 27.3 58 40.3% 58 1.22 49 0.566 46 14.0% 98 7.6% 102 6.3% 64
TCU 27.9 59 38.0% 31 1.35 105 0.574 50 15.8% 64 6.6% 117 9.1% 6
Western Kentucky 28.0 60 40.5% 61 1.31 92 0.587 68 16.7% 48 9.7% 60 6.9% 40
Bowling Green 28.1 61 42.2% 73 1.21 39 0.579 56 14.6% 90 9.0% 78 5.6% 85
Texas 28.2 62 46.5% 112 1.11 6 0.595 84 14.8% 87 9.0% 77 5.7% 81
Houston 28.2 63 38.8% 41 1.26 71 0.563 41 18.7% 25 9.6% 61 9.0% 7
Iowa State 28.3 64 46.4% 111 1.21 38 0.612 102 14.8% 85 9.4% 66 5.4% 94
Arkansas 28.3 65 47.9% 119 1.21 41 0.626 109 15.6% 69 9.2% 72 6.3% 67
Syracuse 29.0 66 46.8% 114 1.23 56 0.621 106 15.7% 67 9.5% 65 6.1% 75
Air Force 29.0 67 35.2% 13 1.64 128 0.609 98 17.7% 37 10.1% 48 7.5% 26
Kentucky 29.2 68 44.2% 94 1.18 27 0.590 72 14.2% 96 8.0% 95 6.1% 72
East Carolina 29.2 69 43.0% 84 1.17 25 0.579 55 14.2% 94 9.2% 71 5.0% 103
Oklahoma State 29.4 70 41.1% 64 1.31 90 0.590 74 15.4% 73 10.0% 54 5.4% 95
Southern Miss 29.4 71 38.2% 35 1.37 108 0.580 57 18.2% 28 11.8% 17 6.4% 61
North Carolina 29.5 72 46.2% 108 1.11 5 0.592 76 14.0% 99 7.3% 109 6.6% 56
Purdue 29.5 73 44.8% 100 1.29 80 0.616 104 14.7% 88 9.7% 59 4.8% 111
Washington State 29.7 74 43.4% 85 1.24 58 0.595 85 17.9% 34 12.3% 12 5.6% 86
Baylor 29.8 75 39.3% 49 1.20 37 0.555 33 17.4% 40 9.8% 58 7.5% 24
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate		 Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc		 Rk DB
Havoc		 Rk
Florida Atlantic 29.8 76 41.7% 67 1.21 43 0.576 53 16.0% 61 9.0% 80 7.0% 35
Virginia 29.9 77 44.2% 93 1.32 96 0.618 105 17.2% 43 10.0% 51 6.5% 58
Troy 29.9 78 44.5% 96 1.14 13 0.584 64 13.6% 104 9.0% 79 4.5% 117
Memphis 30.0 79 42.8% 81 1.29 82 0.600 90 13.6% 105 7.9% 98 5.5% 89
Louisiana Tech 30.2 80 40.3% 60 1.22 45 0.566 43 18.7% 24 10.3% 43 8.3% 13
Arizona State 30.8 81 38.6% 37 1.49 125 0.606 96 18.5% 26 12.5% 10 6.1% 76
Middle Tennessee 30.9 82 42.9% 83 1.25 65 0.594 82 16.5% 50 7.9% 96 8.4% 12
Kansas State 30.9 83 48.2% 120 1.30 85 0.644 117 14.0% 97 9.3% 69 4.5% 118
California 31.0 84 45.8% 106 1.22 50 0.611 101 13.8% 100 6.7% 115 6.8% 43
Miami-OH 31.2 85 38.9% 43 1.36 107 0.584 63 15.6% 68 10.7% 35 4.9% 106
Fresno State 31.4 86 46.2% 109 1.20 36 0.609 99 13.3% 111 8.0% 94 4.9% 107
San Jose State 31.5 87 42.9% 82 1.22 52 0.587 69 13.1% 113 5.9% 125 7.1% 33
Buffalo 31.6 88 43.4% 85 1.23 53 0.593 79 16.8% 46 10.5% 41 6.1% 71
Colorado 31.8 89 43.8% 90 1.24 60 0.599 87 15.6% 71 7.6% 103 7.6% 21
Colorado State 31.9 90 40.7% 62 1.34 101 0.593 78 15.8% 63 10.5% 39 5.3% 98
Arkansas State 31.9 91 35.5% 15 1.48 124 0.580 60 18.4% 27 9.9% 56 8.2% 14
Charlotte 32.1 92 38.6% 39 1.38 109 0.584 65 17.3% 41 11.7% 19 5.3% 96
Western Michigan 32.2 93 41.7% 68 1.44 121 0.621 107 18.1% 30 8.9% 81 8.8% 8
Oregon 32.3 94 45.5% 103 1.22 47 0.608 97 16.2% 55 10.2% 47 5.3% 97
South Carolina 32.4 95 46.0% 107 1.21 40 0.610 100 13.7% 102 9.8% 57 3.9% 124
Georgia State 32.5 96 42.3% 75 1.15 18 0.569 49 15.4% 75 7.7% 101 7.8% 18
Cincinnati 32.6 97 40.9% 63 1.33 98 0.594 80 13.0% 116 6.1% 122 6.8% 44
Massachusetts 33.0 98 44.4% 95 1.14 14 0.584 62 13.8% 101 7.4% 107 6.4% 60
Nevada 33.6 99 43.8% 89 1.21 42 0.593 77 14.4% 93 10.9% 31 3.5% 127
Hawaii 33.8 100 45.6% 105 1.12 9 0.588 70 13.0% 115 7.8% 99 5.2% 100
Team Def. S&P+ Rk Success
Rate		 Rk IsoPPP Rk S&P Rk Havoc Rk Front 7
Havoc		 Rk DB
Havoc		 Rk
Tulane 33.9 101 42.8% 80 1.24 58 0.590 73 17.0% 44 10.9% 32 6.1% 73
Florida International 34.0 102 48.6% 123 1.08 2 0.605 94 15.2% 78 8.4% 91 6.7% 50
Oregon State 34.4 103 50.4% 127 1.25 63 0.653 122 10.3% 128 5.6% 126 4.1% 123
UTSA 34.5 104 43.7% 88 1.24 61 0.598 86 13.4% 108 6.4% 118 6.9% 41
UL-Monroe 34.6 105 40.3% 59 1.32 94 0.586 67 13.4% 107 9.6% 62 3.8% 126
South Alabama 34.7 106 42.3% 74 1.33 100 0.604 93 13.7% 103 6.6% 116 7.0% 37
New Mexico 35.0 107 42.1% 70 1.43 115 0.622 108 16.0% 59 8.8% 84 6.8% 46
Indiana 35.5 108 43.4% 87 1.40 113 0.628 111 16.3% 53 11.2% 27 4.9% 108
Old Dominion 35.6 109 44.1% 92 1.23 54 0.599 88 14.4% 92 9.1% 75 5.0% 102
Central Florida 35.8 110 44.7% 98 1.34 103 0.626 110 13.4% 109 7.5% 106 5.6% 82
UL-Lafayette 36.5 111 39.2% 48 1.44 120 0.601 91 16.5% 51 9.1% 76 7.3% 28
Arizona 36.7 112 44.1% 91 1.30 86 0.612 103 12.6% 119 5.2% 127 7.0% 36
Wyoming 37.1 113 47.7% 117 1.28 78 0.638 116 11.7% 124 7.1% 110 4.7% 115
UNLV 37.3 114 47.0% 115 1.29 80 0.634 113 13.2% 112 6.0% 123 6.8% 47
Rutgers 37.3 115 46.4% 110 1.48 123 0.667 126 16.0% 58 9.2% 74 6.7% 49
Ball State 37.4 116 47.2% 116 1.29 83 0.636 114 12.0% 122 7.6% 104 4.1% 122
Army 38.0 117 42.1% 71 1.33 99 0.603 92 13.1% 114 7.4% 108 5.5% 90
UTEP 38.9 118 39.7% 54 1.56 127 0.630 112 14.9% 84 8.6% 88 6.1% 70
SMU 39.2 119 49.1% 124 1.43 116 0.678 127 12.1% 121 7.7% 100 4.3% 119
North Texas 39.3 120 48.5% 121 1.30 87 0.648 118 12.2% 120 6.4% 119 5.4% 92
Kansas 39.9 121 52.3% 128 1.31 89 0.680 128 10.4% 126 6.0% 124 3.9% 125
Tulsa 40.1 122 46.6% 113 1.32 97 0.637 115 14.8% 86 10.1% 50 4.7% 114
Rice 40.9 123 45.0% 101 1.45 122 0.649 119 13.5% 106 8.7% 86 4.7% 112
Texas Tech 41.2 124 50.1% 126 1.32 95 0.665 125 14.5% 91 7.0% 112 7.4% 27
Idaho 42.2 125 47.8% 118 1.34 104 0.652 121 12.8% 118 8.9% 82 3.0% 128
New Mexico State 42.6 126 45.5% 104 1.43 119 0.651 120 11.1% 125 6.4% 120 4.2% 121
Texas State 42.8 127 49.6% 125 1.32 93 0.660 124 10.3% 127 5.1% 128 5.0% 104
Eastern Michigan 42.9 128 48.5% 122 1.34 102 0.656 123 12.8% 117 8.5% 90 4.3% 120