Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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2011 NCAA S&P+ RATINGS, OFFENSE

through games of 1/9/12

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). There are three key components to the S&P+:

  • Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
  • EqPts Per Play (PPP): An explosiveness measure derived from determining the point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game.
  • Opponent adjustments: Success Rate and PPP combine to form S&P, an OPS-like measure for football. Then each team's S&P output for a given category (Rushing/Passing on either Standard Downs or Passing Downs) is compared to the expected output based upon their opponents and their opponents' opponents. This is a schedule-based adjustment designed to reward tougher schedules and punish weaker ones.

The S&P+ figures used in the tables below only look at the plays that took place while a game was deemed "close," or competitive. The criteria for being "close" are as follows: a game within 24 points in the first quarter, with 21 points in the second quarter, and within 16 points in the second half.

Passing Downs are defined as:

  • second down with 8 or more yards to go
  • third or fourth down with 5 or more yards to go

All other downs are Standard Downs.

Please note that in the split of rushing and passing S&P+, sacks are counted as passes, as in NFL data, and not runs as in official NCAA totals.

Use the menu above for pages that give more details on total and defensive S&P+, or our other college football ratings, the drive-based FEI.


Team Off S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk Standard
Downs
S&P+		 Rk Passing
Downs
S&P+		 Rk
Wisconsin 157.0 1 146.4 2 174.8 1 143.6 2 164.7 1
Oklahoma State 142.0 2 159.6 1 130.8 13 132.5 6 139.1 9
Baylor 139.1 3 130.2 7 148.8 4 134.5 4 143.5 6
Oregon 137.6 4 137.4 5 133.0 11 136.2 3 112.6 40
Houston 136.3 5 119.5 21 141.1 6 126.0 7 150.2 4
Alabama 133.8 6 145.3 3 149.0 3 144.4 1 137.7 10
Boise State 130.7 7 112.8 31 137.8 7 117.6 19 128.6 15
Stanford 130.2 8 119.5 20 134.2 9 125.3 8 120.0 27
LSU 129.8 9 135.3 6 154.9 2 133.5 5 152.7 3
Michigan 127.1 10 141.7 4 125.0 15 124.4 9 140.5 8
Arkansas 126.3 11 124.9 12 135.8 8 122.8 10 147.5 5
USC 123.9 12 114.5 30 130.4 14 120.3 12 125.1 21
TCU 123.4 13 122.5 16 122.8 18 111.2 29 137.7 11
West Virginia 121.5 14 124.5 13 123.7 17 115.7 23 160.0 2
Georgia Tech 120.5 15 125.2 11 117.4 25 115.3 24 127.8 17
Oklahoma 120.5 16 124.2 14 115.2 29 116.8 21 123.6 25
Toledo 120.2 17 120.5 18 117.8 24 117.8 18 117.7 30
Notre Dame 117.1 18 129.5 8 112.5 34 120.7 11 125.4 20
Texas A&M 116.8 19 123.7 15 110.6 40 110.8 30 142.9 7
Clemson 115.1 20 106.8 47 131.1 12 113.0 25 127.3 19
Team Off S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk Standard
Downs
S&P+		 Rk Passing
Downs
S&P+		 Rk
Northern Illinois 114.1 21 115.5 28 105.7 52 109.8 37 107.5 52
Western Michigan 114.0 22 100.2 69 111.8 36 107.2 45 112.5 41
Miami-FL 113.8 23 110.1 38 124.2 16 118.2 17 109.6 46
Northwestern 113.4 24 112.1 34 116.9 27 116.4 22 109.0 48
Tulsa 113.0 25 110.2 37 118.3 23 111.6 28 117.1 31
Utah State 112.9 26 116.1 27 101.9 59 104.1 54 127.8 16
Missouri 112.4 27 119.5 19 106.6 49 118.9 14 100.7 66
Arizona State 111.2 28 116.3 26 109.2 42 110.6 31 121.6 26
Temple 111.2 29 112.2 33 106.6 50 105.6 49 88.3 100
Washington 110.7 30 105.7 52 117.4 26 108.1 39 123.8 24
Nevada 110.7 31 109.0 42 108.9 44 108.1 38 107.7 51
South Carolina 110.4 32 115.4 29 106.4 51 110.4 33 115.7 33
Texas Tech 110.4 33 108.9 43 112.8 33 106.3 48 127.6 18
Georgia 110.2 34 92.6 91 147.4 5 118.7 15 110.9 43
South Florida 110.1 35 126.8 9 100.0 62 107.6 43 102.8 61
North Carolina 109.5 36 98.9 72 121.1 20 109.9 36 128.7 14
Air Force 109.3 37 111.6 36 108.2 45 110.3 34 84.8 103
SMU 109.1 38 116.6 25 99.7 63 103.6 55 100.6 68
Auburn 109.1 39 118.7 22 114.3 31 117.1 20 124.8 22
Virginia Tech 108.6 40 105.9 51 110.9 37 104.6 53 106.1 54
Team Off S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk Standard
Downs
S&P+		 Rk Passing
Downs
S&P+		 Rk
Tennessee 108.4 41 103.2 59 133.5 10 107.2 46 133.8 13
Navy 108.2 42 117.0 24 95.9 76 120.1 13 90.5 96
Iowa 107.8 43 108.5 44 112.1 35 110.2 35 119.7 28
UCLA 107.6 44 109.4 40 121.7 19 112.8 26 101.9 63
Arizona 107.2 45 92.4 92 115.3 28 107.5 44 118.9 29
Michigan State 106.8 46 96.9 83 114.3 32 102.0 58 114.1 37
Cincinnati 106.6 47 120.7 17 99.3 65 105.6 50 123.9 23
Southern Miss 106.6 48 98.4 74 108.1 46 98.9 71 114.6 34
Central Florida 106.2 49 103.3 58 109.5 41 110.6 32 96.0 86
Nebraska 106.1 50 106.7 48 110.7 39 108.1 40 100.8 65
Florida 106.1 51 112.8 32 120.5 21 118.2 16 100.7 67
Fresno State 105.1 52 95.2 87 118.5 22 107.7 42 101.0 64
Ohio 105.1 53 94.3 88 109.0 43 98.2 74 103.8 56
Florida State 105.0 54 103.8 56 105.1 54 108.1 41 114.6 35
BYU 104.9 55 105.2 53 105.4 53 103.2 56 112.1 42
Mississippi State 103.2 56 107.1 46 115.0 30 112.7 27 99.5 75
Bowling Green 102.8 57 91.8 93 107.0 48 98.1 75 97.1 82
California 102.6 58 100.9 67 101.3 60 98.1 76 92.5 92
Vanderbilt 102.3 59 125.8 10 92.3 80 97.7 79 134.2 12
Arkansas State 101.4 60 101.9 64 96.7 71 101.2 62 98.8 77
Team Off S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk Standard
Downs
S&P+		 Rk Passing
Downs
S&P+		 Rk
Hawaii 100.0 61 103.9 55 91.0 83 98.9 70 94.7 88
Wake Forest 99.8 62 97.4 78 107.5 47 99.2 69 112.9 39
Kansas State 99.1 63 109.6 39 92.3 81 103.1 57 99.8 73
UL-Lafayette 98.1 64 82.2 109 110.7 38 100.0 67 95.6 87
San Diego State 97.9 65 98.2 76 88.1 89 97.0 81 90.1 97
Louisville 97.8 66 102.2 62 104.9 56 100.7 64 105.3 55
Pittsburgh 97.4 67 117.6 23 91.2 82 101.6 59 103.0 59
Ball State 97.4 68 102.4 60 94.7 78 98.5 72 96.4 85
Virginia 96.9 69 97.1 81 96.7 70 94.2 86 98.8 76
Ohio State 96.6 70 111.7 35 82.4 106 101.5 60 106.8 53
UTEP 96.4 71 102.1 63 92.9 79 92.1 91 114.5 36
East Carolina 96.1 72 86.2 103 104.9 55 98.3 73 96.7 83
Duke 96.1 73 96.1 85 103.5 58 97.9 78 109.2 47
Texas 95.0 74 106.2 50 85.2 97 101.3 61 88.4 99
Syracuse 94.4 75 98.5 73 99.1 66 100.0 68 103.3 57
Army 94.4 76 101.1 66 81.1 109 105.1 52 91.5 94
Florida International 94.1 77 97.4 79 87.0 92 95.4 85 84.6 104
Louisiana Tech 93.8 78 99.6 71 87.3 91 95.9 83 88.7 98
Penn State 93.8 79 106.4 49 88.8 87 92.8 90 114.0 38
Miami-OH 93.1 80 83.3 107 96.7 72 89.5 98 115.8 32
Team Off S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk Standard
Downs
S&P+		 Rk Passing
Downs
S&P+		 Rk
North Texas 92.8 81 97.8 77 97.9 67 106.8 47 79.2 110
Western Kentucky 92.6 82 101.4 65 85.9 95 96.3 82 87.6 101
Maryland 92.4 83 109.1 41 86.9 93 100.8 63 109.9 45
Buffalo 92.4 84 104.2 54 83.9 103 89.5 99 98.5 78
Purdue 92.3 85 97.1 80 88.5 88 100.1 66 99.5 74
Central Michigan 92.2 86 83.8 106 96.0 73 95.8 84 93.5 89
UAB 92.2 87 99.9 70 96.8 69 93.4 88 102.4 62
Wyoming 92.2 88 95.8 86 87.6 90 90.5 95 96.4 84
Washington State 91.9 89 75.1 118 104.6 57 105.3 51 77.2 111
New Mexico State 91.6 90 85.0 105 99.3 64 97.2 80 97.4 81
Minnesota 90.9 91 96.3 84 97.7 68 94.1 87 92.8 90
UL-Monroe 90.8 92 102.3 61 84.9 99 91.1 93 98.2 79
Kansas 89.9 93 98.2 75 95.9 75 88.1 104 110.4 44
Colorado 89.8 94 92.9 90 95.5 77 89.1 101 100.3 70
Oregon State 89.7 95 91.1 94 90.8 84 90.2 96 108.6 50
Ole Miss 88.9 96 107.1 45 90.5 86 97.9 77 108.6 49
NC State 88.0 97 78.2 115 96.0 74 85.7 108 103.0 60
Eastern Michigan 86.7 98 87.4 101 84.1 101 82.9 112 84.4 105
Iowa State 86.7 99 100.4 68 83.3 104 88.2 103 100.3 69
Illinois 86.4 100 87.0 102 85.4 96 89.3 100 103.2 58
Team Off S&P+ Rk Rushing
S&P+		 Rk Passing
S&P+		 Rk Standard
Downs
S&P+		 Rk Passing
Downs
S&P+		 Rk
Boston College 86.3 101 90.9 95 85.1 98 85.3 109 99.9 72
Marshall 85.7 102 79.7 113 100.2 61 90.5 94 91.7 93
Troy 85.6 103 80.9 110 86.7 94 87.6 107 86.8 102
San Jose State 85.5 104 78.2 116 90.6 85 83.4 110 98.1 80
Rutgers 84.7 105 85.3 104 84.4 100 83.0 111 99.9 71
Utah 84.5 106 83.3 108 84.1 102 88.7 102 75.1 113
Indiana 84.2 107 103.6 57 79.5 110 100.4 65 82.7 108
Middle Tennessee 82.6 108 90.6 96 81.6 107 92.0 92 92.8 91
Rice 82.6 109 90.1 97 82.5 105 87.8 105 91.4 95
Connecticut 81.2 110 88.6 100 81.1 108 90.1 97 83.6 106
Colorado State 80.8 111 93.2 89 66.4 118 93.2 89 61.1 119
Tulane 79.2 112 80.2 112 75.8 112 78.4 116 72.4 114
Kentucky 77.6 113 96.9 82 72.3 115 87.6 106 82.9 107
UNLV 74.5 114 88.6 99 62.8 119 82.4 113 53.8 120
Idaho 74.1 115 79.3 114 74.7 114 77.0 117 80.3 109
Kent State 72.5 116 80.8 111 70.1 116 74.2 119 76.7 112
Memphis 72.3 117 67.9 120 76.8 111 74.7 118 63.8 118
Akron 71.2 118 90.0 98 66.5 117 79.6 114 65.1 117
New Mexico 70.7 119 74.7 119 75.0 113 78.6 115 66.8 115
Florida Atlantic 64.4 120 77.7 117 57.8 120 70.8 120 66.6 116