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DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT
Revised as of 1/13/09, through Week 19
Compiled by Mike Harris
The playoff odds report plays out the season 10,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current Weighted DVOA ratings of the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA ratings are explained here.)
Playoff Scenarios
This report lists the odds of each team- Winning the Conference Championship Game
- Winning the Super Bowl
| Team | Conf Win | SB Win |
|---|---|---|
| PHI | 58.2% | 29.5% |
| PIT | 51.3% | 29.3% |
| BAL | 48.7% | 28.1% |
| ARI | 41.8% | 13.0% |