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The playoff odds report plays out the season 10,000 times. A random draw
assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will
be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current Weighted DVOA ratings of the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA
ratings are explained here.)
Playoff Scenarios
This report lists the odds of each team
Winning the Conference Championship Game
Winning the Super Bowl
Team
Conf Win
SB Win
PHI
58.2%
29.5%
PIT
51.3%
29.3%
BAL
48.7%
28.1%
ARI
41.8%
13.0%
This is the final update for the 2008 season. Playoff Odds updates will return in September 2009.