Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2014

Regular season totals, through Week 4

Revised as of 9/30/2014

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the expected points added by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Total QBR is not adjusted for strength of opponent.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • Opponent adjustments are currently at 40 percent strength and will increase weekly until after Week 10.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 50 passes, 36 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
A.Luck IND 451 1 457 1 26.8% 4 27.3% 80.7 6 172 1,284 1,571 13 0 0 4 68.9% 3/63
M.Ryan ATL 421 2 411 2 31.8% 1 30.8% 79.9 8 155 1,225 1,362 10 0 0 4 67.3% 1/12
P.Rivers SD 386 3 385 3 31.8% 2 31.7% 82.5 3 144 1,135 1,249 9 3 0 1 70.8% 2/38
J.Flacco BAL 383 4 322 5 25.9% 5 19.9% 76.2 10 154 1,039 1,355 7 0 0 2 64.2% 5/98
P.Manning DEN 307 5 307 6 31.4% 3 31.4% 85.7 2 113 792 999 8 0 0 1 67.3% 1/17
A.Rodgers GB 305 6 277 7 21.3% 6 18.3% 82.1 4 141 935 1,173 9 1 1 1 66.2% 2/71
D.Brees NO 298 7 341 4 16.2% 9 20.1% 74.4 11 165 1,162 1,284 7 1 0 3 71.9% 2/45
M.Stafford DET 240 8 221 8 13.3% 12 11.4% 77.0 9 159 1,093 1,117 5 0 1 3 64.6% 1/5
A.Dalton CIN 157 9 165 11 17.4% 8 18.8% 56.6 24 84 722 658 2 0 0 1 65.5% 2/29
B.Hoyer CLE 157 10 198 9 14.8% 10 21.6% 72.1 14 101 692 700 3 0 0 0 64.6% 2/22
A.Smith KC 153 11 121 14 5.8% 15 2.3% 49.0 27 141 824 935 7 0 1 3 65.6% 0/0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 144 12 187 10 4.4% 18 9.1% 63.4 19 149 1,034 942 6 0 1 2 70.8% 2/61
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
T.Romo DAL 140 13 160 12 5.0% 17 7.4% 80.8 5 126 862 887 7 1 0 4 69.2% 3/68
J.Cutler CHI 133 14 113 17 0.9% 20 -0.9% 66.0 18 164 941 1,073 10 1 1 4 65.8% 4/85
R.Wilson SEA 118 15 92 21 7.6% 13 3.5% 54.2 26 93 609 668 6 1 0 1 69.0% 0/0
E.Manning NYG 115 16 78 22 0.0% 21 -3.6% 80.0 7 145 925 993 9 0 0 5 66.9% 5/83
K.Cousins WAS 114 17 116 16 3.7% 19 4.0% 67.1 16 118 871 760 6 0 1 5 61.4% 1/14
D.Anderson CAR 105 18 132 13 20.6% 7 29.0% 89.3 1 50 359 408 3 1 0 0 74.5% 0/0
C.Newton CAR 102 19 100 19 5.4% 16 5.1% 57.7 23 104 647 633 3 1 1 0 63.8% 0/0
T.Bridgewater MIN 85 20 117 15 14.2% 11 23.9% 73.9 12 52 452 384 0 0 0 0 62.0% 0/0
C.Kaepernick SF 77 21 73 24 -2.2% 24 -2.7% 58.3 22 134 849 799 6 0 0 4 66.9% 1/7
D.Stanton ARI 76 22 60 25 7.5% 14 3.7% 73.5 13 66 387 429 2 0 0 0 51.6% 1/21
N.Foles PHI 73 23 111 18 -4.3% 25 -0.8% 62.3 20 171 1,124 964 6 0 2 4 58.2% 3/96
R.Fitzpatrick HOU 72 24 73 23 -1.8% 22 -1.7% 55.4 25 117 884 721 5 2 0 5 65.8% 2/12
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
A.Davis STL 61 25 97 20 -1.9% 23 3.4% 66.7 17 100 718 619 3 0 0 3 72.3% 0/0
M.Glennon TB 19 26 46 26 -6.2% 26 1.0% 72.0 15 68 390 333 3 0 0 1 58.5% 0/0
B.Bortles JAC -54 27 -51 27 -24.3% 31 -23.5% 59.3 21 65 451 255 3 0 0 4 70.5% 0/0
D.Carr OAK -67 28 -101 29 -18.7% 28 -22.6% 47.9 28 136 696 620 4 0 0 4 63.6% 3/71
R.Tannehill MIA -69 29 -60 28 -17.5% 27 -16.7% 42.3 31 164 849 780 6 1 0 3 60.0% 0/0
EJ Manuel BUF -73 30 -111 30 -19.3% 29 -23.6% 19.8 35 136 785 616 5 1 0 3 58.9% 0/0
J.Locker TEN -77 31 -119 31 -22.3% 30 -28.5% 39.7 32 110 650 448 3 1 0 4 56.4% 0/0
M.Cassel MIN -146 32 -139 32 -40.6% 34 -39.1% 28.9 33 78 370 200 4 1 0 4 57.7% 2/58
T.Brady NE -186 33 -173 33 -30.2% 32 -28.9% 46.5 30 146 736 547 4 1 3 2 59.9% 3/42
G.Smith NYJ -187 34 -181 34 -31.2% 33 -30.6% 27.6 34 145 847 497 4 2 1 5 60.3% 0/0
J.McCown TB -239 35 -215 35 -63.6% 36 -58.5% 47.1 29 72 387 41 2 1 0 4 64.2% 0/0
C.Henne JAC -258 36 -254 36 -55.9% 35 -55.1% 16.1 36 94 393 113 3 0 1 1 53.8% 0/0

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-49 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
C.Palmer ARI 85 74 21.8% 17.6% 79.9 39 290 324 2 0 1 0 64.9% 1/15
C.Whitehurst TEN -14 -9 -19.2% -16.1% 61.4 26 159 121 1 0 0 1 52.2% 0/0
R.Griffin WAS -29 -46 -21.1% -27.1% 36.2 46 251 194 0 1 1 0 79.5% 0/0
M.McGloin OAK -62 -72 -57.4% -65.1% 10.3 20 121 23 1 0 0 2 63.2% 0/0
S.Hill STL -75 -72 -107.4% -104.0% 25.3 14 75 -39 0 1 0 1 61.5% 0/0

RUSHING: Minimum 2 rushes, 36 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.McCown TB 38 1 36 1 107.2% 2 101.6% 5 33 112 2 0
J.Cutler CHI 25 2 27 2 52.6% 8 56.6% 7 73 86 0 1
A.Rodgers GB 24 3 24 4 114.7% 1 115.5% 4 38 69 0 0
D.Carr OAK 23 4 25 3 66.8% 6 70.8% 6 67 76 0 0
R.Wilson SEA 20 5 19 8 14.4% 18 13.1% 14 91 102 0 0
B.Bortles JAC 18 6 20 7 34.6% 12 37.4% 7 54 72 0 0
M.Stafford DET 17 7 21 5 21.3% 14 27.4% 8 35 79 2 0
J.Locker TEN 16 8 20 6 21.1% 15 28.4% 10 77 73 0 0
D.Stanton ARI 14 9 14 10 75.1% 3 73.6% 3 22 46 0 0
R.Fitzpatrick HOU 13 10 13 11 3.5% 20 4.0% 12 62 91 1 0
N.Foles PHI 12 11 16 9 20.2% 16 30.8% 7 37 54 0 0
E.Manning NYG 12 12 10 15 68.1% 5 53.0% 2 6 38 1 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
K.Cousins WAS 11 13 11 14 43.0% 9 41.8% 3 18 42 0 0
C.Henne JAC 11 14 8 17 42.9% 10 29.1% 4 25 41 0 0
T.Romo DAL 11 15 11 12 66.6% 7 69.3% 3 39 36 0 0
C.Kaepernick SF 10 16 -1 26 -5.8% 26 -12.6% 30 193 143 0 1
M.Ryan ATL 10 17 11 13 7.1% 19 9.8% 9 47 60 0 0
C.Palmer ARI 9 18 9 16 69.3% 4 67.1% 3 30 29 0 0
C.Newton CAR 7 19 7 19 15.9% 17 16.2% 6 34 36 0 0
D.Anderson CAR 7 20 6 21 39.0% 11 31.0% 2 10 25 0 0
A.Luck IND 6 21 3 23 -0.3% 22 -7.1% 11 55 55 1 0
A.Smith KC 6 22 3 22 -3.0% 23 -7.4% 15 105 60 0 0
R.Griffin WAS 6 23 8 18 29.9% 13 46.0% 3 23 23 0 0
T.Bridgewater MIN 4 24 7 20 -4.3% 24 1.3% 9 57 50 1 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
M.Cassel MIN 2 25 2 24 0.3% 21 5.1% 3 22 13 0 0
D.Brees NO 1 26 2 25 -5.2% 25 -3.0% 3 11 16 0 0
R.Tannehill MIA -2 27 -4 28 -16.7% 27 -20.3% 10 54 29 0 1
B.Roethlisberger PIT -3 28 -4 27 -20.1% 28 -23.4% 5 13 18 0 0
T.Brady NE -3 29 -4 29 -35.4% 34 -38.9% 2 3 3 0 0
P.Rivers SD -4 30 -10 32 -20.3% 29 -31.0% 9 42 28 0 1
EJ Manuel BUF -7 31 -10 30 -21.7% 30 -26.1% 13 58 35 1 0
A.Dalton CIN -10 32 -13 34 -29.0% 32 -34.6% 8 16 19 0 0
J.Flacco BAL -14 33 -12 33 -30.0% 33 -26.9% 10 22 24 0 0
C.Whitehurst TEN -14 34 -10 31 -75.9% 35 -55.1% 5 40 -17 0 1
B.Hoyer CLE -15 35 -20 36 -92.9% 36 -121.3% 3 2 -21 0 0
G.Smith NYJ -17 36 -17 35 -25.7% 31 -25.9% 20 91 51 1 1