Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2016

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 1/2/2017

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment. (Note: Other QB stats pages will be updated with adjusted QBR and a qualifying minimum of 200 passes sometime before the end of February.)

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 200 passes, 34 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
M.Ryan ATL 1,918 1 1,801 1 40.2% 1 37.0% 83.4 1 571 4,693 5,613 38 1 2 7 70.0% 10/171 -0.4
D.Brees NO 1,581 2 1,467 2 23.0% 4 20.5% 72.1 5 694 4,987 5,885 37 0 4 14 71.1% 5/87 1.4
K.Cousins WAS 1,342 3 1,223 6 21.5% 5 18.6% 72.1 5 626 4,738 5,137 25 2 2 12 67.3% 7/215 2.4
D.Prescott DAL 1,301 4 1,224 5 31.5% 3 29.0% 81.7 3 483 3,527 4,228 23 2 4 4 68.1% 4/77 1.2
T.Brady NE 1,295 5 1,372 3 33.8% 2 36.5% 83.1 2 444 3,441 4,074 28 2 0 2 67.9% 3/64 2.2
A.Rodgers GB 1,251 6 1,268 4 18.2% 8 18.6% 77.0 4 644 4,190 5,142 40 3 2 6 65.8% 7/239 3.8
D.Carr OAK 1,169 7 1,044 7 19.9% 6 16.6% 61.8 16 575 3,834 4,624 28 0 3 6 64.2% 19/287 1.0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 776 8 760 9 11.2% 9 10.7% 66.6 10 524 3,653 3,850 29 2 2 13 64.8% 8/121 4.2
M.Stafford DET 764 9 760 8 7.3% 14 7.2% 70.7 8 628 4,094 4,379 24 1 2 10 65.8% 13/162 1.7
A.Luck IND 744 10 689 10 8.0% 12 6.6% 71.0 7 585 3,961 4,145 31 1 4 13 64.0% 10/229 1.4
A.Dalton CIN 736 11 668 11 7.6% 13 5.9% 58.3 20 605 3,915 4,164 18 5 2 8 65.0% 10/133 0.8
A.Smith KC 696 12 542 15 9.6% 10 5.0% 66.0 11 518 3,372 3,646 16 1 4 8 67.3% 1/12 0.4
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
M.Mariota TEN 626 13 668 12 9.3% 11 10.7% 64.9 12 474 3,229 3,318 26 2 3 9 61.7% 11/154 2.3
R.Wilson SEA 562 14 595 13 3.9% 15 4.8% 63.1 15 588 3,919 3,768 21 5 2 11 65.1% 8/170 0.9
J.Winston TB 560 15 542 16 3.7% 16 3.2% 64.9 12 603 3,824 3,825 28 2 5 16 61.0% 11/155 3.2
P.Rivers SD 533 16 461 18 2.3% 18 0.5% 64.5 14 614 4,135 3,916 33 4 5 21 60.6% 9/98 1.2
S.Bradford MIN 526 17 589 14 2.7% 17 4.3% 49.0 29 588 3,576 3,769 20 4 5 5 71.8% 6/92 -1.2
B.Hoyer CHI 403 18 504 17 19.5% 7 27.2% 61.5 17 203 1,429 1,608 6 1 1 0 67.7% 2/32 1.2
T.Taylor BUF 256 19 329 19 -2.7% 19 -0.2% 68.2 9 476 2,806 2,773 17 0 1 6 61.8% 5/110 2.5
E.Manning NYG 192 20 196 22 -6.5% 20 -6.4% 52.2 27 620 3,881 3,563 26 3 4 15 63.2% 9/85 2.9
C.Palmer ARI 155 21 303 20 -7.4% 22 -3.8% 58.9 18 641 3,905 3,557 26 9 4 14 61.6% 11/143 -0.1
T.Siemian DEN 127 22 205 21 -7.3% 21 -5.0% 55.5 21 516 3,183 2,871 18 1 2 9 59.6% 11/147 1.5
B.Bortles JAC 55 23 0 26 -9.9% 24 -11.1% 49.0 29 661 3,700 3,632 23 1 6 16 58.9% 18/313 1.7
C.Kessler CLE 52 24 82 24 -7.5% 23 -5.3% 49.9 28 218 1,225 1,198 6 3 1 2 66.0% 3/66 -0.8
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
R.Tannehill MIA -12 25 72 25 -11.6% 25 -8.4% 54.6 24 419 2,743 2,128 19 6 2 12 67.6% 3/34 1.4
M.Barkley CHI -21 26 103 23 -12.6% 26 -4.0% 39.7 33 223 1,564 1,121 8 1 2 13 59.7% 4/104 4.0
C.Newton CAR -60 27 -58 29 -12.9% 28 -12.9% 53.1 26 542 3,223 2,658 19 0 2 14 53.5% 6/95 3.3
C.Wentz PHI -70 28 -15 27 -12.9% 27 -11.5% 53.4 25 641 3,572 3,207 16 5 3 14 62.6% 6/100 0.1
J.Flacco BAL -126 29 -17 28 -13.9% 29 -11.5% 58.6 19 697 4,049 3,446 21 2 3 14 65.8% 6/119 0.7
C.Kaepernick SF -149 30 -102 30 -17.7% 30 -15.6% 55.2 23 366 2,044 1,633 16 6 1 4 59.4% 2/22 0.1
C.Keenum LARM -185 31 -172 31 -19.6% 31 -19.0% 43.8 32 345 2,054 1,501 9 2 1 11 60.9% 5/84 0.4
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ -328 32 -338 32 -22.9% 32 -23.3% 45.2 31 423 2,601 1,795 12 6 1 16 56.7% 8/131 1.7
B.Osweiler HOU -569 33 -519 33 -27.1% 33 -25.7% 55.4 22 536 2,739 2,087 15 3 2 15 59.4% 7/76 0.5
J.Goff LARM -880 34 -817 34 -74.7% 34 -70.2% 22.2 34 230 876 -83 5 3 2 7 54.9% 2/22 -2.5

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-199 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
M.Moore MIA 259 285 34.8% 39.4% 82.5 87 718 807 8 0 0 3 64.7% 1/22 3.3
J.Garoppolo NE 222 177 43.7% 32.7% 90.0 67 482 627 4 1 1 0 68.3% 0/0 1.8
M.Glennon TB 65 64 65.9% 64.9% 96.8 11 75 157 1 0 0 0 90.9% 0/0 -2.0
T.Savage HOU 33 22 -5.1% -7.2% 63.1 78 432 485 0 0 1 0 63.0% 4/33 0.0
S.Hill MIN 18 39 -3.2% 6.1% 63.7 36 235 204 0 0 0 0 54.3% 0/0 6.7
N.Foles KC 7 26 -9.3% -4.1% 35.3 59 376 310 3 0 0 0 65.5% 0/0 -0.7
M.McGloin OAK 7 -18 -3.1% -34.0% 14.4 15 50 74 0 0 0 0 53.3% 0/0 -0.9
J.Brissett NE 4 -4 -10.1% -12.2% 44.1 61 360 325 0 1 0 0 61.8% 3/19 0.4
T.Boykin SEA 0 14 -11.1% 0.6% 71.1 19 140 96 1 1 0 1 72.2% 0/0 -0.9
C.Whitehurst CLE -5 5 -14.2% -8.2% 36.1 26 168 124 1 0 0 1 58.3% 1/21 2.3
L.Jones PIT -15 46 -13.9% -2.8% 45.9 89 524 423 4 0 0 2 62.4% 1/7 1.9
C.Cook OAK -19 -67 -22.7% -51.7% 18.1 23 141 106 1 1 1 1 66.7% 0/0 -3.3
T.Pryor CLE -25 -28 -46.8% -51.4% 22.1 10 40 23 0 0 0 0 55.6% 0/0 0.0
D.Anderson CAR -29 -40 -18.3% -21.2% 18.1 53 453 284 2 0 0 5 67.9% 1/19 4.6
M.Cassel TEN -36 -67 -22.6% -32.4% 70.5 54 261 206 2 0 0 2 61.2% 0/0 0.8
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
J.Cutler CHI -46 -195 -16.1% -31.9% 33.2 154 955 694 4 2 2 5 59.1% 2/24 0.9
P.Lynch DEN -47 -57 -19.0% -20.7% 28.6 91 455 417 2 2 0 1 59.8% 1/8 3.0
EJ Manuel BUF -57 -22 -46.7% -24.9% 29.3 29 112 51 0 0 1 0 42.3% 1/29 4.5
S.Tolzien IND -58 -63 -33.4% -35.4% 31.8 40 196 135 1 1 0 2 62.2% 1/7 -1.6
C.Jones BUF -62 -46 -84.5% -66.2% 18.6 12 94 -16 0 0 0 1 54.5% 0/0 5.0
G.Smith NYJ -68 -83 -70.9% -84.1% 30.9 17 105 -1 1 1 0 1 57.1% 0/0 1.5
B.Hundley GB -80 -75 -108.9% -102.9% 6.3 11 16 -43 0 1 0 1 20.0% 0/0 5.7
M.Sanchez DAL -117 -138 -95.7% -110.8% 5.3 21 68 -48 0 0 0 2 55.6% 1/17 -5.0
D.Stanton ARI -120 -84 -51.2% -39.2% 26.9 48 184 78 2 0 0 2 40.4% 0/0 5.4
K.Hogan CLE -131 -133 -86.4% -87.4% 70.4 28 94 -38 0 0 0 2 53.8% 0/0 2.5
B.Gabbert SF -158 -205 -25.4% -29.6% 60.8 172 876 679 5 0 0 6 57.1% 3/24 -1.2
R.Griffin CLE -268 -330 -35.9% -41.6% 45.0 170 743 509 2 2 1 3 59.2% 2/19 -2.1
J.McCown CLE -269 -276 -34.4% -35.0% 35.2 184 966 565 6 3 4 6 54.9% 2/47 2.6
B.Petty NYJ -414 -341 -57.4% -49.2% 19.5 146 732 159 3 0 1 7 56.4% 0/0 0.9

RUSHING: Minimum 8 rushes, 30 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
C.Kaepernick SF 134 1 128 1 31.7% 4 29.9% 64 473 535 2 2
D.Prescott DAL 121 2 127 2 43.6% 2 46.4% 44 301 439 6 2
B.Bortles JAC 104 3 116 3 29.7% 5 34.5% 50 368 424 3 0
A.Luck IND 91 4 93 5 25.4% 7 26.1% 47 356 375 2 1
A.Rodgers GB 89 5 98 4 22.4% 8 26.0% 51 383 370 4 3
M.Mariota TEN 66 6 84 6 16.6% 13 24.4% 46 369 322 2 3
M.Stafford DET 64 7 66 7 29.4% 6 30.3% 29 216 263 2 0
T.Taylor BUF 64 8 47 10 1.9% 19 -1.9% 89 585 481 6 3
A.Dalton CIN 60 9 53 9 20.7% 10 16.6% 34 192 272 4 2
B.Osweiler HOU 53 10 54 8 34.5% 3 35.1% 18 145 207 2 1
B.Gabbert SF 52 11 30 14 13.3% 15 2.4% 38 175 272 2 0
K.Hogan CLE 44 12 45 11 108.1% 1 110.4% 8 105 131 1 0
R.Griffin CLE 38 13 42 12 16.8% 12 19.2% 29 188 182 2 1
M.Ryan ATL 32 14 29 15 12.6% 16 10.1% 22 128 170 0 0
C.Wentz PHI 30 15 24 16 4.5% 17 1.1% 32 159 205 2 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
A.Smith KC 26 16 22 20 4.4% 18 2.0% 31 144 149 5 1
C.Keenum LARM 25 17 24 17 22.3% 9 20.5% 13 58 112 1 0
J.Flacco BAL 21 18 19 21 15.7% 14 12.2% 12 64 105 2 0
D.Brees NO 21 19 23 18 17.2% 11 19.3% 11 32 104 2 0
K.Cousins WAS 18 20 22 19 1.5% 20 4.8% 20 112 136 4 3
C.Newton CAR 15 21 32 13 -9.0% 22 -5.4% 85 364 377 5 0
R.Tannehill MIA 8 22 -1 23 -7.1% 21 -13.0% 32 168 139 1 1
R.Wilson SEA 7 23 15 22 -9.5% 23 -6.7% 55 274 220 1 0
T.Siemian DEN -4 24 -2 24 -17.0% 24 -14.5% 17 64 56 0 1
J.Brissett NE -8 25 -6 25 -24.7% 28 -22.6% 13 86 27 1 2
T.Brady NE -9 26 -12 28 -19.0% 25 -21.5% 19 73 76 0 1
P.Lynch DEN -12 27 -9 26 -43.0% 29 -34.8% 8 29 0 0 0
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ -14 28 -12 27 -21.8% 26 -20.9% 26 121 71 0 2
J.Winston TB -19 29 -16 29 -23.8% 27 -22.2% 34 183 72 1 3
D.Carr OAK -39 30 -33 30 -50.2% 30 -44.3% 22 94 -17 0 2