Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2016

Regular season totals, through Week 12

Revised as of 11/29/2016

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 180 passes, 33 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
D.Brees NO 1,261 1 1,190 1 28.9% 4 26.6% 76.6 5 470 3,447 4,251 30 0 3 8 72.7% 4/75 1.2
M.Ryan ATL 1,237 2 1,048 4 35.6% 3 28.5% 82.5 3 407 3,323 3,812 26 0 2 6 69.1% 7/74 -0.1
D.Prescott DAL 1,140 3 1,084 2 39.1% 1 36.7% 86.0 1 354 2,752 3,378 18 1 3 2 68.4% 3/46 1.6
K.Cousins WAS 1,024 4 1,072 3 23.7% 5 25.4% 74.2 6 448 3,433 3,758 20 2 0 7 68.9% 5/163 2.3
D.Carr OAK 962 5 851 6 23.0% 6 19.0% 66.7 14 434 3,056 3,579 22 1 3 5 66.8% 14/241 0.9
T.Brady NE 848 6 939 5 39.0% 2 44.3% 85.0 2 266 2,129 2,511 18 0 0 1 68.9% 1/9 3.0
A.Rodgers GB 634 7 662 8 9.1% 10 9.9% 76.9 4 473 2,910 3,401 27 3 2 6 64.4% 7/239 4.1
M.Stafford DET 624 8 549 9 12.1% 8 9.4% 71.7 7 413 2,734 3,007 19 1 1 5 67.3% 8/74 0.7
M.Mariota TEN 540 9 670 7 9.9% 9 14.9% 69.0 9 397 2,841 2,808 25 2 2 8 64.5% 10/134 1.8
J.Winston TB 511 10 406 14 7.8% 13 3.9% 67.0 13 431 2,726 2,882 22 1 3 10 61.3% 7/106 2.1
B.Roethlisberger PIT 506 11 513 10 8.6% 11 8.8% 67.7 11 387 2,598 2,751 23 1 2 7 64.9% 6/70 5.3
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
R.Wilson SEA 486 12 489 11 8.3% 12 8.5% 64.4 15 394 2,653 2,669 11 4 1 4 65.3% 7/139 1.3
P.Rivers SD 467 13 421 13 5.7% 14 4.0% 70.4 8 426 2,986 2,878 23 3 3 12 62.9% 8/79 0.7
A.Smith KC 338 14 283 16 3.0% 15 0.7% 61.6 19 371 2,179 2,387 11 1 2 4 66.5% 1/12 0.7
B.Hoyer CHI 336 15 476 12 14.4% 7 25.1% 61.7 18 203 1,429 1,517 6 1 1 0 67.7% 2/32 1.2
A.Dalton CIN 313 16 305 15 -0.1% 16 -0.4% 53.9 27 442 2,826 2,712 12 4 2 6 63.8% 8/88 0.2
E.Manning NYG 304 17 268 17 -0.2% 17 -1.5% 58.4 21 426 2,825 2,660 20 3 2 10 63.2% 7/63 3.0
S.Bradford MIN 252 18 227 18 -0.6% 18 -1.6% 54.1 25 372 2,209 2,253 12 3 3 3 71.7% 6/92 -0.7
T.Taylor BUF 131 19 146 20 -5.0% 19 -4.3% 67.5 12 341 1,940 1,915 11 0 0 4 61.7% 5/110 3.2
A.Luck IND 117 20 117 21 -6.8% 20 -6.8% 69.0 9 411 2,593 2,332 19 1 3 8 63.3% 6/115 1.8
T.Siemian DEN 86 21 150 19 -7.4% 21 -4.6% 62.3 17 349 2,254 1,955 15 1 2 7 60.2% 9/132 1.6
C.Newton CAR 61 22 10 26 -8.5% 23 -10.7% 60.3 20 362 2,225 1,913 13 0 2 8 56.4% 5/89 3.1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
C.Kessler CLE 43 23 74 24 -8.0% 22 -5.8% 51.5 29 213 1,225 1,166 6 3 1 2 66.0% 3/66 -0.9
C.Wentz PHI -16 24 85 22 -11.8% 25 -7.9% 47.1 30 418 2,430 2,084 11 2 2 8 63.7% 4/43 -0.5
C.Palmer ARI -17 25 -4 27 -11.7% 24 -11.3% 55.2 23 450 2,662 2,316 15 7 3 11 61.6% 6/98 -0.5
C.Kaepernick SF -33 26 -72 28 -13.5% 27 -16.3% 63.5 16 225 1,341 1,090 10 4 1 3 55.6% 1/17 -0.6
R.Tannehill MIA -50 27 81 23 -13.3% 26 -7.6% 55.4 22 354 2,345 1,766 15 3 2 8 66.6% 2/22 1.4
B.Bortles JAC -78 28 30 25 -13.6% 28 -10.2% 54.1 25 464 2,615 2,397 20 0 2 13 59.6% 13/202 1.6
C.Keenum LARM -175 29 -195 30 -19.3% 29 -20.3% 44.0 32 336 2,022 1,471 9 2 1 11 61.0% 5/84 0.2
J.McCown CLE -270 30 -300 31 -34.4% 33 -37.1% 36.1 33 184 966 565 6 3 4 6 54.9% 2/47 2.6
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ -324 31 -359 32 -25.2% 31 -26.7% 46.7 31 350 2,150 1,419 10 6 1 13 57.9% 8/131 0.8
J.Flacco BAL -353 32 -185 29 -22.9% 30 -17.3% 53.8 28 469 2,704 1,934 12 2 2 10 64.1% 5/114 1.4
B.Osweiler HOU -451 33 -436 33 -27.3% 32 -26.8% 54.4 24 421 2,132 1,628 12 3 1 12 59.6% 6/70 1.0

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-179 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
J.Garoppolo NE 244 173 51.5% 33.3% 91.4 64 476 646 4 1 1 0 70.0% 0/0 2.2
M.Glennon TB 61 62 60.7% 62.7% 96.4 11 75 151 1 0 0 0 90.9% 0/0 -2.0
S.Hill MIN 35 56 5.9% 16.0% 66.5 33 236 213 0 0 0 0 54.5% 0/0 6.7
D.Anderson CAR 12 10 -8.2% -8.5% 22.7 52 453 333 2 0 0 4 69.2% 1/19 4.6
J.Brissett NE 8 -14 -9.1% -14.7% 44.3 61 360 330 0 1 0 0 61.8% 3/19 0.4
N.Foles KC -10 18 -13.7% -6.4% 35.4 59 376 288 3 0 0 0 65.5% 0/0 -0.7
T.Pryor CLE -24 -30 -45.2% -53.4% 22.2 10 40 24 0 0 0 0 55.6% 0/0 0.0
C.Whitehurst CLE -27 1 -27.6% -10.5% 31.8 26 168 94 1 0 0 1 58.3% 1/21 2.3
P.Lynch DEN -27 -24 -17.6% -16.8% 32.5 65 353 306 2 2 0 1 63.8% 1/8 2.4
B.Petty NYJ -45 -39 -31.3% -28.4% 20.9 35 176 119 1 0 0 1 61.8% 0/0 -2.2
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
R.Griffin CLE -50 -101 -39.8% -68.7% 29.2 29 168 73 0 1 0 1 46.2% 1/6 -0.4
L.Jones PIT -51 -8 -28.6% -13.8% 39.9 48 281 164 1 0 0 1 60.4% 0/0 1.4
J.Cutler CHI -55 -218 -17.0% -34.4% 34.8 154 955 683 4 2 2 5 59.1% 2/24 0.9
G.Smith NYJ -67 -87 -69.9% -87.3% 33.3 17 105 1 1 1 0 1 57.1% 0/0 1.5
S.Tolzien IND -90 -89 -47.2% -47.0% 29.9 39 185 82 1 1 0 2 61.1% 0/0 -1.8
D.Stanton ARI -103 -80 -49.0% -40.3% 25.6 44 176 79 2 0 0 1 39.5% 0/0 5.4
J.Goff LARM -104 -97 -35.6% -34.0% 44.1 66 310 201 3 0 1 1 59.7% 1/6 -1.4
K.Hogan CLE -138 -136 -90.4% -89.1% 68.1 28 94 -48 0 0 0 2 53.8% 0/0 2.5
M.Barkley CHI -147 -103 -43.7% -34.0% 32.7 71 383 164 3 1 0 4 49.3% 2/78 0.1
B.Gabbert SF -159 -202 -26.4% -30.4% 62.7 161 849 625 5 0 0 6 58.3% 3/24 -1.2

RUSHING: Minimum 5 rushes, 33 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
C.Kaepernick SF 136 1 130 1 50.0% 2 47.4% 45 374 475 1 1
D.Prescott DAL 92 2 96 2 47.9% 3 50.0% 30 197 328 5 1
A.Rodgers GB 82 3 95 3 35.4% 4 42.8% 34 297 295 3 2
A.Luck IND 70 4 72 4 24.7% 8 25.8% 36 259 287 1 0
T.Taylor BUF 59 5 36 11 5.4% 16 -1.3% 64 435 382 5 3
B.Gabbert SF 53 6 30 13 13.7% 12 2.8% 37 174 271 2 0
M.Mariota TEN 48 7 70 5 11.4% 14 21.9% 40 324 262 2 3
K.Hogan CLE 47 8 45 7 115.1% 1 110.6% 8 105 137 1 0
A.Dalton CIN 44 9 39 8 16.0% 10 12.6% 29 169 215 3 2
B.Bortles JAC 38 10 37 10 7.1% 15 6.8% 40 290 231 1 2
B.Osweiler HOU 37 11 37 9 29.7% 6 30.7% 14 124 149 1 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
M.Stafford DET 27 12 34 12 15.6% 11 22.7% 20 164 135 0 0
D.Brees NO 26 13 22 15 30.4% 5 22.7% 9 26 106 2 0
C.Keenum LARM 23 14 24 14 19.7% 9 20.9% 13 58 107 1 0
R.Tannehill MIA 21 15 16 17 2.6% 17 -0.8% 28 148 151 1 0
C.Newton CAR 20 16 48 6 -6.3% 21 1.8% 62 277 300 5 0
J.Flacco BAL 18 17 16 16 11.9% 13 9.7% 12 58 95 2 0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 10 18 5 21 25.6% 7 6.4% 5 26 45 1 1
R.Wilson SEA 10 19 14 18 -6.4% 22 -3.9% 36 171 146 1 0
A.Smith KC 9 20 8 20 -1.1% 19 -1.4% 16 65 77 2 0
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ 8 21 10 19 -4.9% 20 -3.9% 21 107 104 0 1
J.Cutler CHI 3 22 2 22 -0.1% 18 -4.5% 5 24 22 0 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
T.Siemian DEN 2 23 -1 23 -9.6% 23 -13.7% 16 60 68 0 1
D.Carr OAK -4 24 -5 24 -18.3% 25 -20.7% 14 64 35 0 1
P.Lynch DEN -5 25 -7 26 -30.1% 29 -36.5% 6 18 9 0 0
J.McCown CLE -5 26 -11 29 -34.7% 32 -59.3% 5 21 5 0 0
J.Brissett NE -6 27 -6 25 -21.1% 27 -22.3% 13 86 32 1 2
M.Ryan ATL -6 28 -8 27 -17.5% 24 -20.0% 18 93 65 0 1
J.Winston TB -7 29 -12 30 -18.4% 26 -23.3% 23 124 62 1 3
C.Kessler CLE -8 30 -11 28 -34.7% 33 -43.5% 7 19 7 0 0
K.Cousins WAS -13 31 -16 31 -30.2% 30 -34.0% 12 60 22 1 3
T.Brady NE -18 32 -24 33 -27.6% 28 -32.7% 17 65 42 0 1
C.Wentz PHI -24 33 -21 32 -30.6% 31 -28.7% 22 87 38 1 1