Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2015

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 1/4/2016

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Total QBR is not adjusted for strength of opponent.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 200 passes, 37 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
C.Palmer ARI 1,702 1 1,755 1 34.5% 1 36.0% 82.2 1 557 4,495 5,315 35 2 2 11 64.5% 16/253
T.Brady NE 1,311 2 1,269 2 19.5% 5 18.5% 64.4 11 659 4,536 5,234 36 3 2 7 64.7% 10/233
R.Wilson SEA 1,192 3 1,159 4 24.3% 3 23.4% 74.9 4 526 3,744 4,314 34 1 2 8 68.7% 2/30
A.Dalton CIN 1,139 4 1,062 6 32.0% 2 29.1% 73.1 5 408 3,101 3,677 26 2 2 7 66.1% 5/107
B.Roethlisberger PIT 1,115 5 1,057 7 22.2% 4 20.4% 76.9 2 489 3,809 4,216 21 0 0 16 68.2% 14/297
D.Brees NO 1,109 6 1,183 3 15.7% 7 17.5% 75.5 3 657 4,625 4,835 32 2 2 11 68.6% 1/37
K.Cousins WAS 1,028 7 1,128 5 17.0% 6 19.8% 70.1 6 570 3,984 4,336 29 2 3 11 69.8% 6/112
P.Rivers SD 845 8 781 9 7.8% 11 6.4% 59.4 20 703 4,498 4,752 29 2 2 13 66.5% 8/102
M.Stafford DET 807 9 638 12 8.1% 10 4.1% 62.6 14 637 3,979 4,471 32 1 2 13 67.6% 6/89
J.Cutler CHI 658 10 556 13 8.5% 9 5.5% 60.7 17 512 3,499 3,585 21 1 5 11 64.5% 9/191
C.Newton CAR 621 11 848 8 7.3% 12 14.0% 66.1 9 527 3,558 3,561 35 0 1 10 59.9% 3/64
D.Carr OAK 580 12 427 17 4.0% 13 0.0% 49.2 26 603 3,763 3,869 32 3 1 13 61.3% 8/165
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ 541 13 670 10 3.5% 14 7.0% 63.6 12 583 3,779 3,714 31 2 2 15 59.6% 4/88
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
T.Taylor BUF 536 14 487 16 9.8% 8 7.9% 67.8 7 417 2,810 2,790 20 5 1 6 63.7% 3/98
J.Winston TB 469 15 495 15 2.2% 16 2.9% 58.6 21 560 3,831 3,483 22 2 1 15 58.9% 6/153
A.Smith KC 467 16 358 19 3.0% 15 -0.3% 66.5 8 516 3,243 3,300 20 2 0 7 65.5% 4/90
A.Rodgers GB 428 17 282 20 -0.5% 17 -4.1% 64.9 10 617 3,517 3,832 31 4 4 8 60.9% 14/364
E.Manning NYG 405 18 536 14 -1.9% 19 1.1% 60.5 18 646 4,225 4,064 35 5 3 14 62.9% 13/192
M.Ryan ATL 390 19 669 11 -1.8% 18 4.8% 62.1 15 647 4,372 3,912 21 6 5 15 66.4% 6/74
B.Hoyer HOU 205 20 375 18 -2.9% 20 4.0% 59.6 19 394 2,406 2,271 19 4 2 5 61.0% 1/10
T.Bridgewater MIN 185 21 93 25 -5.1% 22 -8.1% 62.7 13 491 2,923 2,742 14 3 2 9 65.3% 6/116
B.Osweiler DEN 153 22 140 22 -3.2% 21 -3.9% 48.8 27 299 1,813 1,764 10 2 1 6 61.8% 3/58
J.McCown CLE 112 23 82 26 -5.7% 23 -7.2% 53.9 25 315 1,963 1,807 12 2 4 4 63.7% 1/6
S.Bradford PHI 106 24 221 21 -8.2% 24 -5.0% 41.8 34 560 3,512 3,026 19 4 1 14 65.3% 11/176
B.Bortles JAC 55 25 99 24 -9.9% 25 -8.8% 46.4 30 657 4,089 3,550 35 7 4 18 58.9% 8/145
R.Tannehill MIA 20 26 67 27 -10.6% 27 -9.4% 43.2 32 632 3,818 3,204 24 5 5 12 62.2% 7/109
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
J.Flacco BAL 19 27 55 29 -10.4% 26 -9.1% 40.9 35 428 2,637 2,216 14 3 2 12 65.2% 3/31
R.Mallett 2TM -33 28 -127 30 -13.2% 29 -19.2% 55.1 22 248 1,283 1,227 5 0 0 6 56.7% 1/11
M.Hasselbeck IND -41 29 57 28 -13.4% 30 -8.0% 55.1 23 273 1,588 1,424 9 1 2 5 61.3% 5/52
M.Mariota TEN -52 30 123 23 -13.2% 28 -6.4% 61.0 16 407 2,551 2,018 19 3 6 10 62.5% 10/120
J.Manziel CLE -106 31 -179 32 -18.4% 33 -23.4% 54.7 24 241 1,350 1,047 7 3 3 5 58.4% 1/2
B.Gabbert SF -124 32 -159 31 -17.6% 32 -19.4% 42.6 33 309 1,854 1,373 10 3 1 7 63.1% 3/28
A.Luck IND -125 33 -189 33 -17.4% 31 -20.6% 47.6 28 306 1,783 1,436 15 2 0 12 55.9% 1/18
M.Cassel DAL -173 34 -211 34 -23.8% 35 -26.6% 33.7 36 216 1,190 865 5 2 0 6 58.9% 4/32
C.Kaepernick SF -179 35 -249 35 -21.3% 34 -25.3% 47.1 29 273 1,446 1,172 6 1 1 5 59.0% 1/28
P.Manning DEN -328 36 -317 36 -26.0% 36 -25.4% 45.0 31 346 2,156 1,336 9 1 0 17 60.2% 4/35
N.Foles STL -355 37 -429 37 -28.0% 37 -31.5% 30.0 37 350 1,944 1,217 7 2 2 10 56.9% 4/109

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-199 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
L.McCown NO 220 153 77.1% 50.5% 84.9 40 335 499 0 0 0 1 82.1% 0/0
A.J.McCarron CIN 151 138 6.9% 5.3% 64.4 132 781 882 6 0 1 2 66.4% 3/50
B.Weeden 2TM 131 199 3.0% 10.3% 66.2 149 967 926 5 1 1 2 69.8% 2/40
C.Keenum STL 82 144 -1.2% 6.3% 47.7 131 795 777 4 1 1 1 61.1% 2/54
G.Smith NYJ 73 83 11.1% 14.3% 66.2 45 246 358 2 0 0 1 64.3% 2/29
L.Jones PIT 37 -12 -1.5% -14.2% 35.9 57 496 361 3 0 1 4 58.2% 1/18
D.Orlovsky DET 31 -1 0.4% -11.4% 50.8 40 201 260 1 0 0 1 55.0% 0/0
R.Lindley IND 28 34 27.6% 36.1% 83.7 10 58 97 1 0 0 0 60.0% 0/0
C.McCoy WAS 22 14 21.1% 9.7% 36.8 12 114 86 1 1 0 0 63.6% 0/0
T.J.Yates HOU 17 -18 -7.0% -15.6% 55.7 62 337 350 3 0 1 1 49.1% 2/35
K.Moore DAL 10 16 -9.7% -8.8% 19.0 110 752 566 4 0 1 5 58.7% 0/0
J.Clausen 2TM 5 -148 -10.4% -30.3% 28.6 132 701 630 2 0 0 4 57.6% 0/0
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
A.Tanney TEN 3 2 -8.5% -8.9% 39.9 17 65 87 1 0 0 0 71.4% 0/0
M.McGloin OAK -26 -46 -21.5% -29.5% 18.8 34 123 167 2 0 1 1 71.9% 0/0
EJ Manuel BUF -26 -12 -16.1% -13.3% 37.0 89 509 395 3 1 1 3 63.4% 0/0
J.Freeman IND -70 -58 -47.8% -41.9% 53.9 29 142 58 1 0 0 1 53.6% 0/0
D.Stanton ARI -82 -99 -57.4% -67.0% 12.3 27 96 31 0 0 0 2 44.0% 2/42
T.Romo DAL -93 -65 -22.4% -19.0% 55.8 127 847 538 5 0 1 7 68.6% 1/16
C.Whitehurst IND -99 -86 -58.4% -52.2% 20.5 37 122 38 0 0 0 1 50.0% 0/0
M.Schaub BAL -146 -71 -38.4% -24.4% 34.3 83 513 232 3 0 0 4 65.0% 0/0
M.Vick PIT -206 -184 -57.1% -52.1% 31.8 75 321 80 2 1 0 0 61.5% 0/0
M.Sanchez PHI -229 -154 -47.2% -35.3% 38.9 100 562 200 4 0 1 4 64.8% 0/0
A.Davis CLE -269 -287 -53.1% -55.8% 22.1 105 425 151 1 0 1 3 60.9% 0/0
Z.Mettenberger TEN -408 -486 -46.4% -53.1% 13.6 179 812 376 4 1 2 7 61.6% 0/0

RUSHING: Minimum 8 rushes, 36 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
C.Newton CAR 142 1 157 1 8.1% 18 10.4% 119 645 840 10 4
T.Taylor BUF 133 2 127 2 19.8% 12 18.3% 87 586 612 4 2
R.Wilson SEA 122 3 106 5 17.0% 14 13.1% 85 566 590 1 4
A.Rodgers GB 106 4 111 4 36.9% 4 39.0% 45 356 408 1 0
A.Smith KC 86 5 113 3 11.6% 17 18.9% 72 509 462 2 2
B.Bortles JAC 85 6 90 6 24.4% 9 26.3% 42 320 369 2 2
J.Cutler CHI 85 7 77 8 43.8% 2 38.6% 28 208 307 1 1
R.Fitzpatrick NYJ 73 8 89 7 17.9% 13 24.2% 45 281 349 2 1
J.Manziel CLE 68 9 40 15 32.4% 6 13.8% 32 235 265 0 0
C.Kaepernick SF 63 10 54 11 22.7% 10 17.9% 40 260 279 1 3
A.Luck IND 59 11 51 13 31.1% 8 25.5% 26 202 237 0 1
B.Gabbert SF 55 12 61 9 37.6% 3 42.7% 23 191 211 1 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
R.Tannehill MIA 49 13 55 10 36.5% 5 42.2% 23 149 187 1 0
J.Winston TB 41 14 53 12 7.5% 19 12.8% 41 223 215 6 3
M.Stafford DET 35 15 46 14 11.8% 16 19.3% 29 179 192 1 0
EJ Manuel BUF 34 16 23 19 20.7% 11 10.0% 16 66 154 1 0
T.Bridgewater MIN 31 17 37 16 5.0% 22 8.1% 35 203 205 3 3
B.Weeden 2TM 27 18 26 17 49.8% 1 47.3% 9 55 96 1 0
T.Brady NE 25 19 25 18 6.4% 21 6.0% 20 69 158 3 1
N.Foles STL 21 20 14 23 32.3% 7 18.4% 8 28 79 1 0
M.Mariota TEN 20 21 22 20 -0.6% 25 0.6% 32 253 171 2 1
M.Vick PIT 16 22 11 24 12.4% 15 4.6% 14 105 83 0 1
J.Flacco BAL 15 23 17 21 6.8% 20 9.3% 9 24 92 3 0
J.McCown CLE 11 24 -8 32 -0.5% 24 -20.2% 19 95 91 1 3
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
A.Dalton CIN 10 25 1 28 -7.9% 28 -11.9% 42 150 192 3 1
K.Cousins WAS 9 26 16 22 -3.0% 26 4.9% 14 52 88 5 3
B.Osweiler DEN 6 27 4 27 -6.0% 27 -8.2% 17 65 84 1 0
E.Manning NYG 5 28 6 26 -0.2% 23 0.7% 9 70 44 0 1
M.Ryan ATL 3 29 8 25 -9.8% 30 -4.6% 17 73 86 0 1
A.J.McCarron CIN 2 30 0 29 -8.1% 29 -11.8% 8 37 37 0 0
P.Rivers SD 1 31 -6 31 -9.8% 31 -27.3% 9 37 32 0 0
C.Palmer ARI -10 32 -9 33 -31.6% 34 -29.5% 8 36 13 2 2
M.Cassel DAL -10 33 -12 34 -29.3% 33 -33.4% 14 85 19 0 2
D.Carr OAK -13 34 -5 30 -25.2% 32 -16.7% 21 141 43 0 3
J.Clausen 2TM -17 35 -29 35 -50.7% 35 -76.4% 9 38 -8 0 1
S.Bradford PHI -43 36 -42 36 -76.8% 36 -75.7% 13 40 -51 0 3