Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2017

Regular season totals, through Week 14

Revised as of 12/12/2017

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment. (Note: We plan on updating all QB Stats pages with adjusted QBR and a qualifying minimum of 200 passes sometime before the end of the 2017 season.)

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 200 passes, 35 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
T.Brady NE 1,318 1 1,347 1 28.1% 2 29.0% 68.9 4 511 3,697 4,499 27 3 3 6 67.4% 8/152 2.9
P.Rivers LACH 1,220 2 1,248 2 29.0% 1 30.0% 54.6 15 476 3,481 4,106 23 4 1 6 63.3% 12/181 0.8
D.Brees NO 1,170 3 1,123 3 27.9% 3 26.4% 56.7 12 458 3,420 4,002 19 3 0 6 72.4% 2/5 0.0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 1,124 4 986 5 21.3% 7 17.3% 60.5 10 518 3,613 4,318 24 1 1 13 63.9% 13/280 2.4
C.Keenum MIN 1,057 5 1,032 4 27.4% 4 26.4% 71.8 3 419 2,877 3,653 18 0 1 7 66.8% 9/178 0.0
C.Wentz PHI 984 6 891 6 21.7% 6 18.6% 74.5 2 471 3,103 3,754 33 4 2 7 60.2% 7/181 3.6
J.Goff LARM 971 7 877 7 23.7% 5 20.3% 53.6 16 438 3,219 3,544 22 3 2 6 62.8% 7/130 0.2
M.Ryan ATL 821 8 854 9 17.8% 9 19.0% 63.3 6 433 3,134 3,393 17 1 1 11 66.4% 6/76 0.7
M.Stafford DET 771 9 658 11 13.1% 12 9.6% 61.8 8 509 3,450 3,612 23 5 6 9 65.7% 7/152 1.8
A.Smith KC 748 10 854 8 13.6% 10 17.1% 60.0 11 469 3,307 3,450 23 1 1 5 67.4% 3/40 0.8
D.Carr OAK 692 11 739 10 13.5% 11 15.2% 49.7 21 436 2,854 3,202 18 1 2 8 64.0% 9/158 2.5
R.Wilson SEA 573 12 631 12 6.5% 14 8.3% 61.5 9 502 3,261 3,388 29 5 2 11 63.0% 7/119 1.1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
D.Watson HOU 467 13 510 13 21.0% 8 24.0% 81.9 1 221 1,583 1,810 19 1 1 6 62.4% 8/173 2.1
J.Winston TB 422 14 423 14 7.3% 13 7.3% 42.3 25 353 2,334 2,419 14 2 4 8 62.8% 3/68 3.4
D.Prescott DAL 419 15 375 15 3.9% 16 2.3% 67.1 5 422 2,609 2,815 21 1 3 9 63.5% 6/113 0.6
K.Cousins WAS 359 16 309 17 0.4% 18 -1.2% 56.2 13 480 3,095 2,999 22 5 4 9 66.2% 5/97 0.9
B.Bortles JAC 324 17 359 16 0.5% 17 1.8% 55.7 14 430 2,699 2,672 16 4 3 8 60.4% 7/117 0.7
A.Rodgers GB 248 18 285 18 6.0% 15 8.6% 62.9 7 212 1,249 1,493 13 0 1 3 66.3% 6/65 3.1
C.Newton CAR 118 19 105 23 -6.8% 20 -7.3% 50.6 20 430 2,524 2,348 17 3 0 12 60.3% 6/110 2.6
C.Palmer ARI 105 20 245 19 -5.4% 19 2.3% 46.1 23 289 1,828 1,612 10 0 0 7 61.4% 7/105 0.3
J.McCown NYJ 67 21 118 21 -8.7% 22 -6.8% 52.6 18 433 2,651 2,297 18 4 4 9 68.1% 4/55 0.0
J.Cutler MIA 67 22 112 22 -8.2% 21 -6.3% 41.9 27 357 1,980 1,931 18 1 0 11 64.1% 4/83 0.0
A.Dalton CIN 51 23 68 25 -9.2% 23 -8.6% 41.9 26 422 2,508 2,230 21 0 4 9 61.0% 6/60 1.9
T.Taylor BUF 39 24 153 20 -9.4% 24 -4.2% 50.9 19 360 1,900 1,828 12 0 2 4 63.2% 4/72 0.6
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
E.Manning NYG 25 25 15 26 -10.3% 25 -10.6% 43.0 24 467 2,473 2,522 15 3 4 9 63.0% 4/51 2.3
M.Mariota TEN 5 26 92 24 -10.9% 26 -7.3% 52.7 17 381 2,436 1,943 10 0 0 14 62.4% 3/42 2.4
M.Trubisky CHI -69 27 -133 28 -15.9% 27 -20.3% 27.6 35 249 1,352 1,070 6 4 2 4 58.5% 1/1 -2.1
B.Hoyer 2TM -72 28 -130 27 -16.2% 28 -20.3% 32.6 31 225 1,146 1,050 4 1 1 4 59.2% 3/40 0.2
B.Hundley GB -182 29 -226 29 -21.1% 30 -23.5% 47.0 22 276 1,368 1,226 8 1 1 8 64.1% 3/65 1.5
T.Savage HOU -209 30 -278 32 -24.8% 32 -29.3% 39.4 29 243 1,255 951 5 1 7 6 56.6% 7/92 2.3
C.J.Beathard SF -222 31 -284 33 -26.3% 34 -30.5% 30.0 32 242 1,292 880 4 1 2 6 55.4% 0/0 1.2
J.Brissett IND -225 32 -306 34 -19.7% 29 -22.8% 38.2 30 427 2,302 1,813 11 3 3 7 60.6% 2/70 0.1
J.Flacco BAL -314 33 -230 30 -22.2% 31 -19.2% 40.5 28 444 2,231 1,850 13 4 0 12 65.1% 3/58 0.2
T.Siemian DEN -339 34 -242 31 -25.5% 33 -21.4% 28.0 34 371 2,006 1,456 12 2 2 13 59.1% 8/136 1.6
D.Kizer CLE -729 35 -787 35 -39.6% 35 -41.9% 29.5 33 404 2,081 1,069 9 3 5 15 54.0% 7/120 2.0

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-199 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
R.Fitzpatrick TB 298 299 16.5% 16.6% 54.8 170 1,059 1,273 7 0 0 3 59.3% 2/30 1.0
J.Garoppolo SF 182 199 28.2% 31.8% 67.7 76 609 621 2 1 0 2 67.6% 1/27 1.7
S.Bradford MIN 165 126 42.7% 30.0% 73.0 48 342 470 3 0 0 0 74.4% 0/0 -1.8
EJ Manuel OAK 72 13 15.5% -6.1% 51.4 47 236 314 1 0 0 1 55.8% 0/0 2.5
R.Mallett BAL 45 26 31.0% 13.6% 76.9 16 56 147 2 0 0 0 56.3% 0/0 -2.0
T.J.Yates HOU 34 70 8.6% 29.6% 86.1 27 168 184 2 0 0 0 53.8% 1/6 8.0
N.Foles PHI 7 -12 -4.2% -23.2% 25.6 16 83 87 0 0 1 0 71.4% 0/0 -2.8
D.Stanton ARI -23 -11 -15.0% -13.0% 42.4 95 511 440 3 1 0 2 48.4% 2/13 1.3
B.Petty NYJ -29 -33 -53.4% -58.6% 13.5 9 14 16 0 0 0 0 22.2% 1/11 3.0
B.Gabbert ARI -43 -146 -15.7% -26.8% 34.6 150 788 696 6 3 1 5 60.8% 1/15 0.7
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
M.Moore MIA -43 -44 -16.3% -16.4% 38.4 138 766 610 4 0 0 5 61.9% 2/52 0.1
B.Osweiler DEN -94 -95 -23.5% -23.6% 32.9 122 655 484 3 1 0 4 53.4% 0/0 -1.3
C.Kessler CLE -100 -77 -69.9% -56.3% 5.4 29 78 1 0 0 0 1 47.8% 0/0 -1.1
G.Smith NYG -103 -48 -48.6% -28.5% 35.4 39 195 81 1 0 2 0 58.3% 1/17 -1.0
S.Tolzien IND -106 -135 -88.6% -110.3% 9.7 22 99 -34 0 0 0 2 50.0% 0/0 3.8
K.Hogan CLE -119 -95 -32.2% -28.0% 35.8 82 484 293 4 1 0 5 62.7% 4/33 4.4
N.Peterman BUF -200 -201 -75.7% -76.1% 12.1 50 244 -23 2 1 0 5 50.0% 0/0 1.1
P.Lynch DEN -205 -172 -191.0% -161.7% 3.3 18 14 -187 0 1 0 1 64.3% 0/0 2.2
M.Cassel TEN -247 -228 -92.6% -86.5% 13.3 50 125 -92 1 0 2 2 59.5% 0/0 -0.5
M.Glennon CHI -249 -165 -39.0% -29.7% 22.2 150 756 380 4 1 3 5 66.4% 0/0 -1.5

RUSHING: Minimum 7 rushes, 34 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
R.Wilson SEA 161 1 162 1 42.8% 7 43.0% 63 493 590 3 1
D.Prescott DAL 135 2 141 2 50.6% 5 53.4% 40 293 454 5 0
M.Mariota TEN 121 3 119 3 58.7% 2 57.4% 33 236 408 5 0
C.Newton CAR 116 4 117 4 12.7% 19 12.9% 88 594 609 5 3
B.Hundley GB 98 5 93 5 52.2% 3 49.0% 25 210 334 2 0
A.Smith KC 86 6 86 6 24.6% 13 24.6% 45 338 372 1 0
B.Bortles JAC 79 7 81 8 27.5% 10 28.8% 38 291 327 2 1
C.Keenum MIN 71 8 67 11 67.4% 1 62.7% 19 156 230 1 0
D.Watson HOU 69 9 68 9 28.9% 9 28.3% 35 270 281 2 1
C.J.Beathard SF 69 10 67 10 41.4% 8 39.9% 23 139 253 3 0
D.Kizer CLE 65 11 85 7 9.8% 25 16.3% 55 317 372 5 0
T.Taylor BUF 63 12 58 12 10.1% 23 8.4% 57 341 347 3 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
C.Wentz PHI 58 13 53 13 8.7% 26 6.9% 50 306 338 0 3
M.Trubisky CHI 36 14 34 15 25.4% 12 23.6% 24 206 154 1 1
A.Dalton CIN 33 15 24 18 21.4% 16 12.7% 18 116 148 0 0
J.McCown NYJ 33 16 40 14 10.7% 21 16.1% 21 136 166 5 2
K.Hogan CLE 29 17 25 17 51.4% 4 42.2% 10 71 102 0 0
A.Rodgers GB 24 18 30 16 27.0% 11 36.4% 12 88 102 0 0
M.Stafford DET 21 19 22 19 17.3% 18 19.4% 16 97 101 0 0
J.Goff LARM 19 20 17 22 22.4% 15 19.3% 12 70 85 1 0
D.Brees NO 18 21 21 20 10.4% 22 14.6% 11 29 98 2 0
M.Ryan ATL 17 22 14 25 9.9% 24 6.4% 15 100 96 0 2
J.Flacco BAL 16 23 14 24 45.8% 6 39.0% 7 62 59 0 0
R.Fitzpatrick TB 13 24 17 23 11.2% 20 17.7% 12 81 73 0 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.Webb BUF 12 25 18 21 23.1% 14 40.0% 7 55 54 0 0
J.Cutler MIA 8 26 9 26 19.2% 17 25.8% 7 31 36 0 0
J.Brissett IND 8 27 -6 32 -8.4% 28 -15.2% 42 222 167 3 2
B.Roethlisberger PIT 6 28 6 28 0.1% 27 -0.8% 9 56 52 0 0
K.Cousins WAS 2 29 5 29 -11.1% 29 -9.6% 32 145 138 3 3
T.Siemian DEN -1 30 7 27 -12.9% 30 -6.8% 24 133 89 1 1
T.Brady NE -5 31 -5 31 -19.0% 31 -19.1% 11 33 42 0 0
B.Gabbert ARI -6 32 -4 30 -25.3% 32 -21.4% 11 57 20 0 0
J.Winston TB -14 33 -13 33 -28.0% 33 -26.6% 16 76 31 0 1
C.Palmer ARI -18 34 -16 34 -46.1% 34 -41.3% 8 16 -4 0 2