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Basketball Prospectus

Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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Baseball Prospectus

QUARTERBACKS 2007

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 12/31/2007

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DPAR, or Defense-adjusted Points Above Replacement. This number represents the total number of points scored due to plays where this QB passed or carried the ball, compared to a replacement-level QB in the same game situations. DPAR (and its cousin, PAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average QB in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DPAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Passes includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.

PASSING: Minimum 100 passes, 49 players ranked

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
12-T.Brady NE 200.2 1 200.1 1 62.0% 1 62.0% 599 4663 50 1 3 8 69%
18-P.Manning IND 133.5 2 125.6 2 43.9% 4 40.5% 536 3918 31 4 1 13 65%
4-B.Favre GB 103.2 3 104.6 3 29.8% 5 30.4% 549 4070 28 6 1 14 67%
9-D.Brees NO 99.0 4 96.3 4 19.3% 13 18.4% 670 4274 28 5 4 17 68%
9-D.Garrard JAC 91.4 5 88.0 8 49.6% 2 47.3% 345 2391 18 1 2 3 64%
9-T.Romo DAL 89.1 6 96.3 5 24.7% 8 27.8% 546 4022 36 8 1 19 65%
9-C.Palmer CIN 84.8 7 88.9 7 19.6% 11 21.2% 591 4008 26 4 1 19 65%
8-M.Hasselbeck SEA 78.0 8 94.2 6 16.7% 14 22.9% 594 3736 28 3 2 12 63%
7-B.Roethlisberger PIT 75.4 9 78.5 9 28.1% 6 29.8% 449 2821 32 4 3 11 66%
6-J.Cutler DEN 70.6 10 60.9 12 19.7% 10 15.2% 496 3309 20 5 3 14 64%
3-D.Anderson CLE 65.3 11 74.3 10 15.5% 15 19.5% 535 3678 29 2 2 19 58%
7-J.Garcia TB 59.4 12 62.0 11 26.2% 7 27.9% 344 2324 13 2 1 4 65%
17-P.Rivers SD 54.6 13 47.9 15 14.2% 16 10.8% 486 2976 21 5 5 15 60%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
5-D.McNabb PHI 52.5 14 54.4 14 9.9% 19 10.7% 516 3080 19 3 4 7 62%
13-K.Warner ARI 48.9 15 59.6 13 10.4% 18 15.6% 475 3244 27 6 6 16 63%
8-J.Kitna DET 44.0 16 34.2 18 3.5% 23 -0.3% 612 3766 18 6 6 20 63%
17-J.Campbell WAS 42.7 17 37.6 16 9.8% 20 7.0% 435 2564 12 2 7 11 61%
18-S.Rosenfels HOU 39.3 18 22.3 21 21.7% 9 6.6% 246 1647 15 1 3 12 64%
8-M.Schaub HOU 36.1 19 35.7 17 14.2% 17 13.9% 301 2080 9 3 3 9 67%
15-T.Collins WAS 29.0 20 28.0 19 49.1% 3 46.9% 113 828 5 2 2 0 64%
13-J.Harrington ATL 22.7 21 25.2 20 1.3% 25 2.9% 380 2023 7 0 0 7 62%
5-Q.Gray JAC 20.4 22 21.6 22 19.5% 12 21.3% 154 919 10 1 1 4 56%
10-C.Pennington NYJ 15.6 23 13.0 25 -0.9% 27 -2.9% 285 1579 10 4 0 9 69%
8-C.Redman ATL 13.9 24 15.5 23 8.7% 21 11.2% 157 1027 10 1 1 5 60%
8-D.Culpepper OAK 12.4 25 5.0 33 1.5% 24 -7.4% 209 1176 5 3 3 5 58%
10-V.Young TEN 11.7 26 7.0 28 -6.7% 31 -9.3% 408 2378 9 4 2 17 62%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
7-J.Losman BUF 10.9 27 9.1 26 0.7% 26 -1.6% 188 1101 4 1 1 6 63%
3-M.Moore CAR 8.6 28 4.1 35 3.7% 22 -5.1% 118 686 3 1 0 4 57%
5-T.Edwards BUF 7.8 29 7.2 27 -6.5% 30 -7.0% 280 1519 7 4 0 8 57%
10-E.Manning NYG 7.3 30 6.9 29 -10.2% 35 -10.3% 556 3103 23 5 6 19 56%
10-T.Green MIA 7.1 31 4.4 34 -1.7% 28 -6.2% 146 922 5 1 0 7 62%
7-M.Leinart ARI 4.8 32 5.9 31 -3.6% 29 -1.6% 116 624 2 0 0 3 54%
11-D.Huard KC 4.7 33 3.5 37 -10.1% 34 -10.9% 367 2061 11 2 3 13 62%
10-M.Bulger STL 4.1 34 6.7 30 -10.8% 36 -9.3% 414 2115 11 2 3 13 59%
12-L.McCown TB 3.7 35 13.8 24 -7.4% 32 8.0% 153 904 5 1 2 3 69%
12-B.Croyle KC 3.2 36 -3.8 41 -9.9% 33 -16.9% 240 1115 6 1 3 6 57%
7-K.Boller BAL 1.3 37 1.2 40 -12.1% 37 -12.2% 295 1573 9 1 4 10 62%
7-T.Jackson MIN 0.9 38 5.5 32 -12.4% 38 -9.0% 306 1841 9 1 2 12 60%
14-B.Griese CHI -2.6 39 3.9 36 -15.4% 39 -9.8% 276 1674 9 5 0 12 62%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
14-A.Feeley PHI -2.9 40 -6.2 42 -19.4% 44 -26.5% 106 671 5 1 0 8 57%
8-R.Grossman CHI -3.1 41 -9.1 44 -16.1% 41 -21.9% 247 1206 4 3 2 7 55%
17-C.Lemon MIA -3.2 42 1.5 39 -15.4% 40 -12.1% 334 1596 6 3 3 6 56%
9-S.McNair BAL -4.4 43 3.0 38 -17.7% 42 -10.0% 215 1002 2 1 5 4 65%
11-K.Clemens NYJ -5.6 44 -6.4 43 -18.1% 43 -18.7% 274 1390 5 3 1 9 53%
16-V.Testaverde CAR -11.4 45 -13.0 46 -27.4% 45 -29.3% 181 892 5 2 1 6 55%
8-D.Carr CAR -12.3 46 -17.1 48 -32.5% 46 -40.1% 150 553 3 1 0 5 54%
9-J.Beck MIA -13.1 47 -12.1 45 -39.2% 48 -37.2% 117 492 1 1 4 3 57%
12-G.Frerotte STL -16.6 48 -15.5 47 -35.2% 47 -33.7% 177 955 7 1 1 12 57%
12-J.McCown OAK -25.7 49 -22.4 49 -41.6% 49 -38.0% 207 1067 10 7 4 10 58%
11-A.Smith SF -29.9 50 -25.1 50 -47.0% 50 -41.5% 208 779 2 1 5 4 49%
12-T.Dilfer SF -36.7 51 -35.7 51 -48.2% 51 -47.3% 244 983 7 5 1 11 53%

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-99 passes

Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
5-K.Collins TEN 14.9 17.3 28.3% 35.2% 87 496 0 0 1 0 61%
13-S.Hill SF 12.0 12.8 17.3% 19.4% 84 458 5 0 2 1 69%
17-J.Delhomme CAR 11.1 17.1 14.9% 29.9% 90 583 8 1 0 1 65%
10-T.Smith BAL 8.3 5.3 11.5% 2.6% 81 421 2 1 2 0 53%
12-A.Rodgers GB 8.0 6.7 44.7% 35.6% 30 194 1 0 0 0 74%
9-B.Bollinger MIN 5.4 4.4 8.4% 4.5% 57 355 1 0 1 1 67%
13-K.Holcomb MIN 5.1 2.5 0.8% -6.4% 94 400 2 1 0 1 51%
12-J.Sorgi IND 3.2 1.2 8.5% -5.2% 38 117 1 0 0 0 50%
11-P.Ramsey DEN 2.0 5.1 -3.6% 10.9% 50 247 1 0 1 1 62%
14-B.Johnson DAL 1.0 0.6 8.6% 0.6% 12 70 0 0 0 0 64%
15-S.Wallace SEA 0.1 0.8 -12.7% -7.1% 31 202 2 0 1 1 68%
5-B.Gradkowski TB -0.6 -1.8 -19.0% -30.7% 25 106 0 0 0 1 57%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
18-K.Orton CHI -1.2 1.9 -16.5% -7.8% 82 441 3 2 0 2 53%
16-C.Nall GB -2.0 -1.1 -39.5% -28.0% 18 75 1 1 1 0 47%
3-B.Berlin STL -2.3 -0.2 -34.5% -15.5% 28 153 0 0 0 1 61%
17-C.Weinke SF -3.0 -1.9 -40.4% -30.2% 27 73 1 0 0 0 59%
16-C.Batch PIT -5.4 -4.8 -48.6% -44.4% 36 223 2 0 0 3 47%
12-T.Rattay ARI -6.2 -5.5 -61.1% -55.7% 28 163 3 1 0 3 56%
9-C.Frye CLE -6.3 -7.4 -115.5% -132.1% 15 3 0 0 0 1 40%
14-J.O'Sullivan DET -7.1 -6.3 -74.1% -67.3% 30 126 1 1 0 2 50%
7-B.Volek SD -9.2 -10.1 -177.0% -193.4% 13 -3 0 0 1 1 30%
2-J.Russell OAK -10.4 -14.7 -48.0% -62.4% 74 311 2 2 2 4 55%
4-B.Leftwich ATL -12.3 -12.4 -56.1% -56.5% 64 244 1 2 2 2 55%

RUSHING: Minimum 10 rushes, 29 players ranked

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
9-D.Garrard JAC 8.4 1 9.0 1 18.0% 6 20.5% 37 199 1 0
7-B.Roethlisberger PIT 8.0 2 6.9 4 23.3% 4 17.8% 30 204 2 1
12-L.McCown TB 7.3 3 7.0 3 112.3% 1 108.2% 10 118 0 0
7-T.Jackson MIN 7.1 4 7.8 2 13.3% 8 16.2% 41 260 3 1
17-C.Lemon MIA 7.0 5 6.0 5 23.3% 5 17.9% 28 103 4 0
6-J.Cutler DEN 6.0 6 5.9 6 8.0% 9 7.3% 29 215 1 1
3-D.Anderson CLE 5.6 7 5.3 7 31.3% 3 29.0% 17 83 3 0
5-D.McNabb PHI 4.7 8 4.4 8 3.3% 11 1.9% 36 243 0 2
9-T.Romo DAL 3.8 9 4.0 9 16.4% 7 18.1% 22 137 2 1
18-S.Rosenfels HOU 3.3 10 3.3 11 36.8% 2 37.0% 10 61 1 0
7-K.Boller BAL 3.3 11 3.6 10 7.5% 10 10.0% 18 96 0 0
9-D.Brees NO 1.6 12 1.1 14 -1.5% 12 -6.3% 14 60 1 0
11-K.Clemens NYJ 1.2 13 0.6 17 -12.4% 16 -15.6% 25 112 1 0
7-J.Garcia TB 1.0 14 1.5 13 -8.4% 15 -5.2% 22 121 1 1
7-M.Leinart ARI 1.0 15 1.0 15 -3.4% 13 -3.1% 10 43 0 0
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
12-T.Brady NE 1.0 16 2.0 12 -12.6% 17 -6.7% 24 112 2 1
5-T.Edwards BUF 0.8 17 0.8 16 -5.6% 14 -4.2% 10 52 0 0
8-D.Carr CAR 0.4 18 -0.5 21 -14.6% 18 -24.3% 14 60 0 0
8-M.Schaub HOU 0.2 19 0.4 19 -17.0% 19 -14.7% 14 54 0 0
12-J.McCown OAK -0.2 20 0.5 18 -18.7% 20 -14.2% 26 137 0 0
10-C.Pennington NYJ -0.7 21 -0.7 22 -23.7% 22 -23.4% 14 36 1 1
8-D.Culpepper OAK -1.3 22 0.1 20 -24.9% 23 -11.4% 15 38 3 1
7-J.Losman BUF -1.4 23 -1.6 24 -29.6% 25 -31.3% 18 112 0 2
17-P.Rivers SD -1.6 24 -1.4 23 -28.6% 24 -26.7% 17 41 1 1
10-E.Manning NYG -2.3 25 -1.9 26 -43.4% 27 -40.8% 16 82 1 2
10-V.Young TEN -2.7 26 -1.8 25 -23.2% 21 -21.2% 75 401 3 4
17-J.Campbell WAS -3.1 27 -2.7 27 -32.0% 26 -29.8% 30 183 1 4
8-J.Kitna DET -3.9 28 -4.5 28 -59.3% 29 -65.5% 17 68 0 2
8-M.Hasselbeck SEA -4.0 29 -4.8 29 -44.7% 28 -50.0% 23 104 0 3