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Basketball Prospectus

Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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Baseball Prospectus

QUARTERBACKS 2006

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 1/1/2007

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DPAR, or Defense-adjusted Points Above Replacement. This number represents the total number of points scored due to plays where this QB passed or carried the ball, compared to a replacement-level QB in the same game situations. DPAR (and its cousin, PAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average QB in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

  • Passes includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.
  • TO include interceptions and fumbles lost during sacks or aborted snaps.
  • "Points scored due to plays" is based on a larger model of how yards are translated into points, and is not a measurement strictly of touchdown passes.

The simple version: DPAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

PASSING: Minimum 100 passes, 45 players ranked

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
18-P.Manning IND 175.0 1 179.8 1 58.0% 1 60.0% 553 4305 31 1 1 9 65%
10-M.Bulger STL 108.8 2 113.6 3 27.4% 7 29.2% 580 3935 24 2 3 7 64%
9-D.Brees NO 106.0 3 117.0 2 28.4% 4 32.8% 553 4322 26 2 2 11 65%
9-C.Palmer CIN 97.2 4 83.4 5 27.6% 6 21.8% 516 3787 28 8 7 12 63%
17-P.Rivers SD 85.1 5 86.6 4 28.3% 5 29.1% 459 3228 22 4 2 9 62%
12-T.Brady NE 75.9 6 71.1 6 19.6% 11 17.5% 516 3345 24 8 3 12 62%
5-D.McNabb PHI 57.0 7 68.4 7 25.7% 8 33.5% 314 2503 18 1 1 5 57%
11-D.Huard KC 53.4 8 57.9 9 36.0% 2 40.1% 244 1765 11 2 3 1 61%
10-C.Pennington NYJ 52.2 9 43.8 11 10.2% 14 6.4% 479 3185 17 3 4 15 65%
9-T.Romo DAL 51.3 10 63.8 8 20.1% 9 28.2% 337 2761 19 4 3 13 65%
8-J.Kitna DET 48.1 11 36.8 13 3.9% 19 -0.1% 594 3822 21 1 8 21 63%
9-S.McNair BAL 47.9 12 54.5 10 10.9% 13 14.2% 461 2945 16 5 1 12 64%
4-B.Favre GB 46.0 13 41.6 12 4.0% 16 2.4% 612 3748 18 1 4 18 56%
7-B.Roethlisberger PIT 42.6 14 31.2 16 6.6% 15 1.2% 465 3252 18 2 2 21 60%
8-M.Brunell WAS 29.7 15 32.4 14 13.1% 12 15.4% 259 1691 8 2 1 4 63%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
7-M.Leinart ARI 28.3 16 24.9 19 3.9% 17 1.9% 370 2373 11 6 2 11 58%
10-E.Manning NYG 28.0 17 29.9 18 -1.1% 22 -0.3% 519 3057 24 6 1 17 58%
7-J.Garcia PHI 27.6 18 32.1 15 19.7% 10 25.2% 188 1273 10 3 2 2 62%
17-J.Delhomme CAR 22.5 19 30.9 17 -1.6% 23 2.7% 431 2632 17 2 4 11 61%
7-J.Losman BUF 21.2 20 13.3 26 -2.8% 25 -6.6% 427 2704 19 4 6 13 63%
13-T.Rattay TB 19.2 21 15.9 22 29.0% 3 21.7% 102 728 4 1 1 2 61%
10-T.Green KC 15.6 22 4.9 29 3.4% 21 -8.0% 198 1210 7 1 3 9 61%
17-J.Campbell WAS 14.8 23 18.4 20 3.5% 20 7.6% 206 1242 10 1 0 6 53%
13-K.Warner ARI 12.9 24 17.5 21 3.9% 18 10.0% 168 1259 6 5 3 5 64%
9-D.Garrard JAC 12.2 25 15.9 23 -2.4% 24 0.9% 241 1597 10 2 1 9 60%
8-D.Carr HOU 10.4 26 3.4 32 -8.3% 28 -11.6% 440 2516 11 8 6 12 69%
10-V.Young TEN 7.7 27 3.3 33 -8.1% 27 -11.0% 353 2050 12 4 2 12 52%
8-M.Hasselbeck SEA 7.3 28 12.4 27 -8.8% 30 -5.8% 368 2220 18 0 2 15 57%
3-J.Harrington MIA 5.7 29 -7.3 39 -9.9% 31 -17.3% 386 2122 12 3 0 15 58%
16-J.Plummer DEN 4.5 30 -5.6 37 -10.0% 32 -17.0% 316 1878 11 3 2 13 55%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
8-R.Grossman CHI 4.1 31 14.6 24 -11.2% 33 -6.4% 479 3052 23 2 5 20 55%
7-B.Leftwich JAC 3.7 32 13.5 25 -8.7% 29 3.0% 183 1106 7 1 0 5 59%
6-J.Cutler DEN 3.6 33 7.1 28 -7.4% 26 -1.7% 137 913 9 3 1 5 59%
14-B.Johnson MIN 1.8 34 1.0 34 -12.2% 35 -12.6% 436 2559 9 5 3 15 62%
11-A.Smith SF 1.5 35 -4.0 36 -12.5% 36 -15.2% 439 2696 16 5 2 16 59%
8-D.Culpepper MIA 1.3 36 4.8 30 -11.2% 34 -5.4% 133 785 2 3 0 3 61%
7-M.Vick ATL -6.3 37 3.7 31 -16.6% 37 -11.1% 388 2164 20 4 1 11 53%
11-D.Bledsoe DAL -7.3 38 -4.0 35 -22.9% 39 -18.4% 169 1066 7 1 1 8 53%
15-S.Wallace SEA -7.8 39 -7.0 38 -25.3% 40 -24.1% 141 851 8 1 3 7 58%
3-D.Anderson CLE -8.5 40 -10.7 40 -28.5% 41 -32.5% 116 730 5 1 0 8 57%
2-C.Simms TB -13.0 41 -16.4 42 -40.2% 45 -47.2% 105 553 1 0 0 7 55%
2-A.Brooks OAK -16.0 42 -13.6 41 -30.7% 42 -28.1% 190 926 3 1 3 7 58%
9-C.Frye CLE -17.5 43 -17.0 43 -22.5% 38 -22.3% 391 2189 10 1 5 15 64%
7-B.Gradkowski TB -30.4 44 -28.3 44 -33.7% 43 -32.3% 326 1518 9 3 5 9 54%
16-A.Walter OAK -30.6 45 -32.6 45 -37.0% 44 -38.6% 275 1407 3 3 7 11 53%

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-99 passes

Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD FK FL INT Comp
%
16-C.Batch PIT 18.0 17.7 62.9% 61.7% 53 479 5 0 0 0 58%
14-A.Feeley PHI 11.8 12.2 59.9% 62.3% 38 334 3 0 1 0 68%
18-S.Rosenfels HOU 9.6 10.5 39.8% 44.8% 39 268 3 0 0 1 69%
17-C.Lemon MIA 8.3 7.5 14.8% 11.9% 65 388 2 0 0 1 58%
7-K.Boller BAL 7.6 6.3 17.5% 12.4% 55 457 5 1 1 2 60%
5-Q.Gray JAC 5.4 5.9 53.5% 58.7% 22 155 0 0 0 0 59%
9-B.Bollinger MIN 5.1 1.7 36.5% 3.2% 18 104 0 0 0 0 72%
8-M.Schaub ATL 4.8 3.0 30.1% 13.9% 27 192 1 1 0 1 67%
14-B.Basanez CAR 1.4 1.7 14.5% 22.1% 11 56 0 0 0 0 55%
12-A.Rodgers GB -4.0 -5.3 -67.7% -85.4% 15 28 0 0 1 0 40%
14-B.Griese CHI -4.3 -3.9 -45.3% -43.0% 32 198 1 0 0 2 56%
10-J.Martin NO -4.5 -5.0 -52.0% -56.8% 24 185 1 2 1 1 67%
16-C.Weinke CAR -5.0 -3.3 -23.9% -20.4% 96 570 2 1 0 4 58%
8-M.Tuiasosopo OAK -6.4 -5.6 -116.7% -104.9% 13 68 1 0 0 2 46%
5-K.Collins TEN -8.4 -10.6 -34.7% -40.2% 90 527 1 0 0 6 47%
7-T.Jackson MIN -11.9 -14.7 -44.8% -52.1% 80 437 2 2 1 4 59%

RUSHING: Minimum 10 rushes, 34 players ranked

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
7-M.Vick ATL 32.4 1 31.7 1 27.6% 6 26.6% 119 1038 2 4
5-D.McNabb PHI 11.0 2 10.6 2 57.3% 1 54.9% 24 217 3 1
9-D.Garrard JAC 8.1 3 9.3 4 18.8% 8 24.4% 37 260 0 1
10-V.Young TEN 7.6 4 10.2 3 0.1% 10 5.9% 74 552 7 4
9-S.McNair BAL 6.7 5 6.6 5 34.7% 5 33.4% 21 135 1 1
18-P.Manning IND 4.6 6 4.8 6 50.7% 2 53.8% 10 54 4 0
8-M.Hasselbeck SEA 4.2 7 3.7 7 41.3% 4 34.9% 14 112 0 1
17-J.Campbell WAS 3.6 8 3.3 10 20.6% 7 17.6% 17 114 0 0
15-S.Wallace SEA 3.4 9 3.6 8 44.3% 3 48.5% 10 123 0 1
9-C.Frye CLE 2.8 10 2.6 11 -9.5% 16 -10.3% 40 215 3 2
8-D.Carr HOU 2.7 11 3.6 9 -4.7% 12 -1.2% 40 212 2 2
10-C.Pennington NYJ 2.5 12 2.5 12 -1.4% 11 -1.3% 24 119 0 0
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
12-T.Brady NE 1.9 13 1.6 14 -6.6% 13 -8.5% 26 121 0 1
7-M.Leinart ARI 1.4 14 1.6 13 1.7% 9 3.7% 14 63 2 0
9-C.Palmer CIN 1.0 15 0.7 18 -8.5% 14 -11.7% 14 47 0 0
7-J.Garcia PHI 0.8 16 1.0 16 -8.8% 15 -7.3% 15 87 0 1
3-J.Harrington MIA 0.7 17 0.2 21 -10.2% 17 -16.6% 11 31 0 1
8-J.Kitna DET 0.7 18 0.7 19 -11.6% 19 -11.4% 27 156 2 2
7-T.Jackson MIN 0.4 19 1.0 15 -10.7% 18 -4.8% 15 77 1 0
2-A.Brooks OAK 0.4 20 0.8 17 -15.3% 20 -12.2% 18 125 0 1
9-T.Romo DAL 0.1 21 0.0 22 -17.8% 22 -18.4% 21 109 0 1
7-B.Roethlisberger PIT 0.0 22 -1.1 26 -17.2% 21 -24.0% 23 105 2 1
16-J.Plummer DEN 0.0 23 0.4 20 -21.6% 26 -18.4% 20 123 1 2
11-A.Smith SF -0.2 24 -1.0 24 -18.3% 23 -22.1% 31 161 2 3
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
14-B.Johnson MIN -0.3 25 -1.3 27 -18.8% 25 -25.5% 21 83 1 1
7-B.Gradkowski TB -0.3 26 -0.6 23 -18.8% 24 -19.8% 35 167 0 2
10-T.Green KC -0.8 27 -1.0 25 -30.4% 27 -33.4% 11 57 0 1
7-K.Boller BAL -2.2 28 -2.7 29 -53.3% 30 -61.1% 11 43 0 1
7-B.Leftwich JAC -2.3 29 -1.4 28 -43.4% 29 -35.1% 16 49 2 1
10-E.Manning NYG -3.9 30 -3.9 30 -71.2% 32 -70.5% 11 33 0 2
7-J.Losman BUF -4.3 31 -4.2 31 -37.4% 28 -36.9% 32 135 1 3
4-B.Favre GB -4.4 32 -4.9 32 -79.0% 33 -85.5% 10 30 1 2
17-P.Rivers SD -7.5 33 -7.7 33 -59.8% 31 -61.1% 24 60 0 2
9-D.Brees NO -7.7 34 -8.2 34 -105.5% 34 -110.3% 16 57 0 3