Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2013

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 3/25/2014

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the expected points added by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Total QBR is not adjusted for strength of opponent.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA, DYAR, and Total QBR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 100 passes, 45 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
P.Manning DEN 2,475 1 2,674 1 43.2% 1 47.5% 679 5,347 7,040 55 3 5 10 68.5% 12/176
P.Rivers SD 1,799 2 1,884 2 34.8% 3 37.0% 575 4,363 5,599 32 1 2 11 69.6% 13/197
D.Brees NO 1,701 3 1,550 3 26.9% 5 23.6% 687 4,906 5,916 39 3 2 12 68.9% 4/66
M.Ryan ATL 1,124 4 825 8 13.3% 9 6.8% 695 4,195 5,228 26 0 4 16 67.7% 10/151
N.Foles PHI 1,011 5 1,111 4 35.6% 2 40.2% 347 2,690 3,117 27 2 2 2 64.4% 2/55
T.Brady NE 979 6 859 6 10.9% 11 8.2% 665 4,065 4,913 25 4 2 10 61.0% 13/223
T.Romo DAL 839 7 898 5 11.5% 10 13.1% 572 3,556 4,120 31 3 1 9 64.2% 7/81
C.Kaepernick SF 791 8 650 13 16.6% 7 11.7% 456 2,969 3,358 21 1 3 7 58.4% 5/92
R.Wilson SEA 770 9 699 12 15.6% 8 13.1% 453 3,070 3,364 26 5 5 8 64.0% 6/142
A.Rodgers GB 740 10 762 11 25.4% 6 26.4% 310 2,413 2,644 18 3 0 6 66.8% 2/37
B.Roethlisberger PIT 724 11 764 10 6.6% 12 7.6% 621 3,981 4,267 28 1 5 14 64.9% 4/97
M.Stafford DET 690 12 838 7 4.9% 15 8.3% 658 4,431 4,402 29 3 4 19 59.1% 6/64
J.McCown CHI 659 13 773 9 32.1% 4 39.6% 236 1,786 2,124 13 1 1 1 66.7% 1/19
A.Luck IND 650 14 623 14 4.6% 16 3.9% 606 3,612 4,213 23 3 2 9 60.5% 13/238
C.Palmer ARI 547 15 361 19 2.7% 17 -2.0% 614 3,966 3,922 24 3 3 22 63.7% 13/207
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
A.Dalton CIN 541 16 612 15 2.3% 18 4.1% 615 4,088 3,976 33 1 3 20 62.2% 6/137
C.Newton CAR 421 17 321 20 1.7% 19 -1.3% 513 3,040 3,198 24 0 1 13 62.1% 6/55
J.Cutler CHI 392 18 423 16 5.5% 13 6.8% 371 2,481 2,437 19 1 3 11 64.1% 2/34
S.Bradford STL 304 19 387 18 5.2% 14 9.7% 277 1,602 1,910 14 1 1 4 60.7% 5/124
A.Smith KC 262 20 416 17 -3.7% 21 0.7% 545 3,080 3,194 23 3 3 7 61.2% 11/122
R.Fitzpatrick TEN 179 21 112 22 -3.6% 20 -6.4% 369 2,359 2,147 14 5 2 12 62.5% 1/8
M.Glennon TB 99 22 -73 31 -7.7% 26 -13.6% 459 2,260 2,490 19 2 3 9 59.8% 11/198
M.Cassel MIN 92 23 -7 29 -5.9% 23 -11.5% 271 1,718 1,539 11 2 1 9 60.2% 2/36
J.Locker TEN 69 24 130 21 -5.7% 22 -0.9% 199 1,139 1,116 8 1 0 4 61.0% 2/45
K.Clemens STL 60 25 -133 35 -7.5% 25 -19.1% 262 1,526 1,424 8 3 2 7 58.9% 3/17
R.Tannehill MIA 54 26 22 27 -9.8% 27 -10.6% 643 3,508 3,419 24 3 4 17 60.8% 3/44
M.Vick PHI 40 27 49 25 -6.9% 24 -6.0% 157 1,098 819 5 2 2 3 55.0% 0/0
B.Hoyer CLE 5 28 27 26 -10.4% 28 -7.2% 103 553 546 5 0 0 3 60.4% 0/0
M.McGloin OAK -11 29 62 24 -11.9% 29 -6.7% 219 1,495 1,111 8 3 1 8 55.9% 4/84
J.Campbell CLE -24 30 -80 32 -12.2% 30 -14.8% 332 1,912 1,715 11 1 2 8 57.1% 2/32
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
C.Ponder MIN -42 31 19 28 -13.5% 32 -10.1% 267 1,523 1,356 7 1 3 9 63.8% 4/121
R.Griffin WAS -60 32 98 23 -13.1% 31 -8.0% 495 2,912 2,423 16 4 3 12 60.8% 2/11
T.Lewis BUF -84 33 -138 36 -18.7% 36 -23.5% 176 990 785 4 4 1 3 59.2% 0/0
C.Henne JAC -94 34 -149 37 -13.9% 33 -15.5% 541 2,972 2,623 13 2 0 14 61.0% 5/88
M.Schaub HOU -123 35 -115 34 -16.2% 34 -15.9% 380 2,128 1,796 10 1 1 14 61.3% 5/82
J.Freeman 2TM -176 36 -208 40 -29.7% 42 -33.1% 156 696 524 2 1 1 4 42.9% 1/22
E.J.Manuel BUF -190 37 -87 33 -19.9% 37 -15.2% 335 1,814 1,486 11 2 3 9 59.2% 9/114
C.Keenum HOU -191 38 -201 38 -22.4% 39 -22.9% 270 1,550 1,111 9 3 3 6 55.2% 1/7
M.Flynn 2TM -196 39 -29 30 -24.5% 41 -13.1% 225 1,253 917 8 0 4 5 62.0% 3/74
J.Flacco BAL -296 40 -242 41 -18.1% 35 -16.9% 661 3,579 3,005 19 6 2 22 59.1% 14/295
K.Cousins WAS -314 41 -300 42 -42.6% 45 -41.2% 160 820 376 4 1 2 7 52.9% 0/0
E.Manning NYG -335 42 -202 39 -20.2% 38 -16.6% 590 3,471 2,529 18 3 1 26 58.1% 11/190
G.Smith NYJ -371 43 -434 45 -23.6% 40 -25.7% 485 2,739 1,888 12 1 3 21 55.9% 5/96
T.Pryor OAK -388 44 -398 43 -31.6% 43 -32.1% 304 1,542 999 8 3 2 11 58.0% 2/28
B.Weeden CLE -443 45 -429 44 -36.1% 44 -35.4% 293 1,535 824 9 4 2 9 53.2% 1/23

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-99 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
T.Jackson SEA 83 93 81.9% 93.5% 13 151 184 1 0 0 0 76.9% 0/0
K.Orton DAL 51 71 4.0% 9.9% 51 398 343 2 0 0 2 64.7% 0/0
S.Tolzien GB 13 19 -9.1% -7.9% 91 691 503 1 0 0 5 62.5% 1/30
B.Osweiler DEN 3 18 -8.5% 3.8% 18 87 102 0 0 0 0 68.8% 1/16
C.Daniel KC -6 22 -13.6% -2.0% 40 237 183 1 0 0 1 65.8% 0/0
M.Hasselbeck IND -15 -9 -28.6% -22.1% 12 130 48 0 0 0 1 58.3% 0/0
M.Simms NYJ -27 -52 -24.6% -36.9% 35 133 139 1 0 0 1 51.6% 0/0
S.Wallace GB -75 -69 -54.2% -50.5% 28 114 38 0 0 0 1 66.7% 0/0
M.Barkley PHI -84 -96 -34.9% -38.2% 52 274 170 0 0 1 4 61.2% 1/8
C.Painter NYG -103 -117 -91.2% -102.0% 19 45 -37 0 2 0 1 50.0% 1/2
T.J.Yates HOU -109 -112 -78.0% -79.7% 24 106 -17 0 1 0 2 68.2% 0/0
J.Tuel BUF -130 -152 -43.4% -48.7% 62 313 148 1 0 0 3 45.0% 1/0
B.Gabbert JAC -429 -480 -84.1% -92.9% 98 410 -111 1 2 0 7 48.8% 0/0

RUSHING: Minimum 8 rushes, 39 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
A.Luck IND 151 1 152 1 47.6% 4 47.8% 48 392 537 4 1
R.Wilson SEA 134 2 114 3 23.3% 11 18.0% 79 557 588 1 0
M.Vick PHI 128 3 121 2 70.0% 1 65.7% 29 316 411 2 0
T.Pryor OAK 105 4 95 5 16.1% 16 13.6% 77 580 514 2 0
C.Newton CAR 102 5 112 4 5.7% 24 7.5% 100 597 654 6 2
A.Smith KC 96 6 94 6 18.7% 15 18.1% 61 434 451 1 1
C.Kaepernick SF 91 7 85 7 11.8% 19 10.1% 80 533 488 4 2
R.Fitzpatrick TEN 85 8 76 9 34.8% 7 29.9% 35 232 332 3 0
N.Foles PHI 72 9 66 10 23.1% 12 20.0% 39 242 318 3 0
G.Smith NYJ 65 10 80 8 9.5% 22 14.4% 60 388 373 6 4
J.Flacco BAL 53 11 60 12 37.4% 6 43.8% 19 138 202 1 0
A.Dalton CIN 52 12 61 11 13.0% 17 17.2% 39 196 272 2 0
E.J.Manuel BUF 49 13 41 16 11.0% 20 7.3% 39 217 266 2 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.Cutler CHI 48 14 49 13 58.4% 2 60.3% 14 124 162 0 0
R.Tannehill MIA 46 15 44 14 19.0% 14 17.5% 29 245 216 1 2
R.Griffin WAS 42 16 41 15 -0.9% 26 -1.0% 81 485 366 0 3
D.Brees NO 36 17 37 17 33.6% 9 34.4% 15 82 143 3 0
J.Locker TEN 32 18 33 18 20.7% 13 22.2% 20 159 142 2 2
J.Campbell CLE 31 19 27 19 34.0% 8 28.1% 13 108 123 0 0
C.Keenum HOU 27 20 24 21 23.8% 10 20.4% 13 73 114 1 0
M.Ryan ATL 23 21 27 20 54.5% 3 65.2% 8 71 81 0 0
A.Rodgers GB 23 22 20 22 6.8% 23 4.3% 21 124 139 0 1
T.Romo DAL 17 23 13 23 44.3% 5 32.9% 8 47 60 0 0
B.Weeden CLE 11 24 11 25 12.4% 18 12.2% 9 46 56 0 0
J.McCown CHI 10 25 13 24 10.9% 21 17.3% 9 70 54 1 1
M.Cassel MIN 10 26 7 26 5.2% 25 0.0% 12 62 64 1 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
T.Brady NE -5 27 -2 27 -19.4% 28 -15.5% 11 37 40 0 2
P.Rivers SD -5 28 -6 28 -17.6% 27 -18.1% 17 81 60 0 0
B.Gabbert JAC -8 29 -10 29 -29.2% 29 -34.6% 9 32 14 0 0
M.Glennon TB -22 30 -20 31 -45.6% 34 -43.7% 15 68 -3 0 2
S.Bradford STL -25 31 -29 34 -70.1% 38 -78.0% 8 39 -27 0 1
B.Roethlisberger PIT -26 32 -24 32 -41.5% 33 -39.4% 17 110 4 1 3
E.Manning NYG -27 33 -29 33 -76.6% 39 -80.1% 9 42 -33 0 3
C.Ponder MIN -31 34 -11 30 -32.3% 30 -19.0% 31 145 40 4 3
K.Clemens STL -35 35 -39 36 -52.9% 35 -58.1% 16 69 -19 0 2
C.Henne JAC -37 36 -31 35 -39.9% 31 -35.7% 22 80 11 0 0
M.Stafford DET -41 37 -40 37 -40.3% 32 -39.6% 23 70 10 1 4
M.Flynn 2TM -41 38 -44 38 -69.0% 37 -72.2% 14 70 -44 0 3
T.Lewis BUF -47 39 -45 39 -60.3% 36 -58.4% 17 57 -39 1 2