Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2017

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 1/1/2018

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment. (Note: We plan on updating all QB Stats pages with adjusted QBR and a qualifying minimum of 200 passes sometime in the 2018 offseason.)

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 200 passes, 35 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
T.Brady NE 1,599 1 1,625 1 27.9% 2 28.5% 67.4 4 617 4,366 5,474 32 3 3 8 66.4% 12/287 2.9
P.Rivers LACH 1,417 2 1,505 2 26.3% 4 28.6% 57.5 13 593 4,335 4,976 28 6 1 9 63.3% 16/231 0.9
D.Brees NO 1,369 3 1,381 3 26.7% 3 27.1% 59.2 11 556 4,168 4,770 23 4 0 8 72.6% 3/12 -0.1
C.Keenum MIN 1,298 4 1,311 4 28.2% 1 28.6% 69.8 3 503 3,403 4,427 22 0 1 7 67.6% 14/284 0.4
B.Roethlisberger PIT 1,274 5 1,251 5 21.9% 8 21.3% 63.4 7 580 4,112 4,840 28 2 1 14 64.6% 14/299 2.4
J.Goff LARM 1,127 6 1,045 8 24.0% 6 21.4% 52.2 18 500 3,619 4,093 28 5 2 7 62.6% 8/161 0.2
M.Ryan ATL 1,087 7 1,079 6 19.2% 9 18.9% 64.2 6 552 3,917 4,363 20 1 2 12 65.1% 6/76 1.1
C.Wentz PHI 1,061 8 946 9 24.3% 5 20.5% 75.8 2 470 3,103 3,853 33 4 2 7 60.4% 7/181 3.7
A.Smith KC 1,022 9 1,068 7 18.2% 10 19.6% 61.7 10 540 3,831 4,194 26 1 1 5 67.7% 4/46 0.7
M.Stafford DET 1,006 10 917 10 14.9% 11 12.6% 61.9 9 613 4,149 4,488 29 5 5 10 65.8% 9/193 2.1
J.Winston TB 779 11 687 12 14.3% 12 11.3% 49.2 20 474 3,288 3,522 19 2 7 11 64.2% 5/90 3.4
D.Carr OAK 716 12 725 11 9.9% 13 10.1% 46.7 22 534 3,399 3,701 22 2 2 11 62.8% 10/213 1.4
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
R.Wilson SEA 517 13 554 14 2.6% 15 3.5% 58.2 12 597 3,588 3,744 34 8 3 11 62.4% 9/134 1.5
D.Watson HOU 500 14 529 15 23.3% 7 25.3% 81.8 1 221 1,583 1,855 19 1 1 6 62.4% 8/173 2.1
B.Bortles JAC 406 15 600 13 0.3% 16 5.8% 55.4 14 547 3,552 3,414 21 4 3 13 60.3% 9/153 0.8
K.Cousins WAS 402 16 324 17 -0.4% 18 -2.5% 52.0 19 585 3,707 3,569 27 6 4 13 64.5% 6/113 0.7
D.Prescott DAL 382 17 326 16 0.1% 17 -1.6% 66.3 5 520 3,140 3,267 22 1 3 13 63.1% 10/193 0.4
A.Rodgers GB 341 18 310 18 8.1% 14 6.4% 62.5 8 259 1,513 1,881 16 0 1 6 65.0% 6/65 3.9
M.Mariota TEN 210 19 237 21 -4.2% 20 -3.3% 54.9 15 480 3,053 2,717 13 0 1 15 62.2% 3/42 2.3
C.Palmer ARI 143 20 278 19 -3.3% 19 4.0% 46.2 23 289 1,828 1,664 10 0 0 7 61.4% 7/97 0.3
C.Newton CAR 143 21 200 22 -6.8% 22 -5.1% 48.0 21 525 3,059 2,874 22 4 0 15 59.5% 8/117 2.5
T.Taylor BUF 129 22 272 20 -6.7% 21 -1.8% 53.1 16 466 2,540 2,507 14 1 2 4 62.6% 5/103 1.3
E.Manning NYG 125 23 4 26 -8.0% 23 -11.0% 43.7 24 602 3,270 3,383 19 5 5 13 61.6% 4/51 1.9
J.McCown NYJ 76 24 141 23 -8.4% 24 -6.0% 52.4 17 436 2,658 2,326 18 5 4 9 68.3% 4/55 0.1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
A.Dalton CIN 74 25 62 25 -9.0% 25 -9.3% 41.2 28 535 3,041 2,871 25 0 4 12 60.2% 10/121 2.3
J.Cutler MIA 40 26 66 24 -9.7% 26 -8.8% 41.2 27 451 2,533 2,350 19 4 0 14 62.1% 4/83 0.1
B.Hoyer 2TM -81 27 -110 28 -16.7% 28 -18.7% 32.0 32 228 1,154 1,053 4 0 1 4 59.0% 3/40 0.0
J.Brissett IND -101 28 -175 29 -14.3% 27 -16.5% 39.6 29 518 2,774 2,468 13 3 2 7 59.5% 2/70 0.4
M.Trubisky CHI -148 29 -201 30 -18.1% 29 -20.6% 29.1 34 363 1,977 1,508 7 5 2 7 59.8% 3/30 -2.4
C.J.Beathard SF -160 30 -257 33 -22.1% 31 -28.7% 32.0 31 242 1,292 963 4 1 2 6 55.4% 0/0 1.3
T.Savage HOU -238 31 -238 31 -26.7% 33 -26.7% 38.1 30 243 1,255 907 5 1 7 6 56.6% 7/92 2.3
J.Flacco BAL -299 32 -99 27 -19.2% 30 -13.8% 43.2 25 574 2,924 2,556 18 4 0 13 64.6% 4/72 0.6
T.Siemian DEN -326 33 -240 32 -24.6% 32 -21.0% 27.6 35 382 2,063 1,527 12 2 2 14 59.0% 8/136 1.7
B.Hundley GB -385 34 -499 34 -27.9% 34 -32.8% 41.6 26 346 1,613 1,329 9 1 1 12 61.0% 4/87 2.2
D.Kizer CLE -755 35 -887 35 -34.5% 35 -38.5% 29.5 33 514 2,679 1,581 11 1 5 20 53.8% 8/131 1.2

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-199 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
J.Garoppolo SF 599 557 39.2% 35.7% 80.6 185 1,502 1,774 7 1 0 5 68.2% 1/27 1.7
R.Fitzpatrick TB 308 316 17.5% 18.2% 53.7 170 1,059 1,286 7 0 0 3 59.3% 2/30 0.8
S.Bradford MIN 169 131 44.2% 31.7% 73.1 48 342 477 3 0 0 0 74.4% 0/0 -1.7
EJ Manuel OAK 56 17 9.9% -4.7% 51.4 47 236 294 1 0 0 1 55.8% 0/0 2.5
P.Mahomes KC 56 57 12.7% 13.1% 64.4 37 269 267 0 0 0 1 62.9% 0/0 -0.6
D.Fales MIA 45 31 3.7% -1.1% 14.6 44 244 307 1 0 0 1 69.0% 1/5 4.2
R.Mallett BAL 42 29 28.5% 16.3% 74.4 16 56 144 2 0 0 0 56.3% 0/0 -2.0
AJ McCarron CIN 0 -11 -11.4% -25.4% 21.7 15 57 61 0 0 0 0 50.0% 0/0 -6.8
N.Sudfeld PHI -20 -17 -23.4% -21.4% 30.9 26 110 104 0 0 0 0 82.6% 0/0 -11.0
M.Moore MIA -42 -29 -16.2% -14.7% 38.6 138 766 612 4 0 0 5 61.9% 2/52 0.1
L.Jones PIT -51 -12 -35.8% -17.1% 43.2 31 220 96 1 0 1 1 82.1% 0/0 -0.1
B.Osweiler DEN -55 -89 -16.2% -19.2% 47.1 180 1,018 813 5 1 1 5 56.5% 0/0 -1.9
D.Stanton ARI -73 -61 -18.2% -17.0% 35.7 166 850 738 6 3 0 5 49.7% 4/55 1.6
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
G.Smith NYG -83 -44 -41.4% -27.1% 34.4 39 195 108 1 0 2 0 58.3% 1/17 -1.0
C.Kessler CLE -96 -72 -68.0% -53.6% 5.2 29 78 5 0 0 0 1 47.8% 0/0 -1.1
S.Tolzien IND -110 -131 -91.7% -107.6% 10.0 22 99 -40 0 0 0 2 50.0% 0/0 3.8
N.Foles PHI -114 -62 -28.5% -20.6% 27.9 107 486 374 5 2 1 2 56.4% 1/32 0.9
B.Petty NYJ -114 -175 -25.9% -33.8% 27.9 120 491 464 1 1 0 1 49.1% 3/48 1.6
K.Hogan CLE -120 -86 -32.4% -26.3% 35.5 82 484 291 4 1 0 5 62.7% 4/33 5.1
S.Mannion LARM -162 -117 -73.1% -55.8% 14.3 41 162 -10 0 1 1 0 59.5% 0/0 -2.9
N.Peterman BUF -194 -194 -74.0% -74.0% 11.1 50 244 -16 2 1 0 5 50.0% 0/0 1.4
B.Gabbert ARI -207 -326 -27.8% -37.3% 30.8 195 944 722 6 4 2 6 55.9% 3/52 0.1
P.Lynch DEN -224 -191 -76.2% -66.6% 22.4 54 242 -9 2 1 1 3 66.7% 0/0 2.9
M.Glennon CHI -229 -150 -36.8% -28.0% 21.6 150 756 407 4 1 3 5 66.4% 0/0 -1.5
T.J.Yates HOU -235 -241 -45.0% -45.8% 29.8 110 447 241 4 3 1 2 48.5% 2/11 6.5
M.Cassel TEN -257 -222 -96.1% -84.4% 11.9 50 125 -106 1 0 2 2 59.5% 0/0 -0.5

RUSHING: Minimum 8 rushes, 35 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
R.Wilson SEA 169 1 171 1 34.1% 10 34.6% 78 601 660 3 2
D.Prescott DAL 165 2 171 2 46.1% 3 48.1% 51 363 572 6 0
M.Mariota TEN 131 3 139 3 43.9% 5 47.5% 46 325 474 5 1
C.Newton CAR 117 4 113 4 6.0% 20 5.4% 122 760 741 6 5
T.Taylor BUF 108 5 92 6 20.2% 15 15.2% 69 436 494 4 1
B.Hundley GB 100 6 96 5 40.3% 8 38.3% 33 273 369 2 1
B.Bortles JAC 84 7 81 8 25.3% 12 23.6% 44 328 361 2 2
A.Smith KC 84 8 90 7 19.8% 16 22.1% 50 366 387 1 0
C.Keenum MIN 75 9 75 9 57.9% 1 58.1% 22 180 253 1 0
C.J.Beathard SF 72 10 66 11 43.8% 6 39.5% 23 139 260 3 0
D.Watson HOU 68 11 67 10 28.4% 11 27.8% 35 270 280 2 1
M.Ryan ATL 54 12 50 16 43.4% 7 39.5% 20 153 195 0 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
A.Rodgers GB 54 13 53 14 47.4% 2 46.4% 17 133 190 0 0
J.McCown NYJ 50 14 54 12 24.0% 13 26.6% 20 138 203 5 1
C.Wentz PHI 50 15 52 15 5.8% 21 6.6% 50 306 319 0 3
M.Trubisky CHI 49 16 38 17 22.0% 14 14.9% 33 255 215 2 2
D.Kizer CLE 33 17 53 13 -3.5% 26 1.8% 74 408 355 5 3
K.Hogan CLE 27 18 25 18 46.0% 4 42.6% 10 71 97 0 0
J.Flacco BAL 24 19 20 21 36.8% 9 27.5% 10 68 94 1 0
A.Dalton CIN 24 20 20 20 10.9% 19 7.5% 19 117 130 0 0
D.Brees NO 21 21 22 19 12.6% 18 13.2% 12 31 113 2 0
K.Cousins WAS 21 22 17 23 -2.4% 24 -4.4% 36 168 205 4 3
R.Fitzpatrick TB 17 23 17 22 17.7% 17 18.2% 12 81 81 0 0
M.Stafford DET 11 24 9 24 -0.1% 23 -1.9% 19 104 88 0 1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
B.Roethlisberger PIT 6 25 7 28 -2.8% 25 -1.4% 11 66 60 0 0
J.Cutler MIA 5 26 7 25 1.2% 22 6.2% 9 39 42 0 1
B.Osweiler DEN 2 27 7 26 -9.5% 27 0.4% 11 70 46 1 0
T.Siemian DEN 0 28 7 27 -12.0% 28 -6.6% 24 133 91 1 1
T.Brady NE -1 29 -1 30 -13.5% 29 -13.2% 13 39 62 0 0
J.Brissett IND -5 30 -26 34 -13.9% 30 -22.0% 53 263 181 4 3
J.Goff LARM -6 31 -11 32 -20.7% 32 -28.8% 14 68 36 1 1
B.Gabbert ARI -6 32 1 29 -19.5% 31 -10.5% 17 82 44 0 1
J.Winston TB -14 33 -8 31 -22.1% 33 -18.1% 27 132 70 1 2
C.Palmer ARI -18 34 -16 33 -45.2% 34 -42.5% 8 16 -2 0 2
D.Carr OAK -36 35 -34 35 -67.4% 35 -63.9% 12 75 -17 0 4