Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

QUARTERBACKS 2017

Regular season totals, through Week 10

Revised as of 11/14/2017

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with oppponent adjustment. (Note: We plan on updating all QB Stats pages with adjusted QBR and a qualifying minimum of 200 passes sometime before the end of the 2017 season.)

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 150 passes, 33 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
T.Brady NE 1,118 1 1,026 1 35.4% 1 31.6% 69.7 5 365 2,682 3,455 19 3 2 2 67.3% 6/115 1.3
A.Smith KC 735 2 759 3 25.3% 3 26.5% 62.5 8 317 2,292 2,624 18 1 1 1 69.9% 2/32 0.9
D.Brees NO 713 3 816 2 24.1% 4 29.2% 59.5 10 307 2,335 2,599 13 2 0 4 72.1% 1/1 -1.3
C.Keenum MIN 649 4 673 4 25.5% 2 26.9% 72.6 3 267 1,870 2,309 11 0 0 5 64.9% 7/149 0.5
J.Goff LARM 635 5 654 5 23.3% 5 24.3% 53.7 16 293 2,281 2,330 16 2 1 4 61.6% 4/60 -0.2
C.Wentz PHI 566 6 558 7 17.0% 7 16.6% 70.6 4 317 2,104 2,388 23 4 2 5 60.5% 5/127 2.8
B.Roethlisberger PIT 556 7 414 13 16.1% 8 9.2% 56.3 14 317 2,220 2,397 12 1 1 10 61.3% 7/178 2.3
M.Ryan ATL 552 8 594 6 15.5% 10 17.6% 59.6 9 314 2,243 2,410 13 1 1 8 67.0% 4/49 0.7
D.Carr OAK 494 9 498 9 16.1% 9 16.4% 53.2 18 279 1,891 2,130 13 1 1 6 65.4% 6/126 1.6
P.Rivers LACH 452 10 547 8 10.1% 12 14.6% 42.3 23 334 2,156 2,329 15 2 1 6 60.6% 10/167 0.3
D.Watson HOU 450 11 482 10 19.9% 6 22.1% 81.6 1 221 1,583 1,787 19 1 1 7 62.4% 8/173 2.1
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
M.Stafford DET 424 12 356 15 7.9% 14 4.8% 57.5 13 359 2,290 2,380 17 2 4 5 62.8% 5/96 1.9
K.Cousins WAS 414 13 365 14 7.4% 15 5.2% 62.9 7 339 2,254 2,363 14 3 3 5 66.5% 4/60 0.8
D.Prescott DAL 399 14 432 12 8.8% 13 10.4% 74.9 2 305 1,903 2,156 16 1 2 4 63.8% 3/55 0.3
R.Wilson SEA 326 15 451 11 3.2% 18 8.6% 57.7 11 359 2,367 2,281 19 5 1 6 63.7% 4/57 1.0
A.Rodgers GB 322 16 279 18 11.2% 11 8.2% 63.3 6 212 1,249 1,595 13 0 1 3 66.3% 6/65 3.1
J.Winston TB 309 17 324 16 6.4% 16 7.3% 39.1 26 273 1,833 1,837 10 2 2 6 61.6% 2/28 3.7
B.Bortles JAC 281 18 209 21 3.3% 17 -0.4% 53.2 17 299 1,865 1,944 11 2 2 7 58.6% 6/99 1.2
M.Mariota TEN 210 19 282 17 1.5% 19 5.9% 57.6 12 259 1,703 1,623 7 0 0 6 62.3% 1/16 3.6
E.Manning NYG 195 20 103 23 -2.7% 22 -6.7% 46.2 22 355 1,949 2,131 14 2 4 6 64.6% 3/39 2.1
T.Taylor BUF 160 21 227 20 -1.8% 20 2.1% 51.2 19 282 1,546 1,600 10 0 1 3 64.2% 3/59 0.1
C.Palmer ARI 159 22 230 19 -2.4% 21 1.4% 47.9 20 289 1,828 1,685 10 0 0 7 61.4% 7/105 0.3
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
C.Newton CAR 65 23 116 22 -8.1% 23 -5.8% 55.2 15 343 2,074 1,843 14 3 0 11 62.5% 5/82 2.0
J.Cutler MIA 41 24 95 24 -8.8% 24 -5.7% 41.6 24 272 1,429 1,452 12 1 0 6 65.3% 2/54 -0.4
J.Brissett IND -50 25 -107 27 -13.6% 25 -16.5% 40.0 25 329 1,941 1,550 9 3 2 5 61.1% 2/70 -0.6
B.Hoyer 2TM -78 26 -140 29 -16.6% 26 -21.0% 33.1 30 225 1,146 1,042 4 1 1 4 59.2% 3/40 0.2
A.Dalton CIN -115 27 -100 26 -17.3% 27 -16.5% 35.4 28 297 1,809 1,344 13 0 4 8 62.5% 4/41 2.0
C.J.Beathard SF -153 28 -179 31 -23.7% 30 -25.8% 33.7 29 202 1,125 773 4 0 2 5 54.3% 0/0 0.9
T.Siemian DEN -199 29 -140 28 -22.6% 28 -19.2% 29.2 31 272 1,508 1,139 9 2 2 10 61.5% 7/121 0.9
M.Glennon CHI -240 30 -169 30 -38.1% 32 -30.0% 23.7 33 150 756 391 4 1 3 5 66.4% 0/0 -1.5
J.McCown NYJ -261 31 -49 25 -23.4% 29 -13.4% 47.0 21 344 2,016 1,355 14 4 2 8 69.7% 2/31 -0.9
J.Flacco BAL -402 32 -346 32 -31.6% 31 -28.7% 36.5 27 309 1,407 1,022 8 3 0 10 64.9% 1/7 -0.5
D.Kizer CLE -595 33 -614 33 -46.3% 33 -47.4% 28.2 32 268 1,283 553 4 1 2 11 52.8% 6/93 1.6

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-149 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
S.Bradford MIN 188 125 50.2% 29.8% 73.9 48 342 501 3 0 0 0 74.4% 0/0 -1.8
R.Fitzpatrick TB 119 93 10.8% 6.0% 32.4 87 512 599 5 0 0 3 58.0% 1/13 2.7
EJ Manuel OAK 78 12 18.1% -6.8% 53.6 47 236 323 1 0 0 1 55.8% 0/0 2.5
N.Peterman BUF 66 49 76.3% 53.0% 95.1 10 79 151 1 0 0 0 70.0% 0/0 5.0
R.Mallett BAL 35 26 21.2% 13.1% 74.1 16 56 133 2 0 0 0 56.3% 0/0 -2.0
D.Stanton ARI 18 -15 -8.0% -13.7% 43.6 95 511 496 3 1 0 2 48.4% 2/13 1.3
B.Hundley GB -33 -144 -14.9% -27.4% 52.2 133 635 666 2 1 0 4 61.5% 3/65 2.3
M.Trubisky CHI -40 -127 -16.5% -28.3% 26.9 131 710 545 3 0 2 2 51.3% 0/0 -2.6
M.Moore MIA -58 -121 -25.3% -40.7% 35.8 69 330 250 2 0 0 3 58.5% 0/0 -1.0
B.Osweiler DEN -72 -70 -26.6% -26.1% 37.1 77 426 280 2 1 0 3 52.7% 0/0 -0.8
C.Kessler CLE -74 -54 -57.7% -45.0% 6.8 27 87 27 0 0 0 1 50.0% 0/0 -1.1
K.Hogan CLE -93 -102 -27.6% -29.2% 35.7 82 484 329 4 1 0 5 62.7% 4/33 4.4
S.Tolzien IND -95 -135 -81.1% -110.6% 10.6 22 99 -20 0 0 0 2 50.0% 0/0 3.8
T.Savage HOU -242 -298 -48.3% -57.0% 17.0 105 423 200 2 1 5 2 47.3% 3/29 3.1
M.Cassel TEN -288 -228 -106.4% -86.7% 11.5 50 125 -149 1 0 2 2 59.5% 0/0 -0.5

RUSHING: Minimum 5 rushes, 29 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
D.Prescott DAL 120 1 134 1 60.8% 3 69.1% 31 238 385 5 0
C.Newton CAR 100 2 109 2 16.3% 16 18.8% 65 446 489 4 2
R.Wilson SEA 86 3 88 3 36.9% 8 37.7% 40 299 329 1 1
M.Mariota TEN 78 4 80 4 46.3% 6 48.0% 25 187 278 3 0
D.Watson HOU 69 5 68 6 28.8% 9 28.0% 35 270 280 2 1
C.J.Beathard SF 67 6 71 5 54.6% 5 58.3% 17 118 230 3 0
B.Bortles JAC 62 7 65 7 38.2% 7 40.4% 25 198 234 0 0
B.Hundley GB 51 8 52 8 81.6% 1 83.8% 9 86 156 2 0
A.Smith KC 49 9 38 10 16.4% 15 10.0% 31 180 238 1 0
D.Kizer CLE 43 10 40 9 7.8% 20 6.5% 37 201 260 4 0
C.Wentz PHI 42 11 35 11 11.2% 19 7.7% 33 215 227 0 1
K.Hogan CLE 31 12 26 15 55.3% 4 43.5% 10 71 107 0 0
T.Taylor BUF 31 13 15 18 2.7% 22 -5.0% 43 242 219 2 1
C.Keenum MIN 30 14 27 14 77.4% 2 68.7% 7 69 93 0 0
A.Rodgers GB 25 15 30 12 28.3% 10 35.9% 12 88 104 0 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
M.Stafford DET 22 16 29 13 22.4% 12 33.5% 12 91 97 0 0
M.Ryan ATL 17 17 16 17 20.0% 14 18.9% 11 82 77 0 2
M.Trubisky CHI 15 18 11 22 22.6% 11 12.8% 11 116 67 0 0
D.Brees NO 15 19 18 16 14.6% 17 19.1% 7 19 76 2 0
J.Goff LARM 14 20 12 20 22.1% 13 17.6% 9 56 64 1 0
A.Dalton CIN 13 21 6 26 6.7% 21 -3.5% 13 63 80 0 0
K.Cousins WAS 11 22 14 19 -3.5% 24 -2.0% 23 113 124 3 3
R.Fitzpatrick TB 8 23 11 23 12.3% 18 22.5% 7 52 41 0 0
J.Brissett IND 6 24 2 27 -8.4% 26 -11.0% 32 159 128 3 1
J.Winston TB 5 25 7 25 -3.4% 23 0.4% 11 54 52 0 0
T.Siemian DEN 4 26 12 21 -8.1% 25 -0.1% 18 94 83 1 0
J.McCown NYJ -3 27 8 24 -16.2% 27 -2.5% 13 79 37 3 2
T.Brady NE -7 28 -6 28 -21.9% 28 -21.0% 11 33 42 0 0
C.Palmer ARI -16 29 -15 29 -41.9% 29 -39.3% 8 16 2 0 2