Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

RUNNING BACKS 2014

Regular season totals, through Week 3

Revised as of 9/23/2014

Running backs are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the performance on plays where this RB carried/caught the ball compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The next statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average running back in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a running back with more total value. DVOA means a running back with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

The final statistic is Success Rate. This number represents the player's consistency, measured by successful running plays (the definition of success being different based on down and distance) divided by total running plays. A player with higher DVOA and a low success rate mixes long runs with downs getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage. A player with lower DVOA and a high success rate generally gets the yards needed, but doesn't often get more. Success Rate is further explained here. It is not adjusted for opponent.

  • These numbers do not separate the performance of a running back from the performance of his offensive line. (You'll find numbers that try to do that on this page.) Be aware that one will affect the other.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.
  • Please note there are no opponent adjustments until after Week 4.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

RUSHING: Minimum 25 rushes, 41 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
D.Murray DAL 88 1 19.2% 8 75 385 415 3 2 59% 5
J.Hill CIN 76 2 60.9% 1 26 132 218 2 0 77% 1
M.Lynch SEA 73 3 24.6% 5 52 234 307 4 0 54% 12
R.Jennings NYG 66 4 12.6% 13 68 286 375 2 0 54% 10
K.Moreno MIA 65 5 54.0% 2 25 138 196 1 0 72% 2
I.Crowell CLE 61 6 45.9% 3 27 141 196 3 0 56% 8
J.Forsett BAL 60 7 38.6% 4 30 189 207 1 0 50% 18
L.Bell PIT 56 8 18.4% 10 53 315 270 1 0 45% 24
T.West CLE 49 9 16.5% 11 47 204 247 2 0 53% 14
L.Miller MIA 47 10 20.1% 7 37 213 218 0 1 62% 4
S.Jackson ATL 35 11 14.3% 12 37 152 189 1 0 57% 7
A.Bradshaw IND 34 12 23.5% 6 25 150 146 0 0 52% 16
S.Greene TEN 32 13 19.2% 9 30 144 150 1 0 50% 17
Z.Stacy STL 30 14 8.7% 15 42 181 196 1 1 52% 15
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
C.Ivory NYJ 25 15 9.4% 14 33 189 160 2 1 55% 9
A.Morris WAS 23 16 0.0% 20 59 254 263 2 1 49% 19
K.Robinson NO 22 17 6.7% 16 32 128 157 1 0 63% 3
G.Bernard CIN 19 18 -0.6% 22 55 185 237 3 0 42% 28
F.Gore SF 18 19 3.2% 18 35 139 164 1 0 54% 11
S.Ridley NE 16 20 -1.7% 24 52 176 224 1 0 58% 6
A.Foster HOU 14 21 -2.2% 25 55 241 215 1 1 49% 20
F.Jackson BUF 14 22 4.2% 17 25 119 116 0 0 40% 32
B.Rainey TB 12 23 -1.0% 23 37 197 150 0 1 49% 22
D.McFadden OAK 11 24 -0.4% 21 35 111 133 1 0 40% 30
R.Bush DET 10 25 1.1% 19 27 102 105 1 0 44% 26
A.Blue HOU 2 26 -7.0% 26 25 118 87 0 0 32% 38
C.J.Spiller BUF -2 27 -10.3% 27 37 147 123 0 0 41% 29
A.Ellington ARI -4 28 -11.3% 29 46 209 131 0 1 39% 33
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
M.Forte CHI -4 29 -11.0% 28 42 136 155 0 0 48% 23
C.Johnson NYJ -12 30 -16.9% 30 35 123 100 0 0 40% 31
B.Pierce BAL -15 31 -20.0% 32 28 110 86 0 1 54% 13
J.Stewart CAR -21 32 -25.8% 34 29 88 70 1 0 34% 36
M.Ball DEN -22 33 -19.5% 31 49 165 136 1 1 45% 25
M.Asiata MIN -28 34 -34.6% 37 27 81 46 0 0 33% 37
K.Davis KC -28 35 -21.8% 33 55 214 137 3 2 35% 35
T.Richardson IND -38 36 -30.3% 35 41 157 89 0 2 49% 21
E.Lacy GB -47 37 -41.9% 40 36 113 45 1 1 31% 39
J.Bell DET -50 38 -37.3% 38 40 121 69 1 2 43% 27
T.Gerhart JAC -50 39 -41.9% 39 34 82 48 0 0 26% 40
L.McCoy PHI -52 40 -31.0% 36 60 177 116 1 1 37% 34
D.Brown SD -64 41 -52.0% 41 40 81 23 0 0 23% 41

RUSHING, OTHERS: 5-24 rushes

Player Team DYAR DVOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
M.Ingram NO 78 66.5% 24 143 215 3 0
L.Blount PIT 47 56.8% 17 132 137 2 0
L.Taliaferro BAL 30 23.7% 18 91 130 1 0
C.Hyde SF 30 46.2% 14 63 95 2 0
B.Sankey TEN 28 30.7% 18 89 105 0 0
S.Redd WAS 25 70.5% 8 41 68 1 0
J.Starks GB 24 30.0% 15 75 92 0 0
R.Helu WAS 20 28.6% 13 72 79 1 0
P.Thomas NO 20 17.7% 18 77 98 1 0
J.Rodgers ATL 19 17.7% 16 63 93 1 0
J.Randle DAL 18 82.8% 5 35 47 0 0
A.Dixon BUF 17 57.9% 7 63 49 0 0
C.J.Anderson DEN 17 30.5% 11 55 63 0 0
D.Sproles PHI 15 14.7% 17 117 82 2 1
B.Tate CLE 14 60.0% 6 41 39 0 0
Player Team DYAR DVOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
S.Vereen NE 11 7.8% 20 96 78 1 0
C.Gray KC 11 25.2% 8 31 48 1 0
D.Williams 2TM 11 5.5% 20 88 87 0 0
D.McCluster TEN 9 6.5% 14 59 65 0 0
T.Watts STL 7 19.4% 5 24 34 0 0
A.Smith ATL 7 25.2% 6 57 28 1 1
T.Riddick DET 6 22.7% 5 20 28 0 0
B.Powell NYJ 3 2.3% 7 33 27 0 0
D.Robinson JAC 1 -7.0% 11 41 36 0 0
R.Turbin SEA -2 -12.0% 10 35 42 0 0
J.Dwyer ARI -2 -12.1% 16 51 48 1 0
A.Peterson MIN -2 -11.8% 21 75 61 0 0
B.Cunningham STL -3 -11.4% 20 65 74 0 0
C.Peerman CIN -5 -34.7% 5 15 8 0 0
J.Charles KC -7 -29.2% 9 23 17 0 0
Player Team DYAR DVOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
J.Grimes HOU -7 -59.6% 5 16 1 0 0
J.McKinnon MIN -10 -67.9% 5 7 -2 0 0
L.Dunbar DAL -13 -38.7% 11 27 16 0 0
R.Mathews SD -15 -22.5% 23 74 70 1 1
R.Brown HOU -16 -85.5% 6 4 -8 0 0
D.Woodhead SD -20 -40.5% 15 38 22 0 0
B.Bolden NE -21 -81.3% 8 12 -9 0 0
D.Martin TB -23 -88.9% 9 9 -13 0 0
M.Jones-Drew OAK -30 -83.8% 8 22 -14 0 1
M.James TB -31 -82.6% 10 11 -14 0 0
A.Williams NYG -32 -47.3% 19 39 19 0 0
D.Freeman ATL -33 -70.6% 13 28 -8 0 1
M.Tolbert CAR -55 -97.2% 14 10 -36 0 0

RECEIVING: Minimum 8 passes, 30 players ranked

  • Passes includes all passes to this receiver, complete and incomplete.
  • Catch Rate is the percentage of passes completed to this receiver.
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
A.Bradshaw IND 80 1 67.3% 2 14 114 235 3 86% 0
D.Sproles PHI 49 2 42.1% 4 17 196 165 0 82% 0
M.Lynch SEA 49 3 80.8% 1 10 81 137 2 80% 0
L.Bell PIT 45 4 45.8% 3 16 146 148 0 81% 0
P.Thomas NO 34 5 32.3% 6 13 95 124 0 92% 0
F.Jackson BUF 32 6 21.4% 8 17 118 129 1 76% 0
M.Forte CHI 25 7 7.5% 9 24 145 138 0 79% 0
G.Bernard CIN 19 8 4.3% 11 19 148 116 0 63% 0
Z.Stacy STL 19 9 33.3% 5 8 62 67 0 75% 0
T.Richardson IND 18 10 21.7% 7 9 70 74 0 78% 0
R.Bush DET 16 11 4.4% 10 17 93 93 0 82% 0
R.Jennings NYG 8 12 0.1% 13 9 95 57 0 89% 1
M.Ball DEN 6 13 0.7% 12 8 51 43 0 88% 0
J.Bell DET 5 14 -5.5% 14 12 66 57 0 58% 0
B.Cunningham STL 2 15 -8.1% 15 8 39 31 0 75% 0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
L.McCoy PHI 2 16 -10.5% 16 13 64 54 0 77% 0
M.Asiata MIN -1 17 -15.0% 17 14 89 54 1 64% 0
D.McFadden OAK -4 18 -23.2% 18 8 43 25 0 88% 0
B.Rainey TB -7 19 -24.0% 19 13 102 35 1 92% 2
D.Murray DAL -9 20 -31.8% 21 10 62 18 0 80% 1
C.Johnson NYJ -10 21 -32.9% 22 10 23 16 1 60% 0
M.Tolbert CAR -10 22 -35.1% 23 11 59 14 0 73% 0
A.Ellington ARI -11 23 -29.5% 20 12 50 28 0 75% 0
D.Brown SD -18 24 -46.2% 26 10 37 3 0 80% 0
J.McKinnon MIN -23 25 -66.9% 28 8 14 -17 0 50% 0
S.Vereen NE -25 26 -42.5% 24 16 52 11 0 63% 0
L.Miller MIA -29 27 -43.4% 25 15 50 10 1 67% 0
M.Reece OAK -36 28 -66.7% 27 11 31 -25 0 55% 0
J.Forsett BAL -45 29 -73.0% 29 15 32 -39 0 87% 0
K.Davis KC -54 30 -95.5% 30 11 29 -64 0 64% 1

RECEIVING, OTHERS: 5-7 passes

Player Team DYAR DVOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
J.McKnight KC 55 120.0% 7 64 144 2 86% 0
C.J.Spiller BUF 32 75.9% 7 57 91 1 100% 0
D.Young WAS 28 83.0% 5 32 79 2 80% 0
A.Smith ATL 27 78.3% 5 73 76 1 60% 0
C.Ivory NYJ 25 87.8% 5 55 68 0 100% 0
R.Helu WAS 23 64.1% 6 81 67 0 83% 0
K.Juszczyk BAL 22 55.0% 5 54 69 1 60% 0
T.Gerhart JAC 21 42.9% 6 55 69 0 100% 0
J.Stewart CAR 19 30.5% 7 58 68 0 100% 0
Player Team DYAR DVOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
D.Woodhead SD 19 32.0% 6 34 67 0 83% 0
D.McCluster TEN 15 41.2% 5 41 50 0 80% 0
B.Powell NYJ 11 25.6% 5 38 44 0 80% 0
A.Foster HOU 7 30.3% 5 29 24 0 80% 0
D.Freeman ATL 6 13.5% 7 47 30 0 71% 0
E.Lacy GB 3 -6.6% 7 38 34 0 86% 0
J.Charles KC 1 -9.9% 5 23 25 0 100% 0
M.Ingram NO -3 -25.3% 5 22 13 0 80% 0
A.Williams NYG -23 -89.8% 5 7 -26 0 40% 0