Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

RUNNING BACKS 2014

Regular season totals, through Week 1

Revised as of 9/9/2014

Running backs are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the performance on plays where this RB carried/caught the ball compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The next statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average running back in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a running back with more total value. DVOA means a running back with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

The final statistic is Success Rate. This number represents the player's consistency, measured by successful running plays (the definition of success being different based on down and distance) divided by total running plays. A player with higher DVOA and a low success rate mixes long runs with downs getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage. A player with lower DVOA and a high success rate generally gets the yards needed, but doesn't often get more. Success Rate is further explained here. It is not adjusted for opponent.

  • These numbers do not separate the performance of a running back from the performance of his offensive line. (You'll find numbers that try to do that on this page.) Be aware that one will affect the other.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.
  • Please note there are no opponent adjustments until after Week 4.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

RUSHING: Minimum 8 rushes, 36 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
K.Moreno MIA 51 1 43.1% 5 24 134 168 1 0 71% 3
M.Lynch SEA 48 2 47.8% 2 20 110 150 2 0 60% 9
J.Forsett BAL 39 3 70.1% 1 11 70 106 1 0 73% 2
D.Murray DAL 35 4 28.7% 6 22 118 138 1 1 68% 5
M.Ingram NO 29 5 46.9% 4 13 60 93 2 0 62% 8
C.Ivory NYJ 26 6 46.9% 3 10 102 83 1 0 60% 10
M.Forte CHI 18 7 14.8% 9 17 82 93 0 0 65% 6
A.Morris WAS 15 8 16.0% 7 14 91 80 0 0 64% 7
T.West CLE 15 9 14.7% 10 16 100 80 0 0 44% 25
L.Bell PIT 15 10 9.8% 12 21 109 95 1 0 48% 21
L.Miller MIA 11 11 11.4% 11 11 59 68 0 1 82% 1
Z.Stacy STL 9 12 14.8% 8 11 43 50 0 0 45% 24
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
D.Williams CAR 9 13 7.6% 13 14 75 64 0 0 50% 18
C.Johnson NYJ 7 14 4.7% 15 13 68 60 0 0 69% 4
D.Sproles PHI 6 15 5.8% 14 11 71 45 1 0 27% 32
S.Greene TEN 5 16 -0.5% 16 15 71 57 0 0 53% 12
M.Ball DEN 3 17 -5.1% 17 23 67 90 1 0 48% 20
D.McCluster TEN 0 18 -7.7% 18 9 29 28 0 0 33% 29
S.Jackson ATL 0 19 -8.4% 19 12 52 39 0 0 50% 19
C.J.Spiller BUF -2 20 -11.5% 20 15 53 49 0 0 53% 14
R.Jennings NYG -2 21 -11.7% 21 16 46 60 1 0 50% 17
F.Gore SF -3 22 -12.5% 23 16 66 51 0 0 56% 11
L.McCoy PHI -3 23 -12.2% 22 21 74 66 0 0 52% 15
A.Peterson MIN -5 24 -15.2% 24 21 78 57 0 0 48% 22
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM Suc
Rate
Rk
R.Mathews SD -6 25 -18.0% 25 12 40 44 1 0 42% 26
G.Bernard CIN -7 26 -22.5% 26 14 48 32 0 0 29% 30
S.Ridley NE -9 27 -31.9% 28 8 21 18 0 0 38% 27
A.Ellington ARI -15 28 -37.4% 30 13 56 20 0 1 46% 23
E.Lacy GB -16 29 -45.8% 31 12 34 11 0 0 17% 36
J.Stewart CAR -17 30 -54.2% 33 9 20 4 0 0 33% 28
R.Bush DET -18 31 -60.1% 34 9 15 1 0 0 22% 34
J.Bell DET -19 32 -37.1% 29 15 52 26 1 1 53% 13
A.Foster HOU -20 33 -27.1% 27 27 103 61 0 1 52% 16
D.Martin TB -24 34 -91.8% 36 9 9 -14 0 0 22% 35
M.Jones-Drew OAK -30 35 -84.1% 35 8 22 -15 0 1 25% 33
T.Gerhart JAC -35 36 -49.1% 32 18 42 17 0 0 28% 31

RUSHING, OTHERS: 2-7 rushes

Player Team DYAR DVOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
I.Crowell CLE 28 135.2% 5 32 62 2 0
C.Hyde SF 25 82.1% 7 50 65 1 0
J.Rodgers ATL 21 58.7% 6 34 62 1 0
F.Jackson BUF 21 63.7% 7 61 59 0 0
R.Helu WAS 20 139.6% 4 46 44 0 0
S.Vereen NE 19 54.9% 7 36 56 1 0
A.Dixon BUF 17 83.2% 5 60 44 0 0
C.J.Anderson DEN 16 84.9% 4 27 40 0 0
J.Starks GB 13 38.1% 7 37 45 0 0
B.Tate CLE 13 55.0% 6 41 38 0 0
K.Robinson NO 9 16.3% 6 28 44 1 0
D.Freeman ATL 8 107.4% 2 15 19 0 0
J.Hill CIN 8 28.7% 4 19 30 0 0
Player Team DYAR DVOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
B.Cunningham STL 7 20.7% 5 21 33 0 0
P.Thomas NO 6 12.9% 7 31 32 0 0
A.Bradshaw IND 4 33.5% 3 15 15 0 0
B.Rainey TB 3 11.0% 4 12 20 0 0
R.Turbin SEA 3 -1.7% 6 27 36 0 0
T.Richardson IND 1 -5.3% 6 20 19 0 0
B.Sankey TEN 1 -5.1% 6 25 16 0 0
L.Washington TEN 0 229.5% 2 23 1 0 0
D.McFadden OAK 0 -11.0% 5 15 16 0 0
A.Smith ATL -1 -20.5% 2 7 4 0 0
B.Bolden NE -2 -39.9% 2 8 2 0 0
L.Blount PIT -2 -15.9% 4 6 16 1 0
D.Robinson JAC -4 -29.9% 3 8 8 0 0
Player Team DYAR DVOA Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
M.Asiata MIN -4 -155.3% 2 10 -4 0 0
J.Charles KC -4 -25.8% 7 19 15 0 0
J.Dwyer ARI -6 -32.6% 7 20 12 0 0
L.James SF -6 -102.6% 2 0 -4 0 0
J.Todman JAC -7 -85.0% 3 6 -3 0 0
D.Brown SD -9 -143.4% 2 -2 -9 0 0
C.Gray KC -10 -133.0% 2 5 -9 0 0
A.Williams NYG -12 -49.7% 5 9 5 0 0
M.Tolbert CAR -21 -76.3% 7 11 -7 0 0
B.Pierce BAL -21 -101.4% 6 14 -15 0 1
D.Woodhead SD -26 -96.5% 6 5 -17 0 0

RECEIVING: Minimum 3 passes, 33 players ranked

  • Passes includes all passes to this receiver, complete and incomplete.
  • Catch Rate is the percentage of passes completed to this receiver.
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
M.Forte CHI 46 1 80.4% 3 9 87 130 0 89% 0
L.Bell PIT 40 2 90.5% 2 7 88 110 0 86% 0
A.Bradshaw IND 32 3 60.4% 6 6 70 98 0 83% 0
P.Thomas NO 29 4 58.3% 8 7 58 88 0 86% 0
S.Taylor ARI 22 5 93.9% 1 3 21 59 1 100% 0
L.McCoy PHI 17 6 36.6% 10 6 41 61 0 100% 0
R.Bush DET 15 7 60.5% 5 6 49 45 0 100% 0
C.Johnson NYJ 14 8 49.7% 9 5 23 46 1 100% 0
A.Peterson MIN 11 9 59.0% 7 3 18 33 0 67% 0
R.Jennings NYG 11 10 18.6% 12 5 50 46 0 80% 0
C.J.Spiller BUF 10 11 72.1% 4 3 11 29 1 100% 0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
L.Miller MIA 7 12 7.2% 14 5 19 39 1 80% 0
L.Dunbar DAL 7 13 23.2% 11 3 21 27 0 100% 0
T.Richardson IND 7 14 14.6% 13 4 31 30 0 75% 0
D.Murray DAL 4 15 5.8% 16 4 25 23 0 75% 0
B.Cunningham STL 4 16 7.2% 15 4 30 15 0 100% 0
J.Stewart CAR 2 17 -3.5% 17 3 17 18 0 100% 0
A.Ellington ARI 0 18 -12.8% 18 5 27 23 0 100% 0
M.Jones-Drew OAK -1 19 -20.1% 20 3 12 10 0 67% 0
S.Vereen NE -2 20 -17.5% 19 8 35 29 0 63% 0
E.Lacy GB -4 21 -39.8% 22 3 11 3 0 100% 0
J.Dwyer ARI -7 22 -61.8% 26 3 8 -4 0 67% 0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM
G.Bernard CIN -8 23 -28.1% 21 10 62 25 0 60% 0
J.Starks GB -9 24 -58.7% 25 3 11 -4 0 67% 0
F.Jackson BUF -9 25 -88.5% 29 3 13 -10 0 100% 0
J.Charles KC -9 26 -48.4% 23 4 15 0 0 100% 0
R.Helu WAS -10 27 -101.7% 30 3 15 -13 0 67% 0
B.Bolden NE -10 28 -82.0% 27 3 4 -11 0 33% 0
S.Jackson ATL -14 29 -105.0% 31 3 0 -18 0 33% 0
J.Forsett BAL -15 30 -56.8% 24 6 14 -6 0 83% 0
M.Tolbert CAR -16 31 -87.1% 28 4 6 -17 0 50% 0
M.Reece OAK -17 32 -112.2% 33 3 1 -23 0 67% 0
D.Sproles PHI -27 33 -105.0% 32 6 14 -35 0 67% 0