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Basketball Prospectus

Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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Baseball Prospectus

RUNNING BACKS 2001

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 9/7/2004

Running backs are ranked according to DPAR, or Defense-adjusted Points Above Replacement. This number represents the total number of points scored due to plays where this RB carried/caught the ball, compared to a replacement-level RB in the same game situations. DPAR (and its cousin, PAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The next statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average RB in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The final statistic is Success Rate. This number represents the player's consistency, measured by successful running plays (the definition of success being different based on down and distance) divided by total running plays. A player with higher DVOA and a low success rate mixes long runs with downs getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage. A player with lower DVOA and a high success rate generally gets the yards needed, but doesn't often get more. Success Rate is further explained here. It is not adjusted for opponent.

  • These numbers do not separate the performance of a running back from the performance of his offensive line. (You'll find numbers that try to do that on this page.) Be aware that one will affect the other.
  • "Points scored due to plays" is based on a larger model of how yards are translated into points, and is not a measurement strictly of touchdown passes.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.

The simple version: DPAR means a running back with more total value. DVOA means a running back with more value per play.

RUSHING: Minimum 75 rushes, 47 players ranked

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM Suc.
Rate
S.R.
Rank
P.Holmes KC 48.6 1 42.5 2 21.8% 3 17.6% 327 1555 8 2 52% 5
M.Faulk STL 43.1 2 45.7 1 25.0% 1 27.3% 260 1382 12 2 56% 1
G.Hearst SF 34.0 3 37.4 3 19.0% 4 22.1% 252 1206 4 0 50% 7
A.Thomas CHI 25.2 4 27.1 5 8.1% 9 9.7% 278 1183 7 0 45% 24
C.Martin NYJ 23.0 5 32.5 4 2.8% 15 9.2% 333 1502 10 2 47% 18
S.Alexander SEA 20.8 6 17.6 9 1.9% 17 -0.5% 309 1323 14 4 45% 20
T.Barber NYG 20.7 7 22.0 6 18.2% 5 20.0% 166 868 4 3 48% 13
M.Alstott TB 20.6 8 21.5 7 16.2% 6 17.4% 165 680 10 0 49% 10
D.Rhodes IND 17.6 9 18.7 8 4.3% 14 5.4% 233 1099 9 5 48% 12
J.Bettis PIT 16.3 10 17.1 10 1.9% 16 2.7% 225 1068 4 3 46% 19
M.Bennett MIN 13.7 11 9.4 21 4.8% 12 -1.0% 172 682 2 0 44% 27
C.Garner OAK 13.4 12 10.6 17 1.3% 18 -1.7% 211 843 1 2 48% 11
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM Suc.
Rate
S.R.
Rank
S.Mack JAC 12.9 13 14.6 11 -2.1% 19 -0.4% 213 877 9 2 47% 16
K.Barlow SF 11.8 14 11.9 14 7.9% 10 8.1% 125 512 4 1 54% 3
T.Canidate STL 11.6 15 12.9 13 24.8% 2 28.8% 78 397 5 1 50% 8
T.Hambrick DAL 11.2 16 10.0 19 9.1% 8 6.7% 113 579 2 1 44% 26
J.Stewart DET 10.7 17 11.8 15 4.4% 13 6.3% 143 685 1 0 39% 40
S.Davis WAS 10.6 18 7.3 25 -8.4% 29 -10.5% 356 1433 5 6 48% 15
C.Buckhalter PHI 10.1 19 10.2 18 5.7% 11 5.9% 129 586 2 2 44% 28
T.Davis DEN 9.3 20 10.0 20 -3.1% 21 -2.2% 167 701 0 2 47% 17
A.Zereoue PIT 9.3 21 7.5 23 12.9% 7 8.0% 85 441 1 3 52% 4
E.Smith DAL 9.3 22 7.4 24 -7.6% 28 -9.3% 261 1021 3 1 40% 38
T.Allen BAL 7.4 23 4.3 29 -6.3% 26 -10.3% 168 658 3 1 44% 29
C.Dillon CIN 7.4 24 0.9 36 -9.7% 32 -13.9% 340 1316 10 5 41% 36
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM Suc.
Rate
S.R.
Rank
E.James IND 7.3 25 13.9 12 -5.1% 24 4.1% 151 664 3 2 54% 2
R.Dayne NYG 7.2 26 4.7 28 -4.7% 23 -7.9% 179 690 7 1 41% 37
A.Green GB 7.2 27 6.1 26 -9.4% 31 -10.3% 304 1387 9 5 44% 30
J.White CLE 6.6 28 2.6 33 -2.7% 20 -9.3% 126 446 5 1 44% 32
C.FuamatuMa'afala PIT 5.7 29 7.5 22 -4.3% 22 -1.0% 120 453 3 0 45% 23
A.Smith NE 5.1 30 10.9 16 -11.7% 33 -7.3% 286 1157 12 4 48% 14
M.Anderson DEN 4.1 31 3.6 32 -8.6% 30 -9.2% 175 678 4 1 42% 34
T.Jones ARI 3.5 32 2.3 34 -5.1% 25 -7.6% 112 380 5 2 44% 31
T.Wheatley OAK 2.9 33 3.8 30 -7.1% 27 -5.0% 88 278 5 2 51% 6
M.Pittman ARI 2.2 34 -1.9 40 -13.2% 34 -17.1% 241 853 5 4 41% 35
J.Brookins BAL 0.2 35 -0.9 38 -16.7% 39 -18.2% 152 557 5 3 49% 9
J.Allen CHI -0.3 36 3.6 31 -14.1% 36 -7.5% 135 469 1 1 44% 25
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Runs Yards TD FUM Suc.
Rate
S.R.
Rank
R.Williams NO -0.3 37 5.4 27 -14.1% 35 -9.8% 314 1249 6 6 42% 33
D.Staley PHI -0.6 38 -1.6 39 -15.3% 37 -16.8% 166 599 2 2 45% 21
S.Bryson BUF -1.5 39 0.5 37 -18.4% 41 -12.2% 80 341 2 0 34% 47
L.Tomlinson SD -2.0 40 1.5 35 -15.9% 38 -13.7% 339 1242 10 5 45% 22
J.Jackson CLE -2.8 41 -8.9 43 -17.8% 40 -25.2% 195 555 2 1 35% 44
R.Huntley CAR -6.9 42 -4.5 41 -26.5% 44 -23.1% 165 658 3 3 39% 39
T.Henry BUF -8.3 43 -8.0 42 -21.8% 42 -21.4% 213 733 4 5 39% 42
W.Dunn TB -9.8 44 -12.8 45 -31.7% 45 -36.3% 157 437 3 2 34% 46
M.Smith ATL -12.2 45 -10.7 44 -26.4% 43 -25.0% 237 760 5 1 37% 43
L.Smith MIA -22.9 46 -15.7 46 -32.2% 46 -26.9% 313 968 6 4 39% 41
E.George TEN -27.2 47 -27.9 47 -35.7% 47 -36.2% 315 961 5 8 34% 45

RUSHING, OTHERS: 20-74 rushes

Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
K.Carter WAS 12.6 11.5 38.0% 33.6% 63 308 3 0
B.Christian ATL 10.9 11.5 41.8% 44.8% 44 284 2 0
L.Jordan NYJ 10.7 12.0 46.2% 53.6% 39 292 1 0
Z.Crockett OAK 8.9 4.7 14.5% 1.8% 57 145 6 1
M.Wiley DAL 8.1 8.7 43.8% 47.9% 34 247 0 0
S.Hicks TEN 8.0 8.8 21.1% 24.6% 56 341 1 0
T.Richardson KC 7.8 7.6 9.8% 9.1% 66 191 7 0
T.Jackson SF 7.0 7.7 76.1% 84.6% 21 138 1 0
C.Schlesinger DET 6.0 5.2 13.8% 10.2% 47 154 3 0
E.Joseph JAC 4.2 2.9 0.2% -4.4% 68 294 0 1
R.Watters SEA 4.2 3.1 -2.1% -5.6% 72 318 1 1
L.Johnson CHI 4.0 4.1 21.3% 21.7% 20 99 4 0
O.Gary DEN 3.8 4.3 1.1% 3.0% 57 228 1 0
T.Fletcher SD 3.7 3.0 18.7% 12.6% 29 107 0 0
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
B.Bennett CIN 3.4 2.0 3.1% -3.3% 50 232 0 1
L.Centers BUF 2.6 2.8 5.2% 6.2% 34 160 2 0
O.Ayanbadejo BAL 2.0 1.2 -1.6% -6.2% 46 173 1 1
T.Minor MIA 2.0 5.4 -7.1% 6.7% 59 281 2 0
T.Biakabutuka CAR 1.8 1.8 -6.8% -6.8% 53 230 1 1
K.Faulk NE 1.7 3.0 -3.2% 4.5% 41 169 1 0
F.Beasley SF 1.1 1.8 -6.6% -1.1% 23 73 1 0
R.Anderson NYJ 1.1 1.5 -4.7% -0.9% 26 102 0 0
L.Warren DET 1.0 -0.2 -10.1% -14.6% 61 191 3 0
A.Stecker TB 0.8 0.4 -4.9% -8.9% 24 72 1 0
F.Taylor JAC 0.0 -1.5 -14.8% -26.8% 30 116 0 1
R.Thomas ATL -0.4 0.1 -15.9% -12.8% 37 126 0 0
J.Kleinsasser MIN -1.9 -2.4 -33.1% -37.3% 23 72 1 1
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
D.Levens GB -2.3 -2.0 -30.6% -28.9% 44 165 0 0
M.Williams BAL -2.4 -0.4 -27.1% -19.8% 65 291 0 1
J.Redmond NE -2.5 -1.6 -33.7% -27.1% 35 119 0 0
J.Anderson ATL -2.6 -2.6 -26.1% -26.2% 55 190 1 1
D.Washington NYG -2.8 -3.2 -39.0% -42.3% 28 89 0 1
B.Gay CLE -2.9 -6.0 -32.2% -45.6% 51 178 1 2
S.Morris BUF -3.5 -3.7 -49.4% -51.2% 20 72 0 1
M.Edwards NE -3.7 -3.2 -30.7% -29.2% 51 141 1 2
R.Droughns DET -4.1 -4.5 -52.0% -54.7% 30 72 0 0
D.Chapman MIN -4.5 -4.8 -31.5% -32.6% 63 196 0 1
N.Goings CAR -10.6 -8.1 -53.3% -45.2% 66 197 0 1

RECEIVING: Minimum 25 passes, 58 players ranked

  • Passes includes all passes to this receiver, complete and incomplete.
  • Catch % is the percentage of passes to this receiver completed.

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
M.Faulk STL 29.8 1 30.4 1 45.5% 2 47.1% 103 765 9 80.6%
C.Garner OAK 16.2 2 14.1 3 23.9% 9 19.2% 91 578 2 79.1%
P.Holmes KC 14.1 3 13.9 4 30.0% 6 29.3% 75 614 2 82.7%
A.Green GB 12.8 4 14.8 2 20.2% 12 25.4% 82 594 2 75.6%
D.Staley PHI 12.5 5 10.7 5 19.1% 13 14.6% 90 626 2 70.0%
L.Centers BUF 10.6 6 10.5 6 10.9% 20 10.6% 104 619 2 76.0%
B.Christian ATL 10.2 7 10.3 7 23.5% 10 24.1% 60 392 2 75.0%
J.White CLE 10.1 8 10.2 8 26.9% 8 27.2% 59 418 4 74.6%
T.Barber NYG 9.3 9 9.4 9 8.6% 25 8.7% 98 578 0 73.5%
K.Barlow SF 8.4 10 8.5 11 46.0% 1 46.7% 28 247 1 78.6%
T.Richardson KC 7.4 11 6.8 14 28.7% 7 24.8% 40 265 0 75.0%
T.Minor MIA 7.3 12 9.0 10 32.6% 5 44.1% 37 263 1 78.4%
J.Stewart DET 6.6 13 6.6 15 37.4% 4 37.3% 26 242 1 88.5%
W.Dunn TB 6.3 14 7.1 13 3.3% 28 5.1% 98 569 3 70.4%
M.Smith ATL 6.2 15 7.1 12 42.1% 3 50.6% 26 230 1 73.1%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
S.Alexander SEA 5.9 16 5.0 16 9.8% 24 6.7% 59 343 2 74.6%
E.James IND 4.7 17 2.6 28 22.8% 11 7.7% 29 193 0 82.8%
E.George TEN 4.1 18 3.7 21 6.5% 26 4.8% 50 268 0 74.0%
S.Davis WAS 3.7 19 3.1 25 10.7% 21 6.9% 37 205 0 75.7%
M.Williams BAL 3.6 20 4.8 18 10.6% 22 18.5% 35 210 1 65.7%
A.Thomas CHI 3.5 21 3.3 22 13.4% 17 11.8% 30 178 0 73.3%
W.Henderson GB 3.5 22 4.9 17 12.8% 18 23.0% 28 193 0 75.0%
J.Kleinsasser MIN 3.4 23 4.4 19 16.0% 16 23.9% 28 187 0 85.7%
B.Bennett CIN 3.3 24 3.3 23 18.4% 14 18.6% 26 150 0 76.9%
T.Fletcher SD 3.2 25 1.9 30 16.3% 15 5.2% 29 184 0 79.3%
G.Hearst SF 3.2 26 3.8 20 0.7% 29 2.8% 55 349 1 74.5%
T.Henry BUF 2.8 27 2.9 26 12.4% 19 13.1% 27 179 0 81.5%
M.Bennett MIN 2.8 28 3.3 24 3.8% 27 6.5% 38 226 1 76.3%
J.Ritchie OAK 2.6 29 2.9 27 10.1% 23 12.3% 27 154 2 70.4%
L.Warren DET 1.4 30 2.3 29 -5.4% 31 -2.1% 59 336 1 67.8%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
A.Smith NE 1.0 31 1.4 34 -3.3% 30 0.3% 28 192 1 67.9%
C.Schlesinger DET 0.8 32 1.8 31 -8.3% 36 -5.6% 84 466 0 71.4%
J.Allen CHI 0.6 33 -0.3 38 -6.6% 33 -11.2% 42 196 1 71.4%
S.Mack JAC 0.5 34 -0.7 39 -6.2% 32 -14.2% 34 165 1 67.6%
O.Ayanbadejo BAL 0.3 35 0.5 35 -8.1% 35 -6.7% 33 121 1 72.7%
M.Strong SEA 0.2 36 -1.2 40 -7.5% 34 -17.8% 29 141 0 58.6%
R.Williams NO 0.1 37 1.5 33 -10.3% 38 -6.2% 88 511 1 68.2%
L.Smith MIA 0.0 38 -0.2 37 -9.4% 37 -11.0% 35 234 2 85.7%
K.Faulk NE 0.0 39 1.7 32 -10.9% 39 -0.6% 36 189 2 83.3%
D.Levens GB -0.5 40 0.0 36 -13.6% 40 -10.0% 35 159 1 68.6%
C.Martin PHI -1.2 41 -1.3 41 -16.6% 42 -17.2% 34 124 2 70.6%
C.Dillon CIN -1.4 42 -2.5 46 -14.1% 41 -18.0% 61 228 3 55.7%
L.Neal CIN -1.5 43 -2.4 45 -18.7% 44 -25.7% 27 101 1 70.4%
B.Hoover CAR -1.8 44 -1.8 43 -17.3% 43 -17.2% 47 185 0 55.3%
D.Bennett WAS -2.6 45 -2.8 48 -29.6% 52 -31.6% 25 112 0 60.0%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank
PAR PAR
Rank
DVOA DVOA
Rank
VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
M.Alstott TB -2.8 46 -3.2 50 -20.8% 47 -22.5% 50 231 1 70.0%
R.Anderson NYJ -2.9 47 -2.6 47 -19.9% 45 -18.9% 57 252 2 70.2%
M.Edwards NE -3.2 48 -2.1 44 -26.1% 51 -20.3% 39 166 2 64.1%
C.Martin NYJ -3.2 49 -1.4 42 -20.3% 46 -14.2% 63 320 0 84.1%
M.Wiley DAL -3.5 50 -3.0 49 -42.5% 56 -37.4% 27 99 1 59.3%
J.Makovicka ARI -3.9 51 -4.9 52 -35.6% 54 -43.8% 28 95 1 57.1%
M.Pittman ARI -4.2 52 -5.0 53 -23.5% 48 -26.5% 65 264 0 64.6%
F.Beasley SF -4.5 53 -3.9 51 -40.4% 55 -35.5% 28 98 0 57.1%
G.Comella NYG -4.7 54 -5.3 54 -25.0% 50 -27.0% 55 253 1 70.9%
L.Tomlinson SD -5.2 55 -5.7 55 -23.7% 49 -25.1% 74 367 0 79.7%
R.Huntley CAR -5.6 56 -6.0 56 -48.2% 57 -51.3% 32 101 1 65.6%
D.Rhodes IND -6.1 57 -7.4 58 -31.9% 53 -37.2% 55 224 0 61.8%
C.Hetherington CAR -7.7 58 -6.3 57 -59.7% 58 -50.3% 35 124 1 65.7%

 

RECEIVING, OTHERS: 8-24 passes

Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
E.Joseph JAC 7.3 6.6 52.9% 46.7% 24 183 2 75.0%
D.McAllister NO 6.2 6.7 51.9% 57.4% 20 166 1 75.0%
B.Johnson WAS 6.1 6.1 87.8% 88.1% 11 129 0 81.8%
T.Jackson SF 5.6 5.2 66.3% 61.2% 14 91 2 85.7%
J.Robinson STL 4.9 5.3 59.5% 65.2% 13 108 1 84.6%
A.Zereoue PIT 4.6 5.0 69.1% 76.2% 14 154 1 92.9%
A.Stecker TB 4.6 4.9 67.8% 73.5% 12 96 1 75.0%
B.Mitchell PHI 3.2 3.6 78.7% 89.9% 8 122 0 75.0%
T.Kirby OAK 3.0 2.5 68.7% 52.9% 9 62 0 100.0%
J.Redmond NE 2.6 2.7 16.1% 17.4% 21 132 0 61.9%
M.Sellers CLE 2.6 2.0 21.7% 14.7% 13 73 2 53.8%
D.Chapman MIN 2.6 2.5 22.3% 20.9% 18 126 1 88.9%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
T.Jones ARI 2.5 2.5 12.9% 12.8% 24 151 0 87.5%
R.Dayne NYG 2.3 2.3 29.2% 29.1% 11 67 0 72.7%
H.Morrow MIN 2.0 1.9 11.5% 10.0% 18 142 0 72.2%
J.Jackson CLE 1.7 1.8 22.9% 26.8% 10 56 0 70.0%
P.Pass NE 1.6 1.2 21.5% 12.9% 10 66 1 60.0%
S.Gash BAL 1.1 1.4 4.4% 8.7% 14 80 1 64.3%
J.Brookins BAL 1.1 1.0 18.8% 15.4% 9 45 0 66.7%
T.Canidate STL 1.1 1.2 -0.6% -0.1% 23 154 0 73.9%
C.FuamatuMa'afala PIT 1.0 0.9 1.2% -0.6% 20 127 1 80.0%
T.Smith NO 1.0 1.5 10.7% 23.3% 8 30 2 50.0%
S.Trejo DET 0.8 0.9 2.8% 4.7% 10 61 0 50.0%
J.Bettis PIT 0.3 0.6 -2.3% 5.0% 10 48 0 80.0%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
C.Buckhalter PHI 0.3 1.1 -8.0% 1.5% 21 130 0 61.9%
M.Green TEN 0.2 -0.3 -4.9% -15.4% 13 64 1 92.3%
E.Smith DAL 0.0 0.5 -10.0% -5.5% 21 116 0 81.0%
R.Konrad MIA 0.0 0.0 -9.9% -9.1% 13 52 2 38.5%
R.Watters SEA -0.2 -0.9 -10.5% -17.9% 22 107 0 50.0%
L.Jordan NYJ -0.2 -0.3 -13.3% -17.5% 10 44 1 70.0%
A.Carter DEN -0.2 -0.7 -11.6% -18.7% 16 83 0 68.8%
K.Coleman DEN -0.4 -0.9 -18.6% -29.0% 11 45 0 54.5%
S.Morris BUF -0.5 0.1 -23.5% -8.2% 9 36 0 77.8%
J.Witman PIT -0.6 -1.2 -24.2% -41.5% 8 32 0 75.0%
S.Bryson BUF -0.7 0.2 -23.8% -6.5% 11 59 0 81.8%
R.Thomas DAL -1.1 -1.0 -32.1% -31.0% 10 19 1 50.0%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch %
M.Anderson DEN -1.2 -0.9 -29.4% -23.4% 12 46 0 66.7%
N.Goings CAR -1.3 -1.6 -41.7% -50.3% 9 39 0 88.9%
P.Washington JAC -1.4 -2.0 -34.2% -46.0% 9 36 0 55.6%
K.Carter WAS -1.5 -1.2 -25.7% -21.9% 21 83 0 61.9%
J.Cook TB -1.5 -1.7 -22.6% -23.9% 23 89 0 73.9%
R.Jordan OAK -1.9 -1.6 -39.3% -34.4% 15 63 0 60.0%
T.Hambrick DAL -2.2 -1.5 -43.0% -32.7% 12 62 1 33.3%
J.Huggins DAL -2.3 -2.0 -48.9% -42.6% 12 36 0 66.7%
T.Wheatley OAK -2.6 -1.9 -42.6% -33.7% 15 61 1 80.0%
T.Davis DEN -2.8 -3.6 -35.8% -44.9% 21 69 1 57.1%
F.McCrary SD -3.1 -3.4 -36.2% -39.0% 23 71 0 56.5%
T.Allen BAL -3.3 -3.6 -40.9% -44.0% 20 68 0 85.0%
D.Shelton CHI -5.4 -5.6 -64.6% -67.2% 18 76 1 66.7%
T.Biakabutuka CAR -5.6 -5.6 -79.9% -79.2% 17 121 0 70.6%