Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

TIGHT ENDS 1987

Regular season totals, playoffs and strike games not included

Revised as of 3/8/2017

Tight ends are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the performance on plays where this TE caught the ball, compared to a replacement-level TE in the same game situations and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average TE in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a tight end with more total value. DVOA means a tight end with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

DYAR and DVOA include all passes intended for the receiver, both complete and incomplete. Catch Rate represents the percentage of passes to this receiver completed. This is a reference to incomplete passes, not dropped passes: dropped passes are not specified in publicly available play-by-play, and unfortunately we cannot yet correct for this.

  • Official 1987 Football Outsiders stats do not include Week 4-6 strikebreaker games. Those games are listed separately in another table at the bottom of the page, without any opponent adjustments.
  • We cannot yet fully separate the performance of a receiver from the performance of his quarterback. Be aware that one will affect the other.
  • These statistics measure only passes thrown to a receiver, not performance on plays when he is not thrown the ball, such as blocking and drawing double teams.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the tight end drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

RECEIVING: Minimum 20 passes, 39 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM DPI
M.Bavaro NYG 343 1 318 1 65.9% 1 60.5% 73 865 1,142 8 75% 2 0/0
T.Christensen LARD 184 2 177 2 30.2% 3 28.6% 74 663 815 2 64% 0 2/18
S.Jordan MIN 109 3 110 4 26.3% 4 26.6% 49 490 512 2 71% 1 0/0
C.Magee TB 99 4 114 3 22.0% 5 26.4% 51 424 499 3 67% 0 0/0
R.Holman CIN 83 5 82 6 20.3% 7 19.9% 48 438 433 2 58% 0 1/20
J.Tice NO 80 6 70 7 38.6% 2 33.0% 24 181 319 6 67% 0 0/0
R.Awalt STLC 68 7 90 5 7.7% 16 12.4% 68 526 532 6 62% 0 0/0
O.Newsome CLE1 55 8 48 11 12.9% 11 10.1% 42 346 352 0 71% 0 0/0
J.Novacek STLC 47 9 16 21 12.8% 12 -0.6% 34 254 300 3 59% 1 0/0
C.Boso CHI 44 10 32 15 18.2% 9 11.4% 26 188 239 2 65% 0 1/32
J.Frank SF 43 11 67 8 11.6% 13 22.1% 33 296 284 3 79% 2 0/0
R.Hall TB 43 12 40 14 20.1% 8 18.3% 22 169 224 1 73% 0 0/0
O.Mobley DEN 40 13 49 10 21.1% 6 27.6% 23 228 205 1 70% 1 0/0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM DPI
P.Holohan SD 39 14 42 13 11.4% 14 12.4% 30 239 264 0 67% 0 0/0
J.Hayes KC 39 15 60 9 9.7% 15 19.0% 33 272 276 2 64% 0 0/0
E.Kattus CIN 38 16 46 12 15.2% 10 19.8% 24 217 226 2 75% 0 0/0
H.Brenner NO 33 17 22 17 6.2% 17 1.6% 36 280 281 2 56% 0 0/0
E.Moorehead CHI 27 18 25 16 4.7% 18 3.7% 35 269 253 1 69% 1 0/0
B.Hardy MIA 20 19 -10 28 -1.5% 21 -10.1% 50 292 331 2 56% 0 0/0
K.Winslow SD 16 20 -13 29 -4.3% 24 -9.7% 84 519 496 3 63% 1 1/7
R.Rubick DET 11 21 12 23 0.5% 19 1.1% 20 147 148 1 65% 0 0/0
J.Spagnola PHI 10 22 18 18 -4.1% 23 -1.8% 49 350 301 2 73% 2 0/0
R.Francis SF 9 23 12 24 -0.8% 20 1.6% 20 139 134 0 75% 0 1/7
J.Giles 2TM 8 24 16 20 -1.9% 22 4.2% 21 157 135 1 62% 0 0/0
R.Klever NYJ 1 25 5 25 -6.7% 25 -3.3% 20 152 109 0 70% 0 0/0
J.Williams HOIL -1 26 3 26 -7.6% 26 -5.9% 26 158 160 3 50% 0 0/0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM DPI
E.West GB -2 27 13 22 -8.2% 27 -1.1% 33 261 171 1 58% 0 0/0
D.Cosbie DAL -8 28 18 19 -9.2% 28 -3.0% 62 421 339 3 58% 0 1/20
P.Metzelaars BUF -12 29 -16 30 -12.3% 29 -13.8% 37 290 175 0 76% 3 0/0
Dam.Johnson LARM -15 30 -63 39 -12.6% 30 -29.1% 43 198 208 2 49% 0 1/22
M.Tice SEA -20 31 -31 33 -19.1% 33 -26.1% 22 106 96 2 64% 0 0/0
G.Baty 2TM -20 32 1 27 -17.2% 31 -6.7% 31 173 127 2 58% 0 0/0
K.Whisenhunt ATL -30 33 -23 32 -25.3% 35 -21.0% 25 145 75 1 68% 1 0/0
L.Dawson NE -35 34 -45 35 -29.9% 37 -36.1% 21 81 54 0 57% 0 0/0
A.Cox ATL -36 35 -47 37 -33.3% 39 -41.4% 21 101 38 0 52% 1 0/0
C.Kay DEN -45 36 -49 38 -19.1% 34 -20.3% 60 440 220 0 52% 3 0/0
C.Didier WAS -45 37 -21 31 -30.2% 38 -18.1% 29 178 67 1 45% 0 0/0
M.Shuler NYJ -50 38 -47 36 -17.2% 31 -16.5% 75 434 314 3 57% 2 0/0
P.Beach IND -60 39 -32 34 -28.3% 36 -18.5% 47 239 110 0 60% 0 1/5

RECEIVING, OTHERS: 8-19 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards EYds TD Catch
Rate
FUM DPI
Da.Hill LARM 20 16 12.7% 9.1% 14 105 126 0 79% 0 0/0
R.Heller SF 18 -1 7.3% -8.2% 19 149 147 2 47% 1 0/0
R.Bernstine SD 7 11 0.9% 5.7% 13 76 85 1 77% 0 0/0
M.Boyer IND -16 -9 -24.8% -17.4% 14 73 41 0 71% 0 0/0
T.Sherwin IND -24 -17 -28.5% -22.2% 15 86 42 1 60% 0 0/0
D.Lee PIT -32 -36 -49.4% -54.8% 12 37 -6 0 50% 0 0/0
Dan.Johnson MIA -44 -40 -50.2% -46.7% 14 35 -10 2 29% 0 0/0
D.Warren WAS -50 -44 -57.9% -50.9% 15 43 -26 0 47% 0 0/0

Any tight end rushing numbers are listed on the wide receiver page for that particular year.

1987 STRIKEBREAKER GAMES: WEEKS 4-6

Revised as of 3/8/2017

VOA and YAR for 1987 strikebreaker games is not adjusted for opponent strength but does consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. Normalization for 1987 strikebreaker games uses the regular baselines from 1987, so the league average is below 0%.

STRIKEBREAKER RECEIVING: Minimum 6 passes, 26 players ranked

Player Team YAR Rk VOA Rk Passes Yards TD Catch
Rate
FUM DPI
B.Micho DEN 58 1 26.8% 5 28 236 2 86% 1 0/0
C.McEwen WAS 35 2 22.3% 6 19 164 0 63% 0 0/0
M.Keel SEA 26 3 34.1% 3 9 88 1 67% 0 0/0
D.Summers GB 23 4 32.7% 4 10 83 1 70% 0 0/0
D.Lee PIT 21 5 36.9% 1 9 87 0 67% 0 0/0
D.Tennell CLE1 20 6 36.0% 2 7 59 1 71% 0 0/0
M.Andrews DEN 5 7 4.8% 7 7 53 0 57% 0 0/0
R.Francis SF 4 8 1.1% 9 8 63 0 88% 0 0/0
K.McKeller BUF 4 9 -1.7% 10 12 80 0 75% 0 0/0
E.Riley NYJ 4 10 2.5% 8 6 42 0 67% 0 0/0
S.Holloway TB 2 11 -5.2% 11 18 127 0 56% 0 0/0
S.Byrd ATL 2 12 -5.6% 13 14 125 0 50% 0 0/0
J.A.Smith NYG 1 13 -5.3% 12 11 72 0 55% 0 0/0
Player Team YAR Rk VOA Rk Passes Yards TD Catch
Rate
FUM DPI
D.Lewis MIA 1 14 -6.3% 14 9 53 1 67% 0 0/0
Er.Bailey PHI -6 15 -14.4% 15 12 70 0 67% 0 0/0
M.Scott NO -7 16 -16.8% 17 10 35 0 60% 0 1/13
R.Jones KC -7 17 -16.2% 16 11 76 1 73% 1 0/0
J.Repko PHI -12 18 -26.9% 19 10 46 0 50% 0 0/0
Jo.Jones IND -14 19 -32.5% 20 9 25 1 33% 0 0/0
M.Waters NO -16 20 -21.7% 18 17 140 1 29% 0 0/0
L.Sampleton MIA -19 21 -37.2% 23 10 64 0 80% 1 0/0
R.Wheeler LARD -20 22 -54.3% 25 7 61 0 43% 1 0/0
D.Kindt CHI -20 23 -33.5% 21 11 34 1 45% 0 0/0
H.Holt SD -22 24 -39.5% 24 10 56 0 70% 1 0/0
J.McDonald LARM -23 25 -35.4% 22 11 31 2 36% 0 0/0
W.Seitz NYG -39 26 -70.0% 26 10 0 0 0% 0 1/33

STRIKEBREAKER RECEIVING, OTHERS: 4-5 passes

Player Team YAR VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
Rate
FUM DPI
M.Gehring HOIL 35 94.7% 5 64 1 100% 0 0/0
W.Scott NE 8 28.4% 4 32 0 100% 0 0/0
O.Newsome CLE1 7 21.5% 4 29 0 100% 0 0/0
R.Heller SF -1 -8.7% 5 16 1 60% 0 0/0
J.Caravello WAS -4 -23.2% 4 29 0 50% 0 0/0