Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2016 DEFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

2016 season totals, through Week 2

Revised as of 9/20/2016

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total defense as well as rushing and passing defense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted to an average schedule of opponents and an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the defense. The exceptions are the three columns marked NON-ADJUSTED. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs.

Please note that there are no opponent adjustments in DVOA until after Week 4.

LAST WEEK represents last week's rank. DAVE is a formula which combines our preseason projection with current DVOA to get a more accurate forecast of how a team will play the rest of the season. Right now, the preseason projection makes up 80 percent of DAVE.

VARIANCE measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance). SCHEDULE represents the average offensive DVOA of all opponents, with teams ranked from hardest schedule to easiest schedule.

Remember, since positive numbers represent more scoring, defense is better when it is NEGATIVE.

TEAM DEFENSE
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
DEFENSE
DAVE
RANK PASS
DEF
PASS
RANK
RUSH
DEF
RUSH
RANK
1 SEA -36.1% 2 -15.5% 1 -29.0% 3 -45.9% 2
2 PHI -28.2% 4 -1.4% 14 -38.8% 1 -14.3% 20
3 MIN -23.8% 11 -4.5% 8 -11.2% 9 -45.2% 3
4 ARI -23.1% 17 -11.0% 3 -20.0% 5 -27.6% 7
5 SF -22.1% 1 -2.2% 12 -19.1% 6 -25.6% 10
6 HOU -21.9% 5 -6.0% 7 -25.5% 4 -16.3% 17
7 CAR -20.1% 6 -6.5% 6 -15.4% 7 -24.4% 11
8 BAL -19.4% 3 -7.7% 5 -6.9% 10 -32.7% 4
9 LARM -18.3% 9 -8.8% 4 -15.0% 8 -21.9% 12
10 GB -17.1% 7 -3.4% 10 4.7% 16 -49.0% 1
11 DEN -14.6% 16 -12.3% 2 -34.9% 2 9.4% 30
12 TEN -9.3% 13 3.2% 22 3.6% 15 -26.8% 8
13 CIN -7.8% 15 -3.3% 11 -0.2% 12 -15.9% 18
14 PIT -6.0% 14 -1.5% 13 1.5% 14 -30.3% 6
15 KC -5.6% 25 -4.1% 9 -2.4% 11 -9.3% 21
16 CHI -3.6% 8 3.6% 24 11.6% 19 -20.4% 13
TEAM DEFENSE
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
DEFENSE
DAVE
RANK PASS
DEF
PASS
RANK
RUSH
DEF
RUSH
RANK
17 NYG 1.3% 20 0.4% 15 11.3% 18 -14.6% 19
18 MIA 2.0% 10 3.5% 23 21.2% 21 -19.3% 14
19 CLE 3.4% 23 7.9% 30 21.4% 22 -19.1% 15
20 SD 4.1% 21 6.3% 26 0.1% 13 14.9% 32
21 DAL 5.4% 18 1.2% 17 7.9% 17 0.5% 27
22 TB 9.8% 19 0.6% 16 36.3% 27 -32.5% 5
23 NO 13.4% 31 8.0% 31 36.1% 26 -16.9% 16
24 WAS 13.6% 27 6.9% 27 19.5% 20 7.1% 29
25 BUF 13.7% 12 4.4% 25 29.0% 23 -4.6% 22
26 NYJ 14.8% 24 2.0% 19 42.5% 29 -26.5% 9
27 DET 16.8% 28 3.0% 21 33.1% 24 -1.0% 25
28 JAC 16.9% 22 2.0% 20 34.9% 25 -0.9% 26
29 NE 24.5% 26 1.8% 18 37.1% 28 -1.3% 24
30 ATL 29.9% 29 11.0% 32 53.8% 30 -1.9% 23
31 IND 31.5% 32 7.4% 28 54.9% 31 10.8% 31
32 OAK 38.9% 30 7.6% 29 64.5% 32 3.0% 28

2016 DEFENSE vs. TYPES OF RECEIVERS

2016 season totals through Week 2

Revised as of 9/20/2016

DVOA ratings represent value from the point of view of the defense, not fantasy football players, and include items that have no impact on fantasy football (such as how many interceptions are caught on passes intended to certain receivers). DVOA of defense against receivers does not include sacks or passes with no intended receiver listed. Passes per game and yards per game are more useful for fantasy football players. These numbers are adjusted based on the opposing offenses and include defensive pass interference.

Note that our decision of which receiver is 'number one' and which receiver is 'number two' is somewhat subjective. Teams are ranked in order of general passing defense DVOA.

Numbers in red represent NFL averages for the season.

vs. #1 WR vs. #2 WR vs. Other WR vs. TE vs. RB
Rk Team DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G
1 PHI -57.8% 2 6.9 84.5 -13.0% 16 4.7 52.0 -19.2% 13 5.6 26.0 -37.6% 7 4.3 16.5 6.4% 19 6.5 38.5
2 DEN -37.8% 4 10.2 66.0 -54.6% 8 5.4 9.0 -82.7% 3 5.8 26.5 20.2% 22 7.2 67.5 -14.7% 13 5.6 26.5
3 SEA -1.6% 10 9.1 76.5 -41.2% 9 2.5 25.0 -26.0% 10 5.3 19.0 -17.0% 14 5.0 45.5 31.1% 26 5.9 58.5
4 HOU 8.0% 13 10.8 102.5 -76.6% 4 5.6 24.5 11.0% 19 6.3 38.0 -42.8% 5 6.2 24.0 -17.2% 12 4.5 28.0
5 ARI -5.2% 9 11.0 68.0 -14.3% 13 7.0 59.5 17.9% 20 9.2 88.0 -37.7% 6 6.8 22.0 -110.2% 2 6.8 22.0
6 SF 96.1% 32 6.9 87.5 -57.6% 7 6.5 16.0 -29.0% 9 10.1 44.5 -79.4% 1 6.5 69.5 -115.5% 1 8.3 24.0
7 CAR -13.8% 8 8.9 59.0 -146.3% 1 5.0 39.0 -24.5% 11 4.8 19.0 6.1% 17 6.6 60.5 30.3% 25 5.9 40.5
8 LARM -47.2% 3 7.2 22.5 35.6% 27 6.9 89.0 -30.9% 8 6.8 55.5 -0.9% 15 7.5 38.5 -99.4% 3 6.9 33.0
9 MIN 14.1% 16 10.7 74.5 19.6% 22 6.0 40.5 -76.6% 4 9.5 72.5 -0.6% 16 6.5 49.0 86.7% 32 6.4 46.0
10 BAL 53.7% 28 8.3 73.5 -76.4% 5 6.5 26.0 31.1% 25 3.3 14.0 -44.4% 4 6.2 38.5 -6.7% 14 4.5 33.5
11 KC 12.9% 15 9.6 91.0 18.9% 21 5.6 68.0 -99.0% 1 7.6 40.0 -29.2% 11 6.3 30.5 1.2% 16 6.3 29.0
12 CIN -78.0% 1 8.6 35.5 -40.2% 10 7.1 67.0 3.3% 18 6.0 42.0 26.9% 24 4.2 30.0 42.4% 28 7.2 56.5
13 SD -0.7% 11 5.9 58.5 -13.7% 15 10.2 53.5 -60.8% 6 9.9 50.5 21.7% 23 9.8 91.0 11.0% 20 11.4 99.5
14 PIT 14.4% 17 12.2 103.0 -0.5% 18 9.1 49.5 -46.4% 7 9.2 87.5 -58.1% 2 10.0 64.0 20.1% 22 9.5 81.5
15 TEN 48.3% 27 8.8 110.5 -83.0% 3 8.4 11.0 32.0% 26 7.9 54.0 -37.1% 8 7.1 59.0 -76.2% 4 5.0 15.5
16 GB 22.6% 19 13.2 135.0 50.1% 28 4.1 45.0 -96.7% 2 5.5 36.0 38.7% 28 6.7 71.5 -44.4% 7 5.9 23.5
x NFL 14.2% x 9.3 83.2 -10.3% x 6.6 50.5 -9.4% x 6.9 51.9 0.0% x 7.1 54.0 0.0% x 6.8 43.0
vs. #1 WR vs. #2 WR vs. Other WR vs. TE vs. RB
Rk Team DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G DVOA Rk Pa/G Yd/G
17 DAL 5.9% 12 6.9 56.5 -95.7% 2 6.4 34.0 21.6% 22 6.7 67.5 36.3% 26 7.1 84.0 5.4% 17 8.6 43.5
18 NYG -19.7% 6 7.9 38.0 29.3% 26 10.3 44.0 22.6% 23 8.9 86.0 -47.6% 3 11.1 47.5 -38.1% 9 6.8 29.5
19 CHI -23.9% 5 7.1 62.5 27.8% 25 7.4 74.5 -21.7% 12 6.0 11.5 28.9% 25 6.9 48.5 -49.9% 6 6.3 13.5
20 WAS 43.6% 26 11.3 114.0 123.1% 32 2.5 28.0 18.9% 21 6.8 84.5 6.7% 18 4.5 41.0 -53.8% 5 7.5 31.5
21 MIA 25.7% 21 11.6 84.0 -19.3% 12 8.0 38.0 23.3% 24 5.9 66.5 71.9% 31 7.3 75.5 -43.9% 8 6.5 28.0
22 CLE 34.9% 24 10.4 77.5 -14.2% 14 5.5 60.5 -71.4% 5 7.5 27.5 19.2% 21 9.1 96.5 -35.8% 10 7.7 28.0
23 BUF 61.6% 30 9.9 109.0 21.9% 23 7.6 72.5 37.9% 27 6.6 99.5 -27.7% 12 8.7 22.0 -28.6% 11 5.3 26.0
24 DET -14.6% 7 9.6 58.5 -4.0% 17 9.4 52.0 61.8% 32 5.1 55.5 44.3% 30 9.2 89.5 25.2% 23 7.4 62.5
25 JAC 61.3% 29 7.6 73.5 24.3% 24 5.7 59.0 2.2% 17 5.0 39.0 8.2% 19 5.8 37.0 -5.9% 15 6.5 22.5
26 NO 26.1% 22 11.3 129.5 62.7% 30 9.1 107.0 -17.8% 14 7.1 55.0 -31.6% 10 6.8 29.5 27.4% 24 6.6 48.0
27 TB 20.6% 18 10.4 73.5 6.1% 19 7.0 44.0 47.2% 29 3.8 46.0 -20.8% 13 7.3 48.0 84.3% 31 8.5 115.0
28 NE 12.9% 14 9.5 109.0 14.7% 20 10.0 93.5 -9.8% 16 6.6 38.0 36.7% 27 7.6 55.5 11.4% 21 6.9 44.0
29 NYJ 25.4% 20 9.5 100.0 114.9% 31 3.8 50.5 48.5% 30 7.2 119.5 -36.1% 9 5.7 43.0 34.2% 27 4.0 27.0
30 ATL 40.4% 25 8.3 92.0 -20.5% 11 6.1 42.5 -11.6% 15 7.7 34.5 42.6% 29 10.1 81.5 64.6% 29 8.9 77.0
31 IND 26.7% 23 9.2 104.5 -64.4% 6 5.9 44.5 53.2% 31 7.9 49.5 104.3% 32 6.2 59.0 81.1% 30 8.2 77.5
32 OAK 92.8% 31 9.2 133.0 50.9% 29 6.6 95.5 39.0% 28 8.8 67.5 12.8% 20 6.9 93.0 6.1% 18 5.6 46.0
x NFL 14.2% x 9.3 83.2 -10.3% x 6.6 50.5 -9.4% x 6.9 51.9 0.0% x 7.1 54.0 0.0% x 6.8 43.0

2016 DEFENSE BY PASS DIRECTION

2016 season totals through Week 2

Revised as of 9/20/2016

As with the defense vs. receivers table above, this following table does not include sacks or passes with no intended receiver listed. These numbers are adjusted based on the opposing offenses and include defensive pass interference. Short passes are defined as passes going up to 15 yards through the air; deep passes go 16 or more yards through the air. All directions are listed from the offensive perspective.

Numbers in red represent NFL averages for the season.

It's Week 2 so we're talking exceptionally small sample sizes here. Don't go nuts quoting these numbers.

Rank Team Left Rk Middle Rk Right Rk Deep Rk Short Rk D Left D Mid D Right Sh Left Sh Mid Sh Right
1 PHI 10.8% 17 -52.0% 3 -40.3% 8 11.4% 12 -36.1% 3 90.4% 156.6% -52.0% -12.9% -85.0% -36.1%
2 DEN -30.7% 3 4.1% 11 -48.9% 6 -37.3% 5 -27.2% 7 8.3% -49.6% -102.5% -36.7% 20.4% -45.8%
3 SEA 39.2% 28 -51.8% 4 -69.1% 3 24.3% 15 -24.2% 8 98.8% -108.3% -72.1% 10.3% -42.2% -67.7%
4 HOU -29.3% 4 47.1% 23 -43.7% 7 78.2% 25 -46.2% 2 28.9% 114.5% 84.6% -42.7% 17.0% -73.2%
5 ARI 14.2% 20 -51.8% 5 -39.4% 9 -52.8% 3 -11.1% 15 88.5% -276.3% -104.8% -3.4% 3.3% -27.1%
6 SF -39.5% 2 -175.2% 1 18.6% 28 124.5% 29 -63.1% 1 -104.4% 165.7% 178.4% -33.2% -243.7% -23.3%
7 CAR 57.3% 32 -124.8% 2 -70.1% 2 -130.5% 1 -14.9% 12 134.3% -115.3% -177.0% 53.1% -127.5% -37.1%
8 LARM -0.1% 13 2.9% 10 -72.7% 1 24.0% 14 -31.5% 4 64.3% -102.4% -108.3% -17.5% 21.7% -70.9%
9 MIN -19.8% 7 62.0% 28 -21.2% 16 -11.2% 7 -3.8% 19 14.0% 88.3% -109.9% -25.0% 55.2% -2.4%
10 BAL -9.3% 10 26.6% 19 -25.0% 13 -60.7% 2 11.2% 26 -46.4% -14.0% -109.3% 10.1% 61.0% -0.3%
11 KC -5.6% 11 13.6% 12 -35.3% 10 24.6% 16 -22.5% 9 -107.0% 137.9% 61.6% 8.2% -4.9% -53.1%
12 CIN 17.7% 24 -23.7% 7 -49.3% 5 -13.9% 6 -19.1% 11 2.8% -4.4% -30.3% 20.1% -34.6% -55.6%
13 SD 12.5% 19 15.7% 13 -58.1% 4 9.0% 11 -11.0% 16 19.4% 37.9% -111.6% 11.1% 6.7% -52.8%
14 PIT -40.2% 1 -29.0% 6 7.4% 27 33.5% 17 -27.7% 6 -362.2% 81.8% 86.6% -13.1% -54.7% -18.3%
15 TEN -12.4% 8 19.7% 16 -22.9% 15 21.2% 13 -22.1% 10 57.4% 185.6% -125.7% -45.5% -24.1% -8.1%
16 GB -20.4% 6 26.2% 18 -4.7% 22 41.7% 19 -8.6% 18 -69.6% 82.6% 131.4% 5.8% 13.5% -38.0%
x NFL 8.0% x 18.2% x -17.8% x 34.4% x -8.1% x 42.1% 66.4% 8.4% -0.9% 7.5% -23.7%
Rank Team Left Rk Middle Rk Right Rk Deep Rk Short Rk D Left D Mid D Right Sh Left Sh Mid Sh Right
17 DAL -11.7% 9 44.4% 22 -20.0% 18 80.3% 26 -13.7% 13 117.5% 136.3% -107.4% -39.9% 24.0% -12.6%
18 NYG 3.0% 14 19.4% 14 -35.2% 11 -49.3% 4 5.3% 23 -44.5% 287.6% -93.3% 17.2% 2.2% -8.5%
19 CHI 12.2% 18 -1.4% 9 -16.5% 20 1.9% 10 -1.9% 21 31.8% -18.4% -34.2% 4.5% 4.2% -12.1%
20 WAS 35.9% 26 23.8% 17 -28.6% 12 180.6% 32 -9.3% 17 181.8% 168.9% 0.0% -24.4% 18.1% -28.6%
21 MIA 16.5% 22 49.7% 24 -10.2% 21 -7.5% 8 16.2% 28 -15.2% 176.0% -218.6% 21.2% 30.5% 4.4%
22 CLE 14.8% 21 19.6% 15 -23.4% 14 39.9% 18 -11.9% 14 56.6% 204.0% -9.8% 3.2% -3.4% -27.4%
23 BUF -2.9% 12 97.3% 32 -20.9% 17 152.7% 31 -31.1% 5 233.1% 207.9% 49.1% -80.5% 30.0% -42.2%
24 DET 21.4% 25 42.3% 21 -1.0% 25 56.5% 21 6.0% 25 80.1% -7.3% 82.8% 5.5% 60.1% -34.4%
25 JAC -24.5% 5 80.4% 29 66.9% 32 137.2% 30 -2.1% 20 -1.7% 365.2% 221.1% -29.4% 29.7% 23.2%
26 NO 38.6% 27 38.1% 20 -16.9% 19 105.2% 27 4.1% 22 99.5% 52.5% 136.2% 26.2% 36.7% -41.5%
27 TB 17.6% 23 57.6% 27 5.9% 26 49.0% 20 15.9% 27 14.5% 135.7% 78.5% 18.6% 52.5% -15.2%
28 NE 46.0% 30 -15.8% 8 -4.1% 23 -1.9% 9 18.8% 30 23.4% -53.2% -29.2% 57.1% -13.3% 4.5%
29 NYJ 7.4% 15 81.6% 30 33.5% 31 109.7% 28 5.4% 24 -24.9% 456.0% 209.7% 20.7% -0.1% -3.5%
30 ATL 53.0% 31 52.1% 26 -1.5% 24 67.7% 24 17.0% 29 179.4% 217.8% -146.0% 6.2% 27.0% 18.3%
31 IND 8.8% 16 82.6% 31 27.9% 29 58.6% 22 26.8% 31 -110.5% 126.2% 104.8% 18.1% 75.8% 6.4%
32 OAK 41.2% 29 49.9% 25 31.4% 30 64.1% 23 34.3% 32 96.8% -243.5% 141.8% 15.8% 82.4% 5.8%
x NFL 8.0% x 18.2% x -17.8% x 34.4% x -8.1% x 42.1% 66.4% 8.4% -0.9% 7.5% -23.7%