Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics



2004 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 8/8/2008

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total defense as well as rushing and passing defense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted based on strength of schedule. They are also adjusted to an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the defense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing defense. Rushing data includes all rushing, not just running backs.

LAST YEAR represents 2003 rank. WEIGHTED DEFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

VARIANCE (VAR.) measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance on defense. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, New York Jets) to least consistent (#32, Arizona).

Remember, since positive numbers represent more scoring, defense is better when it is NEGATIVE.

TEAM DEF.
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
DEFENSE 		RANK PASS
DEF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
DEF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
1 BUF -28.1% 7 -36.3% 1 -35.7% 1 -20.3% 2 -28.0% -32.7% -23.2% 10.8% 31
2 BAL -19.3% 1 -18.5% 2 -23.4% 2 -15.2% 4 -15.6% -20.7% -10.3% 8.1% 19
3 PIT -17.6% 13 -17.9% 3 -18.1% 3 -17.1% 3 -18.4% -19.5% -17.1% 8.5% 22
4 WAS -14.9% 27 -17.3% 4 -8.2% 9 -23.0% 1 -14.9% -7.7% -23.5% 4.8% 7
5 DEN -13.7% 12 -14.9% 5 -17.1% 4 -10.0% 7 -9.4% -13.0% -5.5% 9.6% 26
6 NE -11.2% 2 -11.0% 7 -10.8% 6 -11.7% 6 -11.7% -10.0% -13.7% 10.2% 28
7 MIA -9.8% 4 -2.7% 16 -12.5% 5 -7.6% 9 -5.1% -5.5% -4.7% 7.0% 14
8 TB -6.9% 3 -8.0% 8 -9.3% 7 -4.8% 11 -12.0% -20.2% -4.8% 7.3% 16
9 NYJ -4.7% 29 -4.2% 12 4.3% 19 -13.8% 5 -6.8% 0.8% -14.6% 2.9% 1
10 JAC -4.6% 10 -6.9% 10 -4.2% 12 -5.0% 10 0.4% 4.1% -3.8% 5.8% 13
11 CHI -4.5% 18 -3.2% 14 -5.5% 11 -3.4% 12 -5.2% -2.0% -8.6% 4.7% 5
12 SD -3.9% 30 -12.4% 6 -0.4% 15 -9.1% 8 -0.7% 3.2% -6.4% 5.3% 10
13 CAR -3.8% 11 -6.1% 11 -8.5% 8 1.2% 20 -3.0% -5.3% -0.4% 9.4% 24
14 CIN -2.9% 31 -7.1% 9 -7.4% 10 1.7% 21 -2.7% -8.3% 3.0% 9.6% 27
15 PHI -2.4% 17 -4.1% 13 -2.4% 14 -2.4% 15 -1.5% -0.8% -2.1% 7.2% 15
16 ARI -2.1% 32 -3.0% 15 -3.0% 13 -1.1% 17 -6.7% -10.2% -2.6% 12.0% 32
TEAM DEF.
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
DEFENSE 		RANK PASS
DEF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
DEF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
17 ATL 0.6% 26 2.8% 19 0.9% 16 0.2% 18 -1.7% 0.3% -4.0% 2.9% 2
18 HOU 0.8% 28 -1.3% 17 4.1% 18 -3.2% 13 7.2% 12.7% 0.6% 8.2% 20
19 IND 3.5% 15 -1.0% 18 5.9% 21 0.5% 19 5.1% 6.1% 4.0% 5.1% 9
20 DET 4.9% 23 7.9% 22 12.7% 24 -3.0% 14 2.9% 9.8% -4.1% 4.2% 4
21 NYG 5.9% 20 11.6% 24 7.2% 22 4.6% 24 3.9% 4.2% 3.7% 10.3% 29
22 SEA 6.2% 16 15.5% 28 2.1% 17 11.1% 29 1.2% -2.9% 6.1% 8.6% 23
23 CLE 8.4% 14 7.3% 20 5.4% 20 10.8% 28 9.0% 3.5% 13.5% 5.1% 8
24 TEN 10.6% 9 14.6% 27 12.5% 23 8.2% 26 12.9% 16.8% 8.1% 8.5% 21
25 DAL 12.8% 6 12.9% 25 21.4% 26 2.9% 22 11.7% 16.8% 5.8% 10.4% 30
26 OAK 14.7% 25 16.7% 29 33.0% 32 -2.0% 16 18.4% 38.6% 0.1% 4.8% 6
27 NO 15.3% 22 8.2% 23 18.1% 25 12.3% 30 11.4% 14.6% 7.9% 5.7% 12
28 STL 16.2% 5 7.3% 21 23.3% 27 8.9% 27 13.4% 19.0% 7.7% 9.5% 25
29 GB 16.4% 8 13.6% 26 26.5% 29 4.0% 23 16.0% 26.4% 3.3% 7.6% 17
30 KC 16.7% 24 22.7% 31 24.1% 28 7.4% 25 22.4% 34.6% 7.0% 8.1% 18
31 SF 22.9% 19 23.8% 32 32.0% 31 13.9% 31 16.5% 24.5% 8.6% 3.3% 3
32 MIN 23.8% 21 19.6% 30 29.9% 30 16.4% 32 20.0% 25.4% 13.6% 5.4% 11

2004 DEFENSE vs. TYPES OF RECEIVERS

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 8/8/2008

DVOA of defense against receivers does not include sacks or passes with no intended receiver listed. Note that our decision of which receiver is 'number one' and which receiver is 'number two' is somewhat subjective. Teams are ranked in order of general passing defense DVOA.

Please note that these ratings represent value from the point of view of the defense, not fantasy football players, and include items that have no impact on fantasy football (such as how many interceptions are caught on passes intended to certain receivers).

TEAM vs. #1 WR vs. #2 WR vs. Other WR vs. TE vs. RB
1 BUF -4.8% 9 -1.9% 9 12.1% 28 -39.0% 2 -63.2% 1
2 BAL 3.7% 15 -5.7% 7 -22.0% 3 -1.3% 16 -49.9% 2
3 PIT -3.6% 10 -14.6% 3 -20.8% 4 -11.1% 10 1.8% 16
4 DEN 3.9% 16 9.1% 20 6.1% 21 -44.8% 1 -40.9% 3
5 MIA -5.8% 8 40.0% 32 -26.9% 2 -10.5% 12 -6.8% 11
6 NE -39.6% 1 31.7% 29 7.4% 23 -25.6% 4 17.3% 27
7 TB -25.2% 3 10.4% 23 5.4% 20 12.3% 21 -17.6% 6
8 CAR 7.0% 18 2.3% 18 -17.4% 6 -32.0% 3 -6.3% 12
9 WAS -34.0% 2 -12.5% 4 8.0% 24 -5.3% 14 9.4% 23
10 CIN -20.5% 4 -19.2% 2 -0.7% 17 27.1% 28 17.5% 28
11 CHI 18.2% 23 -28.2% 1 -15.5% 11 -25.5% 5 -18.3% 5
12 JAC -3.0% 11 0.3% 15 -7.0% 15 -6.5% 13 3.5% 18
13 ARI -5.8% 7 -1.2% 13 -16.4% 9 12.2% 20 10.3% 24
14 PHI 22.0% 26 -1.4% 11 -16.8% 8 -21.4% 6 -17.1% 7
15 SD -9.1% 6 -10.1% 5 -13.1% 12 -10.6% 11 -10.4% 9
16 ATL 8.4% 20 -1.2% 12 -10.5% 14 19.4% 26 11.4% 25
TEAM vs. #1 WR vs. #2 WR vs. Other WR vs. TE vs. RB
17 SEA 30.0% 29 6.5% 19 -30.2% 1 -14.5% 8 6.7% 22
18 HOU -9.9% 5 19.2% 27 -17.1% 7 -2.2% 15 -25.0% 4
19 NYJ 29.7% 28 22.9% 28 -16.4% 10 -16.1% 7 -5.4% 13
20 CLE 12.9% 22 9.4% 21 16.9% 30 -12.8% 9 -10.3% 10
21 IND 0.5% 13 -0.6% 14 1.6% 19 11.6% 18 26.5% 29
22 NYG -2.7% 12 34.1% 31 10.0% 27 3.6% 17 13.3% 26
23 TEN 4.5% 17 10.2% 22 1.4% 18 21.3% 27 -0.5% 15
24 DET 0.8% 14 13.9% 26 -4.7% 16 14.5% 23 -2.3% 14
25 NO 28.2% 27 -4.0% 8 -11.0% 13 17.6% 24 6.3% 21
26 DAL 20.5% 25 33.8% 30 -17.8% 5 13.1% 22 5.3% 20
27 STL 8.4% 19 11.4% 24 17.8% 31 17.9% 25 30.4% 31
28 KC 30.3% 30 1.3% 17 6.2% 22 29.7% 29 26.7% 30
29 GB 11.1% 21 -9.1% 6 9.3% 25 39.5% 32 39.0% 32
30 MIN 31.7% 31 11.9% 25 9.9% 26 39.2% 31 4.1% 19
31 SF 49.6% 32 -1.8% 10 14.2% 29 31.8% 30 -10.5% 8
32 OAK 18.9% 24 0.7% 16 40.9% 32 12.1% 19 2.5% 17

DVOA version: 5.0