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2008 Team Efficiency Ratings
Regular season totals, through Week 13
Revised as of 12/2/2008
These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings through 13 weeks of 2008, measured by our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that breaks down every single play and compares a team's performance to the league average based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.)
OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted for strength of opponent and consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season.
WEIGHTED DVOA is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team is playing right now.
As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.
| TEAM |
TOTAL DVOA |
LAST WEEK |
WEIGHTED DVOA |
RANK | W-L |
OFFENSE DVOA |
OFF. RANK |
DEFENSE DVOA |
DEF. RANK |
S.T. DVOA |
S.T. RANK |
|
| 1 | NYG | 39.7% | 1 | 39.0% | 1 | 11-1 | 25.5% | 1 | -10.2% | 7 | 3.9% | 6 |
| 2 | BAL | 32.1% | 2 | 30.6% | 3 | 8-4 | 6.3% | 17 | -28.4% | 1 | -2.6% | 25 |
| 3 | PHI | 30.7% | 4 | 29.3% | 4 | 6-5-1 | 11.2% | 12 | -17.8% | 6 | 1.7% | 10 |
| 4 | TEN | 30.2% | 3 | 31.6% | 2 | 11-1 | 9.5% | 14 | -19.3% | 4 | 1.4% | 13 |
| 5 | PIT | 22.2% | 5 | 21.2% | 5 | 9-3 | 0.3% | 20 | -23.1% | 2 | -1.2% | 23 |
| 6 | TB | 19.9% | 7 | 21.0% | 6 | 9-3 | -1.6% | 22 | -20.0% | 3 | 1.5% | 12 |
| 7 | CAR | 16.2% | 8 | 16.1% | 7 | 9-3 | 10.2% | 13 | -4.4% | 8 | 1.6% | 11 |
| 8 | GB | 13.7% | 9 | 14.0% | 8 | 5-7 | 12.0% | 10 | -0.7% | 11 | 1.0% | 15 |
| 9 | ATL | 12.9% | 13 | 13.8% | 9 | 8-4 | 18.4% | 4 | 9.0% | 21 | 3.5% | 7 |
| 10 | NO | 11.6% | 11 | 12.5% | 11 | 6-6 | 20.8% | 3 | 9.8% | 22 | 0.6% | 17 |
| 11 | IND | 10.0% | 12 | 13.6% | 10 | 8-4 | 15.8% | 6 | 4.7% | 14 | -1.1% | 22 |
| 12 | WAS | 9.2% | 14 | 6.6% | 13 | 7-5 | 12.5% | 9 | -1.2% | 10 | -4.5% | 29 |
| 13 | ARI | 7.5% | 6 | 7.2% | 12 | 7-5 | 16.3% | 5 | 5.7% | 16 | -3.0% | 26 |
| 14 | NYJ | 6.1% | 10 | 6.1% | 14 | 8-4 | 4.6% | 19 | 3.6% | 12 | 5.1% | 4 |
| 15 | MIN | 5.8% | 19 | 5.6% | 15 | 7-5 | -4.0% | 24 | -19.1% | 5 | -9.4% | 32 |
| 16 | CHI | 2.5% | 15 | -1.5% | 17 | 6-6 | -0.6% | 21 | -3.0% | 9 | 0.2% | 18 |
| TEAM |
TOTAL DVOA |
LAST WEEK |
WEIGHTED DVOA |
RANK | W-L |
OFFENSE DVOA |
OFF. RANK |
DEFENSE DVOA |
DEF. RANK |
S.T. DVOA |
S.T. RANK |
|
| 17 | DAL | 1.7% | 20 | -2.7% | 19 | 8-4 | 11.3% | 11 | 5.3% | 15 | -4.3% | 28 |
| 18 | MIA | 1.3% | 16 | 0.9% | 16 | 7-5 | 15.6% | 7 | 6.5% | 17 | -7.8% | 31 |
| 19 | SD | 0.1% | 17 | -1.8% | 18 | 4-8 | 13.5% | 8 | 14.3% | 26 | 0.9% | 16 |
| 20 | DEN | -1.8% | 21 | -5.6% | 22 | 7-5 | 21.6% | 2 | 19.3% | 29 | -4.1% | 27 |
| 21 | NE | -4.8% | 18 | -4.5% | 21 | 7-5 | 7.4% | 16 | 13.5% | 24 | 1.3% | 14 |
| 22 | HOU | -7.5% | 24 | -3.7% | 20 | 5-7 | 8.2% | 15 | 18.7% | 28 | 3.0% | 8 |
| 23 | JAC | -8.1% | 22 | -9.6% | 24 | 4-8 | 6.1% | 18 | 14.0% | 25 | -0.2% | 19 |
| 24 | CLE | -10.4% | 25 | -6.9% | 23 | 4-8 | -7.7% | 25 | 7.8% | 18 | 5.1% | 3 |
| 25 | BUF | -11.4% | 23 | -14.6% | 25 | 6-6 | -3.7% | 23 | 13.2% | 23 | 5.4% | 2 |
| 26 | SF | -20.0% | 26 | -21.9% | 27 | 4-8 | -18.1% | 29 | 7.9% | 19 | 6.0% | 1 |
| 27 | OAK | -20.5% | 27 | -18.5% | 26 | 3-9 | -20.8% | 31 | 4.5% | 13 | 4.9% | 5 |
| 28 | SEA | -27.2% | 28 | -22.8% | 28 | 2-10 | -13.8% | 27 | 16.1% | 27 | 2.7% | 9 |
| 29 | CIN | -28.5% | 29 | -28.0% | 29 | 1-10-1 | -17.6% | 28 | 8.6% | 20 | -2.3% | 24 |
| 30 | KC | -33.0% | 30 | -29.8% | 30 | 2-10 | -7.8% | 26 | 19.7% | 30 | -5.4% | 30 |
| 31 | STL | -51.2% | 32 | -48.3% | 31 | 2-10 | -25.4% | 32 | 25.4% | 31 | -0.4% | 21 |
| 32 | DET | -52.0% | 31 | -50.5% | 32 | 0-12 | -19.8% | 30 | 31.9% | 32 | -0.3% | 20 |
- NON-ADJUSTED TOTAL DVOA gives performance without adjustments for schedule strength, fumble recovery luck, and weather/altitude on special teams.
- ESTIMATED WINS uses a statistic known as "Forest Index" that emphasizes consistency as well as DVOA in the most important specific situations: red zone defense, first quarter offense, and performance in the second half when the score is close. It then projects a number of wins adjusted to a league-average schedule and a league-average rate of recovering fumbles. Teams that have had their bye week are projected as if they had played one game per week.
- PAST SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents played this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road.
- FUTURE SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents still left to play this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road.
- VARIANCE measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance).
| TEAM |
TOTAL DVOA |
W-L |
NON-ADJ TOT VOA |
ESTIM. WINS |
RANK |
PAST SCHED |
RANK |
FUTURE SCHED |
RANK | VAR | RANK | |
| 1 | NYG | 39.7% | 11-1 | 41.3% | 9.6 | 1 | -1.9% | 23 | 18.1% | 5 | 17.3% | 20 |
| 2 | BAL | 32.1% | 8-4 | 31.4% | 9.0 | 2 | 2.2% | 10 | 8.3% | 10 | 19.2% | 23 |
| 3 | PHI | 30.7% | 6-5-1 | 29.2% | 8.4 | 4 | 0.1% | 17 | 13.4% | 8 | 19.3% | 24 |
| 4 | TEN | 30.2% | 11-1 | 33.6% | 9.0 | 3 | -5.2% | 27 | 4.8% | 11 | 8.9% | 5 |
| 5 | PIT | 22.2% | 9-3 | 23.0% | 8.1 | 5 | 2.6% | 9 | 17.9% | 6 | 5.7% | 1 |
| 6 | TB | 19.9% | 9-3 | 22.4% | 7.6 | 6 | -2.9% | 25 | 2.9% | 14 | 16.4% | 15 |
| 7 | CAR | 16.2% | 9-3 | 16.2% | 7.4 | 8 | -1.4% | 21 | 23.1% | 2 | 16.8% | 16 |
| 8 | GB | 13.7% | 5-7 | 7.3% | 7.1 | 10 | 2.9% | 7 | -21.7% | 31 | 16.4% | 14 |
| 9 | ATL | 12.9% | 8-4 | 10.6% | 6.8 | 12 | 0.3% | 16 | -4.6% | 18 | 22.9% | 28 |
| 10 | NO | 11.6% | 6-6 | 10.7% | 7.1 | 9 | 1.7% | 11 | -6.8% | 19 | 12.5% | 10 |
| 11 | IND | 10.0% | 8-4 | 7.3% | 7.4 | 7 | 5.3% | 4 | -19.5% | 30 | 20.2% | 25 |
| 12 | WAS | 9.2% | 7-5 | 6.8% | 6.8 | 13 | 1.1% | 13 | 4.8% | 12 | 6.7% | 3 |
| 13 | ARI | 7.5% | 7-5 | 8.5% | 6.4 | 15 | -1.9% | 24 | -25.8% | 32 | 18.3% | 22 |
| 14 | NYJ | 6.1% | 8-4 | 13.5% | 6.6 | 14 | -9.0% | 31 | -19.1% | 28 | 20.2% | 26 |
| 15 | MIN | 5.8% | 7-5 | 2.9% | 6.3 | 17 | 4.1% | 5 | 2.7% | 15 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 16 | CHI | 2.5% | 6-6 | 1.4% | 6.8 | 11 | -0.8% | 20 | 3.2% | 13 | 10.0% | 6 |
| TEAM |
TOTAL DVOA |
W-L |
NON-ADJ TOT VOA |
ESTIM. WINS |
RANK |
PAST SCHED |
RANK |
FUTURE SCHED |
RANK | VAR | RANK | |
| 17 | DAL | 1.7% | 8-4 | 6.0% | 6.0 | 19 | -0.6% | 19 | 41.5% | 1 | 27.9% | 31 |
| 18 | MIA | 1.3% | 7-5 | 14.9% | 6.0 | 18 | -6.4% | 30 | -19.4% | 29 | 16.9% | 18 |
| 19 | SD | 0.1% | 4-8 | -0.4% | 6.3 | 16 | 0.7% | 14 | -11.8% | 25 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 20 | DEN | -1.8% | 7-5 | -1.0% | 5.6 | 21 | -3.5% | 26 | -9.4% | 22 | 25.7% | 29 |
| 21 | NE | -4.8% | 7-5 | -0.4% | 5.7 | 20 | -5.4% | 28 | -17.2% | 27 | 21.2% | 27 |
| 22 | HOU | -7.5% | 5-7 | -8.2% | 4.6 | 25 | 0.3% | 15 | 8.6% | 9 | 12.4% | 9 |
| 23 | JAC | -8.1% | 4-8 | -6.4% | 5.5 | 22 | -1.6% | 22 | 19.4% | 3 | 6.4% | 2 |
| 24 | CLE | -10.4% | 4-8 | -17.7% | 5.3 | 23 | 6.9% | 2 | 18.2% | 4 | 18.2% | 21 |
| 25 | BUF | -11.4% | 6-6 | 0.7% | 4.8 | 24 | -12.3% | 32 | 0.2% | 17 | 11.7% | 8 |
| 26 | SF | -20.0% | 4-8 | -14.9% | 4.3 | 26 | -5.8% | 29 | -11.5% | 24 | 7.0% | 4 |
| 27 | OAK | -20.5% | 3-9 | -21.4% | 3.9 | 27 | -0.1% | 18 | 2.6% | 16 | 30.6% | 32 |
| 28 | SEA | -27.2% | 2-10 | -26.6% | 3.5 | 28 | 1.6% | 12 | -14.1% | 26 | 17.2% | 19 |
| 29 | CIN | -28.5% | 1-10-1 | -42.2% | 3.1 | 30 | 14.7% | 1 | -8.0% | 20 | 12.7% | 11 |
| 30 | KC | -33.0% | 2-10 | -30.0% | 3.1 | 29 | 2.9% | 6 | -9.6% | 23 | 16.8% | 17 |
| 31 | STL | -51.2% | 2-10 | -52.3% | 1.5 | 32 | 2.7% | 8 | -8.9% | 21 | 26.6% | 30 |
| 32 | DET | -52.0% | 0-12 | -52.2% | 1.8 | 31 | 6.0% | 3 | 13.7% | 7 | 16.3% | 13 |
DVOA version: 5.0