Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2016 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Regular season totals, through Week 3

Revised as of 9/27/2016

These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings for 2016, measured by our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team's performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.)

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. Please note that there are no opponent adjustments in DVOA until after Week 4. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season.

DAVE is a formula which combines our preseason projection with current DVOA to get a more accurate forecast of how a team will play the rest of the season. Right now, the preseason projection makes up 65 percent of DAVE.

As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.

TEAM TOTAL
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
TOTAL
DAVE
RANK W-L OFFENSE
DVOA
OFF.
RANK
DEFENSE
DVOA
DEF.
RANK
S.T.
DVOA
S.T.
RANK
1 PHI 46.5% 1 10.7% 6 3-0 18.8% 5 -29.0% 2 -1.3% 20
2 KC 32.3% 11 20.8% 2 2-1 -4.5% 16 -28.0% 4 8.8% 3
3 SEA 30.6% 8 26.6% 1 2-1 -6.7% 23 -34.8% 1 2.4% 11
4 MIN 22.4% 12 6.2% 9 3-0 -11.0% 24 -28.6% 3 4.9% 7
5 GB 18.6% 15 12.0% 5 2-1 9.4% 9 -8.3% 10 0.9% 13
6 BAL 16.2% 5 10.3% 7 3-0 -16.3% 26 -25.8% 5 6.7% 4
7 DEN 15.1% 9 5.9% 10 3-0 8.9% 10 -6.7% 11 -0.6% 16
8 DAL 13.1% 14 3.2% 13 2-1 20.4% 4 8.1% 23 0.9% 14
9 ATL 11.1% 16 -0.3% 17 2-1 30.6% 2 29.4% 32 9.9% 1
10 SD 10.4% 7 2.7% 14 1-2 16.4% 7 -0.1% 16 -6.1% 27
11 OAK 9.3% 21 1.5% 15 2-1 33.1% 1 22.6% 29 -1.1% 19
12 NE 8.5% 23 14.5% 3 3-0 7.0% 11 8.4% 24 9.8% 2
13 CIN 4.6% 13 4.3% 12 1-2 11.2% 8 -0.1% 17 -6.7% 28
14 CAR 4.2% 3 5.8% 11 1-2 -4.5% 18 -16.5% 6 -7.7% 30
15 ARI 3.9% 2 13.2% 4 1-2 -6.0% 21 -16.0% 7 -6.0% 26
16 DET -1.3% 6 -0.1% 16 1-2 21.4% 3 27.6% 31 4.9% 8
TEAM TOTAL
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
TOTAL
DAVE
RANK W-L OFFENSE
DVOA
OFF.
RANK
DEFENSE
DVOA
DEF.
RANK
S.T.
DVOA
S.T.
RANK
17 BUF -3.3% 26 -2.7% 18 1-2 -6.4% 22 -3.6% 13 -0.4% 15
18 NYG -4.7% 20 -3.3% 19 2-1 3.0% 13 0.7% 18 -7.0% 29
19 MIA -5.4% 27 -10.8% 27 1-2 -2.9% 15 1.7% 19 -0.8% 17
20 TEN -9.2% 18 -8.8% 24 1-2 -5.3% 20 -2.1% 14 -6.0% 25
21 WAS -9.7% 24 -9.2% 25 1-2 -4.9% 19 10.8% 25 6.0% 5
22 PIT -9.8% 4 6.9% 8 2-1 1.3% 14 12.3% 26 1.2% 12
23 NO -11.6% 19 -5.3% 21 0-3 18.5% 6 25.4% 30 -4.7% 23
24 TB -12.9% 30 -7.3% 23 1-2 -4.5% 17 5.3% 21 -3.1% 21
25 IND -13.8% 22 -6.5% 22 1-2 3.6% 12 21.5% 28 4.1% 9
26 SF -15.4% 10 -15.7% 30 1-2 -19.5% 28 -10.1% 9 -6.0% 24
27 LARM -16.3% 28 -5.1% 20 2-1 -26.8% 31 -5.4% 12 5.2% 6
28 JAC -22.9% 31 -13.6% 29 0-3 -22.5% 30 -0.6% 15 -1.0% 18
29 NYJ -26.1% 17 -10.5% 26 1-2 -14.1% 25 8.0% 22 -4.0% 22
30 HOU -26.5% 25 -12.8% 28 2-1 -28.3% 32 -11.6% 8 -9.8% 31
31 CHI -30.3% 29 -16.7% 31 0-3 -20.2% 29 13.9% 27 3.8% 10
32 CLE -38.2% 32 -28.1% 32 0-3 -18.6% 27 4.2% 20 -15.4% 32