Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Regular season totals, through Week 1

Revised as of 9/9/2014

These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings for 2014, measured by our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team's performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.)

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted based on strength of opponent as well as to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. (Prior to Week 4, there are no opponent adjustments.) SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season. DAVE is our formula that combines in-season performance with preseason projections early in the season to get a more accurate look at how good teams are likely to be long-term. The projection is currently 90 percent of DAVE.

As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.

TEAM TOTAL
DVOA
TOTAL
DAVE
RANK W-L OFFENSE
DVOA
OFF.
RANK
DEFENSE
DVOA
DEF.
RANK
S.T.
DVOA
S.T.
RANK
1 SEA 61.0% 20.8% 2 1-0 43.3% 3 -18.3% 8 -0.6% 16
2 MIN 56.8% 4.6% 13 1-0 17.1% 11 -33.2% 4 6.4% 7
3 DET 55.3% -0.8% 18 1-0 28.1% 7 -42.6% 2 -15.4% 28
4 TEN 54.0% 0.2% 16 1-0 18.5% 9 -40.7% 3 -5.1% 23
5 SF 53.7% 14.8% 3 1-0 44.4% 2 -8.9% 13 0.3% 13
6 CAR 35.1% 4.8% 11 1-0 2.3% 15 -43.9% 1 -11.1% 25
7 ATL 33.6% -0.3% 17 1-0 45.5% 1 17.8% 24 5.9% 9
8 NYJ 29.8% 0.2% 15 1-0 -7.4% 21 -31.2% 5 6.0% 8
9 DEN 29.0% 24.5% 1 1-0 30.8% 5 -10.5% 11 -12.2% 27
10 BUF 27.2% 0.9% 14 1-0 17.8% 10 3.5% 17 12.9% 1
11 CIN 26.5% 6.6% 8 1-0 8.4% 13 -9.9% 12 8.2% 2
12 PIT 25.4% 5.5% 10 1-0 34.8% 4 16.5% 23 7.1% 6
13 MIA 20.6% -3.1% 19 1-0 5.3% 14 -16.1% 9 -0.8% 17
14 PHI 4.8% 4.7% 12 1-0 -17.6% 25 -15.2% 10 7.1% 5
15 ARI 3.0% -3.5% 20 1-0 -2.1% 16 -23.4% 6 -18.4% 30
16 CHI 1.6% 8.2% 7 0-1 12.7% 12 11.2% 22 0.2% 15
TEAM TOTAL
DVOA
TOTAL
DAVE
RANK W-L OFFENSE
DVOA
OFF.
RANK
DEFENSE
DVOA
DEF.
RANK
S.T.
DVOA
S.T.
RANK
17 CLE -1.6% -12.4% 28 0-1 28.7% 6 26.3% 27 -4.1% 22
18 JAC -7.1% -13.2% 30 0-1 -12.0% 22 -23.2% 7 -18.3% 29
19 HOU -19.7% -10.2% 25 1-0 -14.4% 24 1.8% 16 -3.5% 21
20 NE -23.5% 10.2% 4 0-1 -5.8% 18 6.2% 20 -11.5% 26
21 BAL -25.5% -7.8% 23 0-1 -2.6% 17 3.8% 18 -19.1% 31
22 WAS -25.8% -8.1% 24 0-1 -14.1% 23 -8.8% 14 -20.4% 32
23 NO -27.2% 8.4% 6 0-1 18.8% 8 53.3% 32 7.2% 4
24 IND -30.9% -4.5% 21 0-1 -7.2% 19 22.1% 26 -1.6% 18
25 OAK -34.4% -19.9% 32 0-1 -35.9% 28 -4.9% 15 -3.4% 20
26 SD -37.6% 5.8% 9 0-1 -33.2% 27 9.6% 21 5.2% 10
27 GB -37.7% 10.0% 5 0-1 -7.3% 20 30.6% 28 0.3% 14
28 TB -43.5% -5.2% 22 0-1 -40.7% 30 3.9% 19 1.1% 11
29 KC -50.6% -11.7% 27 0-1 -39.1% 29 19.1% 25 7.5% 3
30 DAL -68.7% -13.8% 31 0-1 -18.7% 26 39.9% 31 -10.1% 24
31 NYG -78.3% -12.9% 29 0-1 -47.7% 31 31.6% 30 1.0% 12
32 STL -92.8% -11.6% 26 0-1 -60.2% 32 30.8% 29 -1.8% 19

Our second table with schedule strength, variance, and Estimated Wins will debut after Week 4 when we begin using schedule adjustments.