Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics


ArmchairGM -- All Sports, All You

2002 OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 8/8/2008

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total offense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted based on strength of schedule. They are also adjusted to an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing offense. Rushing data includes all rushing, not just running backs.

LAST YEAR represents 2001 rank. WEIGHTED OFFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

VARIANCE (VAR.) measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance on offense. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, Cleveland) to least consistent (#32, Seattle).

TEAM OFF.

DVOA		 LAST

YEAR		 WEIGHTED

OFFENSE		 RANK PASS

OFF.		 PASS

RANK		 RUSH

OFF.		 RUSH

RANK		 NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
1 KC 33.3% 8 31.1% 2 39.7% 1 27.2% 1 32.8% 39.2% 26.7% 7.8% 21
2 OAK 24.4% 3 22.7% 3 27.9% 3 19.4% 4 27.4% 31.6% 21.2% 4.7% 9
3 SF 19.3% 2 14.8% 5 18.9% 4 19.8% 3 19.6% 20.4% 18.6% 3.7% 4
4 NYJ 18.5% 10 31.6% 1 35.3% 2 -2.0% 17 17.7% 33.2% -1.2% 10.2% 29
5 DEN 16.9% 18 13.7% 6 13.9% 8 20.4% 2 17.5% 15.4% 20.0% 3.1% 2
6 TEN 9.5% 7 11.2% 8 14.9% 7 4.4% 11 9.4% 12.1% 6.9% 3.4% 3
7 MIN 8.5% 16 16.7% 4 -0.4% 20 18.8% 5 10.5% -0.4% 23.1% 4.0% 6
8 ATL 8.2% 22 7.1% 11 10.0% 11 6.6% 9 5.8% 5.5% 6.1% 5.9% 13
9 JAC 7.1% 11 2.6% 16 5.1% 15 9.0% 8 8.1% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5% 8
10 NE 7.0% 14 0.5% 18 9.4% 12 3.8% 12 7.7% 11.1% 3.1% 5.5% 10
11 SEA 6.9% 17 13.0% 7 10.8% 10 2.3% 14 6.6% 12.4% -0.2% 11.5% 32
12 PHI 6.7% 13 3.2% 14 3.3% 17 10.6% 7 6.1% 2.1% 10.7% 6.3% 16
13 MIA 6.2% 21 2.6% 15 -1.2% 21 12.4% 6 6.4% 0.6% 11.3% 7.0% 19
14 PIT 6.1% 4 8.2% 10 12.4% 9 -0.6% 16 4.4% 8.2% 0.4% 3.8% 5
15 IND 5.5% 5 5.1% 12 16.4% 6 -7.6% 24 4.3% 15.8% -9.6% 4.5% 7
16 NYG 5.4% 19 10.1% 9 16.5% 5 -6.6% 22 7.0% 22.7% -10.0% 6.6% 18
TEAM OFF.

DVOA		 LAST

YEAR		 WEIGHTED

OFFENSE		 RANK PASS

OFF.		 PASS

RANK		 RUSH

OFF.		 RUSH

RANK		 NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
17 SD 2.3% 15 1.2% 17 -0.1% 18 4.8% 10 4.9% 2.7% 7.2% 5.7% 12
18 GB 2.1% 6 -2.6% 20 6.8% 13 -3.8% 18 4.2% 9.5% -2.5% 6.1% 15
19 NO 1.4% 23 -4.7% 21 -0.2% 19 3.6% 13 -4.6% -9.1% 1.0% 10.5% 30
20 BUF -0.2% 24 -6.2% 24 4.8% 16 -8.0% 25 1.9% 7.3% -6.4% 8.4% 24
21 TB -2.5% 12 -2.0% 19 6.2% 14 -13.6% 27 -2.0% 7.1% -13.8% 6.5% 17
22 STL -3.7% 1 -5.5% 22 -1.5% 22 -7.3% 23 -7.1% -4.1% -12.0% 10.7% 31
23 CIN -3.7% 28 4.0% 13 -3.3% 24 -4.3% 19 -4.5% -4.9% -4.0% 8.9% 27
24 BAL -5.4% 26 -5.9% 23 -5.2% 25 -5.6% 20 -10.4% -12.9% -7.6% 5.6% 11
25 CLE -6.6% 30 -9.7% 26 -2.4% 23 -12.0% 26 -5.5% -3.0% -8.8% 2.9% 1
26 WAS -7.1% 25 -7.1% 25 -14.2% 26 0.7% 15 -8.0% -12.7% -2.8% 8.5% 25
27 CHI -15.1% 20 -19.4% 27 -14.6% 27 -15.6% 29 -18.6% -21.6% -14.7% 8.1% 22
28 ARI -16.2% 9 -19.9% 28 -24.4% 30 -6.3% 21 -19.3% -26.5% -10.7% 7.6% 20
29 DET -20.3% 27 -21.9% 29 -22.9% 28 -16.6% 30 -20.3% -23.1% -16.2% 6.0% 14
30 DAL -22.6% 29 -31.5% 31 -31.0% 31 -14.3% 28 -24.0% -34.0% -14.2% 10.2% 28
31 CAR -22.9% 31 -30.3% 30 -24.2% 29 -21.5% 31 -24.2% -26.2% -22.0% 8.8% 26
32 HOU -37.8% X -35.1% 32 -42.6% 32 -32.7% 32 -34.6% -35.9% -33.1% 8.3% 23


DVOA version: 5.0