Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics



2006 Team Efficiency Ratings, Offense

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 8/8/2008

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total offense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted to an average schedule of opponents and an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing offense. Rushing data includes all rushing, not just running backs.

LAST YEAR represents 2005 rank. WEIGHTED OFFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

VARIANCE (VAR.) measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, Oakland) to least consistent (#32, Chicago).

TEAM OFF.
DVOA		 LAST
YEAR		 WEIGHTED
OFFENSE		 RANK PASS
OFF.		 PASS
RANK		 RUSH
OFF.		 RUSH
RANK		 NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
1 IND 33.7% 1 35.8% 1 56.8% 1 7.4% 6 32.2% 55.3% 5.8% 6.9% 17
2 SD 24.0% 6 24.9% 2 26.3% 3 22.0% 1 26.7% 27.7% 25.7% 5.8% 11
3 PHI 19.8% 22 17.1% 4 22.1% 5 16.8% 2 19.2% 22.7% 14.8% 3.5% 3
4 CIN 14.6% 5 18.8% 3 28.9% 2 -2.5% 15 12.7% 24.3% -1.2% 7.4% 22
5 NO 13.4% 25 16.4% 5 22.8% 4 2.3% 10 13.8% 24.7% 0.7% 6.0% 13
6 NE 12.3% 7 12.2% 7 20.6% 6 3.8% 8 11.6% 19.1% 3.9% 6.2% 14
7 STL 12.3% 16 14.1% 6 19.9% 7 2.1% 11 13.4% 22.1% 1.6% 10.4% 28
8 DAL 9.9% 14 11.8% 8 14.0% 9 5.7% 7 13.9% 21.3% 6.4% 6.5% 16
9 NYG 8.6% 9 5.4% 13 6.0% 14 11.3% 4 9.5% 7.4% 11.7% 6.2% 15
10 PIT 5.2% 8 11.0% 9 16.7% 8 -7.2% 20 0.9% 9.9% -8.9% 11.3% 31
11 KC 4.8% 2 10.5% 10 14.0% 10 -3.1% 17 3.8% 10.2% -1.8% 7.1% 18
12 JAC 4.3% 10 8.0% 12 -5.3% 20 12.8% 3 8.5% -1.4% 17.2% 10.4% 27
13 WAS 4.2% 12 0.9% 16 8.9% 13 0.1% 12 5.7% 11.1% 1.1% 5.5% 9
14 NYJ 2.8% 31 3.8% 14 9.5% 12 -3.9% 18 0.2% 5.1% -4.6% 8.2% 24
15 BAL 2.6% 27 8.9% 11 13.8% 11 -9.7% 24 3.7% 14.4% -7.8% 4.1% 5
16 ATL -2.1% 11 -1.1% 18 -17.0% 28 9.5% 5 0.7% -9.6% 8.6% 7.2% 19
TEAM OFF.
DVOA		 LAST
YEAR		 WEIGHTED
OFFENSE		 RANK PASS
OFF.		 PASS
RANK		 RUSH
OFF.		 RUSH
RANK		 NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
17 HOU -2.5% 29 -2.6% 19 -2.8% 18 -2.1% 14 -2.4% -5.0% 0.5% 7.4% 21
18 CHI -4.2% 28 -11.3% 25 -10.6% 23 2.4% 9 -3.5% -9.8% 2.9% 17.5% 32
19 CAR -4.3% 15 -5.8% 20 -2.3% 17 -6.8% 19 -2.7% 0.9% -7.0% 5.3% 8
20 GB -5.9% 20 -7.1% 21 -4.3% 19 -8.1% 23 -7.5% -5.5% -10.4% 7.6% 23
21 ARI -7.5% 23 3.4% 15 1.5% 15 -17.9% 29 -3.9% 5.2% -14.4% 10.4% 29
22 SF -7.8% 32 -7.5% 22 -13.9% 26 -2.1% 13 -8.8% -12.3% -5.5% 7.3% 20
23 DEN -8.3% 4 -11.4% 26 -9.4% 22 -7.4% 21 -4.5% -6.9% -2.2% 11.0% 30
24 BUF -8.7% 30 -9.9% 23 -5.7% 21 -11.8% 27 -10.5% -9.3% -11.7% 6.0% 12
25 DET -9.2% 24 -11.6% 27 0.7% 16 -27.0% 32 -14.3% -5.5% -30.1% 8.4% 25
26 TEN -9.3% 18 0.6% 17 -16.7% 27 -2.8% 16 -6.6% -15.9% 1.5% 5.8% 10
27 SEA -11.7% 3 -12.5% 28 -11.9% 25 -11.5% 26 -9.4% -9.5% -9.4% 4.1% 4
28 MIA -12.2% 21 -11.0% 24 -11.9% 24 -12.6% 28 -10.7% -10.1% -11.4% 2.9% 2
29 MIN -15.9% 17 -17.8% 30 -23.2% 30 -7.7% 22 -14.2% -18.4% -9.4% 4.1% 6
30 TB -18.0% 19 -17.0% 29 -23.9% 31 -10.8% 25 -21.0% -27.7% -12.9% 4.4% 7
31 CLE -18.5% 26 -18.8% 31 -18.0% 29 -19.3% 30 -22.7% -21.4% -24.6% 8.4% 26
32 OAK -35.6% 13 -33.3% 32 -47.6% 32 -21.6% 31 -37.1% -51.9% -19.9% 2.9% 1

DVOA version: 5.0