Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2007 OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 7/18/2012

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total offense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted to an average schedule of opponents and an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. The exceptions are the three columns marked NON-ADJUSTED. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs.

LAST YEAR represents 2006 rank. WEIGHTED OFFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

VARIANCE measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance). SCHEDULE represents the average defensive DVOA of all opponents, with teams ranked from hardest schedule to easiest schedule.

Please note that the combination of pass offense and run offense will appear to be higher than total offensive DVOA. This is because offensive DVOA also accounts for false starts and delay of game penalties, which are all negative plays but are not considered as either passes or runs.

TEAM OFF.
DVOA
LAST
YEAR
WEIGHTED
OFFENSE
RANK PASS
OFF.
PASS
RANK
RUSH
OFF.
RUSH
RANK
NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK SCHED RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
1 NE 43.5% 4 40.1% 1 72.7% 1 19.6% 2 44.7% 74.9% 19.8% 7.5% 15 -0.6% 11
2 IND 22.2% 1 15.2% 3 41.4% 3 11.2% 6 21.6% 38.3% 13.5% 9.2% 24 -1.0% 9
3 JAC 21.6% 10 28.6% 2 47.6% 2 11.3% 5 19.1% 42.0% 11.2% 3.7% 2 -2.2% 3
4 DAL 16.6% 6 9.0% 10 38.3% 4 8.0% 10 20.1% 45.4% 7.3% 21.9% 32 -0.3% 16
5 GB 15.7% 19 14.9% 4 31.1% 6 4.3% 12 16.8% 35.8% -0.1% 11.8% 30 0.0% 18
6 PHI 12.4% 3 10.9% 7 11.2% 17 20.8% 1 10.8% 9.9% 18.8% 10.5% 26 -0.6% 12
7 CIN 12.0% 5 8.2% 11 33.4% 5 2.1% 14 12.6% 35.6% 0.6% 5.5% 9 -1.3% 7
8 DEN 9.5% 18 9.5% 8 24.0% 9 2.1% 13 8.4% 21.8% 2.2% 12.7% 31 -2.2% 2
9 PIT 8.5% 9 5.8% 12 30.0% 7 -4.1% 20 13.0% 38.0% -2.4% 8.6% 20 2.8% 31
10 CLE 7.9% 30 9.2% 9 20.0% 10 9.2% 8 9.7% 24.2% 8.6% 6.5% 12 1.3% 28
11 SEA 6.6% 27 10.9% 6 24.6% 8 -7.9% 25 8.1% 29.8% -11.4% 4.2% 3 2.0% 30
12 NO 6.6% 8 13.5% 5 19.1% 11 -3.4% 18 6.0% 18.3% -3.8% 7.6% 16 -1.3% 6
13 TB 5.8% 29 -0.4% 17 12.2% 16 10.3% 7 5.8% 13.4% 9.0% 5.3% 8 2.8% 32
14 SD 4.6% 2 5.3% 13 15.1% 13 5.0% 11 2.4% 12.0% 3.5% 9.4% 25 -0.7% 10
15 HOU 1.5% 21 4.9% 14 14.0% 14 -1.1% 16 -2.2% 4.6% 1.8% 3.1% 1 -2.0% 5
16 MIN -0.8% 31 3.3% 15 -6.7% 23 14.4% 3 -2.3% -8.6% 13.2% 6.8% 14 0.4% 21
TEAM OFF.
DVOA
LAST
YEAR
WEIGHTED
OFFENSE
RANK PASS
OFF.
PASS
RANK
RUSH
OFF.
RUSH
RANK
NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK SCHED RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
17 WAS -1.0% 13 2.9% 16 17.8% 12 -6.3% 22 -5.1% 13.0% -9.9% 5.0% 5 -1.1% 8
18 NYG -1.1% 7 -5.7% 21 -4.9% 22 12.4% 4 -2.4% -7.3% 12.3% 5.5% 10 -0.1% 17
19 ARI -3.6% 24 -5.1% 19 13.1% 15 -9.6% 28 -0.9% 14.7% -5.4% 5.1% 7 1.7% 29
20 TEN -4.0% 25 -5.2% 20 -2.6% 20 1.8% 15 -3.9% -2.0% 1.6% 6.1% 11 1.2% 27
21 MIA -6.1% 26 -11.9% 24 -9.4% 26 8.2% 9 -8.9% -13.5% 6.8% 9.1% 23 -0.5% 14
22 NYJ -9.3% 12 -11.4% 23 -0.7% 18 -9.6% 27 -8.7% -2.4% -6.7% 4.8% 4 -2.1% 4
23 BUF -9.7% 22 -5.0% 18 -3.7% 21 -6.7% 23 -7.2% 0.1% -5.2% 6.7% 13 0.1% 19
24 DET -10.3% 28 -11.1% 22 -1.2% 19 -7.4% 24 -11.2% -1.3% -9.9% 7.7% 17 -3.0% 1
25 BAL -13.3% 15 -13.2% 25 -7.6% 24 -8.4% 26 -15.4% -10.2% -9.9% 11.7% 29 0.7% 25
26 CAR -14.7% 17 -19.8% 29 -14.1% 29 -5.4% 21 -14.2% -11.7% -7.1% 8.2% 18 0.4% 22
27 ATL -16.2% 16 -17.5% 27 -9.2% 25 -12.2% 29 -16.5% -7.9% -14.6% 11.6% 28 -0.6% 13
28 OAK -18.0% 32 -17.9% 28 -16.0% 30 -3.8% 19 -15.1% -14.1% 0.0% 9.0% 21 -0.4% 15
29 KC -19.4% 11 -20.8% 31 -11.2% 28 -16.6% 31 -18.7% -12.1% -13.8% 8.3% 19 0.7% 24
30 CHI -22.1% 20 -16.7% 26 -11.2% 27 -18.3% 32 -20.7% -5.9% -21.7% 5.1% 6 0.5% 23
31 STL -22.7% 14 -20.4% 30 -16.9% 31 -16.2% 30 -20.8% -11.9% -18.7% 9.0% 22 0.3% 20
32 SF -32.2% 23 -29.3% 32 -42.1% 32 -3.1% 17 -31.6% -37.6% -8.3% 11.4% 27 0.8% 26