Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2016 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

2016 season totals through Week 2

Revised as of 9/20/2016

This page lists an estimate of how many points, compared to league average, each team receives from the five elements of special teams: field goals/extra points, kickoffs, kick returns, punts, punt returns. The total is then converted into a DVOA percentage so that it can be added in to offense and defense to create total team DVOA.

Field goal rating compares each field goal to the league-average percentage of field goals from that distance. Yards of field position from the other four elements of special teams are translated into points using a method that gives each yard line a point value based on the average next score an NFL offense is worth from that point on the field. Kickoffs and punts are based on net yardage. Kickoff returns and punt returns are judged on return yardage only. These numbers are then adjusted for weather and altitude based on stadium type (cold, warm, dome, Denver) and week. The system is explained here. Two-point conversions and onside kicks are not included.

LAST WEEK represents last week's rank. DAVE is a formula which combines our preseason projection with current DVOA to get a more accurate forecast of how a team will play the rest of the season. Right now, the preseason projection makes up 80 percent of DAVE.

The final five columns represent elements not found in the standard special teams ratings.

  • HIDDEN represents the advantage teams have received from elements of special teams generally out of their control: opposing field goals, kickoff distance, and punt distance. It is listed as points worth of estimated field position, and is ranked from the team with the biggest advantage to the team with the biggest disadvantage.
  • WEATHER represents the estimated effect of weather, altitude, and domes on each team's special teams performance. It is listed as points worth of estimated field position, and is ranked from the team with the biggest advantage to the team with the biggest disadvantage.
  • NON-ADJ VOA shows special teams DVOA without the adjustments for weather and altitude.

Note that the baselines for kickoff value in 2016 may change frequently as we try to adjust for the change in strategy created by moving a touchback from the 20-yard line to the 25.

TEAM S.T.
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
S.T. DAVE FG/XP KICK KICK
RET
PUNT PUNT
RET
HIDDEN WEATHER NON-ADJ
VOA
DAVE RANK PTS RANK PTS RANK
1 ATL 11.0% 8 0.5% 13 0.5 1.6 -0.3 1.5 3.5 -1.5 28 1.6 8 13.5%
2 KC 10.3% 7 3.5% 3 2.6 -0.4 1.1 0.5 2.7 4.5 1 1.6 7 12.8%
3 BAL 10.0% 19 6.8% 1 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.3 -0.5 3.3 4 0.7 28 11.0%
4 DET 9.8% 6 1.0% 10 0.0 0.5 -0.2 5.8 0.0 -1.5 27 1.3 16 11.9%
5 LARM 7.4% 5 1.3% 9 0.9 0.5 0.5 2.3 0.4 -0.9 22 1.5 10 9.8%
6 PIT 6.0% 12 0.6% 12 1.9 0.2 0.0 1.5 0.1 -1.0 24 0.7 26 7.2%
7 CHI 4.9% 15 -1.2% 18 -2.6 -0.5 -0.8 0.9 6.0 -0.7 20 0.5 32 5.7%
8 BUF 4.8% 14 2.7% 4 -1.5 1.8 0.6 1.2 0.9 -1.4 26 0.5 31 5.7%
9 IND 4.6% 3 1.5% 7 3.5 -0.4 0.3 0.2 -0.6 0.9 14 3.5 3 10.2%
10 WAS 4.3% 9 0.4% 14 1.3 -0.3 0.2 0.4 1.0 -1.8 29 0.7 25 5.5%
11 DAL 4.1% 4 1.0% 11 2.6 0.2 0.5 -0.5 -0.3 1.1 13 1.2 18 6.0%
12 NE 2.6% 2 3.8% 2 -0.4 2.1 0.0 -0.8 0.6 2.7 6 1.4 13 4.7%
13 JAC 0.3% 1 -0.4% 15 -1.0 -1.4 0.3 2.4 -0.1 0.1 18 1.5 12 2.7%
14 TB -0.1% 11 -1.7% 23 -1.8 -0.4 -0.6 2.5 0.2 0.3 17 1.3 17 2.0%
15 GB -1.0% 17 -1.2% 19 0.3 -0.9 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -4.7 32 0.9 20 0.4%
16 SEA -1.1% 21 1.6% 6 -0.2 -0.7 -0.2 -0.7 1.2 -0.3 19 0.9 21 0.4%
TEAM S.T.
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
S.T. DAVE FG/XP KICK KICK
RET
PUNT PUNT
RET
HIDDEN WEATHER NON-ADJ
VOA
DAVE RANK PTS RANK PTS RANK
17 CAR -2.3% 31 -1.9% 24 -1.3 0.6 0.0 -0.3 -0.5 1.1 12 3.9 2 3.9%
18 SF -2.4% 22 -2.2% 26 0.8 -1.2 -0.1 -0.5 -0.5 -2.6 30 1.6 9 0.1%
19 MIN -2.7% 29 1.4% 8 -3.1 -1.0 3.5 -0.3 -0.7 0.6 16 1.8 5 0.1%
20 DEN -4.1% 16 -1.3% 21 -1.3 -0.9 0.0 -0.6 0.3 3.4 3 4.0 1 2.3%
21 PHI -4.5% 13 1.9% 5 -1.5 0.8 0.3 -3.7 1.3 1.8 8 0.9 22 -3.1%
22 NYJ -4.6% 20 -2.2% 27 -2.6 -0.3 0.5 0.1 -0.5 2.0 7 0.8 23 -3.3%
23 OAK -5.2% 10 -2.7% 30 -0.2 1.7 -1.7 -2.8 -0.3 1.8 9 1.5 11 -2.8%
24 SD -5.6% 28 -0.4% 16 -1.3 0.3 0.1 -3.6 0.9 1.7 10 1.1 19 -3.8%
25 NYG -6.1% 25 -2.7% 29 -1.9 -0.2 -0.3 -1.9 0.5 -3.0 31 0.7 27 -5.0%
26 MIA -6.1% 26 -2.1% 25 -2.2 0.3 0.1 -1.7 -0.2 4.0 2 0.6 29 -5.1%
27 NO -6.3% 27 -3.0% 31 -3.4 0.0 -1.5 1.1 -0.1 1.6 11 1.4 14 -4.1%
28 CIN -7.7% 30 -1.2% 20 -0.8 -1.8 -0.6 -0.8 -0.8 0.6 15 0.8 24 -6.4%
29 ARI -8.4% 32 -3.1% 32 -2.6 0.0 -1.3 -1.4 0.2 -0.7 21 1.6 6 -5.8%
30 HOU -9.4% 18 -0.7% 17 -0.7 -0.9 -0.2 -3.4 -0.9 -1.1 25 2.3 4 -5.7%
31 TEN -10.2% 24 -1.4% 22 -1.5 -2.5 0.2 -0.9 -1.6 3.2 5 1.3 15 -8.0%
32 CLE -12.7% 23 -2.5% 28 -2.5 -0.8 -1.8 -1.2 -1.6 -0.9 23 0.6 30 -11.8%