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Basketball Prospectus

Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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Baseball Prospectus

2003 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 7/27/2006

This page lists an estimate of how many points, compared to league average, each team receives from the five elements of special teams: field goals/extra points, kickoffs, kick returns, punts, punt returns. The total is then converted into a DVOA percentage so that it can be added in to offense and defense to create total team DVOA.

Field goal rating compares each field goal to the league-average percentage of field goals from that distance. Yards of field position from the other four elements of special teams are translated into points using a method that gives each yard line a point value based on the average next score an NFL offense is worth from that point on the field. Punts, punt returns, and kickoffs are based on net yardage. Kickoff returns are judged on return yardage only. The system is explained here. Two-point conversions and onside kicks are not included.

All special teams numbers are adjusted for weather/altitude based on stadium type (cold, warm, dome, Denver) and week, with the exception of the two columns at the far right marked NON-ADJUSTED. VOA represents the five elements of special teams without weather adjustments. VOA w/HIDDEN adds two secondary elements of special teams over which teams have virtually no control: opponent field goal efficiency and opponent kickoff length.

LAST YEAR represents 2002 rankings. WEIGHTED S.T. DVOA is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season. The top number in each category is in bold type.

TEAM S.T.
DVOA
LAST
YEAR
WEI. S.T.
DVOA
RANK FG/XP KICK KICK
RET
PUNT PUNT
RET
NON-ADJUSTED VARIANCE
RANK
VOA w/HIDDEN
1 KC 5.5% 10 0.4% 15 3.0 -4.0 15.5 -0.6 18.4 5.0% 7.0% 1.6% 5
2 PHI 4.7% 5 6.4% 2 5.2 14.1 1.9 -0.5 6.8 3.8% 6.8% 0.8% 16
3 PIT 3.5% 28 7.2% 1 -9.0 5.3 -3.6 15.0 12.7 2.5% 5.0% 1.5% 7
4 DET 3.3% 2 1.5% 11 9.7 -1.9 2.7 -0.9 10.1 4.3% 6.4% 0.8% 19
5 CHI 2.9% 7 4.2% 3 -5.9 -6.2 14.6 6.5 8.0 2.1% 5.1% 1.3% 10
6 BAL 2.8% 23 3.8% 4 8.3 7.6 -2.0 7.0 -4.3 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 9
7 MIA 2.5% 9 3.0% 8 -5.6 17.5 -1.2 5.4 -1.4 3.1% 1.1% 0.8% 18
8 HOU 2.3% 12 3.3% 6 1.3 6.7 0.6 7.6 -2.6 3.2% 4.0% 0.5% 29
9 WAS 1.9% 31 3.3% 7 1.1 3.5 4.4 3.9 -1.6 1.3% 2.8% 0.8% 20
10 GB 1.9% 25 1.2% 13 7.4 -2.1 6.8 1.5 -2.6 1.4% -1.0% 0.4% 30
11 NYJ 1.9% 4 1.1% 14 6.6 -6.8 11.8 -6.5 5.9 1.3% 2.5% 0.8% 17
12 OAK 1.7% 15 3.0% 9 8.0 -12.1 1.0 3.9 9.1 2.1% 3.3% 2.0% 2
13 ATL 1.5% 6 -0.7% 18 -8.3 12.9 -14.5 4.2 14.7 2.7% 4.0% 0.7% 23
14 IND 1.3% 21 -1.7% 21 15.2 -9.2 4.4 2.8 -5.8 2.6% -0.9% 1.4% 8
15 CIN 1.1% 32 3.4% 5 8.5 8.2 -9.0 -4.7 3.5 0.3% -0.1% 0.5% 28
16 CAR 0.6% 16 -3.6% 27 7.1 2.9 2.9 -9.9 0.5 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 6
TEAM S.T.
DVOA
LAST
YEAR
WEI. S.T.
DVOA
RANK FG/XP KICK KICK
RET
PUNT PUNT
RET
NON-ADJUSTED VARIANCE
RANK
VOA w/HIDDEN
17 NE 0.4% 3 0.3% 16 -14.3 4.8 13.6 2.3 -4.3 0.1% 1.1% 1.1% 13
18 SEA 0.2% 13 -0.1% 17 -0.6 -2.0 -0.9 6.9 -2.3 -0.5% -0.3% 0.9% 15
19 TEN 0.1% 14 1.5% 10 8.6 -5.7 -11.7 5.4 4.1 0.5% -0.4% 0.7% 21
20 CLE 0.1% 11 1.4% 12 -0.1 2.9 -3.1 6.4 -5.6 -0.6% -1.1% 0.3% 32
21 DAL -0.8% 22 -0.9% 20 -2.4 4.2 -4.4 6.2 -8.6 -0.9% -4.7% 0.6% 24
22 DEN -1.2% 20 -0.7% 19 2.5 6.2 -6.1 -16.1 6.7 0.5% -1.3% 2.2% 1
23 NO -1.2% 1 -2.6% 25 -5.9 -6.2 -6.1 11.7 -0.4 -0.4% -1.0% 1.2% 12
24 BUF -1.7% 24 -2.0% 23 -6.6 3.4 1.8 0.9 -9.3 -2.4% -2.8% 0.3% 31
25 ARI -1.9% 29 -2.1% 24 -9.0 3.4 8.1 -11.3 -2.4 -2.2% -2.0% 1.6% 4
26 STL -2.2% 17 -1.8% 22 13.8 -3.0 -6.5 -8.5 -8.9 -1.5% -3.0% 1.2% 11
27 SD -3.4% 19 -4.7% 28 -1.4 -14.1 0.5 0.4 -5.2 -3.3% -5.8% 1.0% 14
28 SF -5.0% 26 -7.1% 32 -18.4 -4.3 -0.9 3.0 -8.5 -5.6% -4.9% 2.0% 3
29 JAC -5.0% 18 -3.4% 26 -21.2 -5.2 -6.3 -0.9 4.3 -4.4% -5.3% 0.5% 26
30 NYG -5.1% 27 -4.9% 30 -5.8 -0.9 -13.5 -1.3 -8.3 -5.5% -4.5% 0.7% 22
31 MIN -5.2% 30 -4.8% 29 -7.3 4.4 -7.9 -12.9 -6.9 -4.3% -6.6% 0.5% 25
32 TB -5.4% 8 -5.5% 31 -12.9 -2.7 -9.0 0.7 -7.8 -4.8% -4.8% 0.5% 27

DVOA version: 5.0