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Basketball Prospectus

Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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Baseball Prospectus

WIDE RECEIVERS 2002

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 7/25/2006

Wide receivers are ranked according to DPAR, or Defense-adjusted Points Above Replacement. This number represents the total number of points scored due to plays where this WR caught the ball, compared to a replacement-level WR in the same game situations. DPAR (and its cousin, PAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average WR in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

DPAR and DVOA include all passes intended for the receiver, both complete and incomplete. Catch % represents the percentage of passes to this receiver completed. This is a reference to incomplete passes, not dropped passes: dropped passes are not specified in publicly available play-by-play, and unfortunately we cannot yet correct for this.

  • We cannot yet fully separate the performance of a receiver from the performance of his quarterback. Be aware that one will affect the other.
  • These statistics measure only passes thrown to a receiver, not performance on plays when he is not thrown the ball, such as blocking and drawing double teams.
  • "Points scored due to plays" is based on a larger model of how yards are translated into points, and is not a measurement strictly of touchdown passes.
  • All fumbles are considered equal, whether recovered by the offense or defense.

The simple version: DPAR means a wide receiver with more total value. DVOA means a wide receiver with more value per play.

RECEIVING: Minimum 50 passes, 85 players ranked

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
88-M.Harrison IND 48.4 1 48.2 1 20.1% 11 19.9% 205 1722 11 70%
81-A.Toomer NYG 40.8 2 41.1 3 31.4% 3 31.8% 134 1343 8 61%
87-L.Coles NYJ 40.0 3 41.6 2 29.7% 5 31.8% 134 1264 5 66%
86-H.Ward PIT 36.0 4 36.8 4 19.4% 14 20.2% 160 1329 12 70%
87-J.Horn NO 34.1 5 32.0 5 19.8% 13 17.2% 150 1314 7 59%
84-J.Porter OAK 29.6 6 30.2 6 47.1% 2 48.6% 70 688 9 73%
80-P.Burress PIT 28.8 7 30.0 7 14.6% 17 16.1% 144 1325 7 54%
81-T.Owens SF 28.6 8 29.6 8 12.0% 20 13.1% 159 1300 13 63%
81-T.Holt STL 28.1 9 25.4 14 12.0% 19 9.0% 160 1302 4 57%
86-D.Northcutt CLE 28.0 10 28.4 9 68.7% 1 70.1% 50 604 5 78%
85-D.Mason TEN 26.5 11 26.7 11 17.1% 16 17.5% 125 1020 5 63%
80-D.Driver GB 26.4 12 27.0 10 19.8% 12 20.6% 113 1064 9 62%
80-J.Rice OAK 25.4 13 26.6 12 9.8% 24 11.2% 150 1211 7 61%
87-E.Kennison KC 25.4 14 25.8 13 26.6% 7 27.4% 92 906 2 58%
81-P.Price BUF 24.1 15 25.0 15 8.8% 27 9.8% 148 1252 9 64%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
85-C.Johnson CIN 21.9 16 21.3 16 8.9% 26 8.0% 137 1166 5 50%
80-W.Chrebet NYJ 21.9 17 20.7 18 27.6% 6 24.9% 80 691 9 64%
80-I.Bruce STL 21.7 18 21.0 17 10.6% 21 9.6% 130 1075 7 61%
82-J.Smith JAC 19.8 19 19.1 22 6.9% 35 5.9% 138 1027 7 58%
85-D.Bates MIN 19.0 20 16.9 25 21.2% 10 16.6% 80 689 4 63%
19-K.Johnson TB 18.8 21 19.4 20 4.8% 38 5.7% 140 1079 5 54%
84-R.Moss MIN 17.9 22 14.1 30 -0.4% 50 -4.0% 186 1349 7 58%
83-D.Stallworth NO 17.5 23 16.7 27 23.8% 9 21.7% 69 594 8 61%
87-E.McCaffrey DEN 17.2 24 19.7 19 9.2% 25 13.5% 103 903 2 67%
86-B.Finneran ATL 16.8 25 16.4 29 10.0% 22 9.3% 101 838 6 55%
81-K.Robinson SEA 16.7 26 19.3 21 2.5% 42 5.7% 141 1240 5 55%
84-B.Engram SEA 16.3 27 17.3 23 19.2% 15 21.7% 72 619 0 69%
81-T.Brown OAK 15.7 28 16.6 28 2.6% 41 3.8% 127 930 2 64%
85-A.Lelie DEN 15.5 29 16.7 26 29.8% 4 34.1% 53 525 2 66%
87-R.Gardner WAS 15.4 30 13.7 31 2.0% 44 -0.1% 141 1006 8 50%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
80-C.Conway SD 14.6 31 17.1 24 7.9% 30 12.6% 94 852 5 61%
87-R.Wayne IND 13.9 32 13.3 33 13.8% 18 12.4% 72 716 4 68%
83-J.Jurevicius TB 13.7 33 13.2 34 26.5% 8 25.0% 52 423 4 71%
80-R.Smith DEN 13.7 34 13.4 32 -0.9% 52 -1.1% 147 1027 5 61%
89-T.Taylor BAL 12.3 35 12.9 36 0.0% 49 0.9% 118 869 6 52%
86-A.Freeman PHI 11.9 36 10.8 44 8.4% 28 5.9% 80 600 4 58%
87-M.Muhammad CAR 11.8 37 13.2 35 0.4% 47 2.4% 109 843 3 59%
83-T.Glenn GB 11.7 38 10.7 45 1.8% 45 0.1% 106 817 2 53%
80-P.Warrick CIN 11.7 39 12.4 38 5.8% 36 7.3% 83 617 6 66%
88-D.Thompson WAS 11.7 40 10.8 43 3.9% 39 2.2% 93 773 4 57%
87-R.Proehl STL 11.0 41 10.4 46 10.0% 23 8.2% 70 466 4 61%
81-B.Shaw JAC 10.7 42 9.7 48 7.8% 31 5.3% 73 525 1 60%
87-T.Pinkston PHI 10.6 43 7.9 54 -0.5% 51 -4.7% 113 798 7 53%
89-T.Streets SF 10.6 44 11.9 39 -1.1% 53 0.9% 109 762 5 66%
81-Q.Morgan CLE 10.5 45 12.8 37 0.2% 48 4.4% 97 964 7 58%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
84-B.Schroeder DET 10.3 46 11.1 41 5.7% 37 7.6% 77 595 5 47%
89-S.Smith CAR 10.2 47 10.9 42 0.6% 46 2.0% 97 867 3 56%
86-D.Patten NE 9.0 48 8.6 50 -3.7% 57 -4.4% 120 824 5 51%
82-J.Reed BUF 8.9 49 10.3 47 7.7% 32 12.1% 59 514 2 63%
86-M.Booker CHI 8.7 50 8.7 49 -7.3% 65 -7.3% 167 1169 6 58%
83-D.Bennett TEN 8.6 51 7.1 59 6.9% 34 2.6% 63 478 2 52%
81-F.Sanders ARI 8.6 52 7.9 53 7.3% 33 5.3% 58 400 2 59%
80-E.Moulds BUF 8.5 53 11.9 40 -8.5% 70 -5.2% 179 1283 10 55%
83-D.Branch NE 8.2 54 8.0 52 3.6% 40 3.1% 68 489 2 63%
83-S.Moss NYJ 8.1 55 8.3 51 7.9% 29 8.4% 54 437 4 59%
84-T.Houshmandzadeh CIN 7.9 56 7.7 56 2.3% 43 1.9% 69 492 1 59%
84-C.Chambers MIA 7.5 57 7.8 55 -3.8% 59 -3.4% 100 735 3 52%
88-A.Bryant DAL 7.1 58 6.0 62 -3.2% 56 -5.2% 93 735 6 47%
84-J.Galloway DAL 6.9 59 5.4 64 -5.9% 63 -8.2% 120 908 6 51%
87-K.McCardell TB 6.8 60 7.3 58 -5.0% 61 -4.1% 100 670 6 61%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
82-D.Jackson SEA 6.0 61 7.6 57 -7.4% 66 -4.8% 112 877 4 55%
82-A.Randle El PIT 5.9 62 6.1 61 -1.4% 54 -0.8% 65 484 2 72%
80-T.Brown NE 5.2 63 4.5 65 -9.3% 72 -10.2% 141 890 3 69%
80-J.Pathon NO 5.1 64 4.1 67 -4.7% 60 -6.9% 80 523 4 54%
85-T.Dwight SD 4.7 65 6.1 60 -7.9% 67 -5.1% 93 623 2 54%
87-A.Davis CLE 4.4 66 5.4 63 -5.7% 62 -3.2% 72 420 6 51%
89-D.Boston ARI 4.3 67 2.6 70 -5.9% 64 -9.8% 75 512 1 43%
81-T.Gaylor ATL 4.2 68 4.4 66 -2.9% 55 -2.2% 54 385 3 46%
80-B.Stokley BAL 3.7 69 2.8 69 -3.8% 58 -6.9% 52 357 2 46%
81-A.Hakim DET 3.5 70 2.1 72 -8.0% 68 -11.0% 82 541 3 45%
80-J.Morton KC 2.9 71 2.4 71 -8.2% 69 -9.7% 64 397 1 45%
87-K.Dyson TEN 2.9 72 3.2 68 -9.0% 71 -8.1% 69 460 4 59%
80-D.White CHI 2.3 73 1.9 73 -11.1% 73 -11.9% 94 658 4 54%
81-R.Dugans CIN 0.1 74 0.0 76 -14.8% 74 -15.2% 73 421 0 64%
86-J.Gaffney HOU -0.2 75 0.6 75 -15.9% 75 -14.0% 81 483 1 51%
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
85-K.Johnson CLE -0.7 76 0.8 74 -16.2% 76 -14.0% 120 703 4 56%
83-J.Stokes SF -1.5 77 -1.4 79 -19.2% 79 -18.8% 55 332 1 58%
84-J.Walker GB -2.0 78 -1.2 78 -21.7% 81 -18.7% 50 319 1 46%
83-Q.Ismail IND -2.1 79 -2.0 80 -18.8% 78 -18.6% 84 462 3 52%
89-R.Ferguson GB -2.1 80 -1.1 77 -22.0% 82 -18.5% 52 293 3 42%
80-J.Thrash PHI -2.2 81 -3.5 83 -17.9% 77 -20.0% 107 635 6 49%
85-C.Bradford HOU -3.1 82 -2.9 81 -19.8% 80 -19.3% 106 697 6 42%
88-S.Anderson DET -3.5 83 -3.0 82 -25.1% 83 -23.5% 57 322 1 44%
83-J.McAddley ARI -7.1 84 -6.2 84 -30.9% 84 -28.5% 69 362 1 36%
88-M.Robinson CHI -8.4 85 -8.9 85 -38.7% 85 -40.5% 53 244 3 40%

RECEIVING, OTHERS: 10-49 passes

Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
85-M.Boerigter KC 12.9 13.9 32.9% 37.1% 38 420 8 53%
88-I.Hilliard NYG 10.3 11.2 18.1% 21.2% 47 386 2 57%
86-R.Dixon NYG 9.1 10.0 21.8% 25.9% 36 372 2 61%
84-S.Jefferson ATL 8.3 7.1 12.4% 7.9% 49 394 1 55%
88-Q.McCord ATL 7.9 8.2 48.2% 50.2% 19 253 1 58%
80-J.McKnight MIA 7.9 7.5 11.1% 9.6% 46 528 2 63%
83-D.Terrell CHI 7.9 7.9 104.7% 105.1% 10 127 3 90%
88-E.Parker SD 7.1 7.9 20.8% 25.9% 30 268 1 57%
11-K.Kasper ARI 6.6 7.3 24.8% 30.1% 24 180 3 63%
81-C.Walsh MIN 6.4 6.0 38.2% 33.9% 19 172 1 74%
84-C.Wilson SF 5.6 6.5 24.1% 31.4% 22 166 1 68%
86-Ja.Reed NO 5.1 4.6 2.6% 0.5% 47 360 3 45%
82-D.Hall KC 4.9 4.9 7.0% 6.7% 35 322 3 57%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
86-O.Gadsden MIA 4.7 5.1 8.5% 11.3% 29 228 0 55%
88-K.Hankton CAR 3.7 3.5 17.9% 15.8% 17 146 0 53%
86-T.Walters IND 3.3 3.3 4.6% 4.3% 25 207 0 72%
86-K.Williams TB 2.6 3.0 23.2% 30.9% 11 77 1 64%
88-T.Mathis PIT 2.4 2.5 -5.7% -5.4% 39 218 2 59%
81-R.Hymes BAL 2.0 1.6 9.4% 4.8% 13 123 0 46%
85-D.Scott DAL 1.8 1.6 -6.3% -7.4% 35 218 1 63%
80-R.Swinton DAL 1.5 1.1 10.4% 1.9% 10 63 0 70%
87-J.Dawson HOU 1.2 1.5 -10.4% -8.8% 39 286 0 54%
85-D.McCants WAS 1.2 0.0 -9.9% -14.8% 41 256 2 51%
82-M.Jenkins ARI 0.7 -0.4 -11.8% -16.4% 43 250 1 51%
88-T.Edwards STL 0.4 0.2 -12.0% -13.4% 24 157 2 75%
83-D.Farmer CIN 0.1 0.4 -15.1% -11.0% 15 115 0 60%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
85-K.Lockett JAC -0.1 -0.2 -15.2% -16.0% 16 76 2 31%
84-P.Johnson JAC -0.2 -0.4 -15.9% -17.1% 24 187 2 38%
83-W.Jackson WAS -0.3 -0.6 -17.6% -20.6% 14 58 1 50%
87-D.Givens NE -0.6 -1.1 -20.0% -25.6% 15 92 1 60%
19-N.Poole ARI -0.8 -0.6 -20.6% -18.6% 22 108 1 59%
87-Daryl Jones NYG -0.9 -1.2 -24.0% -27.8% 15 88 0 47%
87-K.Rambo DAL -1.2 -1.4 -20.7% -21.8% 33 211 0 42%
84-M.Lewis NO -1.5 -1.9 -28.0% -32.2% 19 200 0 42%
88-A.Black HOU -1.6 -1.7 -34.8% -36.1% 12 52 0 50%
16-K.Campbell MIN -1.7 -1.9 -22.9% -23.8% 32 176 3 41%
82-I.Byrd CAR -2.2 -1.5 -26.9% -22.8% 31 164 1 45%
83-R.Johnson BAL -2.4 -2.7 -28.3% -30.8% 26 114 1 38%
87-L.Foster DET -2.5 -2.2 -28.0% -26.3% 30 152 0 47%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
88-J.Williams SEA -2.5 -2.4 -34.2% -33.6% 20 99 0 45%
82-K.Swayne NYJ -2.9 -2.8 -51.6% -50.5% 12 78 0 42%
82-R.Caldwell SD -2.9 -2.6 -25.1% -23.8% 43 208 3 51%
86-J.McCareins TEN -3.3 -4.1 -25.1% -28.2% 48 301 2 40%
88-C.Carter MIA -3.4 -3.1 -45.5% -43.2% 17 66 1 47%
81-D.Hayes NE -3.8 -3.3 -34.7% -31.7% 31 133 2 39%
84-F.Mitchell PHI -4.6 -5.0 -44.1% -47.4% 24 105 0 50%
82-M.Westbrook CIN -4.6 -4.9 -40.2% -42.0% 26 94 2 31%
84-J.Hunter BAL -4.8 -4.8 -81.7% -82.1% 11 35 0 45%
83-K.Lockett WAS -4.8 -4.3 -45.0% -41.4% 26 129 2 42%
82-G.Crowell DET -5.0 -6.6 -30.1% -35.9% 47 201 1 47%
80-W.Jackson ATL -5.1 -5.7 -34.8% -37.6% 39 199 0 46%
80-J.Green DET -5.3 -5.0 -53.0% -50.6% 21 94 0 24%
Player Team DPAR PAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards TD Catch
%
84-C.Doering WAS -5.5 -6.2 -34.6% -37.5% 42 192 2 43%
87-D.Ward MIA -6.3 -5.9 -39.3% -37.9% 39 172 0 49%
81-A.Merritt CHI -6.5 -6.9 -53.1% -55.9% 26 106 0 54%
82-D.Alexander MIN -6.9 -7.2 -40.5% -41.9% 39 134 1 36%

RUSHING BY WIDE RECEIVERS: Minimum 4 carries

Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
86-H.Ward PIT 6.5 1 6.4 2 61.6% 6 60.2% 12 142 0 0
80-J.Morton KC 6.3 2 6.6 1 91.7% 2 95.9% 10 124 0 0
82-A.Randle El PIT 5.7 3 5.1 5 22.8% 16 18.1% 19 134 0 0
86-D.Northcutt CLE 5.7 4 5.3 4 152.3% 1 141.5% 7 91 1 0
80-J.Thrash PHI 5.5 5 5.5 3 21.6% 17 21.3% 18 126 2 0
80-C.Conway SD 4.0 6 4.2 6 60.3% 7 64.7% 7 53 2 0
81-T.Owens SF 3.6 7 3.9 7 67.5% 3 76.2% 7 79 1 0
89-T.Taylor BAL 3.5 8 2.7 11 26.9% 15 15.1% 11 105 0 0
80-D.Driver GB 3.4 9 3.3 8 63.7% 4 59.8% 8 70 0 0
84-C.Chambers MIA 3.1 10 3.2 9 45.3% 8 49.2% 6 78 0 0
84-E.Conwell STL 2.8 11 2.2 16 44.7% 9 29.7% 6 30 1 0
84-R.Moss MIN 2.7 12 2.5 15 61.9% 5 54.7% 5 49 0 0
12-C.Chandler CHI 2.5 13 2.7 10 35.1% 10 40.1% 6 35 0 0
80-J.McKnight MIA 2.3 14 2.6 13 28.8% 13 36.3% 7 58 0 0
Player Team DPAR DPAR
Rank		 PAR PAR
Rank		 DVOA DVOA
Rank		 VOA Runs Yards TD FUM
82-T.Wilkins STL 2.2 15 2.5 14 32.6% 12 39.5% 6 56 0 0
88-D.Thompson WAS 2.2 16 2.2 17 6.0% 19 5.5% 10 77 0 0
85-T.Dwight SD 2.0 17 2.6 12 9.4% 18 19.1% 12 97 1 1
83-S.Moss NYJ 2.0 18 2.1 18 32.6% 11 35.1% 5 44 0 0
87-L.Coles NYJ 1.9 19 1.9 20 27.3% 14 28.0% 6 39 0 0
82-D.Hall KC 1.9 20 1.9 19 5.3% 20 6.6% 11 54 0 0
81-K.Robinson SEA 1.7 21 1.9 21 3.2% 21 6.0% 8 56 0 0
87-E.Kennison KC 1.2 22 1.3 22 -1.4% 22 -0.4% 7 58 0 0
80-P.Warrick CIN 0.4 23 0.3 23 -8.8% 23 -11.7% 5 22 0 0
81-T.Brown OAK -0.5 24 -0.3 24 -44.2% 25 -38.6% 6 19 0 0
80-B.Stokley BAL -0.6 25 -0.7 25 -40.4% 24 -43.4% 6 33 0 1
80-R.Smith DEN -0.9 26 -0.7 26 -67.2% 27 -57.2% 6 9 0 0
88-A.Bryant DAL -1.1 27 -1.3 27 -61.0% 26 -65.7% 6 40 0 1