01 Oct 2008
Here's what is included in Football Outsiders Premium:
The historical DVOA database, which can be viewed in a variety of formats. These include: DVOA by down, area of field, or current score gap; the development of one team's DVOA over a 25-year span; and one team's weekly DVOA for all 16 games of the regular season. It also includes Adjusted Line Yards and Adjusted Sack Rate for past seasons. Right now the database goes from 1989 through 2015, and it will be updated regularly on Tuesdays during the 2016 season. (ALY/ASR go back to 1995 only.)
Historical access to Football Outsiders player pages. All readers can see the last three years of data and the last year of game charting data, but Premium users can see all data back to 1989 and all game charting data back to 2005, as well as an archive of all articles on FO relating to each player since we launched in 2003. For all current players, you also get lists giving the ten most similar players over one-, two-, and three-year spans. Please note that the database does not yet include playoff performance or game-by-game logs for players, just season stats.
Please note that player pages have not yet been updated with 2015 numbers. They will be updated in August. We are also working on a system that will finally begin to update player pages with in-season stats each week during the 2016 season.
Premium access also includes the Football Outsiders weekly picks. These picks come in two flavors -- spread, and straight-up -- and use a formula that incorporates particular splits of DVOA as well as injury and weather data. Here is the record of FO regular-season picks since 2010:
PICKS VS. SPREAD:
So about the last three years... No, we don't know what happened to our previously very accurate picks. This may discourage you from buying FO Premium, but we're not the type of site to lie about our record. At least our best bets did well in 2015, with a 21-10-2 record in games where our projected line was more than 3 points different from the actual line. We do stand by our general performance going back six years, and the fact that picks against the spread are just a small part of what FO Premium offers.
Finally, Premium access includes the Fantasy Football Answering Service, with a response to fantasy football lineup and trade questions within 24 hours. Check out these Emanski-esque testimonials for the service from Premium members who used the service in the past:
Jason: I have been using the Football Outsiders Fantasy Football Answering Service since December 2008 and would recommend it to anyone playing fantasy football looking to gain an edge over their competition. Football Outsiders' quick, timely, and well researched responses to my fantasy questions were instrumental in clinching my league in 2008, and finishing third last year despite a horrible 0-and-3 start.
Dean: The FO answering service gave me the specific week to week advice I needed to win back-to-back league championships! I picked up Jerome Harrison in a PPR league championship week but talked myself out of starting him. The guys at FO reminded me that he was guaranteed to get passing targets given the offensive scheme, especially against a weak pass D vs. RBs. I put him back in the lineup, won the league, and the rest is history.
Erin: Football Outsiders' Premium Service is awesome! Lightning-fast answers to my emails were full of quality advice, which gave me confidence in my decisions. Draft, trade and start advice was excellent. There were periods last year when I just didn't have the time to do enough research for my weekly cap league, and this service was a gold mine. I highly recommend FO!!!
(Note: We've had some confusion about this, so we want to make clear what is NOT included in FO Premium. At this time, FO Premium does not include weekly fantasy football projections. We may add that at a later date. In addition, FO Premium is about stats, not content, and does not give you access to Football Outsiders content on ESPN Insider. That requires a separate subscription.)
Click here to see a free sample of the Premium database, featuring 2011 DVOA data.
There are three ways to buy access to the Premium DVOA Database:
Sometimes there is a delay between purchasing Premium Access and getting access to the Premium section. This delay can be up to a few hours, depending on payment processor traffic, but is usually less than that. Please do not send Help emails if you have just purchased Premium but can't get access; if after a few hours you still don't have access, then please send a help request to mailbag-at-footballoutsiders-dot-com, with "PREMIUM ACCESS" in the subject header. Please include the date/time of purchase and the email address you used to purchase it.
ALSO IMPORTANT: If you pay by PayPal eCheck (as opposed to credit card or by direct transfer from PayPal funds), you may not be able to access FO Premium for a few days. This is because PayPal takes a few days to verify funds (just like sending a real check), and is completely out of our control. Please take this fact into account before purchasing the projections. PRETTY PLEASE. We have problems with this every year from people who don't understand how their PayPal account is drawing funds.
Football Outsiders reserves the right to cancel Premium subscriptions if a Premium subscriber is posting our weekly picks for free public consumption prior to Sunday's games.