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» Clutch Encounters: Week 3

New respect for Nick Foles after another GWD. Also: four-minute blues for Browns, glory-hole day for Dallas, Jets seeing red and Bruce Arians' magic beans.

24 Oct 2013

Varsity Numbers: Ode to the Big Uglies

by Bill Connelly

One of my favorite features for Football Outsiders, before I became a Football Outsider, was the presence of line stats, the attempt to assign credit to the nameless, faceless folks up front. But while I've used line yards and sack rates for quite a while, Aaron Schatz goes further than that at the pro level. This offseason, I began to do the same, incorporating some of the NFL stats -- stuff rate, power success rate, etc. -- in my 2013 season preview series at SB Nation.

A little more than halfway through the college football season, then, we should check back in on line stats. Once I have a full format I like, I might try to get line stats pages created for both offense and defense, but we'll say this is still in experimental mode.

Below, you'll find the following line stats for each team in the country (in alphabetical order because there's no overall ranking by which to order them):

  • Line Yards: line yards per carry. This is not adjusted for opponent -- I figured it might make more sense to have all the numbers either adjusted or unadjusted in this regard. (I will provide adjusted numbers later on.) Garbage time is filtered out.
  • RB Block Success Rate: This is something I've created for tracking. It will be tweaked in the future, I'm sure. The idea here is simple: If line yards offer 100 percent credit to the offensive line for yards gained up to five yards, what percentage of a teams runs then reach five yards? The use of "success rate" here might be confusing (I'll search for a better name) but we'll use this for now. This is the percentage of runs by a running back that go at least five yards. There is a known glitch here -- it doesn't change runs that happen inside the opponent's 5-yard line. This is a small percentage of overall carries, so it won't impact the numbers greatly (though it's still something I'll change for more official use in the future).
  • Power Success Rate: As defined on the pro OL page, "Percentage of runs on third or fourth down, two yards or less to go, that achieved a first down or touchdown. Also includes runs on first-and-goal or second-and-goal from the two-yard line or closer. This is the only statistic on this page that includes quarterbacks."
  • Stuffed: Again, as defined on the pro OL page, "Percentage of runs where the running back is tackled at or behind the line of scrimmage. Since being stuffed is bad, teams are ranked from stuffed least often (#1) to most often" (#125).
  • Sack Rate: Percentage of pass (passes + sacks) that resulted in a sack. Again, garbage time is filtered out. And as with line yards, these numbers are unadjusted for opponent.
  • Standard Downs Sack Rate: Sack rate on standard downs only. (Garbage time is filtered out.)
  • Passing Downs Sack Rate: Sack rate on passing downs only. (Garbage time is filtered out.)
Team Line
Yards
Rk RB Block
Success
Rate
Rk Power
Success
Rate
Rk Stuffed Rk Sack
Rate
Rk Std. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk Pass. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk
Air Force 3.36 28 45.4% 18 74.3% 42 15.2% 22 5.9% 70 2.2% 16 10.0% 101
Akron 2.71 106 33.0% 96 67.7% 71 20.8% 90 3.6% 31 3.2% 35 4.1% 37
Alabama 3.43 17 47.3% 9 75.0% 35 15.4% 23 3.1% 18 3.0% 31 3.3% 26
Arizona 3.51 11 42.5% 35 81.8% 11 11.4% 3 5.6% 67 3.9% 56 7.5% 79
Arizona State 2.88 85 42.1% 36 64.1% 81 17.1% 40 4.4% 46 4.9% 82 3.7% 30
Arkansas 3.21 43 41.8% 37 84.2% 7 16.8% 36 3.0% 17 5.4% 89 1.1% 3
Arkansas State 3.08 53 43.4% 29 70.0% 58 21.0% 92 8.5% 108 4.0% 63 13.3% 118
Army 3.50 12 49.4% 3 78.9% 21 12.2% 4 6.3% 77 2.6% 19 11.5% 109
Auburn 3.68 7 47.2% 10 78.6% 24 13.5% 8 4.6% 50 4.8% 74 4.4% 41
Ball State 2.89 82 33.6% 94 50.0% 117 21.9% 101 2.0% 8 1.7% 7 2.6% 19
Baylor 3.37 27 46.0% 14 69.2% 62 14.1% 14 2.3% 11 1.9% 10 3.0% 23
Boise State 3.48 14 37.3% 70 78.1% 25 18.6% 62 5.5% 66 4.6% 70 6.9% 70
Boston College 2.87 87 36.1% 76 55.6% 106 21.4% 98 8.0% 106 3.2% 35 12.0% 112
Bowling Green 3.43 18 43.9% 24 62.5% 84 18.1% 53 7.1% 96 6.8% 105 7.5% 77
Buffalo 2.64 112 33.0% 97 56.8% 105 23.9% 116 3.4% 25 5.4% 88 1.2% 6
BYU 3.39 24 31.7% 106 90.5% 4 17.4% 42 8.8% 111 9.4% 118 8.2% 85
California 2.38 123 34.6% 84 46.4% 122 22.8% 107 6.8% 91 3.0% 29 11.5% 109
Central Florida 2.88 86 37.9% 65 75.0% 35 20.6% 86 4.1% 39 6.4% 99 1.3% 9
Central Michigan 3.00 66 32.8% 98 52.2% 113 21.1% 94 8.3% 107 2.7% 21 13.2% 117
Cincinnati 3.01 59 38.3% 62 64.7% 78 18.0% 50 2.1% 9 2.8% 23 1.2% 5
Clemson 3.01 63 36.7% 72 75.7% 34 19.8% 74 4.7% 53 5.5% 90 3.5% 28
Colorado 2.83 92 33.7% 93 58.8% 99 20.4% 84 5.3% 64 4.8% 74 6.0% 62
Colorado State 3.16 47 41.1% 40 73.1% 48 18.4% 58 2.3% 12 3.1% 34 1.2% 6
Connecticut 2.49 121 34.6% 87 60.0% 91 25.0% 121 11.1% 120 4.5% 68 18.8% 125
Duke 3.26 39 44.9% 21 79.3% 19 16.7% 35 3.9% 37 4.0% 59 3.8% 33
Team Line
Yards
Rk RB Block
Success
Rate
Rk Power
Success
Rate
Rk Stuffed Rk Sack
Rate
Rk Std. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk Pass. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk
East Carolina 2.71 107 32.0% 104 55.2% 110 24.8% 119 6.7% 87 6.1% 95 7.6% 80
Eastern Michigan 2.95 73 35.6% 80 71.4% 54 18.9% 64 9.3% 114 4.8% 74 13.6% 120
Florida 2.88 84 35.7% 78 72.0% 51 20.8% 90 9.2% 112 7.8% 112 10.3% 104
Florida Atlantic 2.90 77 28.3% 120 68.2% 66 15.8% 30 6.8% 92 4.0% 60 10.0% 101
Florida International 2.30 124 26.4% 124 54.5% 111 28.2% 125 11.2% 121 10.3% 120 12.1% 113
Florida State 3.36 31 47.1% 11 73.7% 47 19.9% 75 6.7% 89 5.1% 85 9.1% 93
Fresno State 2.90 78 37.8% 68 52.5% 112 17.0% 37 1.2% 1 0.6% 2 2.2% 15
Georgia 2.89 81 38.9% 58 69.6% 61 21.0% 92 3.9% 34 3.0% 29 5.0% 49
Georgia State 2.79 97 22.4% 125 70.0% 58 20.1% 78 6.2% 76 8.0% 113 4.4% 42
Georgia Tech 3.31 36 48.2% 7 70.0% 58 14.6% 20 7.8% 102 8.7% 117 7.0% 73
Hawaii 2.61 113 27.1% 122 90.0% 5 19.9% 75 9.8% 116 6.1% 96 13.5% 119
Houston 2.93 75 48.5% 4 55.6% 106 23.5% 112 3.4% 24 2.1% 12 5.2% 51
Idaho 3.00 64 33.3% 95 51.5% 116 20.7% 88 12.4% 123 15.4% 124 8.2% 86
Illinois 3.01 61 38.5% 60 79.2% 20 19.0% 66 8.5% 109 5.0% 84 14.1% 121
Indiana 3.01 62 36.7% 73 63.3% 83 21.7% 100 3.8% 33 2.9% 26 5.3% 54
Iowa 3.33 34 39.9% 48 73.9% 46 13.2% 6 2.4% 13 2.8% 24 2.0% 14
Iowa State 3.00 65 29.3% 117 60.0% 91 16.5% 33 9.4% 115 6.6% 104 12.5% 114
Kansas 2.83 91 40.0% 47 47.4% 120 23.6% 114 9.2% 112 6.4% 100 11.5% 108
Kansas State 3.21 42 43.2% 33 69.2% 62 20.2% 81 7.8% 103 3.7% 47 12.5% 114
Kent State 2.97 68 29.1% 118 64.5% 79 17.0% 37 5.1% 59 6.5% 103 3.6% 29
Kentucky 3.34 33 48.3% 5 65.0% 77 18.0% 50 5.4% 65 3.8% 51 8.0% 83
Louisiana Tech 2.97 70 41.5% 39 64.3% 80 24.3% 118 7.2% 99 3.0% 27 11.6% 111
Louisville 3.40 23 43.6% 28 81.0% 13 17.0% 37 3.5% 27 3.0% 28 4.2% 38
LSU 3.01 60 43.3% 30 76.9% 28 17.8% 45 6.5% 81 7.1% 107 5.8% 59
Marshall 2.96 71 34.9% 82 81.0% 13 18.4% 58 6.7% 90 5.1% 87 8.8% 90
Team Line
Yards
Rk RB Block
Success
Rate
Rk Power
Success
Rate
Rk Stuffed Rk Sack
Rate
Rk Std. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk Pass. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk
Maryland 2.73 104 37.8% 66 52.2% 113 27.6% 124 6.0% 71 3.4% 42 8.9% 91
Massachusetts 2.51 120 30.9% 109 78.9% 21 23.9% 116 3.3% 21 1.1% 4 5.5% 55
Memphis 2.94 74 39.2% 56 50.0% 117 18.0% 50 7.0% 95 4.6% 73 9.9% 100
Miami 3.40 21 45.4% 17 57.7% 102 20.3% 82 2.1% 10 2.5% 18 1.6% 12
Miami (Ohio) 2.53 117 22.2% 126 57.9% 101 21.1% 94 12.0% 122 11.0% 121 13.2% 116
Michigan 2.58 115 30.0% 114 61.8% 89 28.5% 126 6.0% 73 3.8% 51 7.6% 81
Michigan State 3.10 52 41.7% 38 70.4% 57 18.2% 56 1.8% 6 2.7% 22 0.9% 2
Middle Tennessee 2.98 67 34.3% 91 68.0% 68 20.5% 85 5.1% 59 5.8% 93 4.5% 44
Minnesota 3.14 48 32.6% 100 75.9% 31 16.6% 34 10.7% 119 14.6% 123 8.1% 84
Mississippi State 3.17 46 35.2% 81 82.4% 10 18.2% 56 3.9% 36 4.3% 66 3.4% 27
Missouri 3.74 5 43.6% 27 76.2% 29 12.5% 5 6.3% 79 2.0% 11 14.3% 122
N.C. State 3.11 50 30.1% 113 50.0% 117 19.2% 69 7.6% 100 8.4% 116 6.6% 65
Navy 3.71 6 48.1% 8 72.9% 49 9.5% 1 16.2% 126 15.4% 124 17.1% 124
Nebraska 3.35 32 46.7% 13 75.0% 35 14.8% 21 1.5% 4 0.0% 1 2.9% 21
Nevada 2.96 72 31.7% 106 71.9% 52 18.4% 58 5.3% 63 6.4% 102 4.0% 34
New Mexico 3.49 13 39.8% 49 84.8% 6 15.7% 27 12.6% 124 6.3% 97 19.2% 126
New Mexico State 2.82 93 29.7% 116 47.1% 121 22.8% 107 6.5% 80 4.4% 67 9.2% 95
North Carolina 2.65 111 36.2% 75 55.6% 106 20.6% 86 4.2% 41 4.3% 65 4.1% 36
North Texas 2.65 110 32.6% 101 67.9% 69 21.9% 101 3.2% 19 3.4% 44 2.9% 22
Northern Illinois 3.78 4 45.8% 15 68.8% 65 14.2% 15 1.4% 2 2.2% 14 0.0% 1
Northwestern 3.29 37 39.1% 57 60.0% 91 18.5% 61 8.7% 110 4.6% 72 14.8% 123
Notre Dame 2.78 100 41.0% 41 62.5% 84 19.7% 72 2.6% 15 2.2% 13 3.2% 25
Ohio 2.75 102 34.9% 83 65.2% 75 17.9% 46 3.2% 20 3.3% 40 3.1% 24
Ohio State 3.68 8 53.9% 1 79.4% 18 13.5% 8 4.6% 49 3.3% 37 7.7% 82
Oklahoma 3.37 26 40.5% 44 61.9% 88 17.9% 46 4.7% 52 3.9% 54 5.6% 56
Team Line
Yards
Rk RB Block
Success
Rate
Rk Power
Success
Rate
Rk Stuffed Rk Sack
Rate
Rk Std. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk Pass. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk
Oklahoma State 2.85 90 30.0% 114 65.4% 73 23.5% 112 1.9% 7 2.5% 17 1.1% 4
Old Dominion 3.46 16 34.5% 89 100.0% 1 13.7% 11 4.8% 55 4.0% 60 6.0% 63
Ole Miss 3.40 20 43.7% 26 75.9% 31 15.7% 27 6.0% 72 2.2% 15 9.9% 98
Oregon 4.17 1 48.3% 6 74.1% 43 13.4% 7 5.0% 57 3.9% 57 6.9% 70
Oregon State 2.17 126 31.9% 105 81.0% 13 26.9% 123 2.6% 14 3.5% 45 1.5% 10
Penn State 2.70 108 37.7% 69 66.7% 72 18.1% 53 6.6% 86 8.4% 115 4.6% 48
Pittsburgh 3.17 45 43.2% 32 62.5% 84 17.9% 46 12.8% 125 17.1% 126 9.1% 93
Purdue 2.52 119 32.3% 102 45.0% 123 23.0% 109 6.7% 88 7.1% 108 6.3% 64
Rice 3.27 38 44.1% 23 71.4% 54 17.6% 43 7.1% 97 4.0% 58 10.5% 105
Rutgers 2.81 96 37.0% 71 68.2% 66 18.1% 53 10.6% 118 13.4% 122 7.4% 76
San Diego State 2.78 99 34.5% 90 91.3% 3 19.7% 72 7.8% 104 8.2% 114 7.5% 77
San Jose State 2.72 105 32.1% 103 60.9% 90 19.6% 70 4.6% 51 4.6% 71 4.6% 47
SMU 2.90 79 31.3% 108 75.0% 35 20.7% 88 7.7% 101 5.7% 92 11.2% 107
South Alabama 2.90 79 38.9% 59 31.2% 125 21.1% 94 5.8% 69 7.2% 109 4.2% 38
South Carolina 3.36 30 44.8% 22 74.4% 41 16.2% 31 7.2% 98 5.9% 94 8.6% 88
South Florida 2.53 118 30.2% 111 28.6% 126 17.9% 46 10.2% 117 10.2% 119 10.3% 103
Southern Miss 2.60 114 30.1% 112 58.3% 100 24.8% 119 4.1% 38 3.8% 49 4.4% 43
Stanford 3.36 29 39.5% 53 75.8% 33 13.7% 11 3.9% 35 3.4% 42 4.6% 45
Syracuse 2.92 76 34.0% 92 77.8% 26 17.2% 41 5.0% 58 2.6% 19 7.2% 75
TCU 3.13 49 39.6% 52 60.0% 91 20.1% 78 6.6% 85 7.8% 111 5.2% 52
Temple 3.32 35 40.4% 45 71.4% 54 19.0% 66 6.0% 74 3.9% 53 8.4% 87
Tennessee 3.40 19 45.3% 19 78.9% 21 14.5% 17 3.5% 26 3.3% 39 3.7% 30
Texas 3.17 44 40.1% 46 59.3% 97 16.3% 32 4.4% 47 4.8% 74 4.0% 34
Texas A&M 3.78 3 45.1% 20 71.9% 52 15.5% 26 3.3% 21 1.8% 9 6.9% 69
Texas State 2.86 88 42.9% 34 57.1% 104 23.2% 110 3.3% 21 4.9% 83 1.5% 10
Team Line
Yards
Rk RB Block
Success
Rate
Rk Power
Success
Rate
Rk Stuffed Rk Sack
Rate
Rk Std. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk Pass. Downs
Sack Rate
Rk
Texas Tech 3.04 57 35.7% 78 59.3% 97 19.6% 70 3.0% 16 1.0% 3 5.9% 60
Toledo 3.87 2 45.5% 16 75.0% 35 13.5% 8 1.4% 3 1.6% 6 1.2% 8
Troy 3.04 56 39.8% 50 76.0% 30 18.7% 63 4.3% 43 3.7% 48 5.2% 53
Tulane 2.78 98 35.9% 77 77.3% 27 21.6% 99 7.9% 105 4.8% 80 11.1% 106
Tulsa 2.73 103 30.2% 110 60.0% 91 18.9% 64 1.7% 5 1.2% 5 2.2% 16
UAB 2.85 89 39.3% 55 38.5% 124 20.3% 82 6.1% 75 6.4% 100 5.8% 58
UCLA 3.06 55 40.6% 43 57.7% 102 17.6% 43 6.3% 78 6.9% 106 5.7% 57
UL-Lafayette 3.40 22 43.9% 25 74.1% 43 14.2% 15 6.9% 94 4.8% 74 9.4% 97
UL-Monroe 2.77 101 28.9% 119 92.9% 2 20.0% 77 3.5% 27 4.8% 81 1.9% 13
UNLV 2.81 95 32.7% 99 67.9% 69 21.1% 94 4.4% 44 1.7% 8 7.1% 74
USC 3.02 58 40.7% 42 69.2% 62 19.1% 68 6.6% 83 7.2% 110 5.9% 60
Utah 2.89 83 34.5% 88 55.6% 106 22.7% 106 5.2% 62 3.5% 46 6.8% 67
Utah State 3.07 54 38.4% 61 63.6% 82 22.6% 105 4.2% 40 3.8% 50 4.6% 46
UTEP 3.39 25 38.3% 63 81.0% 13 14.0% 13 6.5% 82 4.3% 64 9.3% 96
UTSA 2.97 69 34.6% 85 72.4% 50 23.3% 111 3.6% 30 4.8% 74 2.2% 16
Vanderbilt 3.23 40 37.8% 67 83.9% 9 10.8% 2 6.6% 83 4.5% 68 9.9% 99
Virginia 2.67 109 36.4% 74 74.1% 43 20.1% 78 4.9% 56 5.5% 91 4.2% 38
Virginia Tech 2.27 125 26.8% 123 52.2% 113 25.3% 122 5.1% 61 3.0% 31 6.8% 67
Wake Forest 2.46 122 28.0% 121 62.5% 84 23.8% 115 5.6% 68 3.3% 37 8.7% 89
Washington 3.22 41 39.5% 54 84.0% 8 15.4% 23 6.9% 93 5.1% 86 9.0% 92
Washington State 3.10 51 43.2% 31 75.0% 35 15.4% 23 3.8% 32 3.9% 54 3.7% 32
West Virginia 2.58 116 34.6% 85 65.2% 75 22.3% 103 3.5% 29 4.0% 62 2.9% 20
Western Kentucky 3.52 10 46.8% 12 65.4% 73 15.7% 27 4.8% 54 6.3% 98 2.4% 18
Western Michigan 2.82 94 38.1% 64 60.0% 91 22.5% 104 4.2% 42 3.3% 40 5.1% 50
Wisconsin 3.59 9 51.3% 2 81.5% 12 14.5% 17 4.4% 45 3.0% 31 6.7% 66
Wyoming 3.47 15 39.7% 51 80.0% 17 14.5% 17 4.6% 48 2.8% 25 7.0% 72

Teams in the top 30 of every run category: Army, Auburn, Missouri, Ohio State, Tennessee, and Wisconsin.

Teams in the top 20 of both standard and passing downs sack rates: Ball State, Fresno State, Miami, Northern Illinois, Oklahoma State, Toledo, Tulsa.

Teams in the top 25 of both Line Yards and Sack Rate: Alabama, Miami, Northern Illinois, Texas A&M, Toledo.

Teams in the bottom 30 of every run category: Buffalo, East Carolina, Florida International, Purdue, Southern Miss, Virginia Tech.

Teams in the bottom 20 of both standard and passing downs sack rates: Florida International, Miami (Ohio), Navy.

Teams in the bottom 25 of both Line Yards and Sack Rate: Connecticut, Florida International, Hawaii, Miami (Ohio), South Florida

Obviously there's noise here -- a really good running back can make the running stats look good, a quick passing game can keep the sack rates down (at least on standard downs), and a pocket statue (or a mobile quarterback who trusts his mobility too much) can inflate sack rates in the wrong direction -- but this certainly gives us a pretty good idea of who has had the most successful lines to date. (And, in Florida International's case, who has had the least successful.) Food for thought.

This Week at SB Nation (so far)

Monday
Now do you believe Florida State is really, really good?

Tuesday
The Numerical, Week 8: Nobody's worried about Alabama's defense anymore

Wednesday
All 12 BCS National Championship contenders, ranked by odds of winning out
Missouri 36, Florida 17: Beyond the Box Score
Week 8 college football advanced box scores

Thursday
Pac-12 rundown: Can banged-up No. 12 UCLA hang with No. 3 Oregon?
College football F/+ picks: Week 9

Posted by: Bill Connelly on 24 Oct 2013

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