Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

26 Sep 2014, 03:51pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Little Things, Inc.

Big plays and touchdowns get all the hype, but Bill Connelly says it's the little things that make Stanford one of the best teams in the country.

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19 Sep 2014, 11:25am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Cry Havoc

Bill Connelly takes a look at what we can learn from defensive box score stats and general rates of havoc.

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12 Sep 2014, 07:05pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Follow the Bouncing Ball

We like to think of fumble recoveries as a 50/50 proposition, but how much of an impact does the location of the fumble have on who recovers it? Bill Connelly takes a look.

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05 Sep 2014, 04:42pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Don't Write Off Week 1

Are first-week performances in college football actually indicative of full-season performances, or do rust, new playbook wrinkles, etc., make for a pretty random experience?

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26 Aug 2014, 03:41pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Updated 2014 Projections

Bill Connelly says hello to the 2014 college football season by giving the F/+ projections some last-second tweaks.

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8 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:17pm by

09 Jan 2014, 11:22am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: 2013 Projections vs. Reality

With the college football season in the rearview mirror, Bill Connelly compares FO's 2013 F/+ projections to the end-of-year numbers.

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1 comment, Last at 10 Jan 2014, 10:23am by ClemsonMatt

19 Dec 2013, 03:10pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: The Dreaded Bowl Break

Does the sometimes large break between the regular season and bowls have an impact on college football offenses? Or is that just something we say when our team doesn't perform well?

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5 comments, Last at 23 Dec 2013, 5:18pm by Bill Connelly

12 Dec 2013, 02:16pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Isolating Explosiveness

In this week's Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a page out of baseball's playbook and attempts to isolate power from efficiency.

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8 comments, Last at 13 Dec 2013, 12:00pm by dcrockett17

05 Dec 2013, 02:15pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Hello, Old Friends

In this week's Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly revisits some measures and concepts: Adjusted Scores, Covariance, and momentum (or whatever you choose to call it).

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6 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2013, 12:19pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

21 Nov 2013, 03:28pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Weighing Offense and Defense

It's a bit of a given that we rate offense and defense the same in a given system of ratings. Does that have to be the case? Is there any chance a good offense is worth more than a good defense in college football?

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12 comments, Last at 28 Dec 2013, 7:56am by patrick1221