DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Odds to Win Super Bowl LIII
150.1% 249.9%
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through Week 20

Recent Articles

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Conference Championships
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Audibles at the Line: Conference Championships

For the first time in history, both conference championship games go to overtime. The New England Patriots are in the Super Bowl, as they once again play an explosive Rams offense, led by an offensive genius head coach, in an NFC South dome. And, uh, how about that officiating?

136 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2019, 1:31pm by dryheat

Open Discussion

Championship Sunday Open Discussion
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Championship Sunday Open Discussion

The Los Angeles Rams visit New Orleans to play the Saints for the NFC Championship and the George Halas Trophy at 3:05 p.m. EST. Then the New England Patriots head to Kansas City to face the Chiefs for the AFC Championship and the Lamar Hunt Trophy at 6:40 p.m. Winners meet in the Super Bowl two weeks later. Let's do this.

202 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2019, 1:17pm by Scott P.

Game Previews

NFC Championship Preview 2019
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NFC Championship Preview 2019

Hold that shootout narrative for a moment! Over the last three months, the New Orleans Saints are the one remaining NFL team that could really play good defense. That should lead them to a win over Los Angeles and a trip to Super Bowl LIII. But what if Drew Brees struggles like he has since the start of December? And what will the presence of Aqib Talib really mean for slowing down the unguardable Michael Thomas?

9 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2019, 6:54pm by LionInAZ

Game Previews

AFC Championship Preview 2019
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AFC Championship Preview 2019

Belichick. Reid. Brady. Mahomes. Gronkowski. Kelce. Edelman. Tyreek. Two bad defenses. The AFC Championship Game should be explosive. Will the Patriots reach the Super Bowl for the 11th time? Or will Kansas City bring the Lamar Hunt Trophy home?

34 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2019, 8:29pm by LionInAZ

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: What Horseshoe?
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Word of Muth: What Horseshoe?

The Colts may wear a lucky charm on their helmets, but their offensive line suffered ill fortune against the Chiefs, being undone by teammate's mistakes and badly timed (and badly called) penalties. Still, Ben Muth finds plenty to like about their chances in 2019.

3 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2019, 1:43pm by turbohappy

Recent Articles

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: January 18, 2019
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The Week in Quotes: January 18, 2019

This week, there's a little about the Rams, Patriots, Eagles, Ravens, Chargers, and Packers, and then a whole lot about the Saints. Laissez les bon temps rouler.

1 comment, Last at 20 Jan 2019, 6:29pm by LionInAZ

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: January 17
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Off The Charts Podcast: January 17

The new Off The Charts football podcast goes in depth on the conference championship games. We start with a big conversation on whether distinct home-field advantages for different teams in different years are "real" or not. Plus: we discuss how Eli Apple changed the way the Saints brought pressure, how the Rams win on the ground with scheme, and how each team this week will set up its cornerback coverage. (Click for audio link.)

Film Room

Film Room: New England's Offense
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Film Room: New England's Offense

New England doesn't have the fantasy superstars or explosive playmakers that Kansas City has -- but they do have the kind of versatile pieces and deceptive schemes that will give the Chiefs headaches on Sunday.

21 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2019, 3:33pm by Vincent Verhei

Extra Points

Rob Weintraub's All-AFC East Team
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Rob Weintraub's All-AFC East Team

Continuing our series, Rob Weintraub chooses an all-star team for each of the eight NFL divisions. This is our chance to recognize some lesser players who had good seasons but not enough to make the larger Pro Bowl roster.

19 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2019, 9:46am by nat

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Shivering With Anticipation
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Scramble for the Ball: Shivering With Anticipation

Who needs an exciting divisional round? With the conference championships running back some of the best games of the year, Bryan and Andrew are giddy with excitement.

21 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2019, 9:58am by Eddo