DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
199.7% 132.1% 136.5%
298.0% 223.2% 220.9%
387.0% 38.3% 313.2%
484.9% 47.8% 412.4%
573.3% 55.0% 58.0%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!
through Week 7 (no MNF)

Recent Articles

One Foot Inbounds

OFI: Purdue, Washington State Have Perfect Day
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

OFI: Purdue, Washington State Have Perfect Day

Purdue blew out second-ranked Ohio State, and Washington State's long-awaited College Gameday experience lived up to expectations in an overwhelming win over Oregon.

1 comment, Last at 22 Oct 2018, 9:34pm by Todd S.

Extra Points

Injury Aftermath: Week 7
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Injury Aftermath: Week 7

The Buccaneers lose a key linebacker for the year, the Dolphins lose a key receiver, and the Jets are close to running out of safeties.

6 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2018, 11:58pm by Bobman

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 7
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Audibles at the Line: Week 7

Your Audibles crew discusses a windy day of NFL action. Highlights include a big Panthers road comeback; another dominating performance by the Chiefs offense; and a thrilling finale in London. Lowlights include missed extra points by two of the most accurate kickers in league history; teams once again settling for, and missing, long field goals at the end of games; and Blake Bortles.

76 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2018, 10:58pm by Chip

Open Discussion

Week 7 Open Game Discussion
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Week 7 Open Game Discussion

Unless you're a David Johnson fantasy owner, the Broncos-Cardinals Thursday night game looks like a snoozer, but eight games on Sunday pit two teams at .500 or better against each other: Titans-Chargers, Patriots-Bears, Texans-Jaguars, Vikings-Jets, Panthers-Eagles, Cowboys-Washington, Bengals-Chiefs, and maybe the biggest game of the week, New Orleans traveling to Baltimore to take on the Ravens. Use this thread to discuss them all.

256 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2018, 9:05am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: October 19, 2018
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

The Week in Quotes: October 19, 2018

Recapping all the baby-makin', Lambeau-leapin', job-savin', non-tacklin', anti-tankin', text-leavin', dehydratin', rhyme-droppin' activity of the last seven days of the NFL.

5 comments, Last at 20 Oct 2018, 9:47am by jtr

Recent Articles

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: October 18
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Off The Charts Podcast: October 18

We start this week's podcast by playing "Real or Fake" about the Chargers, Bears, Seahawks, Eagles, and Panthers. Then game previews of Week 7's most important games: Texans-Jaguars, Cowboys-Redskins, and Chiefs-Bengals. (Click for audio link.)

Film Room

Film Room: Philip Rivers
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Film Room: Philip Rivers

The Chargers quarterback has been flying under the radar this season, but he's playing some of the best ball of his career and has Los Angeles primed to return to the postseason.

10 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2018, 2:47pm by Noah Arkadia

FO on ESPN: Feature Columns

ESPN: Playoff Odds for Struggling NFC Contenders
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: Playoff Odds for Struggling NFC Contenders

Football Outsiders' preseason projections had eight of the top 12 teams coming out of the NFC. Yet six of those teams are now 3-2-1 or worse. What are their chances for rebounding and getting into the postseason? You may be surprised by the relative odds for Green Bay and Minnesota in particular.

FO on ESPN: Upset Watch

ESPN Upset Watch: Jets-Vikings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN Upset Watch: Jets-Vikings

This week's ESPN Upset Watch looks at how the Jets can use their improved defense to take down the Minnesota Vikings at home. Cover Watch looks at the Giants and Falcons on Monday Night Football.

3 comments, Last at 21 Oct 2018, 12:11am by JoeyHarringtonReigns

7th Day Adventure

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 8
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 8

Saturday's biggest game has Nick Fitzgerald and the Mississippi State Bulldogs squaring off against LSU. Other notable matchups include Michigan-Michigan State, Oklahoma-TCU, and Ohio State-Purdue.

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Contractual Obligations
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Scramble for the Ball: Contractual Obligations

Reeling from their own terrible drafts, Bryan and Andrew take a glance back at the top fantasy prospects of 2018 -- and see just how many have fallen by the wayside.

35 comments, Last at 20 Oct 2018, 2:18pm by Noah Arkadia

DVOA Ratings

Week 6 DVOA Ratings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Week 6 DVOA Ratings

In close games, DVOA doesn't look at wins and losses, which is how the Chiefs can take over the No. 1 spot from the Rams despite a close loss. The secret: strength of schedule and special teams. Plus, more of a look at the incredibly bad Buffalo offense and the surprisingly good Buffalo defense.

57 comments, Last at 19 Oct 2018, 1:56pm by Eddo