DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
15 TEAMS100% 128.1% 174.9%
299.7% 223.4% 217.2%
398.9% 311.1% 34.3%
496.3% 49.1% 43.6%
592.8% 57.3% 50.04%
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through Week 15

Recent Articles

DVOA Ratings

Week 15 DVOA Ratings
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Week 15 DVOA Ratings

What happened to our historic season of offense? Defenses have been winning the day since the start of December, especially in New Orleans where the offense is struggling and the defense is surging. The Saints move up to No. 3 in DVOA and take over as the Super Bowl favorites in our playoff odds report.

3 comments, Last at 18 Dec 2018, 11:46pm by Sixknots

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Week 15
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Clutch Encounters: Week 15

The Saints all but end another Carolina season, but we liked these teams better when they scored points. Also: Chicago's dragon-slaying win, Vance Joseph's huge blunder, Nick Foles does it again in LA, and the most unusual Patriots-Steelers game yet.

Any Given Sunday

Any Given Sunday: Eagles over Rams
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Any Given Sunday: Eagles over Rams

The Sean McVay express has taken quite a turn over the last few weeks. Is it all good defenses, or are the Rams suddenly beatable?

1 comment, Last at 18 Dec 2018, 6:24pm by Eddo

Quick Reads

Week 15 Quick Reads
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Week 15 Quick Reads

Nick Mullens climbs to the top of the quarterback heap this week -- or, more accurately, the quarterback heap falls behind Nick Mullens. We try to find another week so devoid of passing stars, and also look over the best runners and receivers of Week 15.

30 comments, Last at 19 Dec 2018, 2:22am by beargoggles

Extra Points

Injury Aftermath: Week 15
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Injury Aftermath: Week 15

One AFC wild-card contender loses two defenders for the year in a shutout victory, while another loses its starting halfback. The rest of the playoff field suffers a variety scrapes and sprains, but fortunately nothing that should linger into January.

2 comments, Last at 18 Dec 2018, 6:44pm by jw124164

Recent Articles

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 15
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Audibles at the Line: Week 15

A week that was supposed to make things clearer instead muddies the playoff field substantially. Half of the league's division leaders lose, including both presumptive No. 1 seeds. Three of the AFC's four remaining six-seed contenders win. Five divisions are still technically up for grabs, somehow still including the AFC East. And just what is wrong with the Rams?

126 comments, Last at 18 Dec 2018, 6:13pm by Mountain Time ---- formerly Ninjalectual

Open Discussion

Week 15 Open Game Discussion
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Week 15 Open Game Discussion

The biggest game of the week is on Thursday night. With a win, Kansas City can all but wrap up home-field advantage in the AFC -- but with a loss, they open the door a crack for the L.A. Chargers to slip past them and win the AFC West. We've got a pair of Saturday games (Texans-Jets and Browns-Broncos); critical Sunday games such as Cowboys-Colts, Dolphins-Vikings, and Patriots-Steelers; and finally the Saints and Panthers on Monday night. Use this thread to discuss them all.

183 comments, Last at 18 Dec 2018, 7:00am by umuddafadda

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: December 14
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Off The Charts Podcast: December 14

This week on the Off The Charts football podcast, we do a review of the Chargers' big comeback against the Chiefs and then preview three big games of the upcoming weekend: Miami at Minnesota, New England at Pittsburgh, and Philadelphia at the Los Angeles Rams. (Click for audio link.)

1 comment, Last at 17 Dec 2018, 3:28pm by JacobMason

7th Day Adventure

Seventh Day Adventure: Bowl Spectacular Part I
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Seventh Day Adventure: Bowl Spectacular Part I

The best thing about bowl season is that there's a game every day. The worst thing is that often, you have no idea who these guys are. Ian Boyd introduces you to some of the best players you'll see in the next week -- including Fresno State receiver KeeSean Johnson.

2 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2018, 11:17pm by Sixknots

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Season's Greetings
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Word of Muth: Season's Greetings

With the Lions, 49ers, and Falcons out of the playoffs, Ben Muth says hello to a new team in the Los Angeles Rams. Unfortunately, the Rams' offensive line had a bad night against the Bears in Chicago, but there's reason to think things would turn around in a postseason rematch.

7 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2018, 1:02am by Ben

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: December 14, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: December 14, 2018

This week: nobody dies, or covers Mike Williams.

1 comment, Last at 15 Dec 2018, 9:16pm by LionInAZ

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: LAC-KC
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Clutch Encounters: LAC-KC

The Chargers stunned the Chiefs with another 14-point fourth-quarter comeback on the road. We look at how it happened and which team should feel better about a potential rematch in January.

21 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2018, 12:31am by jayman4