DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
199.99% 133.9% 130.8%
299.98% 221.8% 228.6%
399.8% 315.6% 327.6%
495.9% 47.9% 44.7%
594.7% 56.3% 53.5%
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through Week 11

Recent Articles

Open Discussion

Thanksgiving Open Game Discussion
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Thanksgiving Open Game Discussion

The Thanksgiving holiday brings us a trio of NFC playoff heavyweights doing battle with division rivals. It starts with Chicago traveling to Detroit to face the Lions, continues with Washington going to Dallas to play the Cowboys, and ends with New Orleans welcoming Atlanta to the Superdome. Use this thread to discuss them all.

FEI Ratings

FEI Week 12 Ratings and Possession Margins
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FEI Week 12 Ratings and Possession Margins

Sometimes, the final score doesn't tell the whole story. Brian Fremeau goes through the Playoff contenders and looks at which teams have jumped out to big leads early (Alabama) and which have spent more time flirting with disaster (Washington State).

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: A Trio of Turkeys
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Scramble for the Ball: A Trio of Turkeys

A pair of backup quarterbacks! An NFC East showdown! A bazillion points at night! All this, and more in Bryan and Andrew's annual Thanksgiving Day preview!

2 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2018, 9:30pm by justanothersteve

DVOA Ratings

Week 11 DVOA Ratings
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Week 11 DVOA Ratings

Close loss or not, DVOA is ready to ride or die with the Kansas City Chiefs. In fact, Chiefs-Rams was one of a number of games this week where the losing team ended up with a higher rating than the winning team.

40 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2018, 11:06pm by Vincent Verhei

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Week 11
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Clutch Encounters: Week 11

A historic week of close contests ends with the first game ever where both teams scored 50 points. Was Chiefs-Rams the greatest regular-season game in NFL history? Also: Roethlisberger shakes off his worst start, Riverboat Ron sinks, and the Falcons and Chargers are up to their old tricks.

5 comments, Last at 20 Nov 2018, 6:54pm by Scott Kacsmar

Recent Articles

Any Given Sunday

Any Given Sunday: Broncos over Chargers
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Any Given Sunday: Broncos over Chargers

The 2018 Los Angeles Chargers star in: A Loving Tribute to the 2017 Los Angeles Chargers! What does the future have in store for Denver?

5 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2018, 5:24pm by Mountain Time ---- formerly Ninjalectual

Quick Reads

Week 11 Quick Reads
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Week 11 Quick Reads

How do you handle opponent adjustments when the gap between the best and worst run defenses is as big as we have ever seen? Plus, the best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 11.

50 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2018, 4:56pm by mrt1212

One Foot Inbounds

OFI: Oklahoma State Rattles Big 12
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OFI: Oklahoma State Rattles Big 12

With Oklahoma State's upset of West Virginia, the Big 12 race will stay exciting until the end.

Extra Points

Injury Aftermath: Week 11
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Injury Aftermath: Week 11

Another major injury for Washington, as they become only the second team this season to lose their starting quarterback for the year. Also, the Chargers lose another starting defender, the Eagles are again in danger of running out of cornerbacks, and the Buccaneers likely lose a member of their vaunted receiving corps for a while.

7 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2018, 5:48pm by LionInAZ

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 11
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Audibles at the Line: Week 11

This week's Audibles features a huge road comeback for the Steelers in Jacksonville; a huge swing in playoff chances in the NFC East; and two wins for road underdogs from the AFC West. Also: adventures in Buccaneers quarterbacking, Week 11 edition.

75 comments, Last at 20 Nov 2018, 7:54pm by yavimaya_eldred

Open Discussion

Week 11 Open Game Discussion
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Week 11 Open Game Discussion

The last time the Packers visited Seattle, a berth in the Super Bowl at stake. The stakes aren't quite as high on Thursday night, but the loser is still going to be in dire straights in a crowded NFC playoff race. Other big games this weekend include Houston-Washington, Minnesota-Chicago on Sunday night, and this year's Game of the Century, the Chiefs facing the Rams in Mexico City Los Angeles. Use this thread to discuss them all.

184 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2018, 11:21am by MarkWilliamson

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: November 16, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: November 16, 2018

This week: vengeance, abandonment, danger, lip syncing, moustaches, sad farewells, petty theft, undying hope, strange decisions to punt, and ketchup.

10 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2018, 3:07pm by LionInAZ