Recent Articles

Stat Analysis

Introducing Targets Above Expectation
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Introducing Targets Above Expectation

At Football Outsiders, we measure receivers based on what they do with the targets they get -- but what happens when you look at a receiver's ability to generate targets in the first place? And what does it tell us about Seahawks receiver Tyler Lockett?

4 comments, Last at 10 May 2019, 11:09pm by nat

Stat Analysis

2019 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis
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2019 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

The annual review of the best values in free agency has harsh words for John Lynch and high praise for some Fitzmagic.

11 comments, Last at 10 May 2019, 8:31am by ArcLight

Week in Quotes

The Month In Quotes: April 2019
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The Month In Quotes: April 2019

This month: the draft! Schedule releases! Twitter beefs! David Gettleman and John Elway try to talk their way out of trouble! Ryan Fitzpatrick gets fat! The Battle of Winterfell! All this and a 67-year-old man takes his shirt off!

8 comments, Last at 07 May 2019, 4:32am by Cale Clinton

NFL Draft

2019 Draft Report Card Report
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2019 Draft Report Card Report

Once again, we cover a dozen different draft experts to find the consensus opinion on which teams drafted well and which dropped the ball. This year's results: everyone loved what the Patriots and Cardinals did, but looked down on the picks of the Giants and Texans. The Bengals and Titans, meanwhile, just left everyone confused.

39 comments, Last at 07 May 2019, 8:27am by SandyRiver

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: May 2
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Off The Charts Podcast: May 2

This week's Off The Charts podcast takes on some of the more extreme ideas being put out on analytics Twitter before getting into an in-depth discussion of some of the more interesting drafts by team. (Click for audio link.)

Recent Articles

Stat Analysis

Third Down and Air Yards
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Third Down and Air Yards

The numbers are clear: deep throws on third-and-long are more effective than checkdowns. So why are coaches so reluctant to call for the long bomb?

22 comments, Last at 07 May 2019, 10:52am by nat

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: 2019 NFL Draft Day Two
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Audibles at the Line: 2019 NFL Draft Day Two

The biggest NFL news on Friday night involved a veteran, not a rookie. How did Josh Rosen wind up in Miami after just one year in Arizona? And who got the better end of the trade, the Dolphins or Cardinals?

24 comments, Last at 08 May 2019, 5:17am by LondonMonarch

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: 2019 NFL Draft Day One
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Audibles at the Line: 2019 NFL Draft Day One

Arizona takes Kyler Murray first overall -- what does this mean for the future of the NFL? Also on the draft's first day: the Giants reach for a quarterback, Washington sits back and waits for theirs, Seattle makes a bunch of trades, pretty much every pass-rusher comes off the board, and Roger Goodell nearly dies.

70 comments, Last at 30 Apr 2019, 4:06pm by RickD

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: April 26
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Off The Charts Podcast: April 26

We've got a very special Off The Charts podcast recorded right after the end of the first round of the 2019 NFL draft. We review all the picks and trades. What made the Giants think Daniel Jones should be the second quarterback off the board? How did Washington win by staying put? How bad was Houston's reach for a tackle Sports Info Solutions ranked tenth at the position? And how much did Seattle clean up on trades? All this and more. (Click for audio link.)

Open Discussion

Open 2019 NFL Draft Thread
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Open 2019 NFL Draft Thread

This is an open thread for discussion of the 2019 NFL draft. You can use this thread all night Thursday night during the first round, or to discuss the aftermath of Round 1 the next day, and then again Friday night (Rounds 2-3) and Saturday (Rounds 4-7). We will also have our annual Audibles at the Line staff discussions from the first two nights, published on Friday and Saturday mornings.

70 comments, Last at 27 Apr 2019, 2:26pm by Alternator