DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
14 TEAMS100% 122.6% 147.2%
299.9% 220.4% 234.1%
399.3% 318.8% 310.1%
498.6% 49.7% 44.6%
598.3% 58.8% 53.1%
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through Week 15 (Thurs)

Recent Articles

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: December 14
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Off The Charts Podcast: December 14

This week on the Off The Charts football podcast, we do a review of the Chargers' big comeback against the Chiefs and then preview three big games of the upcoming weekend: Miami at Minnesota, New England at Pittsburgh, and Philadelphia at the Los Angeles Rams. (Click for audio link.)

7th Day Adventure

Seventh Day Adventure: Bowl Spectacular Part I
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Seventh Day Adventure: Bowl Spectacular Part I

The best thing about bowl season is that there's a game every day. The worst thing is that often, you have no idea who these guys are. Ian Boyd introduces you to some of the best players you'll see in the next week -- including Fresno State receiver KeeSean Johnson.

2 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2018, 11:17pm by Sixknots

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Season's Greetings
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Word of Muth: Season's Greetings

With the Lions, 49ers, and Falcons out of the playoffs, Ben Muth says hello to a new team in the Los Angeles Rams. Unfortunately, the Rams' offensive line had a bad night against the Bears in Chicago, but there's reason to think things would turn around in a postseason rematch.

3 comments, Last at 15 Dec 2018, 9:09am by Raiderfan

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: December 14, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: December 14, 2018

This week: nobody dies, or covers Mike Williams.

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: LAC-KC
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Clutch Encounters: LAC-KC

The Chargers stunned the Chiefs with another 14-point fourth-quarter comeback on the road. We look at how it happened and which team should feel better about a potential rematch in January.

19 comments, Last at 15 Dec 2018, 1:26pm by tuluse

Recent Articles

Open Discussion

Week 15 Open Game Discussion
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Week 15 Open Game Discussion

The biggest game of the week is on Thursday night. With a win, Kansas City can all but wrap up home-field advantage in the AFC -- but with a loss, they open the door a crack for the L.A. Chargers to slip past them and win the AFC West. We've got a pair of Saturday games (Texans-Jets and Browns-Broncos); critical Sunday games such as Cowboys-Colts, Dolphins-Vikings, and Patriots-Steelers; and finally the Saints and Panthers on Monday night. Use this thread to discuss them all.

46 comments, Last at 15 Dec 2018, 11:47am by Mountain Time ---- formerly Ninjalectual

Stat Analysis

Further Research on Play-Action Passing
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Further Research on Play-Action Passing

Guest columnist Ben Baldwin returns for another look at play-action passing in the NFL. Does a team's effectiveness on standard passes have an effect on play-action success? Do teams that run the ball a lot use play-action more often? Do teams that run well use play-action more? And finally, is play-action more effective when it's used sparingly?

13 comments, Last at 15 Dec 2018, 2:51am by Pen

Film Room

Film Room: Bears Defense
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Film Room: Bears Defense

In a year when offenses are running wild like never before, one defense stands out from the pack as the best in the league -- and it's not just because they traded for Khalil Mack. Derrik Klassen shows how the stars in Chicago's secondary are just as important as their pass-rushers.

12 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2018, 9:52am by RfT

FO on ESPN: Upset Watch

ESPN Upset Watch: Chargers-Chiefs
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ESPN Upset Watch: Chargers-Chiefs

This week's Upset Watch looks at what the Chargers need to do to go on the road and win in Kansas City. They match up well against Travis Kelce, but can they stop Tyreek Hill from burning them deep again? Cover Watch looks at Carolina's desperate need for a win against New Orleans.

FEI Ratings

FEI Final Pre-Bowl Ratings and Connectivity
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FEI Final Pre-Bowl Ratings and Connectivity

Jerry Jeudy and Alabama were very good this year, just like we all expected. Same goes for their Playoff competitors in Clemson, Oklahoma, and Notre Dame, and other top teams like Ohio State and Washington. Brian Fremeau looks back at a year filled with boring predictability and tries to find out why good teams don't play each other anymore.

2 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2018, 7:35am by Brian Fremeau

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: The One True Pro Bowl Ballot
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Scramble for the Ball: The One True Pro Bowl Ballot

Don't shoot the messengers! Bryan and Andrew reveal the one and only correct Pro Bowl ballot, so you can all go vote properly before the Thursday deadline.

21 comments, Last at 13 Dec 2018, 11:11pm by Ming the Merciless

DVOA Ratings

Week 14 DVOA Ratings
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Week 14 DVOA Ratings

Chicago's big win over the Rams moves the Bears into position as a historically dominant defense while also moving the Chargers up in DVOA to set up DVOA Bowl XIX this Thursday night. Plus, in-depth on the Rams' record-setting offensive line season, and why DVOA isn't as high as conventional wisdom on the Dallas Cowboys.

53 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2018, 5:05pm by Sportszilla