DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Odds to Win Super Bowl LIII
131.5% 320.4%
229.0% 419.1%
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through Week 19

Recent Articles

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Shivering With Anticipation
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Scramble for the Ball: Shivering With Anticipation

Who needs an exciting divisional round? With the conference championships running back some of the best games of the year, Bryan and Andrew are giddy with excitement.

11 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2019, 6:53pm by justanothersteve

Extra Points

Rob Weintraub's All-AFC West Team
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Rob Weintraub's All-AFC West Team

Continuing our series, Rob Weintraub chooses an all-star team for each of the eight NFL divisions. This is our chance to recognize some lesser players who had good seasons but not enough to make the larger Pro Bowl roster.

2 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2019, 5:46pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Extra Points

Rob Weintraub's All-AFC South Team
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Rob Weintraub's All-AFC South Team

The first in a series, Rob Weintraub chooses an all-star team for each of the eight NFL divisions. This is our chance to recognize some lesser players who had good seasons but not enough to make the larger Pro Bowl roster.

9 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2019, 11:07am by Todd S.

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Divisional Round
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Clutch Encounters: Divisional Round

The NFL will crown a new champion for the 14th year in a row. We look at how the Eagles went from all-time playoff upset to all-time playoff blunder. Also: Sean McVay needs two seasons to get to a round the Cowboys haven't seen since 1995. After a bland weekend, let's talk about whether teams down 15 points should wait on the two-point conversion like Dallas did.

28 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2019, 6:37pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Extra Points

Injury Aftermath: Divisional Round
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Injury Aftermath: Divisional Round

The Saints lose a key defensive lineman, an Eagles guard faces a race to be fit for the start of next season, and the Chiefs have lingering doubts over a trio of would-be starters. We take a quick look at the injury situation for each of the remaining teams.

3 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2019, 8:10am by Randall Turner

Recent Articles

DVOA Ratings

Week 19 DVOA Ratings
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Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Big games for the No. 2 seeds mean our weighted DVOA ratings are now grouped very close together going into the conference championships.

41 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2019, 10:28pm by Lost Ti-Cats Fan

Quick Reads

Divisional Round Quick Reads
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Divisional Round Quick Reads

There were not a lot of close games this weekend, but a trio of running backs had notable performances -- two really good, one really bad.

15 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2019, 12:25pm by BJR

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Divisional Round
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Audibles at the Line: Divisional Round

A very tame divisional round again ends in a quartet of home-team victories. Only one of those road teams could even be truly described as competitive, but even Old Saint Nick was stopped late against the Saints.

119 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2019, 1:48pm by theslothook

Open Discussion

Divisional Round Open Game Discussion
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Divisional Round Open Game Discussion

Your weekend viewing plans (all times Eastern): SATURDAY: Indianapolis at Kansas City, 4:35 p.m.; Dallas at L.A. Rams, 8:15 p.m. SUNDAY: L.A. Chargers at New England, 1:05 p.m.; Philadelphia at New Orleans, 4:40 p.m. Win or go home. Use this thread to discuss them all.

192 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2019, 6:18am by umuddafadda

Game Previews

AFC Divisional Round Preview 2019
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AFC Divisional Round Preview 2019

The Chiefs get the hottest team in the NFL, the Indianapolis Colts, in a matchup of the top two teams in weighted DVOA. Meanwhile, the Patriots get a Chargers team that had superior stats and more wins during the regular season. We go through all the matchup numbers and tell you what to watch for this weekend in the AFC.

30 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2019, 7:11am by Randall Turner

Game Previews

NFC Divisional Round Preview 2019
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NFC Divisional Round Preview 2019

Can the four remaining NFC teams properly exploit their opponents' weaknesses this weekend? The Eagles haven't thrown deep much with Nick Foles at quarterback, but the Saints can be torched deep. The Rams can't stop the run, but the Cowboys run-first offense isn't as efficient as you might expect. These are just a couple of the matchups analyzed in our NFC divisional playoff preview.

6 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2019, 5:32pm by dmstorm22

Week in Quotes

The Week In Quotes: January 11, 2019
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The Week In Quotes: January 11, 2019

This week: new coaches and their roster-building plans, old coaches and their motivational techniques, old players and their thoughts on coaches, current players with old rivals on new teams, old players with old grudges, and an ape.

7 comments, Last at 14 Jan 2019, 5:41am by Bright Blue Shorts