DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
1100% 128.2% 157.8%
299.99% 221.9% 223.4%
399.99% 317.9% 311.2%
499.3% 47.6% 46.9%
598.4% 57.4% 50.3%
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through Week 13

Recent Articles

Open Discussion

Week 14 Open Game Discussion
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Week 14 Open Game Discussion

The biggest games of the week are Philadelphia-Dallas and Minnesota-Seattle, where the Cowboys and Seahawks can all but clinch playoff berths with wins, but could be in rough shape with losses, while the Eagles and Vikings are both fighting for their lives. Other games with playoff implications include the Jags and Titans on Thursday night, and Colts-Texans, Ravens-Chiefs, Patriots-Dolphins, and Rams-Bears contests on Sunday. Use this thread to discuss them all.

96 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2018, 8:28pm by Cythammer

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: December 8, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: December 8, 2018

Better late than never, we've got quotes on Mike McCarthy's firing, changes in special teams, what it's like to play spoiler, shoddy officiating, cannabis, choking in Texas, and the contents in (and on) Sean McVay's head.

4 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2018, 11:57am by jtr

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Falcons in Free Fall
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Word of Muth: Falcons in Free Fall

The Falcons offense, and the line in particular, had a bad night in a loss to the Ravens -- the kind of night that can cost players their jobs.

2 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 3:00pm by jtr

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: December 6
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Off The Charts Podcast: December 6

Time for a new Off The Charts podcast. This week we update the playoff picture and then preview three big weekend games: Philadelphia at Dallas, Baltimore at Kansas City, and Minnesota at Seattle. (Click for audio link.)

Film Room

Film Room: Denver's Running Game
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Film Room: Denver's Running Game

The Broncos' three-game winning streak has been keyed by an undrafted rookie running back and an offensive line full of backups and journeymen. Derrik Klassen shows how Bill Musgrave has found a home for his misfit toys.

4 comments, Last at 08 Dec 2018, 3:00pm by Vincent Verhei

Recent Articles

FO on ESPN: Feature Columns

ESPN: Predicting Wild-Card Races
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ESPN: Predicting Wild-Card Races

On ESPN+ a look at each team's odds of winning the wild card and what needs to happen for each team to get into the playoffs. It's looking pretty good for the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Chargers, but the other two wild cards are very up in the air.

FO on ESPN: Upset Watch

ESPN Upset Watch: Eagles-Cowboys
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ESPN Upset Watch: Eagles-Cowboys

This week's Upset Watch looks at the huge Dallas-Philadelphia game on Sunday. What do the Eagles need to do to score the upset and become NFC East favorites? A lot of play-action and some better tackling would help. Cover Watch looks at Pittsburgh's trip to Oakland.

2 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2018, 4:37pm by Aaron Schatz

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Coaching Seats En Fuego
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Scramble for the Ball: Coaching Seats En Fuego

The Hue Jackson and Mike McCarthy firings have kickstarted the coaching carousel with a month left in the season! Bryan and Andrew look at jobs open now (in Cleveland and Green Bay) and potentially soon (all over Florida) in search of the best spot for a new hire.

42 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 5:55pm by OldFox

DVOA Ratings

Week 13 DVOA Ratings
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Week 13 DVOA Ratings

The Chargers and Broncos rise to give us three AFC West teams in our top five. Plus, a further look at Baltimore's three-game winning streak and playoff odds in the NFC East with a huge game between Philadelphia and Dallas this coming Sunday.

58 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 8:36pm by Richie

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Week 13
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Clutch Encounters: Week 13

Week 13 is an unlucky one for several of the game's high-profile quarterbacks. Pittsburgh blows a big lead at home for the first time ever. Also: Chicago's fun near-comeback, the end of an era in Green Bay, hollow passing stats rule 2018, and an absolute stunner in Jacksonville.

5 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2018, 10:12pm by Will Allen

Any Given Sunday

Any Given Sunday: Cardinals over Packers
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Any Given Sunday: Cardinals over Packers

We come not to praise Mike McCarthy, but to bury him.

9 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2018, 8:48am by TheIdealGrassLaw

Quick Reads

Week 13 Quick Reads
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Week 13 Quick Reads

Dak Prescott's performance against New Orleans this week was the latest example of something that has become routine in the NFL this season: quarterbacks finishing with more sacks than incompletions. Why are signal-callers suddenly going down so frequently? Plus, the best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 13.

69 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 1:31pm by ammek