2

Tyler Lockett and Seahawks Look to Rock Minnesota

Sometimes, fantasy football is simple. The Seattle Seahawks—including Russell Wilson, Tyler Lockett, and DK Metcalf—are good. The Vikings secondary is bad, and even a home game may not benefit them since they play in a dome, which makes life easier for quarterbacks and wideouts. Scott Spratt breaks down the other good (and bad) matchups of Week 3.

5 hours ago
7

Odell Beckham and the Legion of Vaporware WRs

Odell Beckham and Will Fuller are slated to return to Browns and Dolphins teams that desperately need them. But didn't we say that last week? And will Curtis Samuel's hamstring ever heal? Walkthrough hopes some of the NFL's dynamic receivers will be worth the wait. Plus: Derrick Henry's purgatory, Sony Michel's opportunity, and a guide to betting against Davis Mills.

9 hours ago

DVOA Ratings

Through Week 3

Overall

1 CAR 47.5%
2 LAR 43.0%
3 TB 41.1%
4 DEN 38.9%
5 ARI 32.3%

Offense

1 CLE 40.1%
2 KC 36.1%
3 SEA 33.0%
4 DEN 32.9%
5 LAR 32.0%

Defense

1 CAR -52.0%
2 BUF -37.1%
3 NE -24.0%
4 LAR -19.9%
5 NO -19.7%

Our Metrics Explained

What is DVOA?

Defense-adjusted Value Over Average

Measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.

What is DYAR?

Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement

Compares the performance of each player, in terms of DVOA, to a replacement-level baseline rather than the league average for that position.

What is DAVE?

DVOA Adjusted for Volatility Early

Used early in the year with the goal of getting the best idea of how good a team will be over the entire season without jumping to conclusions based on one or two good or bad early games.

More From the Outsiders

0

Zach Wilson, Bill Belichick, and Selecting a Loser League Quarterback

Now that you can set your Loser League lineup every week, you have a decision to make—go for the floundering rookie, or find a devastating defensive matchup? We look at the historical numbers to see which strategy works better. Plus, we announce our veteran Week 2 winner and make picks for the biggest losers of Week 3.

Sep 22, 2021
10

Lamar Jackson Hits for the Cycle, Mac Jones Laps the OROY Field

Lamar Jackson threw for over 200 yards, rushed for over 100 yards, and scored three total touchdowns on Sunday night. Walkthrough investigates just how many other QBs have done that in NFL history. Plus: a look at why Mac Jones is the best bet to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, some QB injury updates, and a dive into the New York Giants' alternate reality.

Sep 22, 2021
75

DVOA Week 2: Panthers No. 1 for First Time Ever

The surprising Carolina Panthers are No. 1 in DVOA for the first time in history! Let's look at some similar teams to see how likely it is that they will be able to keep up their early success, especially on defense. Plus, why the Raiders may not be as good as the other 2-0 teams, and can the Chiefs survive despite awful defense?

Sep 21, 2021
43

QR Week 2: King Henry Goes Once More Unto the Breach

The Tennessee Titans overcame a big halftime deficit to escape Seattle with an overtime win, and running back Derrick Henry was the key to their comeback. Henry has a reputation for playing better at halftime, but has that really been the case? And do other running backs have a similar knack for playing better late in games? Plus the best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 2.

Sep 20, 2021