DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
191.6% 124.1% 124.9%
282.4% 211.4% 224.0%
381.8% 39.9% 39.8%
454.7% 45.3% 46.6%
554.3% 54.5% 55.9%
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through Week 3 (no MNF)

Recent Articles

Extra Points

Injury Aftermath: Week 3
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Injury Aftermath: Week 3

Jimmy Garoppolo is the clear and obvious headline, but four teams also lost key defenders to major injuries in Week 3.

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 3
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Audibles at the Line: Week 3

Up is down and left is right in a crazy Week 3, as a 17-point favorite loses at home to the Buffalo Bills, the Jaguars once again lose to a team who started Blaine Gabbert at quarterback, and the Patriots suffer a second consecutive double-digit loss for the first time since 2002.

147 comments, Last at 24 Sep 2018, 4:54pm by Mike B. In Va

Open Discussion

Week 3 Open Game Discussion
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Week 3 Open Game Discussion

The last time the Cleveland Browns won a regular season game, Myles Garrett was still playing at Texas A&M. Together they have a chance to win again, hosting the Jets on Thursday night. Use this thread to discuss that game and all the weekend's action, up to the Steelers-Buccaneers contest on Monday night.

156 comments, Last at 24 Sep 2018, 4:00pm by dbt

Week in Quotes

The Week In Quotes: September 21, 2018
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The Week In Quotes: September 21, 2018

Jon Gruden has issues with former Raiders, Antonio Brown has a bad week, Vontae Davis retires at halftime, and the Cleveland Browns win a football game.

12 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2018, 6:20am by David

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Welcome to Atlanta
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Word of Muth: Welcome to Atlanta

In his first article looking at the Falcons, offensive line expert Ben Muth explains why outside zone runs put so much pressure on a defense, how Atlanta will cope with the loss of Andy Levitre, and why even the best run-blocking team needs a lot of help from its running backs.

6 comments, Last at 24 Sep 2018, 3:15pm by atworkforu

Recent Articles

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: NYJ-CLE
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Clutch Encounters: NYJ-CLE

Cleveland's 19-game winless streak is over after Baker Mayfield's debut ignites a dramatic comeback. Why didn't Hue Jackson start the No. 1 pick sooner? We also look at how coaches go against their word on their rookie QB plans, and why they should start ASAP.

39 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2018, 2:53pm by mehllageman56

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: September 20

Off The Charts Podcast: September 20

Thursday afternoon means a brand-new edition of the Off The Charts podcast, with Matt Manocherian of Sports Info Solutions and Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders. This week we discuss the best routes to run against Cover-3, review Week 2, and preview the most important games of Week 3 including Atlanta-New Orleans, Tennessee-Jacksonville, and Green Bay-Washington.

1 comment, Last at 22 Sep 2018, 3:25am by rudolffairbanks

Film Room

Film Room: Jacksonville Defense
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Film Room: Jacksonville Defense

Malik Jackson and his teammates had a great game against New England, pressuring Tom Brady, limiting the damage the Patriots could do on big plays, and making Rob Gronkowski a non-factor. That doesn't mean that they'll be able to do the same thing should the teams meet again in the playoffs.

1 comment, Last at 20 Sep 2018, 1:36pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

7th Day Adventure

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 4
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Seventh Day Adventure: Week 4

Big games this week include Notre Dame-Wake Forest, TCU-Texas, and Oregon (with top quarterback draft prospect Justin Herbert) taking on Stanford.

FO on ESPN: Upset Watch

ESPN Upset Watch: Redskins-Packers
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ESPN Upset Watch: Redskins-Packers

One of the little secrets of the NFL the last couple years: Washington is not a bad team, just a mediocre one. And with better red zone performance, mediocrity might be enough to upset the Green Bay Packers at home.

2 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2018, 2:58pm by Aaron Schatz