DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
198.7% 125.1% 122.1%
293.0% 217.7% 218.5%
379.8% 38.5% 317.4%
474.7% 48.4% 411.6%
572.9% 56.6% 59.5%
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through Week 6

Recent Articles

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: October 18
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Off The Charts Podcast: October 18

We start this week's podcast by playing "Real or Fake" about the Chargers, Bears, Seahawks, Eagles, and Panthers. Then game previews of Week 7's most important games: Texans-Jaguars, Cowboys-Redskins, and Chiefs-Bengals. (Click for audio link.)

Open Discussion

Week 7 Open Game Discussion
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Week 7 Open Game Discussion

Unless you're a David Johnson fantasy owner, the Broncos-Cardinals Thursday night game looks like a snoozer, but eight games on Sunday pit two teams at .500 or better against each other: Titans-Chargers, Patriots-Bears, Texans-Jaguars, Vikings-Jets, Panthers-Eagles, Cowboys-Washington, Bengals-Chiefs, and maybe the biggest game of the week, New Orleans traveling to Baltimore to take on the Ravens. Use this thread to discuss them all.

7th Day Adventure

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 8
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Seventh Day Adventure: Week 8

Saturday's biggest game has Nick Fitzgerald and the Mississippi State Bulldogs squaring off against LSU. Other notable matchups include Michigan-Michigan State, Oklahoma-TCU, and Ohio State-Purdue.

Film Room

Film Room: Philip Rivers
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Film Room: Philip Rivers

The Chargers quarterback has been flying under the radar this season, but he's playing some of the best ball of his career and has Los Angeles primed to return to the postseason.

3 comments, Last at 18 Oct 2018, 2:47pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

FO on ESPN: Upset Watch

ESPN Upset Watch: Jets-Vikings
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ESPN Upset Watch: Jets-Vikings

This week's ESPN Upset Watch looks at how the Jets can use their improved defense to take down the Minnesota Vikings at home. Cover Watch looks at the Giants and Falcons on Monday Night Football.

Recent Articles

FO on ESPN: Feature Columns

ESPN: Playoff Odds for Struggling NFC Contenders
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ESPN: Playoff Odds for Struggling NFC Contenders

Football Outsiders' preseason projections had eight of the top 12 teams coming out of the NFC. Yet six of those teams are now 3-2-1 or worse. What are their chances for rebounding and getting into the postseason? You may be surprised by the relative odds for Green Bay and Minnesota in particular.

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Contractual Obligations
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Scramble for the Ball: Contractual Obligations

Reeling from their own terrible drafts, Bryan and Andrew take a glance back at the top fantasy prospects of 2018 -- and see just how many have fallen by the wayside.

27 comments, Last at 18 Oct 2018, 6:58pm by Raiderjoe

DVOA Ratings

Week 6 DVOA Ratings
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Week 6 DVOA Ratings

In close games, DVOA doesn't look at wins and losses, which is how the Chiefs can take over the No. 1 spot from the Rams despite a close loss. The secret: strength of schedule and special teams. Plus, more of a look at the incredibly bad Buffalo offense and the surprisingly good Buffalo defense.

55 comments, Last at 18 Oct 2018, 5:13pm by ChrisS

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Week 6
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Clutch Encounters: Week 6

A bland week was spiced up by the Chiefs-Patriots and 49ers-Packers in prime time. Also: Pittsburgh loves playing in Cincinnati, Brock Osweiler loves the Bears, Falcons on the winning side of history, and is Nathan Peterman the worst NFL quarterback in decades?

8 comments, Last at 18 Oct 2018, 8:42am by Lost Ti-Cats Fan

Any Given Sunday

Any Given Sunday: Cowboys over Jaguars
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Any Given Sunday: Cowboys over Jaguars

Dallas runs the offense they were always supposed to run; Jacksonville runs out of explosive plays.

Quick Reads

Week 6 Quick Reads
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Week 6 Quick Reads

In the time it takes you to read this, the Baltimore Ravens have sacked Marcus Mariota again. We break down Mariota's sacks and look at other quarterbacks who suffered severe beatings (Randall Cunningham, hello!). Plus, the best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 6.

56 comments, Last at 17 Oct 2018, 6:55pm by JoeyHarringtonReigns

One Foot Inbounds

OFI: Chaos Reigns in the Top 25
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OFI: Chaos Reigns in the Top 25

We finally got a week full of upsets: eight top-25 teams lost, and nearly everyone looked vulnerable.

1 comment, Last at 15 Oct 2018, 10:27pm by techvet