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2017 Play-Action Defense

Our look at play-action pass in 2017 flips to the defensive side of the ball. Carolina was historically good, Houston was historically bad, and a long-standing question about year-to-year correlation gets cleared up.

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Football Outsiders Features

Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads

Here are all our advanced numbers from Super Bowl LII. As you can imagine, the offensive numbers are pretty high. The Patriots end up with the higher DVOA, but that's not how games get decided.

39 comments, Last Comment at 22 Feb 2018, 7:31pm by eagle97a

Feb 05, 2018 06:50am by Vincent Verhei || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Deshaun Watson

Guest columnist Karan Gill shows how the Houston quarterback's deep ball improved throughout his rookie season, and how Bill O'Brien put him in a position to succeed.

0 comments

May 29, 2018 12:36pm by Guest || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Getting the Job Done

Philadelphia's offensive line wasn't perfect against Minnesota, but did enough to lead the Eagles to an NFC championship -- and there's reason to believe they'll be even more effective in the Super Bowl.

2 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2018, 5:43pm by Sifter

Feb 01, 2018 10:26am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating Philadelphia

The Patriots won't necessarily need a big game from Tom Brady to win the Super Bowl -- but the Eagles absolutely will need one from Nick Foles.

26 comments, Last Comment at 21 Feb 2018, 8:15pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Jan 30, 2018 11:46am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles at the Line: 2018 NFL Draft Day Two

Your Audibles crew passes comment on Day Two of the 2018 NFL Draft, including a spirited debate on Mason Rudolph and what he can bring to Pittsburgh.

68 comments, Last Comment at 05 May 2018, 12:47pm by The Ninjalectual

Apr 28, 2018 02:32am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final Ratings

Another year, another Alabama championship. Is it a good thing for the sport of college football that one program is so dominant over its competition?

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Jan 10, 2018 06:32pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Freshmen Propel Alabama

Replacing starter Jalen Hurts, Alabama quarterback Tua Tagavailoa threw a 41-yard walk-off touchdown pass to fellow freshman DeVonta Smith on second-and-26 in overtime for yet another Alabama championship.

12 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2018, 2:27pm by Anger...rising

Jan 09, 2018 12:47pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: National Championship Preview

Most expected Georgia to face Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. We're finally getting that matchup, but the stakes are even higher than anticipated.

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Jan 07, 2018 02:53pm by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Steelers

Wow, an underdog upset the Steelers? Get out of town -- then, head to New England, for the AFC Championship Game.

12 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 11:31am by sbond101

Jan 16, 2018 02:55pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Month In Quotes: June 2018

There is no theme or trend in the quotes this month, so here is a picture of Graham Gano, who kicks balls really far even when he's not on the clock.

14 comments, Last Comment at 12 Jul 2018, 4:47am by Jerry

Jul 05, 2018 10:53am by Cale Clinton || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Football Outsiders On-Line Mock Draft

As the calendar turns to April, we're proud to introduce the first ever Football Outsiders On-Line Mock Draft. Using our full range of analytical tools, we predict the entire first round, complete with trades, surprises, and everything else that makes the draft special.

22 comments, Last Comment at 03 Apr 2018, 1:48pm by bravehoptoad

Apr 01, 2018 11:31am by The Outsiders || read all Scramble articles

Playoff Odds Report

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Win Super Bowl LIII
1 PIT 13.8% 6 GB 5.6% 11 HOU 2.6%
2 NE 13.4% 7 MIN 5.2% 12 SEA 2.5%
3 NO 7.9% 8 DAL 5.1% 13 IND 2.3%
4 LAR 7.2% 9 BAL 3.1% 14 TEN 2.0%
5 PHI 5.7% 10 ATL 2.6% 15 OAK 2.0%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!from Football Outsiders Almanac 2018

Most Recent Articles

19 Jul 2018, 11:33am by Bryan Knowles

2017 Play-Action Defense

Our look at play-action pass in 2017 flips to the defensive side of the ball. Carolina was historically good, Houston was historically bad, and a long-standing question about year-to-year correlation gets cleared up.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 9:35am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

17 Jul 2018, 09:17am by Bryan Knowles

2017 Play-Action Offense

Party like it's 2012! Play-action came roaring back to the forefront of the league last season. From traditional play fakes to RPO shenanigans, play-action was the hot sensation sweeping the nation.

» More...

11 comments, Last at 18 Jul 2018, 6:53pm by Vincent Verhei

13 Jul 2018, 10:56am by Bryan Knowles

2017 Run Defense by Number of Backs

Our annual look at defensive success against multiple-back formations sees Seattle struggling to stop fullbacks, Indianapolis begging teams to use fullbacks, and Arizona trying to remember what a fullback even is.

» More...

4 comments, Last at 15 Jul 2018, 12:39pm by Theo

11 Jul 2018, 12:16pm by Bryan Knowles

2017 Run Offense by Number of Backs

Our annual look at two-back rushing attempts features Chip Kelly's legacy in Philadelphia (but not San Francisco), Green Bay's fading memories of John Kuhn, and a Super Bowl matchup between two teams with very different philosophies.

» More...

7 comments, Last at 18 Jul 2018, 3:27pm by CaffeineMan

09 Jul 2018, 02:43pm by Guest

2017 Quarterbacks and Salary

The Eagles' path to the Super Bowl was paved by a home-field advantage earned in part because they got an MVP-caliber season from a quarterback on his rookie contract. In Baltimore, meanwhile, Joe Flacco got paid a lot of money for little production.

» More...

16 comments, Last at 11 Jul 2018, 6:37pm by kckolbe

06 Jul 2018, 12:21pm by Scott Kacsmar

Pressure by Number of Pass-Rushers 2017

Our conclusion to 2017's pressure study breaks down pass rushing by the number of rushers. Which defenses were the most blitz-happy or the most passive? We also found that one division loved the defensive back blitz more than any other.

» More...

8 comments, Last at 19 Jul 2018, 3:15am by bsminh63

05 Jul 2018, 10:53am by Cale Clinton

The Month In Quotes: June 2018

There is no theme or trend in the quotes this month, so here is a picture of Graham Gano, who kicks balls really far even when he's not on the clock.

» More...

14 comments, Last at 12 Jul 2018, 4:47am by Jerry

03 Jul 2018, 03:26pm by Scott Kacsmar

Defense and Pass Pressure 2017

Florida was home to 2017's most impressive, most terrible, and most disappointing pass rush. And the best pass rush outside of Florida came from a surprising place: Washington D.C.

» More...

12 comments, Last at 12 Jul 2018, 9:16pm by The Ninjalectual

28 Jun 2018, 12:06pm by Scott Kacsmar

Quarterbacks and Pressure 2017

2017 saw a massive improvement for Jared Goff, optimism for Jimmy Garoppolo and Deshaun Watson, and the first time two players had positive DVOA under pressure. Also: will Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson ever change their style the way Ben Roethlisberger has?

» More...

7 comments, Last at 05 Jul 2018, 1:04pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

25 Jun 2018, 07:16pm by Zach Binney

Questionable Behavior

What does a player's status on the injury report really mean? To a large extent, that depends on which team he plays for, and what he does in practice during the week.

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3 comments, Last at 27 Jun 2018, 1:11pm by jtr

21 Jun 2018, 05:48pm by Bryan Knowles

2017 Defensive Personnel Analysis

Defenses have taken a wide variety of responses to the rise of 11 personnel. Is any one system better than another? And how has the rise of the "moneybacker" changed defensive philosophy?

» More...

21 comments, Last at 27 Jun 2018, 10:58pm by TheIdealGrassLaw

19 Jun 2018, 12:22pm by Bryan Knowles

2017 Offensive Personnel Analysis

It's a three-receiver league, but for the first time since 2010, the frequency of 11 personnel actually went down last year. Was it a blip, or sign of things to come?

» More...

11 comments, Last at 28 Jun 2018, 6:57am by Bright Blue Shorts

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