DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
199.99% 134.1% 154.5%
299.97% 222.3% 219.2%
399.1% 311.8% 313.5%
493.6% 48.1% 43.8%
592.3% 56.2% 53.7%
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through Week 10

Recent Articles

DVOA Ratings

Week 10 DVOA Ratings
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Week 10 DVOA Ratings

Big wins mean big movement in our DVOA ratings, with Pittsburgh jumping up from 11th to fifth and big moves for Green Bay, Tennessee, and Buffalo as well. We also explore the history of the DVOA Bowl as No. 1 prepares to meet No. 2, and jump into the workings of DVOA to try to figure out why New Orleans doesn't rank higher in our metric.

9 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 10:03pm by TomC

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Week 10
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Clutch Encounters: Week 10

Is time just a flat circle in the NFC East? Jason Garrett ends another short losing streak and the Eagles fail to close again. Also: Rams sweep Seattle, the Giants distance themselves from the No. 1 pick, and the final nail in Jacksonville's coffin is not a Blake Bortles turnover.

4 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 8:33pm by Scott Kacsmar

Any Given Sunday

Any Given Sunday: Titans over Patriots
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Any Given Sunday: Titans over Patriots

Tom Brady and the New England offense are taking on some water. Is this the end of the line, or one of those many ends of the line you've heard about before that wasn't actually the end of the line? And what got into Tennessee's passing offense after the bye?

1 comment, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 4:36pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Quick Reads

Week 10 Quick Reads
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Week 10 Quick Reads

Ben Roethlisberger's thrashing of Carolina was the best game of the week -- but not, surprisingly, the best game of the year. We explain and look at the best and worst quarterback games since 1989. Plus the best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 10.

87 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 9:48pm by TomC

One Foot Inbounds

OFI: A Static Top 10 in Week 11
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OFI: A Static Top 10 in Week 11

Everyone in the top ten won this week, with only LSU and Oklahoma winning close games. This season could use a shake-up or two at the top, as the preseason favorites have more or less stayed that way.

Recent Articles

Extra Points

Injury Aftermath: Week 10
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Injury Aftermath: Week 10

Two more ACL injuries mean two more players are lost for the season. We have the latest injury news from Week 10's games.

2 comments, Last at 12 Nov 2018, 9:26pm by Jose21crisis

Extra Points

Top Potential NFL Head Coach Candidates
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Top Potential NFL Head Coach Candidates

A good conversation starter here, as Trevor Sikkema puts together a list of possible head coaching candidates for next year. Obviously, the hot young offensive mind everyone in the NFL wants is Lincoln Riley of Oklahoma, but there's also Vikings OC John DeFilippo and Titans OC Matt LaFleur. There are some defensive minds on here, and some older retreads who may get new consideration. Norv Turner again? I suppose it's possible. Who's your favorite head coach candidate?

4 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 2:34pm by serutan

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 10
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Audibles at the Line: Week 10

Dominating wins for the Saints, the Titans (?), and the Bills (?!?) headline Week 10, but the closer wins might be the most significant. The Bears, Colts, Rams, and Cowboys all pick up important victories inside their divisions as the playoff race heats up. Your Audibles crew shares their thoughts.

122 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 7:44pm by yavimaya_eldred

Open Discussion

Week 10 Open Game Discussion
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Week 10 Open Game Discussion

It's a rarity, but the best game of the week is on Thursday night, as Cam Newton faces Pittsburgh for just the second time in his career when the 6-2 Panthers visit the 5-2-1 Steelers. Only three other games this weekend (Saints-Bengals, Patriots-Titans, and Seahawks-Rams) feature two teams at .500 or better. Use this thread to discuss them all.

117 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 8:25am by umuddafadda

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: November 9, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: November 9, 2018

This week: players on new teams, players in new positions, players paying tribute to old players, old players unhappy with new players, new players unhappy with each other, players enjoying beer bashes, and a little bit of potty mouth.

4 comments, Last at 09 Nov 2018, 10:56pm by PatsFan

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: From the Ashes
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Word of Muth: From the Ashes

After a very slow start to the year, the Falcons have won three in a row to get back to .500. Offensive line expert Ben Muth shows how the offensive line led the way to Atlanta's biggest win of the year.

3 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2018, 11:11am by Alex51

Podcasts

Off The Charts Podcast: November 8
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Off The Charts Podcast: November 8

Special guest Mike Tanier joins Matt Manocherian and Aaron Schatz on this week's Off The Charts Podcast to talk about the current state of the Philadelphia Eagles; whether signing Dez Bryant will work for the New Orleans Saints; and whether the Miami Dolphins are now the blandest team in the National Football League. Plus, a big debate about how to value running backs. How much does Todd Gurley's rushing mean to his value if there's research showing that receiving is so much more important than rushing? And how much do we need to value Gurley's volume as opposed to just analyzing players with rate stats? (Click for audio link.)