61
Week 6 Open Discussion
Sunday begins with another game from the U.K. as Miami (1-4) "visits" the Jaguars (0-5), which is a matchup of two teams who have cocked things up and gone all to bloody pot, innit?
17 hours ago
Week 6 Previews: Can the Browns Win with Baker Mayfield?
Can the Cleveland Browns win big games? Is Baker Mayfield worth a nine-figure contract? Sunday's showdown with the Arizona Cardinals will help answer that question. Plus, Walkthrough solves the riddle of the Los Angeles Chargers' low DVOA, predicts how Bengals-Lions will turn out, and even finds a wager that will make Dolphins-Jaguars interesting.
Oct 15, 2021
The Week in Quotes: October 15, 2021
This week: Patrick Mahomes vs. his own defense, Urban Meyer vs. Trevor Lawrence, and Penn State vs. the Iowa fans. Plus more from the Chargers on fourth downs, and Saquon Barkley and T.Y. Hilton discuss their injuries.
Oct 15, 2021
NFL Week 6 Fantasy Preview: Football Outsiders LIVE!
Scott Spratt hosts the FO Fantasy Show on Twitch this week with he is joined by Aaron Schatz. Scott and Aaron group broke down the Week 6 matchups from a fantasy and DFS prospective.
Oct 15, 2021
Can Offensive Line Save Kansas City's Season?
The Chiefs' offense is next to last in turnovers, and their defense is dead last in DVOA. But Ben Muth says the big boys up front are still getting the job done and the offense, at least, should get things sorted soon.
Oct 15, 2021
Extra Points
News and commentary from around the web.
FO on
Football Outsiders content published by ESPN
Recent Articles
Can Offensive Line Save Kansas City's Season?
The Chiefs' offense is next to last in turnovers, and their defense is dead last in DVOA. But Ben Muth says the big boys up front are still getting the job done and the offense, at least, should get things sorted soon.
Oct 15, 2021
Week 6 NFL DFS Picks With Al Zeidenfeld: SPLASH PLAY
Pete Overzet and Chris Spags of EdjSports break down some of the massive injury news that affects the entire Week 6 NFL DFS and fantasy slate with the help of ESPN+’s fantasy legend Al Zeidenfeld!
Oct 15, 2021
SDA Week 7: Pitt, Tennessee, Texas Chasing Conference Championships
As the college football season approaches its stretch run, plenty of surprising teams are still in contention for unlikely titles. From a wide-open SEC West to a key showdown in the Big 12 scramble, underdogs with slim playoff odds still have plenty to play for in the second half.
Oct 15, 2021
Burrow, Chase Ready to Lead Bengals over Lions
The Detroit Lions have a terrible defense and an offense that can't stay on the field. That spells fantasy gold for their opponents this week, the Cincinnati Bengals, including quarterback Joe Burrow, running back Joe Mixon, and wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase.
Oct 14, 2021
Our Metrics Explained
What is DVOA?
Defense-adjusted Value Over Average
Measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.
What is DYAR?
Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement
Compares the performance of each player, in terms of DVOA, to a replacement-level baseline rather than the league average for that position.
What is DAVE?
DVOA Adjusted for Volatility Early
Used early in the year with the goal of getting the best idea of how good a team will be over the entire season without jumping to conclusions based on one or two good or bad early games.
Continue Reading
Buccaneers: Stronger Than the Average Defending Champion
Tampa Bay comes out better than average when we compare them to the average defending champion in DVOA. Kansas City comes out below average for a defending Super Bowl loser, but by less than you might expect. Plus, a mini Thursday night Bucs-Eagles preview!
Oct 14, 2021
NFL Week 6 Preview: Schatz & Tanier Football Outsiders LIVE!
Schatz & Tanier on Football Outsiders Live! is hosted by Aaron Schatz with Mike Tanier. This week Aaron and Mike are joined by Football Outsiders staff writer Tom Gower. The group discussed the biggest matchups of the weekend providing some bets and picks to make for this weekend.
Oct 14, 2021
Buccaneers vs Eagles TNF Preview + Lineup Builds: SPLASH PLAY
Pete Overzet and Chris Spags of EdjSports catch up on this week’s NFL news, review some interesting stats for key fantasy players, and preview Thursday Night Football’s Bucs-Eagles game for betting and NFL DFS!
Oct 14, 2021
Josh Allen and the NFL's Roughing the Passer Problem
The NFL is on pace to call a record number of roughing the passer penalties. Walkthrough explains how strict interpretations of the rules could end up doing more harm than good. Plus, learn how Matthew Stafford and the Rams offense is running on empty, and get caught up with the Jaguars diaspora.
Oct 14, 2021
FEI Week 6: Sooners Rally Punctuates Weekend of Comebacks
Oklahoma trailed Texas 28-7 at the end of the first quarter before inserting freshman quarterback Caleb Williams, who rallied them to a 55-48 win. Brian Fremeau looks at comebacks and asks whether they have any more predictive value than wire-to-wire victories.
Oct 13, 2021
Mason Crosby and the Other Stars of Doinktober
With the NFL setting new records for kicking futility in Week 5, which kickers should just shrug and move on, and which should be prepping their resumes?
Oct 13, 2021
Is There Such a Thing as Too Much Football?
In a week where your humble Scramblers were holed up in airports and moving vans, Bryan and Andrew discuss just how many games a fan can watch in a day.
Oct 13, 2021
Jon Gruden: The Worst Father-in-Law on Facebook
Why did the emails that forced Jon Gruden to resign sound so familiar? Mike Tanier explains where we have heard all of this before. Plus, some useful advice for fixing the Houston Texans and a Defensive Player of the Year prop bet that has Walkthrough reaching for the wallet.
Oct 13, 2021