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The Month In Quotes: July 2021
This month: Breakfast in Tennessee, hockey in Seattle, remorse in Atlanta, fried chicken in South Carolina, sibling rivalry in Florida, and Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay.
17 hours ago
FO Radio Hour: Favorite NFL Playoff Bets and SIS Football Research Competition
An all-new stream of the FO Radio Hour hosted by Aaron Schatz with featured guests Mike Tanier and Matt Manocherian of Sports Info Solutions. The group discussed the SIS Football Research Competition and some of the submissions. Later in the show Aaron and Mike discussed their favorite NFL playoff bets.
Jul 29, 2021
SITE NEWS: FO Seeks Part-Time Contributor
We're looking for a new staff writer to take on multiple chapters of our annual Football Outsiders Almanac book as well as supplying offseason content and contributing to the weekly Audibles at the Line commentary. (Click for more info.)
Jul 29, 2021
Devin White, Roquan Smith, and 2020 Defeats
A young pair of linebackers tie for the NFL lead in big defensive plays. The usual suspects dominate at interior lineman, edge rusher, and safety. And how does a part-time corner consistently get more defeats than most big-name starters?
Jul 28, 2021
2020 Defensive Personnel: Bills and Packers Nickel and Dime the League
Our annual look at defensive personnel asks where the Patriots' base defense was, if Matt Milano and the Bills will ever stop playing nickel, and if the Packers can spare a dime.
Jul 27, 2021
DVOA Ratings
Through Week 17
Our Metrics Explained
What is DVOA?
Defense-adjusted Value Over Average
Measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.
What is DYAR?
Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement
Compares the performance of each player, in terms of DVOA, to a replacement-level baseline rather than the league average for that position.
What is DAVE?
DVOA Adjusted for Volatility Early
Used early in the year with the goal of getting the best idea of how good a team will be over the entire season without jumping to conclusions based on one or two good or bad early games.
More From the Outsiders
FO Fantasy Show: Interesting Rushing Efficiency Splits
Scott Spratt takes his Fantasy Podcast to Twitch to discuss interesting rushing efficiency splits with Justin Boone of the Score. Scott and Justin discuss RBs with unique skill sets who have been identified through the Football Outsiders all new efficiencies fantasy tool.
Jul 27, 2021
2020 Offensive Personnel: Vikings, Browns Stand Out
Our annual look at offensive personnel asks if the league has reached a three-receiver equilibrium, and looks at the few teams that still use fullbacks, including the Minnesota Vikings and C.J. Ham.
Jul 26, 2021
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers Must Come Together, Right Now
In this "Issue Zero" of the rebooted Walkthrough, Mike Tanier explores the dysfunctional Aaron Rodgers/Green Bay Packers relationship as only he can, handicaps the Comeback Player of the Year field, and (after nearly falling for an Internet hoax) speculates on what type of high school coach Adam Gase would be.
Jul 22, 2021
FO Radio Hour: The Gang Visits Louisville
An all-new stream of the FO Radio Hour hosted by Aaron Schatz with featured guests Mike Tanier, Scott Spratt and Vince Verhei. The FO writers were all together in one spot for the first time EVER. They discuss their travel stories from the week in Louisville and talked about news from the NFC West. They also get into the Josh Allen Third-Year Jump Drinking Game (TM).
Jul 22, 2021
The 49ers and Positional AGL
As you may have heard, the San Francisco 49ers were pro football's most injured team in 2020. But which of those injuries hurt them most—those suffered by Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback, or the myriad of ailments they suffered on defense?
Jul 22, 2021
2020 Receiving Plus-Minus: The Return of Stefon Diggs and the Deep Threat
After years of the top of the receiving plus-minus rankings being dominated by high-volume short-yardage players, Stefon Diggs throws us back to 2014.
Jul 20, 2021
2020 Passing Plus-Minus: The Search for Drew Brees' Successor
For over a decade, the passing plus-minus and CPOE rankings were an opportunity to wax poetic about Drew Brees. With Brees retired, can anyone claim his mantle?
Jul 19, 2021
The Year in Social Media
Our look back at the best social media posts of the past 12 months includes song and dance, costume parties, video games, old men, and blatant product endorsement.
Jul 15, 2021
FO Radio Hour: Football Outsiders Almanac 2021 Released!
An all-new stream of the FO Radio Hour hosted by Aaron Schatz with featured guests Mike Tanier and Vince Verhei. The group discusses the release of the Football Outsiders Almanac 2021. Aaron, Mike and Vince talk about their favorite team chapters and compare the Football Outsiders projections to Vegas.
Jul 15, 2021
Legends of DVOA: Dave Krieg
Quarterback controversies! Labor disputes! Cranky coaches! Lefty passers! Tiny hands! Our final Legends of DVOA installment looks at the two-decade career of Dave Krieg, a streaky passer who always seemed to have one foot in the playoffs and the other on the bench.
Jul 14, 2021
2020 YAC+: Michael Pittman, Darren Fells, and the 49ers Shine
For the second straight season, a rookie tops our annual YAC+ rankings—though it's not the one you may have expected.
Jul 13, 2021
FO Fantasy Show: Seven Storylines from the KUBIAK Projections
Scott Spratt takes his Fantasy Podcast to Twitch to discuss seven interesting storylines that came from the KUBIAK Projections. Joining Scott this week to talk fantasy football was Danny Kelly of The Ringer.
Jul 13, 2021