Bryan and Cale's trip through the over/unders continues with the NFC West. Will the 49ers regret replacing Jimmy G? Will the Seahawks regret trading Russell Wilson?
Our look at performance by pass-rush size in 2021 shows why the Raiders need Chandler Jones to win up front in 2022.
Looking at players KUBIAK says are underrated in 2022, including Jameis Winston, AJ Dillon, and the Chargers' wide receivers.
News and commentary from around the web.
Football Outsiders is seeking a new writer for our One Foot Inbounds column reviewing the weekend in college football.
The Dolphins led the NFL in pressure rate last year, but was that due more to talent, or to scheme? Elsewhere, Atlanta's pass rush was historically bad, Buffalo's safeties were historically great, and Baltimore's secondary was historically hurt.
Bryan and Cale take on over/unders of the AFC East! Can the Bills win a dozen games? Can Zach Wilson become a below-average passer? And can the Patriots fight off the dreaded Joethew PaJudgia?
Our Metrics Explained
What is DVOA?
Defense-adjusted Value Over Average
Measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.
What is DYAR?
Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement
Compares the performance of each player, in terms of DVOA, to a replacement-level baseline rather than the league average for that position.
What is DAVE?
DVOA Adjusted for Volatility Early
Used early in the year with the goal of getting the best idea of how good a team will be over the entire season without jumping to conclusions based on one or two good or bad early games.
Join our writers as they preview the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals FO Almanac chapters live on stream.
Our look at slot and wide splits moves on to the running backs and tight ends! And in 2021, that means talking about the Atlanta Falcons, who seemed unclear about what a "wide receiver" actually was.
For the first time ever, Bryan and Cale discuss the Washington Commanders! They are less than impressed. Also, are the Cowboys doomed to failure once more?
Our season previews of the 2022 FO Almanac continue! This edition includes the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens previews.
Going into last year's Super Bowl, the Cincinnati Bengals had more big wins than the Los Angeles Rams, but also more bad losses. Should that data have given either team an edge?
Miami's likely shift in run/pass ratio makes the Dolphins passing game overrated in fantasy, plus other lessons from KUBIAK 2022.
Our look at slot versus wide performance in the passing game continues. Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford's success correlates with that of their receivers. What does that mean for Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes as they break in new receivers in 2022?
The Los Angeles Chargers are chill. Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are trippin'. What's the vibe around your favorite team's training camp? Walkthrough investigates.