Our anti-dynasty rankings continue! Come learn about the worst coach in Jets history (no, not that one), players shunning the NFL for other leagues, the St. Louis relocation blues, and the 1920s NFL Barry Horowitzes.
An all-new stream of the FO Radio Hour hosted by Aaron Schatz featured guests Mike Tanier and Scott Spratt. The group discussed the exciting changes coming to FO this season, the Julio Jones trade, and the NFC South.
James Brooks and Ickey Woods were two of the biggest names on Sam Wyche’s 1980s Cincinnati Bengals. They’re also the subjects of our first installment of Legends of DVOA, a six-part series looking back on some non-superstars of yesteryear who finished among the league leaders in DVOA or DYAR multiple times.
Aaron Schatz pens his letter from the editor to discuss all of the exciting changes coming to Football Outsiders for the 2021 season.
Our Metrics Explained
What is DVOA?
Defense-adjusted Value Over Average
Measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.
What is DYAR?
Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement
Compares the performance of each player, in terms of DVOA, to a replacement-level baseline rather than the league average for that position.
What is DAVE?
DVOA Adjusted for Volatility Early
Used early in the year with the goal of getting the best idea of how good a team will be over the entire season without jumping to conclusions based on one or two good or bad early games.
News and commentary from around the web
- The Interesting Case of Adjusted Games Lost
- Exciting Announcements from our Editor-in-Chief, Aaron Schatz
- Mike Tanier Joins Football Outsiders
- Falcons Trade Julio Jones to Titans
- 2021 NFL Schedule Discussion
- Broncos T Ja'Wuan James Tears Achilles, Out For Season
- NFL Draft Round 1 Twitch Stream Recap
- Basics of Facemask Design
More From the Outsiders
Matt Ryan ranks ninth on the all-time passing yardage list and 10th on the all-time passing touchdown list. Does that make him a Hall of Famer? The first of our six-part series of Hall of Fame debates takes a long, hard look at Ryan’s portfolio. Atlanta Falcons fans may not like the results.
The two playoff teams from the NFC West both need help in the middle of the field, Seattle on offense, L.A. on defense. Elsewhere, "need" is a relative term as San Francisco searches for a pass-rusher, but an absolute in Arizona's secondary.
Our anti-dynasty rankings begin with a look at the teams that failed to make the top 50. Also: the worst stretches for each of the five franchises to never hit 30 dynasty points, including a pair of teams from the 1960s.
Football Outsiders' look at the worst teams in NFL history kicks off! Here's a look at the methodology behind our Anti-Dynasty Rankings and a list of all 58 teams that we'll be covering.
It's hard to find needs on a team that won the Super Bowl and brings back all 22 starters. The Saints, however need receivers, while the Falcons and Panthers both need defensive help.
Our detailed look at positional size finds that the Pittsburgh Steelers like wide bodies, Dave Gettleman likes tall linebackers almost as much as he likes big linemen, and the Eagles' secondary was plain ol' tiny.
Ryan Fitzpatrick is the latest "he'll do for now" quarterback for the Washington Football Team, but are there other options available? Elsewhere in the NFC East, the Cowboys need safeties, the Eagles need linebackers, and the Giants need help on the offensive line.
The two-time defending conference champions and one of their stronger division rivals both need help in the defensive front. Elsewhere in the AFC West, the Raiders need offensive linemen and the Broncos are still searching for a quarterback.
Our new article on ESPN+ gives a sneak peak at projections from Football Outsiders Almanac 2021, with a look at our forecast for the top 10 picks in the 2022 NFL draft. We have the Jets at No. 1, the Texans at No. 2, and a surprising team at No. 9.