Here's our annual under-the-radar Top 25 Prospects list from Football Outsiders Almanac 2021, also running on ESPN+ this weekend. These are the top young prospects who were not chosen in the first or second rounds and haven't gotten a ton of playing time yet.
This month: Breakfast in Tennessee, hockey in Seattle, remorse in Atlanta, fried chicken in South Carolina, sibling rivalry in Florida, and Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay.
An all-new stream of the FO Radio Hour hosted by Aaron Schatz with featured guests Mike Tanier and Matt Manocherian of Sports Info Solutions. The group discussed the SIS Football Research Competition and some of the submissions. Later in the show Aaron and Mike discussed their favorite NFL playoff bets.
We're looking for a new staff writer to take on multiple chapters of our annual Football Outsiders Almanac book as well as supplying offseason content and contributing to the weekly Audibles at the Line commentary. (Click for more info.)
A young pair of linebackers tie for the NFL lead in big defensive plays. The usual suspects dominate at interior lineman, edge rusher, and safety. And how does a part-time corner consistently get more defeats than most big-name starters?
Through Week 17
| 1 | NO | 33.3% | |
| 2 | TB | 31.5% | |
| 3 | GB | 25.8% | |
| 4 | BUF | 23.8% | |
| 5 | SEA | 20.1% |
| 1 | GB | 29.1% | |
| 2 | KC | 23.9% | |
| 3 | TB | 19.8% | |
| 4 | TEN | 18.4% | |
| 5 | BUF | 15.6% |
| 1 | PIT | -20.2% | |
| 2 | NO | -19.0% | |
| 3 | WAS | -18.3% | |
| 4 | LAR | -17.0% | |
| 5 | TB | -14.6% |
Defense-adjusted Value Over Average
Measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.
Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement
Compares the performance of each player, in terms of DVOA, to a replacement-level baseline rather than the league average for that position.
DVOA Adjusted for Volatility Early
Used early in the year with the goal of getting the best idea of how good a team will be over the entire season without jumping to conclusions based on one or two good or bad early games.
Our annual look at defensive personnel asks where the Patriots' base defense was, if Matt Milano and the Bills will ever stop playing nickel, and if the Packers can spare a dime.
Scott Spratt takes his Fantasy Podcast to Twitch to discuss interesting rushing efficiency splits with Justin Boone of the Score. Scott and Justin discuss RBs with unique skill sets who have been identified through the Football Outsiders all new efficiencies fantasy tool.
Our annual look at offensive personnel asks if the league has reached a three-receiver equilibrium, and looks at the few teams that still use fullbacks, including the Minnesota Vikings and C.J. Ham.
In this "Issue Zero" of the rebooted Walkthrough, Mike Tanier explores the dysfunctional Aaron Rodgers/Green Bay Packers relationship as only he can, handicaps the Comeback Player of the Year field, and (after nearly falling for an Internet hoax) speculates on what type of high school coach Adam Gase would be.
An all-new stream of the FO Radio Hour hosted by Aaron Schatz with featured guests Mike Tanier, Scott Spratt and Vince Verhei. The FO writers were all together in one spot for the first time EVER. They discuss their travel stories from the week in Louisville and talked about news from the NFC West. They also get into the Josh Allen Third-Year Jump Drinking Game (TM).
As you may have heard, the San Francisco 49ers were pro football's most injured team in 2020. But which of those injuries hurt them most—those suffered by Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback, or the myriad of ailments they suffered on defense?
After years of the top of the receiving plus-minus rankings being dominated by high-volume short-yardage players, Stefon Diggs throws us back to 2014.
For over a decade, the passing plus-minus and CPOE rankings were an opportunity to wax poetic about Drew Brees. With Brees retired, can anyone claim his mantle?
Our look back at the best social media posts of the past 12 months includes song and dance, costume parties, video games, old men, and blatant product endorsement.
An all-new stream of the FO Radio Hour hosted by Aaron Schatz with featured guests Mike Tanier and Vince Verhei. The group discusses the release of the Football Outsiders Almanac 2021. Aaron, Mike and Vince talk about their favorite team chapters and compare the Football Outsiders projections to Vegas.
Quarterback controversies! Labor disputes! Cranky coaches! Lefty passers! Tiny hands! Our final Legends of DVOA installment looks at the two-decade career of Dave Krieg, a streaky passer who always seemed to have one foot in the playoffs and the other on the bench.
For the second straight season, a rookie tops our annual YAC+ rankings—though it's not the one you may have expected.
