Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Stat Analysis

2018 Receiving Plus-Minus
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

2018 Receiving Plus-Minus

What happens when one quarterback dominates a stat so thoroughly? Well, what happens is that his receivers also tend to dominate it.

4 comments, Last at 19 Jun 2019, 9:59pm by Mountain Time ---- formerly Ninjalectual

Stat Analysis

2018 Passing Plus-Minus
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

2018 Passing Plus-Minus

Drew Brees continues to dominate passing plus-minus.

17 comments, Last at 18 Jun 2019, 8:52pm by nat

Stat Analysis

Adjusted Interceptions 2018
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Adjusted Interceptions 2018

Our look at last season's interception luck tells us that Patrick Mahomes and Derek Carr are likely to throw more picks this season, while Baker Mayfield and Tom Brady (yes, Tom Brady) should throw fewer.

12 comments, Last at 17 Jun 2019, 5:49pm by LionInAZ

Ramblings

NFL Runway with Vinny and Dave: AFC North
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

NFL Runway with Vinny and Dave: AFC North

Between the Steelers, Ravens, Bengals, and Browns, the AFC North teams feature a lot of black and a lot of orange. Who makes it work? Who's getting a new look, and who needs to go back to the drawing board?

10 comments, Last at 15 Jun 2019, 3:02am by Theo

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC West
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC West

While the Broncos need linebackers, the Chargers need help on the offensive line, and the Chiefs need help in the secondary, it's fair to ask whether the Raiders should have done more to bring in competition for Derek Carr at quarterback.

13 comments, Last at 18 Jun 2019, 11:21am by Raiderjoe

Week in Quotes

The Month in Quotes: May 2019
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

The Month in Quotes: May 2019

This month: Blake Bortles adjusts to Los Angeles, Chris Long lights one up, everyone takes shots at the people running New York football teams, Jeff Lurie gets analytical, Ben defends Eli, and coaches get infantile.

6 comments, Last at 03 Jun 2019, 8:46am by Harris

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC South
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC South

Coming out of the draft, the Texans and Jaguars could still use some big offensive playmakers, Tennessee needs more beef up front, and the Colts need more defensive stars to go along with Darius Leonard and Jabaal Sheard.

3 comments, Last at 02 Jun 2019, 10:47am by Theo

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC North
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC North

While the Ravens and Bengals need defensive help (edge rushers and linebackers, to be specific), the Browns need offensive linemen, while the Steelers need a receiver to play across from Juju Smith-Schuster.

6 comments, Last at 05 Jun 2019, 11:38pm by LionInAZ

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC East
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC East

It's all about the passing game in this division. The Bills and Patriots need players to catch passes. The Dolphins and Jets need defenders to hit the guys trying to throw them.

17 comments, Last at 05 Jun 2019, 8:46am by SandyRiver

Four Downs

Four Downs: NFC West
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: NFC West

Heading into the offseason, the Cardinals needed offensive linemen, the Rams needed edge rushers, the 49ers needed corners, and the Seahawks needed help along the defensive line. Somehow, three months later, little of that has changed.

2 comments, Last at 22 May 2019, 8:51pm by Jimmy Oz