Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Any Given Sunday

Any Given Sunday: Raiders over Steelers
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Any Given Sunday: Raiders over Steelers

Chris Boswell donates six points to the Oakland Raiders. Joshua Dobbs plays until Ben Roethlisberger's hero alert sensor goes off. We try to find nice things to say about Jon Gruden.

13 comments, Last at 13 Dec 2018, 11:58am by Theo

Quick Reads

Week 14 Quick Reads
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Week 14 Quick Reads

A lot of crazy things happened this week. A quarterback had a great day rushing (again) and a bad day passing (again). One running back had a fantastic day rushing; another had a terrible day receiving. And a wide receiver had the worst game we've ever measured. All this, plus the best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 14.

36 comments, Last at 13 Dec 2018, 6:03pm by Eddo

Stat Analysis

Introducing Rate of Adjusted Pressure
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Introducing Rate of Adjusted Pressure

Guest columnist Ajit Kirpekar applies machine learning techniques to pressure rates from a dozen NFL seasons and comes up with some interesting conclusions -- most notably, that quarterbacks might be even more responsible than we thought for the pressure they do or do not face.

17 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2018, 11:12pm by Mountain Time ---- formerly Ninjalectual

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 14
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Audibles at the Line: Week 14

Up is down in Week 14, as three of the AFC's top four seeds take losses and the fourth needs overtime for a narrow home win. At the opposite end of the standings, two of the three contenders for the No. 1 draft pick take home victories over playoff contenders. Your Audibles team comments on the weird and the wacky.

229 comments, Last at 16 Dec 2018, 1:01am by PTORaven

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: December 8, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: December 8, 2018

Better late than never, we've got quotes on Mike McCarthy's firing, changes in special teams, what it's like to play spoiler, shoddy officiating, cannabis, choking in Texas, and the contents in (and on) Sean McVay's head.

4 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2018, 11:57am by jtr

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Falcons in Free Fall
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Word of Muth: Falcons in Free Fall

The Falcons offense, and the line in particular, had a bad night in a loss to the Ravens -- the kind of night that can cost players their jobs.

2 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 3:00pm by jtr

Film Room

Film Room: Denver's Running Game
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Film Room: Denver's Running Game

The Broncos' three-game winning streak has been keyed by an undrafted rookie running back and an offensive line full of backups and journeymen. Derrik Klassen shows how Bill Musgrave has found a home for his misfit toys.

4 comments, Last at 08 Dec 2018, 3:00pm by Vincent Verhei

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Coaching Seats En Fuego
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Scramble for the Ball: Coaching Seats En Fuego

The Hue Jackson and Mike McCarthy firings have kickstarted the coaching carousel with a month left in the season! Bryan and Andrew look at jobs open now (in Cleveland and Green Bay) and potentially soon (all over Florida) in search of the best spot for a new hire.

42 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 5:55pm by OldFox

DVOA Ratings

Week 13 DVOA Ratings
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Week 13 DVOA Ratings

The Chargers and Broncos rise to give us three AFC West teams in our top five. Plus, a further look at Baltimore's three-game winning streak and playoff odds in the NFC East with a huge game between Philadelphia and Dallas this coming Sunday.

58 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 8:36pm by Richie

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Week 13
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Clutch Encounters: Week 13

Week 13 is an unlucky one for several of the game's high-profile quarterbacks. Pittsburgh blows a big lead at home for the first time ever. Also: Chicago's fun near-comeback, the end of an era in Green Bay, hollow passing stats rule 2018, and an absolute stunner in Jacksonville.

5 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2018, 10:12pm by Will Allen