Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Stat Analysis

Failed Completions 2018
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Failed Completions 2018

2018 saw some record-breaking performances in the field of failed completions. Learn about Nick Foles: King of the Dink-and-Dunk; the golden arms of the Buccaneers quarterbacks; and the empty calories that comprised Stefon Diggs' statline.

7 comments, Last at 07 Apr 2019, 4:48pm by Bryan Knowles

Futures

Futures: Josh Allen
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Futures: Josh Allen

Kentucky's edge rusher has the kind of athletic gifts and on-field production that will likely see him drafted early this month -- but as Derrik Klassen shows, he also has glaring holes in his game that should be cause for concern.

14 comments, Last at 08 Apr 2019, 10:03pm by mehllageman56

Stat Analysis

QBASE 2019
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QBASE 2019

As you'd expect, Kyler Murray and Dwayne Haskins are statistically the most promising quarterback prospects in this year's draft ... but how do we account for their inexperience when the track record for one-year college starters is so poor?

21 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2019, 3:49am by Theo

Futures

Futures: Hakeem Butler
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Futures: Hakeem Butler

You won't find the Iowa State wide receiver in the first round of many mock drafts, but Derrik Klassen watched the tape and found an athletically gifted deep-ball specialist who could turn out to be a steal.

3 comments, Last at 07 Apr 2019, 4:38am by Theo

Ramblings

NFL Runway with Vinny and Dave: AFC South
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NFL Runway with Vinny and Dave: AFC South

FO staffers Vincent Verhei and Dave Bernreuther kick off their pro football fashion review down south, where the Jaguars and Titans debuted new uniforms in 2018, while the Colts and Texans made minor tweaks to their traditional looks.

22 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2019, 5:17pm by justanothersteve

Stat Analysis

Top 25 Prospects in Review: 2007
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Top 25 Prospects in Review: 2007

Let's take a look at our first-ever top prospects list. What happened to Matt Schaub? What can we learn from the past, and how did Michael David Smith slay this list despite how limited information was in 2007? How would we evaluate these same players today?

6 comments, Last at 16 Apr 2019, 10:34am by Kitch

Futures

Futures: Ed Oliver
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Futures: Ed Oliver

Oliver could slip to the middle of the first round after playing out of position as an undersized nose tackle at the University of Houston, but don't let his lack of production fool you. As Derrik Klassen shows, Oliver could be the most talented prospect in this entire draft class.

4 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2019, 10:04am by TreyKelso

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: An AAF Football-Like Substance
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Scramble for the Ball: An AAF Football-Like Substance

The AAF is halfway through it's inaugural season! Bryan and Cale argue about the league's future, point out their favorite rising stars, and wonder if anyone will catch the Apollos.

29 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2019, 9:18pm by Jerry

Stat Analysis

Play-Action Passing and Game Conditions
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Play-Action Passing and Game Conditions

Guest columnist Ben Baldwin returns with more analysis of play-action passing data. Is it best to use play-action when ahead, or when trailing? Late in the game, or early? And does it matter how often a team passes after showing a handoff -- and is that tendency becoming more common?

15 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2019, 3:19pm by Chappy

Futures

Futures: Brian Burns
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Futures: Brian Burns

Some teams will pass on Florida State's edge defender over concerns about how his slight frame will hold up in the run game -- and others will see his speed and athleticism and value him as a useful pass-rusher right out of the gate.

2 comments, Last at 20 Mar 2019, 2:12am by ImNewAroundTheseParts