Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC West
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC West

Four Downs wraps up with a look at the AFC West. The Chiefs need a half-dozen new defensive starters, the Broncos and Chargers need to revamp their offensive lines, and the Raiders need to turn the Khalil Mack trade into the next Khalil Mack.

2 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2019, 8:58am by cstoos

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC South
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC South

Everyone has passing needs down south -- the Jaguars need someone to throw them, the Colts need someone to catch them, the Titans need someone to pressure them, and the Texans need someone to cover them.

8 comments, Last at 09 Mar 2019, 6:16pm by Noah Arkadia

Futures

Futures: Devin Bush
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Futures: Devin Bush

The Michigan linebacker's speed and athleticism will allow him to make plenty of splash plays against NFL passing games -- but does he have the physicality to defend runs in the middle of the field?

3 comments, Last at 10 Mar 2019, 6:28pm by LionInAZ

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC North
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC North

The Ravens have committed to Lamar Jackson at quarterback -- now they need to commit to getting him some better receivers. Meanwhile, the Bengals need a tight end, the Browns need a wideout, and the Steelers need defensive backs.

4 comments, Last at 11 Mar 2019, 4:45pm by CaffeineMan

Stat Analysis

Speed Score 2019
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Speed Score 2019

An underwhelming class of running back prospects puts up a record-low combine performance.

22 comments, Last at 07 Mar 2019, 11:50pm by lightsout85

Week in Quotes

The Month In Quotes: February 2019
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

The Month In Quotes: February 2019

This month: The AAF gets started, the Combine begins, spring training starts, reflections on past drafts, confessions of childhood sins, teams make offseason plans, and there's a shaving.

4 comments, Last at 07 Mar 2019, 1:01pm by Noah Arkadia

Four Downs

Four Downs: AFC East
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: AFC East

The Bills and Dolphins need offensive line help, the Jets hunt for something they've been missing since John Abraham, and the Patriots try to reshape their receiver depth chart.

15 comments, Last at 04 Mar 2019, 1:18pm by sbond101

Futures

Futures: Kyler Murray
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Futures: Kyler Murray

Oklahoma's Heisman-winning quarterback is tiny and inexperienced -- and also blessed with such ridiculous physical talent that somebody's going to take a shot at developing him into a franchise quarterback. Derrik Klassen breaks down Murray's extreme strengths and weaknesses, and where he'll need to improve to win in the NFL.

9 comments, Last at 03 Mar 2019, 12:28am by Theo

Four Downs

Four Downs: NFC West
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Four Downs: NFC West

There's a lot we don't know about the Rams, but we know they need pass-rushers. Elsewhere, the Cardinals need blockers, the 49ers need defensive backs, and the Seahawks -- shockingly -- don't need help on the offensive line.

2 comments, Last at 04 Mar 2019, 6:27pm by Vincent Verhei

Stat Analysis

Evaluating Third-and-Long Strategy with Expected Points
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Evaluating Third-and-Long Strategy with Expected Points

Which routes and coverages work best when the offense needs to pick up big yardage in one play? And which individuals played best and worst in those situations?

5 comments, Last at 19 Mar 2019, 9:27am by garion333