Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Shivering With Anticipation
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Scramble for the Ball: Shivering With Anticipation

Who needs an exciting divisional round? With the conference championships running back some of the best games of the year, Bryan and Andrew are giddy with excitement.

21 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2019, 9:58am by Eddo

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Divisional Round
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Clutch Encounters: Divisional Round

The NFL will crown a new champion for the 14th year in a row. We look at how the Eagles went from all-time playoff upset to all-time playoff blunder. Also: Sean McVay needs two seasons to get to a round the Cowboys haven't seen since 1995. After a bland weekend, let's talk about whether teams down 15 points should wait on the two-point conversion like Dallas did.

31 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2019, 11:11am by techvet

DVOA Ratings

Week 19 DVOA Ratings
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Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Big games for the No. 2 seeds mean our weighted DVOA ratings are now grouped very close together going into the conference championships.

50 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2019, 12:37am by nat

Quick Reads

Divisional Round Quick Reads
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Divisional Round Quick Reads

There were not a lot of close games this weekend, but a trio of running backs had notable performances -- two really good, one really bad.

15 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2019, 12:25pm by BJR

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Divisional Round
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Audibles at the Line: Divisional Round

A very tame divisional round again ends in a quartet of home-team victories. Only one of those road teams could even be truly described as competitive, but even Old Saint Nick was stopped late against the Saints.

119 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2019, 1:48pm by theslothook

Game Previews

AFC Divisional Round Preview 2019
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AFC Divisional Round Preview 2019

The Chiefs get the hottest team in the NFL, the Indianapolis Colts, in a matchup of the top two teams in weighted DVOA. Meanwhile, the Patriots get a Chargers team that had superior stats and more wins during the regular season. We go through all the matchup numbers and tell you what to watch for this weekend in the AFC.

30 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2019, 7:11am by Randall Turner

Game Previews

NFC Divisional Round Preview 2019
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NFC Divisional Round Preview 2019

Can the four remaining NFC teams properly exploit their opponents' weaknesses this weekend? The Eagles haven't thrown deep much with Nick Foles at quarterback, but the Saints can be torched deep. The Rams can't stop the run, but the Cowboys run-first offense isn't as efficient as you might expect. These are just a couple of the matchups analyzed in our NFC divisional playoff preview.

6 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2019, 5:32pm by dmstorm22

Week in Quotes

The Week In Quotes: January 11, 2019
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The Week In Quotes: January 11, 2019

This week: new coaches and their roster-building plans, old coaches and their motivational techniques, old players and their thoughts on coaches, current players with old rivals on new teams, old players with old grudges, and an ape.

7 comments, Last at 14 Jan 2019, 5:41am by Bright Blue Shorts

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Indy Dominates
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Word of Muth: Indy Dominates

The Indianapolis offensive line played exceptionally well in a win over the Houston Texans and their star-studded defensive front -- but you might be surprised at who their best and worst blockers were.

10 comments, Last at 12 Jan 2019, 9:26am by billprudden

Film Room

Film Room: Eagles' Tight Ends
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Film Room: Eagles' Tight Ends

Take a young Pro Bowler such as Zach Ertz, add a second-round rookie in Dallas Goedert, and you get one of the the NFL's most versatile and dangerous personnel groups. Few teams can match up with Philadelphia's 12 personnel, and they're the Eagles' best bet at another playoff upset this weekend.

5 comments, Last at 12 Jan 2019, 1:05am by T0r0