Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

FEI Ratings

FEI Final Ratings
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FEI Final Ratings

Alabama was the best team all year, but Clemson was the best team in the postseason. The SEC was the best conference, but were its second-tier teams really that much better than everyone else? It was a screwy season in college football, and it's sending Brian Fremeau back to the drawing board.

22 comments, Last at 10 Jan 2019, 6:16pm by Brian Fremeau

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Achilles' Heel
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Scramble for the Ball: Achilles' Heel

Bryan and Andrew look through the eight flawed teams remaining in the postseason, and determine that none of them will end up winning the Super Bowl.

20 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2019, 11:07am by Bob Smith

Quick Reads

Wild-Card Quick Reads
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Wild-Card Quick Reads

Our look at the best passers, runners, and receivers of the wild-card games focuses on Marlon Mack, who did things to the Houston Texans defense that nobody else had done all year long.

20 comments, Last at 10 Jan 2019, 3:47am by Vincent Verhei

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Wild Card
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Clutch Encounters: Wild Card

Nick Foles adds to one of the most unexpectedly impressive resumes in NFL history. Also: Seattle forgets how good Russell Wilson is, and the Ravens get taken out of their comfort zone.

78 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2019, 1:46pm by Pat

DVOA Ratings

Week 18 DVOA Ratings
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Week 18 DVOA Ratings

Indianapolis moves up to No. 2 in weighted DVOA, setting up a No. 1 vs. No. 2 matchup in Saturday's divisional game against Kansas City. Plus, updated DVOA ratings for the other six remaining teams.

57 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2019, 12:20pm by Bob Smith

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Wild-Card Round
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Audibles at the Line: Wild-Card Round

Newbie quarterbacks go 0-3 in their playoff debuts. Old Saint Nick leads another seasonal upset (courtesy of an ill-timed Cody Parkey crossbar challenge). Both road teams advance in the AFC. The only matchup of two playoff veterans sees both take a back seat, as running and defense are the order of the day in Dallas.

160 comments, Last at 08 Jan 2019, 2:10pm by LionInAZ

7th Day Adventure

SDA: National Championship Preview
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SDA: National Championship Preview

"We meet again at last." For the fourth year in a row, Hunter Renfrow and Clemson will face Alabama in the College Football Playoff. Which of the two undefeated teams will finish off their rival and take the trophy home?

1 comment, Last at 08 Jan 2019, 9:21am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Game Previews

NFC Wild-Card Playoff Preview 2019
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NFC Wild-Card Playoff Preview 2019

How will the loss of Earl Thomas and the addition of Amari Cooper affect Seattle's rematch against Dallas? And is there hope for Nick Foles to pull off a second miracle playoff run, or will Chicago's historically great defense be too much to overcome?

7 comments, Last at 07 Jan 2019, 5:10pm by horn

Game Previews

AFC Wild-Card Playoff Preview 2019
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AFC Wild-Card Playoff Preview 2019

The AFC wild-card round brings us two rematches from the regular season. Saturday, the Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL, but their stalwart offensive line will have to stop Houston's pairing of J.J. Watt with Jadaveon Clowney. Sunday, the Ravens are red hot on defense and a bit misunderstood on offense; can the Chargers get up on them early and force the Ravens to throw?

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: January 4, 2019
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The Week in Quotes: January 4, 2019

This week: playoff berths clinched, players not acting their age (or like civil human beings, for that matter), sad farewells, family feuds, flame wars, kicker touchdowns, meme participation, and the latest adventures of Antonio Brown.

3 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2019, 8:46am by Lost Ti-Cats Fan