Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

7th Day Adventure

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 12
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Seventh Day Adventure: Week 12

Hope you have access to the Longhorn Network; it's the only place to watch Hakeem Butler and the Iowa State Cyclones take on Texas in a key Big 12 matchup that's the most important game of the week. Other key games include Notre Dame-Syracuse, West Virginia-Oklahoma State, and Central Florida-Cincinnati.

Film Room

Film Room: Kansas City Offense
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Film Room: Kansas City Offense

The Chiefs are the NFL's highest-scoring team, but they're not perfect. Derrik Klassen shows how the Arizona Cardinals used press coverage and unorthodox blitz packages to frustrate Patrick Mahomes and company -- and explains why it still wasn't enough in the end.

3 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 12:32am by alan frankel

FEI Ratings

FEI Week 11 Ratings and Elite Win Margin
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FEI Week 11 Ratings and Elite Win Margin

McKenzie Milton and the Central Florida Knights are undefeated -- but did the College Football Playoff committee hand them a loss before the season even started? Brian Fremeau examines strength of schedule and what it says about Group of 5 schools in the rankings.

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Three and Out
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Scramble for the Ball: Three and Out

Could the NFL really lose all its players and bounce back in just three years? Bryan and Andrew debate the hottest of hot takes from one of the great sports statisticians.

17 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 10:55am by jtr

DVOA Ratings

Week 10 DVOA Ratings
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Week 10 DVOA Ratings

Big wins mean big movement in our DVOA ratings, with Pittsburgh jumping up from 11th to fifth and big moves for Green Bay, Tennessee, and Buffalo as well. We also explore the history of the DVOA Bowl as No. 1 prepares to meet No. 2, and jump into the workings of DVOA to try to figure out why New Orleans doesn't rank higher in our metric.

58 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 1:34am by MC2

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: Week 10
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Clutch Encounters: Week 10

Is time just a flat circle in the NFC East? Jason Garrett ends another short losing streak and the Eagles fail to close again. Also: Rams sweep Seattle, the Giants distance themselves from the No. 1 pick, and the final nail in Jacksonville's coffin is not a Blake Bortles turnover.

5 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 3:57pm by Eddo

Any Given Sunday

Any Given Sunday: Titans over Patriots
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Any Given Sunday: Titans over Patriots

Tom Brady and the New England offense are taking on some water. Is this the end of the line, or one of those many ends of the line you've heard about before that wasn't actually the end of the line? And what got into Tennessee's passing offense after the bye?

1 comment, Last at 13 Nov 2018, 4:36pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Quick Reads

Week 10 Quick Reads
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Week 10 Quick Reads

Ben Roethlisberger's thrashing of Carolina was the best game of the week -- but not, surprisingly, the best game of the year. We explain and look at the best and worst quarterback games since 1989. Plus the best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 10.

96 comments, Last at 14 Nov 2018, 10:29pm by dryheat

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 10
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Audibles at the Line: Week 10

Dominating wins for the Saints, the Titans (?), and the Bills (?!?) headline Week 10, but the closer wins might be the most significant. The Bears, Colts, Rams, and Cowboys all pick up important victories inside their divisions as the playoff race heats up. Your Audibles crew shares their thoughts.

125 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2018, 2:12pm by Cheesehead_Canuck

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: November 9, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: November 9, 2018

This week: players on new teams, players in new positions, players paying tribute to old players, old players unhappy with new players, new players unhappy with each other, players enjoying beer bashes, and a little bit of potty mouth.

4 comments, Last at 09 Nov 2018, 10:56pm by PatsFan