Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

TMQ

TMQ Conference Championship Discussion Thread

Come join our "unofficial official" discussion thread for this week's NFL.com Tuesday Morning Quarterback column. Plus, our resident cartoonist has Mike Martz on the brain, and the Football Outsiders playoff fantasy league update.

Stat Analysis

'Tis Better to Have Rushed and Lost Than Never to Have Rushed at All

Gregg Easterbrook's TMQ says that teams too often go pass-wacky in short-yardage situations. True or false? We've gone through every single play of 2003 in order to test this fundamental TMQ axiom.

Confessions

Confessions of a Football Junkie: Adventures in TiVo Land

Russell wrestles with his TiVo and somehow still manages to see most of this weekend's spectacular schedule of playoff action. Second guesses galore, the joy of play faking, and Dan Dierdorf gets shot in the butt. Seriously.

Ramblings

FO Archives: The Coaching Carousel

Does changing coaches really help a team? Does making the Super Bowl as a coordinator lead to a head coaching role in the next season? Michael David Smith looks at a few issues regarding coaching changes.

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: All Keep Choppin' Wood Team

After a week of vacation, Ian and Al are tan, rested, and ready to talk about the playoffs. The men of Scramble talk about last weekend's games and make this weekend's Best Bets. Plus, the debut of the first annual All Keep Choppin' Wood Team, featuring the players who did the most to cut down their teams' 2003 seasons.

DVOA Ratings

Second Week Playoff Preview

Aaron breaks down those DVOA and line yard trends for all eight teams to help you know what to look for in this weekend's games. Last week, we told you that Carolina would throw long on Dallas, that Bobby Engram would be important to Seattle on third down, and that Clinton Portis would run all over the Colts. Hey, two out of three ain't bad! See, unlike Mike Vanderjagt, we got our mistake out of the way BEFORE the Super Bowl. Even more commentary this week to make up for it.

DVOA Ratings

Second Week Playoff Preview

Aaron breaks down those DVOA and line yard trends for all eight teams to help you know what to look for in this weekend's games. Last week, we told you that Carolina would throw long on Dallas, that Bobby Engram would be important to Seattle on third down, and that Clinton Portis would run all over the Colts. Hey, two out of three ain't bad! See, unlike Mike Vanderjagt, we got our mistake out of the way BEFORE the Super Bowl. Even more commentary this week to make up for it.

Ramblings

Football Outsiders 2004 Offseason Contest: Old Faces in New Places

Can you read the NFL tea leaves better than the men from ESPN and SI? Match the coach with the job, the free agent with the team, and Keyshawn with the people who will Throw Him The Damn Ball in our first Football Outsiders offseason contest. Remember, entries must be sent by email, not just posted in the discussion, by midnight Monday! Don't include the four teams that already named coaches...

TMQ

TMQ Wild Card Discussion Thread

Come join our "unofficial official" discussion thread for this week's NFL.com Tuesday Morning Quarterback column. Plus, our resident cartoonist is still in shellshock over the Denver debacle.

Confessions

Confessions of a Football Junkie: Trojan Curfew

We woke up Monday morning, and the sun was still shining, gravity still worked, and the rivers had not turned to blood... even though there were co-national champions in college football. A review of all the big bowl games, plus a look at Wild Card Weekend, from a man who believed in Payton Manning.