Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

DVOA Ratings

Checking Out Early Trends

Aaron has poured through the statistics to find interesting tidbits about each team in 2003. Many of the things we noticed in our pre-season IN FOCUS articles are still true, while other teams have new tendencies this season. Learn the shocking fact about Carolina's offense, some bad news for Denver fans, and why Steve Spurrier still doesn't know where to run. Sorted by game to help you better enjoy the coming weekend.

DVOA Ratings

Week 6 Team Efficiency Ratings

This week, we finally add special teams into the VOA formula. Find out what it means for Kansas City, Carolina, and the mystery team that moved from #22 to #12 on this week's rankings. Oh, and Tampa Bay is back at #1.

2 comments, Last at 12 Nov 2005, 8:01am by Michael David Smith

DVOA Ratings

The Jets, Continued

OK, so how the heck are the Jets ranked so dang high this week? Aaron searches for an explanation and finds out why the Jets are the Miami Heat of football.

Scramble

Week 6 Scramble/Open Thread

In this week's Scramble for the Ball, Ian and Al discuss the Bucs collapse, debate Bettis vs. Zereoue, and answer a number of mailbag questions. Comment here on that column, or anything else related to this week's games, including your office pool and your fantasy start/bench decisions.

DVOA Ratings

Week 5 Team Efficiency Ratings

Week 5 team efficiency ratings are here, with a new top team: Minnesota. In this week's commentary, Aaron counters the conventional wisdom that Dallas has the league's top offense, explains why Carolina still isn't that good, questions the double-digit Tennessee line over Houston, and has some very bad news for Oakland fans. Plus, our first official rankings including adjustments for opponent quality, and strength of schedule numbers.

Stat Analysis

Introducing Points Above Replacement

Since Football Outsiders launched, we've compared players to the league average on a play-by-play basis. But what about the value of a player like Ricky Williams who runs near league-average but with amazing durability? Borrowing from baseball analysts, we introduce a stat that combines quality with quantity - and as an added bonus, we've translated it into actual points. Plus, the first 2003 player rankings and directional rushing stats.

1 comment, Last at 17 Nov 2005, 2:14pm by ernie cohen

Scramble

Week 5 Scramble/Open Thread

In this week's Scramble for the Ball, Ian and Al discuss the great Bucs-Colts matchup, the year's top five fantasy surprises, and bye weeks. Plus, Rush Limbaugh is a big fat ex-football commentator. Comment here on that column, or anything else related to this week's games, including your office pool and your fantasy start/bench decisions.

DVOA Ratings

Week 4 Team Efficiency Ratings

With the top two teams on bye, no movement on top of the chart, but there's plenty below. Carolina's performance begins to match their record, and so does Jacksonville's. And it's a happy day in St. Louis when Arizona comes to town. Aaron explains it all for the math-phobic, and gives a list of this year's top five QB games so far. Payton vs. New Orleans isn't number one?

Ramblings

Six Stats the NFL Needs

Michael David Smith has some ideas on new stats that would provide insight on the NFL -- and wouldn't be too hard for the league to provide.

Scramble

Week 4 Scramble/Open Thread

In this week's Scramble for the Ball, Ian and Al discuss the rash of injuries facing the NFL, from Marshall Faulk to Daunte Culpepper to everyone who has played for the Patriots defense since 1962. Plus, what are the best and worst undefeated teams in football? Comment here on that column, or anything else related to this week's games, including your office pool and your fantasy start/bench decisions. Somebody's got to feel this!