Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis


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Stat Analysis

Pythagoras on the Gridiron

In baseball, the Pythgorean Theorem says runs scored and allowed can predict a team's record. Does it work for football too? You bet, and it says some interesting things about teams that don't match their predictions. Pay attention, Chiefs fans.

Stat Analysis

The Establishment Clause

It has always been the conventional wisdom of pro football: establish the run. Winning teams run early. Let's see how conventional wisdom stacks up against our master statistician...

5 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2013, 4:18pm by math 14.99

DVOA Ratings

Stacey Mack Daddy

If you learned that a running back with fewer than 100 carries ranked as one of the NFL's top offensive players of 2002, you would probably want to know who he is...

DVOA Ratings

In Focus: AFC East

Beginning our division-by-division look at what our new statistics say about each NFL team. How good is Travis Henry? What is New England's biggest weakness?