Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Week in Quotes

The Week In Quotes: February 1, 2019
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

The Week In Quotes: February 1, 2019

It's Media Week at the Super Bowl, including quotes about Tom Brady's decline (or lack thereof); potential retirements in New England's future; the fate of former Georgia running backs; and the problems besetting the Pittsburgh Steelers. Plus, questions on cats, math, and suites from a very special interviewer.

1 comment, Last at 02 Feb 2019, 1:10pm by Theo

Film Room

Film Room: NE Offense vs. LAR Defense
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Film Room: NE Offense vs. LAR Defense

Just when it seems as if every team in the league is spreading the field and putting the quarterback in shotgun, the Patriots are winning with an old-school attack. Derrik Klassen shows how fullbacks, tight ends, pre-snap motion, and play-action passing have been so effective for New England -- and why the Rams seem ill-prepared for such a scheme.

7 comments, Last at 01 Feb 2019, 3:17pm by RickD

Quick Reads

QR Bonus: Keys to Beating New England
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

QR Bonus: Keys to Beating New England

Our analysis of the Patriots' worst games in 2018 makes one thing clear for the Rams: beat New England early, or you're not likely to beat them at all.

5 comments, Last at 31 Jan 2019, 3:49am by RobotBoy

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: 2018 Keep Choppin' Wood Team
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Scramble for the Ball: 2018 Keep Choppin' Wood Team

Bryan and Andrew go through the worst of the worst to compile their Keep Choppin' Wood team for the 2018 season! Overpaid free-agent signings, draft busts, and unqualified starters beware; the KCW team sees all.

5 comments, Last at 02 Feb 2019, 4:00am by MC2

Stat Analysis

Evaluating Goal-to-Go Strategy with Expected Points
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Evaluating Goal-to-Go Strategy with Expected Points

Guest columnist Spencer Harrison looks at which plays are most and least successful at the goal line. Yes, the fade route is as bad as you think.

5 comments, Last at 29 Jan 2019, 6:37pm by PTORaven

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Super Rams
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Word of Muth: Super Rams

The L.A. Rams are headed to the Super Bowl, thanks in part to an offensive line that had a great night protecting Jared Goff. But it wasn't perfect. What did the Saints do that gave the Rams trouble, and will similar tactics work for New England in Atlanta?

7 comments, Last at 30 Jan 2019, 3:38pm by Guest789

Week in Quotes

The Week In Quotes: January 25, 2019
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

The Week In Quotes: January 25, 2019

This week: the Saints and Rams disagree on a certain referee's judgement call; the Patriots celebrate another Super Bowl berth; controversy surrounds the Eagles and their quarterback; Derek Carr wants to fight ESPN reporters; the Cowboys and their meddling owner; and player-on-mascot violence.

12 comments, Last at 30 Jan 2019, 1:59pm by serutan

Scramble

Scramble for the Ball: 16th Annual Prop Bets Extravaganza!
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Scramble for the Ball: 16th Annual Prop Bets Extravaganza!

A tradition like a number of others! Bryan and Andrew return to figure out if the Rams will ride Todd Gurley, if the Patriots are over the Gatorade dunking tradition, and whether or not we'll see a SpongeBob SquarePants shoutout at halftime.

17 comments, Last at 29 Jan 2019, 12:41pm by Theo

Film Room

Film Room: Goff vs. Patriots
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Film Room: Goff vs. Patriots

The New England Patriots used disguised blitzes and coverage schemes to pressure Philip Rivers and Patrick Mahomes and blanket all their receivers in their first two playoff wins. That could be bad news for the L.A. Rams and their quarterback, who struggled with blitz reads against the Saints.

19 comments, Last at 28 Jan 2019, 4:02pm by mehllageman56

Quick Reads

QR Bonus: Keys to Beating Los Angeles
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

QR Bonus: Keys to Beating Los Angeles

The L.A. Rams are a great team, but they're not perfect. What weaknesses were exposed in their worst games this year, and how will New England be able to attack those flaws in the Super Bowl?

11 comments, Last at 26 Apr 2019, 7:36am by divorcedguy