Sunday NFL Liveblog: Packers-Vikings Lead Loaded Schedule

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson
Vikings WR Justin Jefferson
Photo: USA Today Sports Images

NFL Week 1 - Are you ready for some football? Well, it matters not -- football comes whether you are prepared or not. After whetting our appetites with a Buffalo statement victory over the Rams on Thursday Night, the NFL is back with a loaded card for Week 1 of action. It may be more full of storylines than of clashes of the titans, but we'll take anything we can get after a long, lonely summer vacation. And we'll be here with you every step of the way with our brand-new liveblog format for Audibles at the Line.

And, because we're live, you can participate in the discussion as well! Join in on the conversation -- either in the comment section in this article, on Twitter by tagging @FBOutsiders or @BryKno, or on our brand new Discord server, where some of your favorite writers will be hanging out and reacting live. Questions, comments, and particularly clever quips will find their way into the liveblog proper as we have a running conversation throughout gameday. 

Unusually for recent years, we have a full 14 games slated for thus Sunday -- no Monday doubleheaders to drain our count. The NFL has gone out of their way to load the early schedule with great storyline games -- players returning to face off against old teams, battles of young quarterbacks against one another, and early salvos of division favorites testing one another early. Your schedule for today is as follows:

Early Window

  • Patriots (+2.5) @ Dolphins
  • Steelers (+5) @ Bengals
  • Eagles (-2.5) @ Lions
  • 49ers (-3.5) @ Bears
  • Ravens (-3.5) @ Jets
  • Saints (-4) @ Falcons
  • Colts (-5) @ Texans
  • Jaguars (+5.5) @ Commanders
  • Browns (+2) @ Panthers

Late Window

  • Packers (-1) @ Vikings
  • Raiders (+4) @ Chargers
  • Chiefs (-2) @ Cardinals
  • Giants (+5.5) @ Titans

The night is capped off with the Buccaneers at the Cowboys. We won't be liveblogging that -- I'll shift over the the Discord server for the late night window -- but this will serve as the open thread for discussion of that game, too.

Live updates will begin approximately one hour before game time. You have to refresh to see the latest posts and updates; each will be timestamped so you can quickly find where you left off.

Saturday Night: Early Window Storylines

Believe it or not, the game I'm most interested in watching as a neutral fan is actually Ravens-Jets. Part of this is how much it would amuse me if Joe Flacco leads New York to an upset victory over his own team, both just from the schadenfreude of seeing Baltimore slip up there and the inevitable quarterback controversy it would bring in New York if Flacco gets the Jets off to a good start before Zach Wilson is ready to start the season. It also feels like this game could be the passing of the torch between 2021's leaders in Adjusted Games Lost and the potential 2022 champions, as the Jets are already without Wilson, Duane Brown, Mekhi Becton and more. Add in Lamar Jackson's contract situation still being up in the air, with negotiations between the Jackson and the Ravens breaking off before the season started, and you have a surprisingly juicy game for something that probably won't be all that close in the final analysis - at the very least, it'll be fun to watch for a quarter or two before the Ravens assert themselves.

Philadelphia gets it's chance to live up to the Super Bowl hype going around throughout preseason -- including, notably, in the Football Outsiders Almanac 2022 (which you can still access with an FO+ subscription, including 10% off if you use the promo code LIVEBLOG if you'll forgive the shameless plug). It does feel odd to go "Jalen Hurts, quarterback of the conference favorites", so we'll get our first chance to see if he can live up to the hype as he takes on the Hard Knocking Detroit Lions, who I expect to be feisty if not quite yet competitive, per se.  

We also have a number of new head coaches debuting early, too. Dennis Allen takes over for Sean Payton in New Orleans against Atlanta, Mike McDaniel takes the helm in Miami against New England, Matt Eberflus starts his Chicago career against San Francisco, Lovie Smith leads Houston against Indianapolis, and Doug Pederson pilots Jacksonville against Washington as my thesaurus gets a workout. That's what happens when 10 teams swap coaches in the offseason; lots of new faces in strange places to kick off the year.

Elsewhere, the Bengals start their quest to be the first Super Bowl loser since the 2018 Patriots to return to the championship as they take on the Steelers and Baker Mayfield gets his crack to "f*** up" the Browns as he takes over in Carolina.  Good stuff!  On paper, at any rate.

11:23: 49ers at Bears

Looking forward to Trey Lance's debut? I hope you brought some galoshes.

There are all sort of negatives to the Bears leaving Chicago proper for the suburbs, but Soldier Field being a wonderful stadium is not one of them. The weather backs up the team's decision to rest George Kittle week one; he injured his groin on Monday, and you don't want one of your key players starting while nursing an injury on turf like this in weather like this.

11:55: Early Window Inactives

Kittle won't be the only player waiting to make his season debut. Both Baltimore RB JK Dobbins and Cleveland RB D'Ernest Johnson are on the inactive list this morning.

That being said, this being Week 1, the majority of the league is healthy. New Orleans WR Michael Thomas will play - may wonders never cease? - as will other questionable players like Atlanta WR Drake London. Here's hoping this is a healthy year for most of the league.

11:58: Jaguars at Commanders

Today sees the regular season debut of the Washington Commanders! What's the state of things over there, guys? shreds, you say?

12:19: Useless Stat of the Day

The Kansas City Chiefs have won seven consecutive season openers, the longest active streak in the league. A win today against the Cardinals would tie them for fifth place all-time with the 2003-2009 Steelers and 1955-1962 Colts.  The 1965-81 Cowboys' record of 16 straight is probably untouchable.

On the flipside, the Browns are 0-16-1 in their last 17 Week 1 games. Fortunately, there's been nothing but positive vibes coming from the Browns this season, so things are going just fine in Cleveland.

12:36: Eagles at Lions

Aaron Brooks Good Twin: The Lions sneak up on teams who aren’t quite as good as they think they are and don’t take the Lions seriously. Actually mediocre or worse teams or actual juggernauts kill them, because they either do take them seriously or it doesn’t matter. The Eagles are susceptible to the former condition, but probably not in week 1.

A fair point, but I suppose you could counter that if a team was ever going to buy their own hype, it'd be Week 1.

12:53: 49ers at Bears

I'm no expert, but the sidelines are supposed to be straight lines, yes?

In actual football news, we have some disagreement on the line for this game in our Discord!

Mike Tanier: Just took the first quarter UNDER 7 for Bears-49ers.

Aaron Schatz: I'm going to be counterintuitive and suggest Bears-49ers will go over 37.5. The wind appears to have gone below 20 mph and apparently most of the rain is going to slow down... I bet they'll adapt to the field and get some offense going in the second half.

1:05: Kickoff

Football! And not a moment too soon.

1:12 PM: Eagles at Lions

Not an ideal start for the projected best team in the NFC, as DeAndre Swift breaks one on the second play from scrimmage.

The Lions march it 75 yards in nine plays, albeit mostly from Swift's run.  Jamaal Williams punches it in, and it's a 7-0 lead early for the Lions.

1:16 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

Joe Burrow's first pass attempt of the season - remember, he had his appendix out and missed the preseason - is complete! Uh, to the Pittsburgh Steelers, that is.

7-0 Steelers, early in the first quarter.

1:22 PM: Jaguars @ Commanders

Dave Bernreuther: The WFT (I prefer that so I’ll just keep calling them that) uniforms show extremely well on the wide angle views; much better than I expected. When it zooms in on those numbers it goes way downhill though. Sleeve stripes too. Keep it simple.

Also good looking? Carson Wentz.  4-for-5 for 65 yards and a touchdown on his first drive, hooking up for big completions with Antonio Gibson and Armani Rodgers as the Commanders march down the field for an early score -- it's 7-3 Commanders, midway through the first quarter.

Dave Bernreuther: Really nice touch from good Wentz on the first down completion to Antonio Gibson to out the Commanders into the red zone. Followed up with a decent one to get Curtis Samuel into the end zone. Better start for them than I expected.

1:31 PM: Saints @ Falcons

Mike Tanier: Taysom just posterized 21 for the Falcons and I remembered why Falcons football is a form of punishment

Hill, in the wildcat, runs for 57 yards on 3rd-and-1, and then runs for an 11-yard touchdown two plays later. Taysom Hill: still a thing, despite all wishes otherwise. It's a 7-3 lead for the Saints, midway through the first quarter.

Vince Verhei: Saints are winning with caveman football. Taysom Hill takes a snap and goes around the right side for a 57-yard gain. A few plays later, he does the same thing and runs for an 11-yard touchdown. "Take the snap and run fast" is as primitive as it gets, but it's working.

Dave Bernreuther: That scoring play worked but still drives me nuts. It was basically a wildcat play, but sending Jameis wide didn’t give them a numbers edge. He could also have easily run that one in himself (although probably not have the defender bounce off him after crossing the goal line, to be fair).

1:38 PM: Colts @ Texans

Rivers McCown: Jonathan Taylor on pace for 52 touches after one quarter but i would love to hear more about how they're planning to limit his workload this year

Matt Ryan is 7-for-10 for 73 yards; Taylor has 11 rushing attempts for 46 yards. Not sure that balance is great going forward. The Texans just held up on fourth and goal, so the Colts only have a 3-0 lead a the beginning of the second quarter.

1:45 PM: Panthers @ Browns

Through one quarter, the Panthers have -1 passing yards. That revenge game not going super great for Baker Mayfield.

1:46 PM: Eagles @ Lions

Oh, hi, A.J. Brown. The new Eagles receiver woke up on Philadelphia's latest drive, catching four passes for 62 yards as Philadelphia marched down the field. Detroit didn't make it easy, but Jalen Hurts did eventually punch the ball in on fourth and goal to tie things at seven all early in the second. A slow start for the Eagles, but they're beginning to get their footing.

1:49 PM: Jaguars @ Commanders.

Vince Verhei: Commanders rushing stats in the first quarter: RBs: 2 carries, 2 yards QB: 1 carry, 3 yards WRs: 3 carries, -4 yards Curtis Samuel already has two carries and five catches and a total of 54 yards to show for it.

1:51 PM: Patriots @ Dolphins

The Matt Patricia era for New England is not starting very well.

Aaron Schatz: Identifying pass-rushers is a problem for the Patriots, who just completely missed Brandon Jones coming to blitz. Strip sack, touchdown Miami.

Patriots drive so far have ended in an interception, a punt and now a fumble for a score. Coming down to Miami five days early does not seem to be helping them; they're down 10-0 midway through the second quarter.

1:56 PM: Patriots @ Dolphins

Zatch (via the FO Discord): Looks like Matt Patricia and Joe Judge carpooled.

1:58 PM: 49ers @ Bears

It's been low-scoring in Chicago, but one team is successful at passing, the other is not, and the better team is winning. The 49ers are averaging 10.2 yards per pass play; the Bears -0.4.  That's not all Justin Fields, as his offensive line has been terrible today, but that's a wee bit of a discrepancy, there. The 49ers haven't been scoring -- an unfortunate red zone fumble and a blocking failure on third down killed their early drives. But with the Bears doing nothing, they keep getting good field position, and Deebo Samuel rushes in for a score and the 7-0 lead, early in the second quarter.

2:02 PM: Colts @ Texans

Mike Tanier: Don't look now but Matt Ryan just Wentzed.

Rivers McCown: You can pink Derrik directly.

The Texans turn the turnover to points with O.J. Howard scoring - Howard, is, apparently, still a football player. Who knew!  Texans now have a 10-3 lead late in the second quarter.

2:05 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

The Super Bowl loser's curse seems to be kicking into high gear.  Joe Burrow just threw his third interception of the day, and that's not including a lost fumble earlier, and the Steelers have jumped out to a 17-3 lead midway through the second. Four of Cincinnati's five drives have ended in Burrow turnovers, which seems somewhat suboptimal. And now, Tee Higgins looks hurt.  Uh-oh.

2:18 PM: Patriots @ Dolphins

Aaron Schatz: And there's the Miami YAC. Fourth-and-7 in no man's land, they went for it, and Waddle with the TD down the middle.

So that's a 17-0 lead for Miami in the halftime, as the Patriots look terrible. Plenty of time left in the second half, but you can see "over" from here.

2:21 PM: Eagles @ Lions

Vince Verhei: So Goff is now 3-of-10 for 6 yards with a pick-six ... and it's somehow even worse than it sounds because TWO OF HIS THREE COMPLETIONS HAVE LOST YARDS.

After some early-game spicyness, the Eagles overall quality is beginning to overwhelm the Lions.

2:27 PM: Colts @ Texans

Tom Gower chips in with his thoughts at halftime of this one.

Anyway, the Texans go into the half up 10-3. Their one TD was set up by an awfully ticky-tack 33-yard DPI penalty on Kenny Moore, but Davis Mills made a nice seam throw to OJ Howard for the score. After my earlier comment on Reich's lack of aggressiveness, he did go for it on fourth-and-goal from the 2, and Nyheim Hines got stuffed on a direct snap play.

The bigger takeaway is that I don't think either team really likes their offensive line that much. Matt Ryan is getting the ball out extremely quickly, and he needs play action or something else to be willing to attack even the intermediate middle areas rather than short. like last year, Davis Mills is also throwing short a much. he needs functional space to hit some of the outside throws, which have been (almost?) all been high if not short. The pass rushes mostly haven't been that much of a factor, though Jerry Hughes of the Wentz-ian screen pass INT did get Ryan in the two minute drill to help knock the Colts out of field goal range

Fantasy notes: Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman, and Brandin Cooks have all been strong volume plays. while Dameon Pierce started for Houston, Rex Burkhead now has 7 carries to his 5 and this could be more of an actual committee

2:31 PM: Lions @ Eagles

Vince Verhei: OK, Goff has woken up. After the pick-six, he goes 4-of-5 for 47 yards to get Detroit to the red zone. Fourth-and -1 at the 7, D'Andre Swift gets a touchdown run to cut the lead to 21-14.

Eagles-Lions has been arguably the most entertaining game of the early window. Never count out Dan Campbell's men for punching up to just below their opponent's level.

2:35 PM: Saints @ Falcons

Vince Verhei: In Atlanta, the Falcons lead 16-7 at halftime as the New Orleans offense has been mostly unwatchable. The Saints have 68 yards on two Taysom Hill runs and 36 yards on their other 22 snaps. That includes 24 yards gained on completions and 26 yards lost on sacks. Not ideal when you're trying to come back and the other team is running all over you -- Falcons are already over 100 yards rushing, led by Cordarrelle Patterson's 12-83-1.

Always pick against the narrative for the Saints in Week 1. Always. Ironclad rule.

2:36 PM: Eagles @ Lions

I think it's safe to say Eagles fans are enjoying their new receiver. AJ Brown is already up to six receptions and 128 yards through the first half.

The Eagles with a functioning wide receiver is a scary concept. The latest drive only ends up with a field goal, but that still gives the Eagles a 24-14 lead as we enter the half in Detroit.

2:43: Halftime, Early Window

All games have at least gone to the half, and we all had Texans-Colts as the most competitive game of the early window, right? Nothing's over by any stretch of the imagination -- though the Patriots, Jets, Jaguars, Bears, Lions and Bengals are in varying degrees of trouble. Offenses haven't looked great around the league; a lot of rust to knock off in a world where starters generally don't play in preseason.

The Eagles passing offense may be the story of the first half here, as A.J. Brown has been the best new player so far -- and not by a little bit, mind you.

2:48 PM: Jaguars @ Commanders.

Vince Verhei: Commanders are up 14-3 at halftime, but they are very lucky the margin is so wide. Travis Ettiene dropped what should have been a fourth-and-goal touchdown catch and Riley Patterson missed a 37-yard field goal try. The field goal Patterson hit was from 33 yards, so the Jaguars have been moving the ball fine, they just can't put points on the board. Carson Wentz has had a good game but Washington can't run at all -- only 18 yards on 12 carries. Still a lot of football to go, is what I'm saying.

2:53 PM: Ravens @ Jets

Pay Lamar Jackson!

Ravens ended up punting, as the Jets' defense looks much better today than it did last year; with only a 10-3 lead, the Jets are hanging around. If they could just produce any offense...

2:54 PM: Saints @ Falcons

Jameis Winston has been sacked four times today. The Falcons did not have four sacks in a single game at any point in 2021.

2:55 PM: Patriots @ Dolphins

Aaron Schatz: Hey! Touchdown Patriots! Their offense finally looked like last year's offense on that drive. By the way, Dolphins clearly think DeVante Parker is the WR1 for the Pats because it looks like Xavien Howard is traveling with him.

That cuts the Dolphins' lead to 17-7, as the Patriots desperately needed to start the second half with a score.

2:56 PM: Colts @ Texans

Tom Gower: Colts have third-and-2 at Texans 40 and fumble the snap. Third drive in Texans territory to come away with no points after the Pierce drop/Hines fail in goal-to-go and two-minute drill undone by sack and subsequent Pittman drop

That Tanier-Klassen bet on Matt Ryan's tenure in Indianapolis is drawing first blood for Mike, I'd say.

2:59 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

We have a ballgame in Cincinnati!  The Bengals finally put together a long drive without turnovers, going to Ja'Mar Chase repeatedly to march down the field, scoring a touchdown to bring things to 17-14 late in the third quarter.


3:03 PM: Saints @ Falcons

Vince Verhei: You can't stop Olamide Zaccheaus, you can only hope to contain him. And the Saints can't even do that -- he gets a 9-yard catch on first-and-10, a 13-yard gain on second-and-9, and then a 39-yard DPI to give Atlanta a first-and-goal. Mariota scores a 2-yard touchdown on a sneak and Falcons go up 23-10.

3:05 PM: Ravens @ Jets

Sanity is beginning to reign here, as Devin Duvernay catches his second touchdown of the day. You would expect the Ravens to handle the Jets more comfortably, but they have a 17-3 lead midway through the third as the Jets can't get anything going offensively.

It's not over yet, but the Jets would have to look like an entirely new team on offense -- not looking likely with Joe Flacco back there.

3:09 PM: Jaguars @ Commanders

Vince Verhei: Jaguars finally cross the goal line! Christian Kirk with a diving fingertip grab for a 49-yard gain and then Lawrence rolls out and hits James Robinson for the score. But they go for two and don't get it so the score remains 14-9. Jackonville has the edge now in both first downs (16-14) and total yardage (252-195).

3:19 PM: Ravens @ Jets

OK, I think we've finally hit ballgame in New York. Lamar Jackson throws his third touchdown of the day, a bomb to Rashad Bateman, and Baltimore now has a 24-3 lead late in the third quarter. Pay Lamar Jackson, guys.

Credit to the Jets D for hanging in as long as they did, but it was just a matter of time.

3:23 PM: 49ers @ Bears

The San Francisco secondary apparently though the game ended about halfway through the third quarter, as all of a sudden, Bears receivers are getting open left and right, and Justin Fields is finding them.

But they miss the extra point, so Chicago only has a 13-10 lead with 12:45 left. 

3:30 PM: Eagles @ Lions

From the far-too-specific stat department:

The Eagles have had four different players score rushing touchdowns, are leading 38-21 late in the third quarter, and this one is over.

3:34 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

Make it four interceptions for Burrow, as he's having a nightmare of a game. Plenty of yards, but the Steelers' defense is just harassing him all day long.  Steelers are clinging to a 20-14 lead midway through the third, and could really use a drive here to feel comfortable.

3:37 PM: Saints @ Falcons

After Jameis Winston went into the blue medical tent for a bit, there was worries he was done for the day. Instead, he's come back out...

Vince Verhei: OK, maybe it's not too late for Winston. He completes all four of his passes on that drive: gain of 26, gain of 15, gain of 31, 3-yard touchdown to Thomas. He throws for a two-pointer to boot and the lead is cut to 26-18. Hot-and-cold Jameis remains a thing.

First regular season touchdown for Thomas since 2019. Good to have him back, but the Saints still trail 26-18.

3:40 PM: 49ers @ Bears

Panic time in San Francisco? Maybe...

Bears turn the Lance interception into a touchdown, but miss the extra point again, so it's 19-10 Chicago.

3:41 PM: Jaguars @ Commanders

4th quarter lead change! A Carson Wentz interception leads to a Jaguars field goal, and don't look now, but the Jaguars are up 15-14 with 12:04 left in the game.

Vince Verhei: Last six Commanders drives: punt, fumble, end of half, punt, punt, interception.

3:44 PM: Jaguars @ Commanders

Carson Wentz is imploding. Because of course he is. He just threw another interception, and this time, Jacksonville brings that into the end zone.  It's now 22-14 Jaguars, and that happened very quickly.

Still don't understand how Wentz is a starting quarterback in 2022.

3:47 PM: Chaos

Too much going on for separate entries at the moment.  Michael Thomas scores again for the Saints, bringing the Saints to 26-24.  The Panthers have come roaring back, and now trail 23-21 in Cleveland.  Meanwhile, Ja'Marr Chase apparently scores a touchdown against the Steelers, but the Bengals don't challenge, and now face a fourth-and-goal (and game?)


3:51 PM: Chaos, continued.

This looks like a touchdown, yeah? Well, they didn't rule it that way on the field, and the Bengals went hurry-up! They failed on fourth down, and now the Steelers are in potential run-out-the clock mode.

And meanwhile, don't count the Commanders out just yet...

And it looks like Chicago will hold on, as the 49ers turn the ball over on downs. Chaos!

3:55 PM: Chaos, finalized?

The Colts have come back from 20-3 to tie the game at 20, as the Texans are Texaning.  Jonathan Taylor is up to 156 yards, as he's carrying the Colts on his back. Run-based comebacks aren't super-common, but it's working out for Indy!

And the Steelers can't run out the clock, the Bengals have the ball back, and we're in it for a tight finish...

4:02 PM: Saints @ Falcons

Vince Verhei: Oh, Falcons. Up two, you have a fourth-and-1 in Saints territory, New Orleans out of timeouts. Three feet wins the game, and you have run for over 200 yards today. But they take a delay of game and punt, and Saints have 48 seconds to get a winning field goal.

4:05 PM: Comeback Chaos!

It's Burrow to Chase for the lead in Cincinnati!

Well, it'll be the lead assuming Cincinnati can make an extra point, and how hard can THAT be?

Oh, wow. We're headed for overtime -- both in Pittsburgh/Cincinnati and Houston/Indianapolis. And it's Wil Lutz for the lead for New Orleans, with 19 seconds left!

I need a breather!

4:11 PM: More Comebacks

I do not get a breather.

Baker Mayfield and the Panthers kick a go-ahead field goal with 1:09 left, but Cleveland gets the ball back.

Carson Wentz and Jahan Dotson hook-up for the go-ahead touchdown against the Jaguars; they hold a 28-22 lead with 1:46 left.

Witching hour indeed.

4:15 PM: Browns @ Panthers

Cade York.  Eight seconds left.  For the lead (and the game?)

Looks like no revenge for Baker.

4:23 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

Overtime, and Evan McPherson gets a chance for redemption, to kick the game-winning field goal. But the snap is high -- it's the backup long snapper in Cinci -- and the kick is shanked wide left.  3:33 left for someone to try to win this football game.

4:27 PM: Colts @ Texans

And now Rodrigo Blankenship misses a game-winning field goal!  Kickers are having a nightmare overtime!

4:31 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

And now Chris Boswell doinks the game-winner off the upright!  This is insane.  This is crazy.  We could have multiple ties here, which hasn't happened since the 1970s.

4:37 PM: Colts @ Texans

We have a fourth-down decision which leads to a tie!  With 26 seconds left, and the ball just over midfield, the Texans opted to punt the ball away.  According to EdjSports' fourth-down model, this was the wrong call - the Texans had a 59.2% GWC had they gone for it, and a 51.5% GWC with the punt. That's counting a tie as 50% of a win, I believe.  The actual end result is a tie game in the worst division in football, which seems fitting.

4:40 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

We have a holy roller in Cincinnati! The Bengals fumble the ball with less than two minutes left in overtime, which means that players other than the fumbler can't advance it -- despite a very solid return by Perine, the ball had to go back to the spot of the fumble. That brought up 4th-and-16 with 1:04 left, and the model DOES like that punt, even with Ja'Marr Chase out there -- 49.3% GWC with the punt, 43.7% had they tried it.

4:47 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

The punt we didn't like saved a tie for the Texans. The punt we did like? Well, the Steelers march down the field with no time outs, and Chris Boswell makes the 53-yarder this time. Football!

OK, now to the late games, already in progress.

4:48 PM: Late Game Storylines

The battle of the NFC North is the headline game for most of the country in the late window, and the Packers-Vikings clash is about as big as it's possible for a Week 1 game to be. Our current odds have the Packers winning the division 38.9% of the time and the Vikings winning the division 34.2% of the time; that 4.7% difference is the second-smallest in the league, and the smallest among divisions we think are actually good (sorry, AFC South). Aaron Rodgers, looking to repeat his MVP season without an established receiver room should be an interesting thing to watch all season, as will Kevin O'Connell bringing the Shanahan/McVay (/LaFleur?) style offense to Minnesota. It's just one game, but a head-to-head win between division favorites is a huge feather in either team's cap all the way until the Week 17 rematch.

As a game, though, I'm actually more interested in watching the Chiefs and Cardinals -- both playoff teams from a year ago, missing their star receiver. Tyreek Hill was traded to Miami, as Kansas City swapped immediate Super Bowl odds for a longer window of competition; just how his production gets replaced will be fascinating to watch early on this season. The Cardinals will be missing DeAndre Hopkins due to his offseason PED bust, and they're also missing Rondale Moore, so it's going to be the Marquise Brown, A.J. Green and ... let me check my notes ... "Greg Dortch" show. So, that should be fun.

And if you're looking for someone to dethrone the Chiefs, you have the Chargers and Raiders going head-to-head in what we expect to be the most loaded division in all football -- all four teams rank in the top 15 in our preseason projections, and it's not crazy to imagine all four teams making the playoffs if the cards fall just right. In reality, they'll probably beat each other up too much for that to happen -- and this is one of those games where teams will get beat up, so yeah, good times.

And finally, the Titans of Tennessee host the Giants of New York, making them both seem normal sized.

4:50 PM: Steelers @ Bengals

Hertspang, via the FO Discord: The Bengals gave the Steelers 15 more seconds by punting with time on the play clock. The Steelers kicked with 5 seconds left. The Bengals are idiots.

Man's got a point. Pittsburgh did faff around a bit at the end of the game, but they were allowed to avoid some urgency by Cincinnati giving them more time for no reason!

4:53 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

While all the chaos was happening in the early windows, the Chiefs suffered a big injury -- kicker Harrison Butker rolled his ankle, and is out. That means Justin Reid is kicking the rest of the way, and he's already made an extra point and kicked the kickoff out over the net. Dude has a leg!

Kansas City is already up 14-0 after a couple early Patrick Mahomes touchdown passes, but keep an eye on that kicking situation going forward.

4:56 PM: Steelers Injury Report

The Steelers fear that T.J. Watt tore his pec in the closing seconds of the fourth quarter against the Bengals. That is a humongous loss for a team that was relying on it's defense in order to be competitive this year. There'll be more tests to confirm, but that's generally a season-ending injury.  Watts are built different, but maybe not that different.

5:00 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

The Cardinals strike back in the second quarter, after some scrambling by Kyler Murray sets up a goal line play. And because it's the Cardinals, every goal line play means a James Conner touchdown, apparently.

In depth analysis: I hate the Cardinals uniforms. The all-red pajama look doesn't work, and it might be their best set.

5:08 PM: Raiders @ Chargers

Always good to check in on your priors in week 1: Justin Herbert? Still really good.

The Chargers end up scoring a few plays later to take a 10-3 lead, but Herbert took a shot to the head after a really late slide. Eight thousand flags came in, but Herbert has to be more decisive in these situations, either sliding out of trouble entirely or taking things to the outside and not running directly at defenders.  No harm, no foul, and the Chargers have the lead midway through the second quarter.

5:13 PM: Giants @ Titans

Cale Clinton: Interesting how Hilliard hasn’t gotten a single carry yet. Henry looks slow. 7 carries for 22 yards, and two of those are for 12 yards. The Titans are clearly getting Hilliard involved, I just wonder if/when he starts cutting into Henry’s carry share.

5:15 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

Vince Verhei: Fourth-and-2 in the red zone with a gimpy kicker is an easy go-for-it for Andy Reid, and Patrick Mahomes hits CEH for the easy touchdown pass. That's three touchdowns in three drives for Kansas City, and Patrick Mahomes is now 16-of-19 for 163 yards and three scores. I think he's going to be OK without Tyreek Hill, everyone.

Justin Reid misses the XP, so it's only a 20-7 Chiefs lead. Might need to start going for two more often, Andy.

5:27 PM: Raiders @ Chargers

Justin Herbert is dealing (16/19 for 181 yards and a score), but perhaps more important is Keenan Allen, who came up lame untouched, clutching his hamstring. That's very rarely a good sign; Josh Palmer may have to carry more of the load than the Chargers were hoping for this early in the season.

5:30 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

Vince Verhei: Hey, the Cardinals got a stop! Pressure got to Mahomes on third down and he overthrew his receiver on a swing pass out of the backfield. The punt is a touchback and the Cards have three minutes left in the half. They haven't done much offensively, with two three-and-outs besides their one touchdown drive. Their leading receiver so far is Greg Dortch, a kick returner whose three catches in the first half match his total in his first two NFL seasons.

Big Dortch energy in the liveblog today.

Carl Yedor: That more or less has to be the formula for Arizona this season on defense. With the talent they lost over the offseason (and general aging), they are going to be relying on Vance Joseph to scheme up pressure when Markus Golden and J.J. Watt (when on field) to get some pass pressure. Because the defensive backfield definitely needs the help

5:37 PM: Chargers @ Raiders

Cale Clinton: The Chargers don’t have JC Jackson and are still generating coverage sacks…AND interceptions, as Tranquill picks off Carr while I type this

And, of course, intercepting Derek Carr means you give Justin Herbert back, which is not a situation you want to be in -- he's up to 17/20 for 204 and two touchdowns now, as he hits DeAndre Carter on an absolute lazer to extend the Chargers' lead to 17-3

Not over yet, but the Raiders are, as of yet, not living up to their half of the billing in this AFC West showdown.

Cale Clinton: Lampoon the Chargers offense and Joe Lombardi all you want , but I’m surprised with just how much the Chargers are willing to spread it out in the pass game. 10 different players have targets for LAC before halftime, and the Chargers’ two touchdowns have come from Zander Horvath and DeAndre Carter

Vince Verhei: Speaking of kick returners having big days as receivers: DeAndre Carter's career highs on offense are six catches for 65 yards, with Houston against Tennessee in 2019. He's up to three for 64 now in the first half.

5:43: Packers @ Vikings

I'm no defensologist, but I'd consider covering Justin Jefferson to be a good first step for stopping the Minnesota Vikings.

The Packers defense has been filled with miscommunications and confusions, but I don't know how on earth you let Jefferson get that wide open. Can't wait to see the dots on this one -- but before it comes up, Rodgers throws an interception, and now the Vikings have a chance to add a few more points before the half. We're headed towards rout territory.

5:48 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

Vince Verhei: Arizona's offense still can't get untracked. After yet another punt, they get the ball back on a JuJu Smith-Schuster fumble. Fourth-and-2 in Kansas City territory, down 13 points, is an automatic go. But Kyler Murray doesn't see his receiver wide open in the flat to the right, scrambles, and lobs a volleyball to nobody in particular for an incompletion. That's five drives for Murray, and he's 9-of-15 for only 88 yards (plus four carries for 30 yards).

Akirp001, via the FO Discord: When do we cue the obligatory question about four hours of study?

5:49 PM: Giants @ Titans

Gonna be a long year for the Giants.

Tom Gower: That pressure on Jones and the Giants' overall offensive unimpressiveness is letting the Titans really work through some struggles by their own offense after a strong opening drive found the end zone. Derrick Henry has looked like he's having his normal Week 1/post-layoff struggles, and Tennessee is playing passing game by committee with mixed results.

5:55 PM: Halftime

All four late games are in halftime simultaneously, with all four teams winning up at least 10 points. To be fair, that early window was going to be a nearly impossible act to follow, but the late window isn't trying all that hard.

ESPN has all four leading teams above an 85% win probability. I wouldn't call any of the games over yet, but hopefully some kind of spark will hit in the second half.

5:58 PM: First Half Bookkeeping

Here are the dots on that Justin Jefferson touchdown. I can't even tell which defender blew the coverage on Jefferson; it looked like they had no plan for if he ran a drag across the field.

Also, about the Raiders:

Vince Verhei: After a nice start, the Vegas offense has gone into a deep freeze. Their last three drives: 3 plays, 9 yards, punt 5 plays, 16 yards, punt 2 plays, -3 yards, INT And then a handoff to end the first half.

Things have gotten better in the second half, with Derek Carr hitting Davante Adams multiple times before finding Brandon Bolden for the touchdown. Just 17-10 Chargers now, and we all have seen what happens to Charger leads.

6:05 PM: Giants @ Titans

Saquon Barkley is up to 114 yards rushing, his most in a game since 2019. Most of it was this 68 yard run:

But he also did punch in an impressive touchdown, cutting the Titans' lead to 13-6 after a botched extra point.

6:10 PM: Raiders @ Chargers

This is just patently unfair. How are you supposed to defend this?

Cale Clinton: Was that the only way for Teamer to tackle Gerald Everett there? Everett caught that ball outside the 5-yard-line and between his momentum and Teamer’s tackle effort, it kinda looked like Teamer threw him across the goal line?

Chargers extend the lead back to 24-10, and the Raiders now need to dial up another response.

6:14 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

Vince Verhei: This is not Kyler Murray's best day. Spiking passes into the ground near his receiver's feet, checking down to guys way short of the sticks, stumbling while trying to scramble backwards and taking sacks. First drive of the second half ends in another punt. We're not up to six catches for Dortch, 2 each for Hollywood Brown and James Conner, one for A.J. Green, none for Zach Ertz or Andy Isabella.

6:18 PM: Giants @ Titans

A blown coverage, and the Giants have tied things up at 13. Great throw by Daniel Jones, and just no one there to stop Sherling Shephard.

The Titans just have gone into neutral on offense, and when you do that, one or two big plays can make a huge difference. The AFC South can't be that bad, can it?

6:21 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

Vince Verhei: Patrick Mahomes just put on a show. Unreal touch on an over-the-shoulder corner route to Kelce for 35. Scrambling and side-arming a throw to Skyy Moore for a 30-yard catch-and-run. DPI on a fade route to MVS sets up first-and-goal, and he follows with a backpedaling feather to Jody Forston for the score. He really may be underrated.

The Chiefs are up 30-7 midway through the third quarter, and this one is over.  The Seahawks will end the day in first place in the NFC West at 0-0.

6:24 PM: Raiders @ Chargers

If your trick play design has Derek Carr asked to block Joey Bosa one-on-one, come up with a better trick play.

Burn this play.

6:29 PM: Simultaneous Scores

The Packers show some signs of life! In what was a must-score drive, Green Bay leaned on their rushing attack -- Dillon ran for 17 yards and a touchdown, Jones for 29, and Doubs for 11 more.  When the passing game isn't working, you do what you have to do.  It's 20-7 Vikings with 5:16 left in the third quarter, so there's a lot of work to do, but there's time left.

Meanwhile, the Titans have overcome a barrage of flags to retake the leader, 20-13, in a fairly ugly game. But hey, all the wins count the same, and they're back on top now.

6:36 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

Vince Verhei: We're now up to five touchdown passes for Patrick Mahomes and we're still in the third quarter. Some of these throws are legit making me giggle. It feels like he's toying with the Cardinals, letting them get just enough pressure to where they think they might get a stop, then slipping away and making off-platform cross-his-body throws just for the fun of it. Butker kicks the PAT, it's 37-7, and Kansas City shows no sign of relenting.

6:40 PM: Raiders @ Chargers.

Vince Verhei: Adams gets two steps behind the Chargers secondary, but Carr's pass is underthrown and it's effectively triple-coverage by the time the ball comes down. Interception for L.A.

Missed opportunity for Las Vegas, who now desparatley need a stop.

6:49 PM: Packers @ Vikings

Aaron Schatz: Packers offensive line is stretched too thin by injuries.

Four sacks today for Minnesota, as the backup tackles for the Packers are just folding in early and often.

6:56 PM: Chiefs @ Cardinals

Vince Verhei: Good news for Arizona: They got a touchdown! Fourth-and-goal, Hollywood Brown gets his first score for the Cards on an out route in the back of the end zone. Bad news for Arizona: That drive took 14 plays, 75 yards, and more than six minutes of clock. Just dink after dunk after all day long. They're still down by more than 20 points, now with less than 13 minutes to go.

7:00 PM: Giants @ Titans

Things are going great in New York; why do you ask?

But hey, the Giants are still in this -- the Titans just ran a tight end end around on third and one, and the Giants sniffed it out. Seems a little too cute when you have Derrick Henry back there, and the Titans are only up 20-13 with 5:27 left.

7:13 PM: Giants @ Titans

The Giants are more than just in this -- they just scored a touchdown. The extra point would tie it, but forget that -- it's time to go for the win...

And they pull it off! Jones hits Barkley, and the Giants have a 21-20 lead with 1:06 remaining!

Gutsy call, and it may pay off. The Titans have only had one drive in the second half go more than 17 yards...

7:27 PM: Giants @ Titans

After careful review, I'm fairly certain neither team wanted to win this game.

The Titans tried to dink and dunk their way down the field, with no success. But the Giants committed multiple third-down holding penalties to keep Tennessee alive long enough for Tannehill to hit a 21-yard pass to bring Tennessee into long field goal range. Then, with the clock stopped, they wasted their last time out, moved the ball back three yards to get it on a certain hashmark, and watched Ryan Bullock come out for a 47-yarder...which he pushes, wide left. Giants win, 21-20, in one of the least probable victories in history.

And that will do it for this week's liveblog! Strange, strange day, with kickers missing left and right in clutch situations. Be careful when your jumping to those conclusions, and enjoy tonight's Sunday Night game!


107 comments, Last at 15 Sep 2022, 9:07pm

#1 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 11:04am

Love to hear it after Thursday's thread. 

Think I'll be watching Y2 Lance vs Y2 Fields over Y3 Burrow vs Y6 Trubisky for the first slate.

  • Patriots (+2.5) @ Dolphins
  • Steelers (+5) @ Bengals
  • Eagles (-2.5) @ Lions
  • 49ers (-3.5) @ Bears
  • Ravens (-3.5) @ Jets
  • Saints (-4) @ Falcons
  • Colts (-5) @ Texans
  • Jaguars (+5.5) @ Commanders
  • Browns (+2) @ Panthers
  • Packers (-1) @ Vikings
  • Raiders (+4) @ Chargers
  • Chiefs (-2) @ Cardinals
  • Giants (+5.5) @ Titans

Points: 0

#2 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 12:34pm

The Lions sneak up on teams who aren’t quite as good as they think they are and don’t take the Lions seriously.

Actually mediocre or worse teams or actual juggernauts kill them, because they either do take them seriously or it doesn’t matter.

The Eagles are susceptible to the former condition, but probably not in week 1.

Points: 0

#3 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 12:49pm

For all you talk about the Ravens passing the AGL crown, their Inactives list is the one which is mostly guys who would start for most teams. It’s not a collection of 3rd teamers, as is the norm.

Points: 0

#4 by Theo // Sep 11, 2022 - 12:51pm

Whats the over under on games played till Picket takes over from Trubiski?


Points: 0

#5 by Theo // Sep 11, 2022 - 12:55pm

Those Washington state cups are hilarious.

Someone really signed off on those?

Points: 0

#87 by Mike B. In Va // Sep 12, 2022 - 8:02am

Honestly, that's exactly the sort of thing I can see that organization doing. Longtime 'Skins fans I know aren't even watching football this year because of the disgust level with the owner.

Points: 0

#90 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 12, 2022 - 9:19am

It's not like the District of Columbia wants them, so they might as well appeal to the other Washington.

\This would work better for the Wizards.

Points: 0

#6 by Dissociated // Sep 11, 2022 - 1:19pm

It probably won't matter, but pretty huge WTF punt by Harbaugh (4 and 1 at midfield)

Points: 0

#7 by Chuckc // Sep 11, 2022 - 1:28pm

49ers challenge a 4 yard completion in the first quarter :/


EDIT: On 1st and 10

Points: 0

#15 by mehllageman56 // Sep 11, 2022 - 2:43pm

That's when I started rooting for the Bears in that one.  Unfortunately not going well, but I'd rather watch Fields than Flacco.

Points: 0

#88 by Mike B. In Va // Sep 12, 2022 - 8:03am

I'd rather be poked in the eye with a fork than watch Flacco. That game was the definition of ugly.

Points: 0

#8 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 1:44pm


Points: 0

#9 by KnotMe // Sep 11, 2022 - 1:51pm

Nice that the Mia game is over already 

Points: 0

#10 by luisguilherme // Sep 11, 2022 - 1:56pm

The Seahawks are so bad this year that even the commanders are trying to steal their fans? 

Points: 0

#11 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 2:26pm

Kneeling into half. After sus cincy goal line play calls.

Chicago is a mess. 

Points: 0

#13 by DGL // Sep 11, 2022 - 2:31pm

14 seconds left in the half starting at the 25 and you think they should try to gain ~40 yards?

Points: 0

#14 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 2:39pm

Read below, flash. 

Points: 0

#18 by DGL // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:01pm

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

Figure a 10 yard drop and the ball going 65-70 yards through the air, so it's coming down at around the CIN 20.  Best outcome is a catch or DPI, giving PIT one play from around the CIN 20 - which most likely means a ~40 yard FG attempt.  Worst outcome is a strip sack or an INT where the defender has a chance for a runback.

So to get about a 1-in-10 chance to have about an 85% chance of scoring 3 points, you're willing to risk the (smaller but non-negligible) chance of letting CIN score another 3 or 7 before halftime in a game where (1) you're up 11 and (2) they're getting the ball to start the third quarter?

Points: 0

#22 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:06pm

In reply to by DGL

Read. The. Comment. Below. 

Points: 0

#17 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 2:53pm

He’s :

  1. a moron
  2. only interested in his fantasy team

You can safely disregard anything he says.

Points: 0

#21 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:06pm

Knows the likely result is neutral.

But go ahead and keep being a drag because I called out the brilliance of Frosts extension

Points: 0

#12 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 2:28pm

You dont kneel into the half. Good job 49ers.

DFS Deebo making a comeback for me.

Points: 0

#16 by mehllageman56 // Sep 11, 2022 - 2:44pm

I would have liked a hail mary from Lance, but oh well.

Points: 0

#23 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:07pm

But at least they gave it a chance. Didnt do any harm

Points: 0

#19 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:01pm

"Believe it or not, the game I'm most interested in watching as a neutral fan is actually Ravens-Jets. Part of this is how much it would amuse me if Joe Flacco leads New York to an upset victory over his own team, both just from the schadenfreude of seeing Baltimore slip up there and the inevitable quarterback controversy it would bring in New York if Flacco gets the Jets off to a good start before Zach Wilson is ready to start the season."


My question is why on earth Flacco is starting over Mike White in the first place. The Jets aren't going to be any good this year so going with a veteran is pointless. Might as well gain more information on what you have in Mike White.


As for their being a QB controversy if Flacco played well, that would be dumb even if Flacco threw for 7 TDs. I'm not a big believer in Wilson (simply because when you have as a bad of a rookie season as he did, it's unlikely you'll ever be any good), but starting Flacco rather than seeing if Wilson can develop would be madness.

Points: 0

#24 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:08pm

Guaranteed money. 

Don't want to look stupid re signing him. 

Points: 0

#25 by mehllageman56 // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:11pm

Flacco starting is why I'm watching Bears/Niners.  Rather see Fields and Lance than Methuselah.  If anything, they're playing Flacco to prevent a controversy... which is foolish.  I might also add, White and Streveler outplayed Flacco in the preseason games.  Maybe not practice, but we already know White can run the offense, so how about they let him?

Points: 0

#20 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:04pm

I can't figure out the AJ Brown dominance in Philly because the Lions defense looks comical. On one catch it looked like he was covered by Hole in Zone right at the snap.

Points: 0

#26 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:13pm

For those questioning why Detroit passed on a QB:

It was a bad year, and they still don’t have a back 7 on defense. This roster still needs a lot.

Points: 0

#28 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:25pm

Their offense looks mostly fine: pick sixes suck, but it's a single play. Receivers arent great, obviously, and the OL's iffy. But yeah, the back 7 looks nonexistent.

Points: 0

#27 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:18pm

Bama Boys back at it again
I suppose one of the Alabama receivers had to be able to stay out of jail.

Points: 0

#29 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:26pm

Now the 49ers will be incentivized to play for the tie.

Goof needed a cut LB. Thankfully Sudfeld is back there. 

Points: 0

#32 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:41pm

Just gotta go for two from now on Chicago lol

Points: 0

#30 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:34pm

Two heavy underdogs are winning by multiple scores. Texans over Colts and Falcons over Saints.

Points: 0

#31 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:36pm

And he's fine. Probably would've been a TD if he doesn't step up there. 

Points: 0

#33 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:44pm

Tua and Mac Jones look bad. And it’s going to get worse when they play good teams, rather than the two they’re playing against today. 

Points: 0

#39 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:53pm

Could have easily jogged to a first down, decided to whip a pass across his body toward the middle of the field, and bounced it a full yard in front of the intended target. He’s not good. Deal with it.

Oh, and I’ll worry about the Patriots defense the next time they force the Bills to punt. Ditto the Dolphins, given how badly Josh Allen has owned them. 

Points: 0

#46 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:09pm

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

Just means football is back :)

Points: 0

#34 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:46pm

But TJ Watt>>>>>>>>>>

Points: 0

#35 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:48pm

Bengals-Steelers has been dramatic. To be honest, even Cincinnati loses this I don't think they should be that worried. Burrow is not going to have five turnovers every week.

Points: 0

#40 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:53pm

It's a divisional game. Even if it's not indicative of problems, dropping a divisional game is super not good.

Points: 0

#36 by JS // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:49pm

Chase looked like he scored a TD. Placed at the 1. No complaint. 

Points: 0

#38 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:51pm

Another fourth down failure for the Bengals. But they should probably have had a TD a few plays ago if the refs had called it right. Referees might end up deciding this one, sadly.

Points: 0

#41 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 3:54pm

That ended up being an incomplete pass anyway, might come back to haunt. 

A couple lucky breaks with a PIT injury and Truibsky incomplete though.

Points: 0

#43 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:00pm

Watts and injuries man.

1st and goal such a long developing play for Cincy. Can't believe they extended Taylor for this non cover.

But Jamarr Chase is him. Jamarr CHIMe.

Points: 0

#103 by t.d. // Sep 13, 2022 - 8:25am

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

while it sucks, torn pecs are 'steroid user' injuries, extremely uncommon except among steroid users

Points: 0

#104 by t.d. // Sep 13, 2022 - 8:25am

In reply to by ImNewAroundThe…

while it sucks, torn pecs are 'steroid user' injuries, extremely uncommon except among steroid users

Points: 0

#44 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:03pm

And it was followed by a terrible drop by Thomas.

EDIT: And you don’t double Chase on the game’s last play? Embarrassing. 

Points: 0

#45 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:07pm

Wow, the Steelers block the XP.

Points: 0

#47 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:11pm

And the Lions pull within a score as Philly's defense shows all the warts I worried about. Lack of pressure, crap tackling, and linebackers acting silly in coverage. Damnit.

Points: 0

#48 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:15pm

Who won that toss? If I was Pittsburgh I would've given them the ball...

Points: 0

#49 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:15pm

Apparently the Falcons had a 99.9% win chance when they had 3rd and 1 up by two with 1:40 left. They lose.

And the Browns are going to win (almost certainly) on a 58-yard FG.

Points: 0

#50 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:22pm

Jacksonville blows their last chance at winning with a neutral zone infraction on third down.

Points: 0

#89 by Mike B. In Va // Sep 12, 2022 - 8:09am

I thought that was going to be the dumbest thing I saw all day. Boy was I wrong.

Points: 0

#51 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:24pm

Wow. OT in Steelers-Bengals hasn't been as dramatic as the end of regulation, but this changes as Cincinnati misses another kick. It wasn't even close.

Points: 0

#52 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:28pm

WTH. Indy misses an OT kick to win as well.

Points: 0

#53 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:31pm

Now Boswell off the upright. This is madness.

Points: 0

#54 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:33pm

Asking for a friend who is thinking about becoming an NFL kicker. 

Points: 0

#55 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:34pm

Houston facing 4th-and-3 at the Colts 49 with 24 seconds left. Both teams have one timeout left. I wonder what the right strategy is. Maybe punting and just taking the tie.

Points: 0

#60 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:54pm

"According to EdjSports' fourth-down model, this was the wrong call - the Texans had a 59.2% GWC had they gone for it, and a 51.5% GWC with the punt."


Well, there's an answer. But does the calculator adjust for which teams are playing? I don't know that I would want to err on the side of aggression with Davis Mills at QB. Either way, those numbers are pretty close, so punting seems at the very least a reasonable call.

Points: 0

#56 by Dissociated // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:35pm

Texans punt to ensure tie. Sums up their entire philosophy

Points: 0

#57 by Ben // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:36pm

Looks like the Colts will avoid their 9th straight opening day loss…

…by tying the Texans. 

Points: 0

#58 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:43pm

Looks like we will get a chance for one last FG attempt in Cincinnati...

Points: 0

#59 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 4:45pm

Bwahaha, announcers in PIT/CIN didn't know the Holy Roller rules and thought the sack/fumble for Cincy was a good thing. 

I seriously can't believe how much the Bengals are Bungling today.

Points: 0

#62 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 5:37pm

According to EdjSports' fourth-down model, this was the wrong call - the Texans had a 59.2% GWC had they gone for it, and a 51.5% GWC with the punt. That's counting a tie as 50% of a win, I believe.

My recollection is the EdJ model is not aware of ties and handles late OT decision modeling poorly.

Points: 0

#64 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 5:45pm

Just a thought. 

Points: 0

#65 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 5:57pm

Am I allowed to feel schadenfreude in Green Bay's struggles because the Packers gave Rodgers the most damn confusing contract on the planet?

That being said, there's plenty of reasons to be OK with schadenfreude and Rodgers.

Points: 0

#67 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 6:01pm

Going empty then bomb to Cobb. 

Vikings too agressivr going empty too. GB gets the ball back. Too conservative with the last kneel. 

Best defense was premature, surprise surprise.

Watson an MVS clone, surprise surprise. 

Points: 0

#68 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 6:12pm

Rodgers just got blasted back to Dreamland.

Points: 0

#69 by Stendhal1 // Sep 11, 2022 - 6:14pm

Romo, interpreting Andy Reid’s words after Butker made the long FG at the end of the first half:  “Whoa, he made it.  Time for a snack.”. Time for a snack 😊

Points: 0

#70 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 11, 2022 - 6:19pm

Butker is back in.

Points: 0

#71 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 6:30pm

The late slate had most of the best matchups of the afternoon on paper. But none of the are competitive. I'd rather watch two bad teams like the Colts and Texas, Browns and Panthers, or Washington and Jacksonville play an exciting game than games like these.

Points: 0

#72 by vrao81 // Sep 11, 2022 - 6:44pm

What happened to Loser League. Is it still happening this season?

Points: 0

#74 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 7:02pm

FO said in multiple threads that they didn’t get enough action on it last year to justify the effort of running it again this year. 

Points: 0

#91 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 12, 2022 - 9:20am

In reply to by Tutenkharnage

Translation: "The ad revenue was less than our DFS overlords are paying this year."

Points: 0

#73 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 6:49pm

Packers will have to punt... Hopes this game will become close are fading.

Points: 0

#75 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 7:04pm

And so are the Cardinals. 

Points: 0

#76 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 7:23pm

I’ll nominate “Zimmer out, O’Connell in.”

Points: 0

#77 by Cythammer // Sep 11, 2022 - 7:29pm

Fox pointlessly stick through the end of Packers-Vikings instead of switching to Giants-Titans. By the time the Vikings victory is official it's already over in the other game.

Points: 0

#78 by OmahaChiefs13 // Sep 11, 2022 - 8:27pm

CBS at least swapped the non-Missouri-Valley audience over to Raiders/Chargers from Chiefs/Cards.

Points: 0

#85 by ahmadrashad // Sep 12, 2022 - 12:39am

Outside of "home territories", I think this might be your local station's call.

I was pleased the SF Bay CBS station stuck with Steelers-Bengals OT instead of going right to the Raider game. (Because that was a really great game!)

Points: 0

#79 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 8:33pm

I swear, every time I watch the Cowboys, I'm always suspicious that they draft/acquire just a little too heavily from the Big Ten. I doubt it's significant, but there's just something that strikes me about it.

Points: 0

#81 by Pat // Sep 11, 2022 - 9:33pm

It's not a recent thing, it's a long term thing. They just always seem to have more Big Ten starters than the typical team. That's why I said "draft/acquire." And like I said, I doubt it's significant. Just a feeling.

Points: 0

#82 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 9:37pm

Probably a little too much, yet another FG.

Didn't waste any timeouts. Coward Cowboys. 

Points: 0

#83 by Tutenkharnage // Sep 11, 2022 - 10:55pm

No surprise, as they have the luxury of a great WR corps, a solid RB group, and an amazing field general under center. Can’t help but feel that Brady and Prescott are going to be let down by their OLs all season long, but I think Tampa’s has a better chance of gelling as the season progresses and they get used to working with each other.

EDIT: And that escalated quickly, as Dak Prescott will now miss multiple weeks. 

Points: 0

#84 by ImNewAroundThe… // Sep 11, 2022 - 11:15pm

But it won't matter asZeke wasted positive yards and clock stoppage with a drop. 

They did let Cooper sling it once he came in. Wonder when they trade for Denzel Mims and make me cry for how little GB wouldn't give up. 

Points: 0

#86 by mehllageman56 // Sep 12, 2022 - 1:02am

Considering that Mims has problems lining up correctly, you'll end up glad that GB dodged a bullet.  Especially if he ends up in Dallas, because that's a team with no discipline whatsoever.

Personally, I'm hoping the Mims trade train will end once he replaces Corey Drop Davis in the line-up, but that may be asking too much of Mims and the Jets.

Points: 0

#92 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 12, 2022 - 9:23am

Incidentally, this thread started to crash on iphone starting around post 70. Not sure if it was the forum or all the twitter/instagram links it was trying to side load.

Points: 0

#97 by Ben // Sep 12, 2022 - 11:55am

I had the same problem. If you stop the page loading before it grabs all those links/previews, it doesn’t crash. So, I’m assuming it’s the abundance of those that is the problem. 

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#93 by TomC // Sep 12, 2022 - 9:51am

The 49ers haven't been scoring -- an unfortunate red zone fumble and a blocking failure on third down killed their early drives.

Yes, the Bears probably shouldn't have won that game, and yes, they looked awful on O the first half, but at least give the defense credit for making plays. The "unfortunate fumble" was a great play by J. Johnson, and the "blocking failure" was a rookie DE legit beating a highly rated RT.

Points: 0

#94 by Lost Ti-Cats Fan // Sep 12, 2022 - 10:15am

"Meanwhile, there's a car fire in the parking lot of Hard Rock Stadium."

Zatch (via the FO Discord): Looks like Matt Patricia and Joe Judge carpooled.


Pure gold!

Points: 0

#95 by Aaron Brooks G… // Sep 12, 2022 - 10:37am

Lee Corso used to never pick Virginia Tech ahead of games.

One Thursday night game, a lightning strike knocked power out to stadium and a there was an orange glow from the parking lot as a car burned.

It was Corso's car; it had been struck by lightning. He never picked against them again.

\sometimes it really was the guy you laughingly thought it was

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#96 by Ryan // Sep 12, 2022 - 11:17am this the new Audibles? 

[crying emoji]

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#99 by Joe Pancake // Sep 12, 2022 - 1:35pm

Yeah, what happened to the Audibles at the Line, in which the staff members write about the games they watched on Sunday? That was my favorite feature of this site!

Points: 0

#98 by reddwarf // Sep 12, 2022 - 1:08pm

Just one guys opinion here, of course.  My guess is this style works great for live commentary during games with the commenters (FO and public) online.  But it kinda bites when trying to read through after the games.  May I suggest that after the Sunday games are completed things get re-sorted so each game is it's own section like before?  This ended up feeling very disjointed to me trying to read through today.

As I said, just one guy's opinion.

Points: 0

#100 by anotheroldguy // Sep 12, 2022 - 2:05pm


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#101 by Joe Pancake // Sep 12, 2022 - 4:05pm

Hard agree. I didn't even recognize this as Audibles at first and was wondering what happened to them.

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#106 by ChrisS // Sep 13, 2022 - 11:57am

Not a fan of this new version either.

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#107 by Moridin // Sep 15, 2022 - 9:07pm

Agreed. This is basically Red Zone. Audibles at the Line was grouped, giving a reader after the fact a better narrative of the game vs the live and spastic chaos of Red Zone.

Points: 0

#105 by PatsFan // Sep 13, 2022 - 10:03am

It's not like FO didn't try this format before and have it be a raging disaster.  One more reason to not visit the site anymore :( :(

Audibles was one of the highlights of the site and now it's worthless (as it was the last time they did it this way some years ago).

Points: 0

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