Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

Paul Zimmerman, Dr. Z, Dead at 86

Paul Zimmerman, Dr. Z, Dead at 86

The legendary football writer Paul Zimmerman, Dr. Z, died this afternoon at the age of 86. Dr. Z was the first national writer to really bring play-by-play breakdown to the masses. He was breaking down games when there was no Internet, no coach's film available to the public, just your TV and a VCR. His Thinking Man's Guide to Pro Football is a seminal work that helps explain the game and is valuable even now, over 30 years later.

17 comments, Last at 18 Nov 2018, 9:48am by LondonMonarch
ESPN Upset Watch: Steelers-Ravens
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ESPN Upset Watch: Steelers-Ravens

This week's ESPN Upset Watch looks at the close Baltimore-Pittsburgh rivalry, where the road team is 11-8 over the last 19 games. Tight ends could be key for both teams in this matchup, while the running game is likely to be bottled up on both sides. Cover Watch analyzes Green Bay at New England.

2 comments, Last at 03 Nov 2018, 7:21pm by jonnyblazin
Week 8 DVOA Ratings
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Week 8 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams still are on top of our DVOA ratings, but this week the Chiefs pass the Rams as our new Super Bowl favorite. The reasons? Schedule strength, fumble recovery luck, and the presence of the best first-year starting quarterback in NFL history.

98 comments, Last at 03 Nov 2018, 3:50pm by mehllageman56
NFL Trade Deadline Thread
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NFL Trade Deadline Thread

Hey, it's the NFL trade deadline today. And some big trades are getting made. We'll catalog them here and let the readers discuss.

68 comments, Last at 31 Oct 2018, 6:47pm by Bright Blue Shorts
Off The Charts Podcast: October 25
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Off The Charts Podcast: October 25

This week's Off The Charts podcast discusses the Giants' decision to go for 2 down 8, and their decision to start liquidating the roster. Does a midseason dump mean it's time to move on from Eli Manning? Plus, previews of Seahawks-Lions, Vikings-Saints, and Chiefs-Broncos. (Click for audio link.)

1 comment, Last at 31 Oct 2018, 10:45am by nzfir
ESPN Upset Watch: Seahawks-Lions
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ESPN Upset Watch: Seahawks-Lions

In this week's Upset Watch: Pass pressure will be key to Seattle's chances against Detroit. You can also expect to see a lot of rushing yardage, from both sides. Cover Watch looks at Miami, where Brock Osweiler has not been the problem.

1 comment, Last at 27 Oct 2018, 7:58pm by LionInAZ
ESPN: Worst Offense Ever?
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ESPN: Worst Offense Ever?

A look at the 2018 Buffalo Bills and the ten worst offenses ever by DVOA. The Bills are on pace to pass them all.

Week 7 DVOA Ratings
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Week 7 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams remain on top of the DVOA ratings, far ahead of the rest of the league. But below these top teams, there's a lot of movement up and down. What on earth are the Denver Broncos doing at No. 5? We explain. Plus: Buffalo is now the worst offense in DVOA history.

45 comments, Last at 30 Oct 2018, 11:53am by tkinsman9
Raiders Trade Amari Cooper to Cowboys

Raiders Trade Amari Cooper to Cowboys

Well, the Cowboys finally got the receiver they needed, but boy did they pay a lot for him. Dallas will send a first-round pick to Oakland for a year and a half of Amari Cooper. Cooper was a Pro Bowl wide receiver his first two years, but his numbers have fallen to 70 catches for 960 yards and eight touchdowns in the last season and a half (20 games). That's still pretty good, and he'll be the best receiver on the Cowboys, but he's getting out of a bad situation and into... another bad situation, at least as far as offensive scheme?

42 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2018, 12:28am by GwillyGecko
Browns Trade Carlos Hyde to Jaguars

Browns Trade Carlos Hyde to Jaguars

Well, that's one way to get more carries for Nick Chubb and his (very limited sample size) 10.8 yards per carry. Carlos Hyde is apparently going to Jacksonville for a fifth-round pick. This also would suggest Leonard Fournette's hamstring injury is more of a long-term problem and he's not coming back anytime soon.

1 comment, Last at 20 Oct 2018, 11:16am by Lebo